DM 201- Integral - Analytical Stats

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DM 201 NYC May 14, 2014

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Transcript of DM 201- Integral - Analytical Stats

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DM 201NYC

May 14, 2014

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Analytics!Image that your organization effectively used all relevant information to make smarter decisions for sustained growth.

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Post Join Strategies Drive Investments

Prospecting• Donors• Leads• Direct mail• Web

2nd Gift and retention• 1x Gifts• Sustainers

Upgrading• Mid-Level• Major Gifts

After donors are acquired value us created through second gift, retention and upgrading strategies

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Generating Value From Prospecting

Join Channel•Direct Mail•Web•Monthly•Online Ads•Email•TV•F2F

Gift Type•1x Gift•Multi-gifts•Sustainer•Join level

Data Source•List/Package•Online Publishers•List•Digital Ads•Cities/Offices

Now examine these examples across all channels to drive investments.

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What We Want to Cover

• Renewals• Special Appeals• Monthly Giving• Digital

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RenewalsTypically Renewals are the most effective marketing activity to keep donors engaged.

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Renewal Programs

1. Primary Objective - Retain.

2. Cost Effectiveness

3. Program Types – Anniversary versus Annualized – Advantages of each

4. Typical Messages

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Key Renewal Metrics

1. Response Rate

2. Renewal Rates - channel and integrated

3. Segmentation Opportunities

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Renewal ReportExpire Performance

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Expire Group First Year Quantity Renewal Rate

Response Rate

Responses Avg Gift Gross Income Expenses Net

Early Bird 37,666 3.54% 3.53% 1,328 $29.53 $39,218 $12,241 $26,976

Notice A 37,498 5.37% 5.37% 2,012 $35.00 $70,426 $12,187 $58,239

Notice 1 159 0.62% 84.28% 134 $31.72 $4,250 $52 $4,198

Notice B 35,015 4.99% 5.35% 1,873 $36.94 $69,192 $11,380 $57,812

Notice C 33,012 3.80% 6.19% 2,045 $24.72 $50,549 $10,729 $39,821

Notice D 34,249 4.58% 5.02% 1,719 $25.54 $43,900 $11,131 $32,769

Notice E 3,922 1.50% 14.33% 562 $35.01 $19,674 $1,275 $18,399

Notice F 28,236 2.55% 3.39% 958 $25.99 $24,902 $9,177 $15,725

Notice G 27,400 2.51% 3.44% 943 $24.56 $23,158 $8,905 $14,253

Notice H 26,070 1.53% 2.20% 574 $26.07 $14,963 $8,473 $6,490

Notice J 23,455 0.82% 1.31% 308 $25.93 $7,988 $7,623 $365

Notice K 22,197 0.86% 1.45% 322 $25.44 $8,193 $7,214 $979

Notice L 21,234 0.05% 0.08% 17 $43.82 $745 $6,901 ($6,156)

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Existing Member Retention

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New Member Retention

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New Member Retention by Channel

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Retention Monitoring

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1/23/2010 1/23/2011 1/23/2012 1/23/2013 TrendMulti-Channel 66.3% 70.3% 65.3% 72.9%Offl ine Only 52.2% 46.6% 43.7% 47.4%Online Only 26.9% 30.9% 21.3% 33.2%

1/23/2010 1/23/2011 1/23/2012 1/23/2013 TrendCore 71.1% 70.5% 67.4% 72.3%

Core 1st Yr 55.9% 52.7% 48.0% 55.8%Core 2nd Yr 67.6% 66.3% 62.0% 66.7%Core 3rd yr+ 80.5% 81.3% 79.6% 82.7%

Prior Lapsed 41.7% 36.8% 34.9% 40.9%Prior Recent Lapsed 48.4% 46.1% 42.1% 50.0%Prior Deep Lapsed 35.0% 30.1% 28.4% 32.9%

Prior New 22.7% 20.4% 17.2% 20.1%

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Appeals Special Appeals can be a vital revenue stream to expand an relationship with key donors for long-term.

