DomesticEnrollment

>> Progress ReportAUGUST 15, 2014

Enrollment

SUMMER State-Funded FTEs

2014: 1,835

2013: 2,001

2012: 1,972

2011: 2,002

Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Consistent Pattern

Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Overview

UnderstandingWhat do we know?What do we not know?

ActionWhat have we done?Where are we headed?

Context: History

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

State-Funded FTEs

4888 4649 4446 4636 4399 4702 4938 4654 4623 4629 4620

50015002500350045005500

Total State-Funded FTEs Since 2003

Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Context: Comparisons

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Edmonds 7139 7653 7022 6852 6259

Everett 7093 7615 6200 6151 6242

Shoreline 4816 4678 4532 4409 4272

North Seattle 4208 4225 3953 3814 3739

Lake Washington 3538 3635 3257 3120 3513

Cascadia 2211 2345 2312 2239 2277

500

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

6500

7500

8500

Fall Q

uart

er

Dom

esti

c Enro

llm

ent

(FTEs)

Consistent 3% decrease per year

Source: SBCTC Fall Quarter Enrollment and Staffing Reportshttp://www.bothell.washington.edu/about/facts

Context: Community

WA State Shoreline CC King County Snohomish County

White 0.71 0.6 0.636565476427689

0.731542516329348

Multiple/Other 0.04 0.02 0.0513489817877496

0.0493754740558445

Hispanic/Latino 0.12 0.09 0.09203463117204 0.0929231306511549

Black/African-American 0.04 0.1 0.0607968357709321

0.0225309534593117

Asian/Pacific Islander 0.08 0.17 0.153770473837325

0.0954318751057247

American Indian/Alaska Native

0.02 0.02 0.00548360100426414

0.00819605039861617

5%

25%

45%

65%

85%

Source: American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates

Context: Community

Cascadia Edmonds Everett Shoreline Lake Wash-ington

Seattle North

White 0.636145541783287

0.551511677890815

0.632439295349945

0.595375722543353

0.661776691116545

0.599413366855227

Other 0.0195921631347461

0.00401203610832498

0.0307887636883034

0.0175474814203138

0.0184732409671285

0.0331028703121726

Latino Hispanic

0.131547381047581

0.151884224100874

0.146167275035709

0.0914533443435178

0.110024449877751

0.0802430337314058

African American

0.0359856057576969

0.0802407221664995

0.051737819393747

0.100536746490504

0.0366748166259169

0.103079824010057

Asian/Pa-cific Is-lander

0.153138744502199

0.194010603238286

0.106967148071735

0.174029727497936

0.158109209453953

0.163628745024094

Native American

0.0235905637744902

0.0183407364951999

0.0318996984605618

0.0210569777043765

0.0149415919587069

0.0205321600670438

5%

25%

45%

65%

85%

Source: SBCTC Fall Quarter Enrollment and Staffing Reports

Context: SBCTC Analysis

Washington State Population and Employment Data2010-2030

WACTC Accountability and Allocation Task ForceSeptember 2013

Context: Demographics

2009 2010 % 2011 % 2012 % 2015 %

15 – 19

46,518 49,226 5.8 47,456 -3.6

46,909 -1.2

46,939 0.1

20 - 24 43,391 44,970 3.6 45,915 2.1 47,737 4.0 45,360 -5.0

25 - 34 99,444 100,655

1.2 100,360

-0.3

103,118

2.7 103,971

0.8

Population by age: Snohomish County

2009 2010 % 2011 % 2012 % 2015 %

15 – 19

111,118

117,227

5.5 112, 410 -4.1

114,224

1.6 115,198

0.9

20 - 24 121,196

130,776

7.9 133,214 1.9 134,183

0.7 142,056

5.9

25 - 34 327,759

314,288

-4.1

323,899 3.1 331,544

2.4 307,967

-7.1

Population by age: King County

Source: American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates

SCC Age Demographics

2009 2010 % 2011 % 2012 % 2013 %

< 20 1,734 1,668 - 3.8

1,553 -6.9

1,457 -6.2

1,528 4.9

20 - 24 1,777 1,724 -3.0 1,642 -4.8

1,705 3.8 1,636 -4.0

25 - 34 1,574 1,651 4.9 1,657 0.4 1,579 -4.7

1,435 -9.1

35 + 1,998 1,533 -23.

3

1,451 -5.3

1,368 -5.7

1,345 -1.7

Total 7,243 6,651 -8.2 6,329 -4.8

6,152 -2.8

5,969 -3.0

SCC Domestic Enrollment (Headcount), Fall to Fall, by Age

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

King 67% 67% 67% 66% 65%

Snohomish 27% 27% 27% 29% 31%

Other 6% 6% 6% 5% 4%

King: “In-District” 22% 22% 23% 22% 22%

% of SCC Domestic Enrollment (Headcount), Fall to Fall, by County

Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Context: District

2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013

Shorecrest High School 1543 1491 1404 1358 1276

Shorewood High School 1705 1688 1600 1473 1490

Ballard 1640 1632 1613 1643 1620

Edmonds/Woodway 1785 1780 1722 1624 1644

Mountlake Terrace 1537 1479 1372 1284 1225

Inglemoor (Northshore SD) 1880 1795 1762 1632 1633

100

300

500

700

900

1100

1300

1500

1700

1900

Num

ber

of

gra

duate

s

Shorecrest: 3.4 - 6.0% decrease per year

Shorewood: big drops (5.2% , 09-10; 7.9% 10-11)

Source: OSPI Washington State Report Card

Context: SCC District

Source: Education Research & Data Center, High School Feedback Report

2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012Shorewood Shorecrest

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

32% 32% 28% 27% 28% 24% 25% 23%

11%16%

12% 10%16%

18% 14% 18%

43% 36%

40% 44%

42% 42%40%

46%

15% 17% 20% 19%14% 15%

21%13%

Distribution of college-bound graduates from Shoreline School District high schools

Out of StateWA 4-yearOther WA 2-yearShoreline CC

Context: Workforce

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

Snohomish

King

Fall 2009 10.5% 9.2%

Fall 2010 10.3% 9.2%

Fall 2011 8.9% 8.1%

Fall 2012 6.9% 8.0%

Fall 2013 5.8% 5.2%Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Context: Workforce

Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 -

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

331 350 322

335 295

1,707 1,644

1,555 1,682

1,586

417 443 489 613

764

2,105

1,824 1,788 1,825 1,746

Total State-Funded FTEs by Type of Student

Basic SkillsTransfer - DomesticTransfer - InternationalWorkforce

Sta

te F

unded F

TEs

Source: SCC Enrollment Data

Context: Student Voice

“Importance to me”

1 – not important at all

7 – very important

“Enrollment factors”1. Importance of cost in decision to

enroll (M = 6.06)

2. Importance of financial aid in decision to enroll (M = 6.00)

3. Importance of academic reputation in decision to enroll (M = 5.90)

What do we know?

Declines in domestic enrollment are …

a shared problem.not related to representation based on

race/ethnicity. reflect age-related demographic changes. reflect district changes. reflect economic changes, and & financial

aid are key enrollment factors.can be seen in transfer, workforce, and

basic education.

What do we not know?

CausalityOther external factorsOther schools’ strategiesEmergent, Urgent, or Crisis

What are we doing?

Retention initiativesInvestment in student advisingEnhanced welcome week activitiesFirst Year Fast ForwardIncreasing “bucket” offeringsMid-Quarter Check-in

Marketing of workforce funding programs

Where are we headed?

Strategic Enrollment Management Begins with data Supports strategic planning KEY issues and actions Refreshed for new context