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Appeals Programs

1. Primary Objective –Maximize Donor Value, Retain,

2. Feed the Pipeline – Define it

3. Mid-Level vs Monthly

4. Appeals versus renewals

5. Major Gifts and Planned giving

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Key Appeal Metrics

1. Value2. Average Gifts3. Upgrading4. Annualized Treatment and Investment5. Segmentation – Basic versus Integrated

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Appeal Reports

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Package HPC MRC Date Mail Qty Gifts Resp Rate Income Avg Gift

K37AAF5D: 2014 Calendar Appeal - Test 1

60,014 1,905 3.17% $77,810 $40.85

$15-19.99 1,258 101 8.03% $1,370 $13.56

$20-24.99 1,503 74 4.92% $1,390 $18.78

$25-49.99 32,478 1,129 3.48% $33,453 $29.63

$50-99.99 15,637 424 2.71% $23,945 $56.47

$100-249.99 8,734 175 2.00% $17,352 $99.15

250 plus 404 2 0.50% $300 $150.00

K37AAF8D: 2014 Calendar Appeal - Test 2

59,964 1,948 3.25% $81,609 $41.89

K37AAFCD: 2014 Calendar Appeal - Control

59,893 1,724 2.88% $68,037 $39.46

K37AAFHD: 2014 Calendar Appeal - High Dollar

5,535 75 1.36% $27,043 $360.57

K37AAFJD: 2014 Calendar Appeal - Core 1

49,364 4,699 9.52% $86,526 $18.41

K37AAFPD: 2014 Calendar Appeal - Core 2

23,226 3,864 16.64% $111,528 $28.86

K37AAFXD: 2014 Calendar Appeal - Extra responders

12,049 436 3.62% $19,505 $44.74

Total 270,045 14,651 5.43% $472,058 $32.22

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Review Key Segments

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Behavior Mail Qty Gifts Resp Rate Income Avg Gift Productivity

Test Cell 1 13,541 188 1.39% $9,560 $50.85 $706

Appeal Responsive 28,352 1,608 5.67% $45,397 $28.23 $1,601

Behavior Model 1 24,120 3,562 14.77% $112,136 $31.48 $4,649

Notice Enclosed Series Behavior 61,053 2,148 3.52% $82,269 $38.30 $1,348

New Member 43,222 2,527 5.85% $63,077 $24.96 $1,459

Aria Responsive 4,864 185 3.80% $8,570 $46.32 $1,762

Behavior Model 2 21,063 1,812 8.60% $42,713 $23.57 $2,028

Lead Model 1 43,526 1,682 3.86% $55,508 $33.00 $1,275

Issues Appeal 16,018 693 4.33% $39,923 $57.61 $2,492

Advanced Expire 8,881 201 2.26% $10,140 $50.45 $1,142

Test 2 2,968 38 1.28% $1,990 $52.37 $670

Test 3 2,437 7 0.29% $775 $110.71 $318

Total 270,045 14,651 5.43% $472,058 $32.22 $1,748

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Appeals or Renewals

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2011-03

2011-05

2011-07

2011-09

2011-11

2012-01

2012-03

2012-05

2012-07

2012-09

2012-11

2013-01

2013-03

2013-05

2013-07

2013-09

2013-11

2014-01$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

$1,800,000

$2,000,000

$2,200,000

$2,400,000

$2,600,000

Renewals

Appeals General

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Monthly Giving Image that your organization effectively used all relevant information to make smarter decisions for sustained growth.

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Monthly Giving1. Primary Objective – Giving Option

2. When to do it! High-Level Approach

3. Operational Issues

4. Typical Messages

5. To Brand or Not To Brand

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Key Monthly Metrics

1. Conversion2. Attrition Rates3. File Penetration4. Revenue Penetration5. Investment Levels6. Segmentation Opportunities

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Monthly DonorsTypically a sustainer is worth more than twice as much as another member.

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Sustainer File RetentionThe graph below displays sustainer retention for the past four 12-month periods.

Non-sustainers have been excluded.

Past 12 MonthsPrior 12 Months

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Decline Rates.

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Monthly activation by channels

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Digital Digital marketing offers both greater rewards in terms of higher engagement and ROI and greater risk - due to the execution complexity and the need for behavioral changes across the organization. Defining your Digital experience is key

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Digital

1. The 4 Digital Presence Models

2. Primary Objective – All of the Above

3. Articulating Valuation

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4 Primary Model4 revenue models

Deciding aligns metrics

1. Brand2. Education3. Advocacy/Community4. Revenue

1. Philanthropy2. Lead Generation3. Transactional – Subscription based - Ads4. Innovate

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Key Digital Metrics

1. Conversion2. Qualified Visitor Valuation3. Lead Investment Needs4. Email Valuation5. Online Advertising 6. Integrated Segmentation

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Traffic & Revenue TrendsObjective: Understand organization exposure - Analyze visitor traffic composition and monitor qualified traffic trends.

Client Recommendation: Although traffic was increasing, the current strategy was bringing in unqualified traffic thus impacting website revenue.

24-Month Trend Overview Past 12 Months

Unique Visitors 21,880,675

% New Visitors 73.1 %

PageViews 58,219,354

Bounce Rate 71.4 %

Branded Traffi c 1,112,863

Non Branded Traffi c 20,865,495

Direct Traffi c 4,955,452

Search 10,108,182

Paid Search 880,885

Non Paid Search 9,283,060

Referral 3,679,613

Campaign 4,761,815

Revenue $7,299,162

Webs ite $5,907,854

Onl ine Ads $1,391,308

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New Donor LTV

FY13 Program LTV JoinSource AG CPD VPD6 VPD12Offline Direct Response $20.64 $38.74 $31.59 $39.78Offline Total $20.64 $38.74 $31.59 $39.78Online Email Conversion $41.39 $4.59 $115.54 $123.61

Website $76.60 $0.00 $105.96 $125.56Online Advertising $93.67 $72.19 $100.33 $115.33Social Media $29.17 $157.68 $41.67 $78.17Acquired Email $26.51 $168.86 $44.14 $52.43

Online Total $60.89 $45.56 $89.10 $105.06Grand Total $22.51 $36.28 $34.27 $42.82

Objective: Monitor Return on Investment by Join Source and establish benchmarks for each source.

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Email List Valuation

MemberGroup EmailsOpened12 Registrants % Registrants Donors Revenue Revenue 0to12Mos R12 Offl ine Revenue R12 WebRevenue Active 0-12 Mos A: 1-5 1575 1.25% 1575 $1,568,661 $410,404.09 $305,508.13 $104,895.96

B: 6-11 756 0.60% 756 $868,349 $240,390.36 $176,613.25 $63,777.11C: 12+ 2388 1.89% 2388 $4,918,766 $1,069,889.84 $962,897.62 $106,992.22Z: Zero 1392 1.10% 1392 $1,328,183 $309,393.58 $268,192.47 $41,201.11

Active 0-12 Mos Total 6111 4.84% 6111 $8,683,959 $2,030,077.87 $1,713,211.47 $316,866.40Short lapsed 13-24 Mos A: 1-5 769 0.61% 769 $403,357 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

B: 6-11 386 0.31% 386 $141,225 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00C: 12+ 1584 1.26% 1584 $272,272 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Z: Zero 893 0.71% 893 $493,227 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

Short lapsed 13-24 Mos Total 3632 2.88% 3632 $1,310,081 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Deep lapsed 25+ Mos A: 1-5 2955 2.34% 2955 $1,347,028 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

B: 6-11 1801 1.43% 1801 $460,487 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00C: 12+ 11220 8.89% 11220 $1,328,913 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Z: Zero 2469 1.96% 2469 $1,618,313 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

Deep lapsed 25+ Mos Total 18445 14.61% 18445 $4,754,741 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Prospects A: 1-5 215 0.17% 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

B: 6-11 228 0.18% 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00C: 12+ 96532 76.48% 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Z: Zero 1050 0.83% 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

Prospects Total 98025 77.67% 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Grand Total 126213 100.00% 28188 $14,748,781 $2,030,077.87 $1,713,211.47 $316,866.40

Emails Opened in the past 12 months

Show me the money!

Objective: Monetize email list by segment allowing for creation of select strategies.

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Keep an Eye on Unsubscribe

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Thanks

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Kevin MoranPrincipal

Integral, LLC202-452-9731

[email protected]