Divx Presentation June 8, 1998 Alain Dalva Mauricio Endo Shoichi Osawa Greg Scheuffele.
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Transcript of Divx Presentation June 8, 1998 Alain Dalva Mauricio Endo Shoichi Osawa Greg Scheuffele.
Agenda
• What is Divx? - Alain
• Critical Issues Grid - Mauricio
• House of Quality - Shoichi
• Bayesian Network - Greg
Positioning
• The affordable video disc– pan-and-scan
• The convenient video disc– no more late returns
• The smart video disc– you own it yet you don’t
Company
• Digital Video Express L.P– Circuit City Stores, Inc. (66%)– Ziffren, Brittenham, Branca & Fischer (34%)
CompetitionDVD
• Multimedia-rich format– collector’s positioning
• Expensive– $20-$25 sell-thru discs– $400 - $1,000 players– but prices are dropping
Competition (Cont’d)DVD
• Moderate success– 500K players sold in first year– Penetration estimated at 2.5% by end 1999– Over 1,000 titles available
• Expanding distribution– 100 to 1,000 Blockbuster stores– NetFlix
Consumers
• Low-involvement• Rental Habit• Price sensitive
• Collector• Sell-thru Habit• Gizmo-crazy
Divx DVD
Product: Software
• Encryption feature– co-developed by Nimbus and DVE
• Stripped-down, pan-and-scan version
• Disposable
• Upgradable to “Divx Silver”
Product: Hardware
• DVD Player with built-in modem– additional phone line
• DTS audio decoder
• Compatible with DVD titles (but not the other way around)
Price: Software
• $4.50 to unlock 48-hour viewing period
• $3.25 extra for additional viewing
• $12.50 extra to acquire title permanently
• Pros: less expensive than DVD
• Cons: incompatible with other Divx players
Price: HardwareDivx expected to match low-end DVD within
2 years
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
1998 1999 2000
Year
Re
tail
Pri
ce Divx Player
Low-end DVDPlayer
Promotion
• $100M first-year launch campaign– TV, print, direct-mail– Unnamed celebrity spokesperson
• “You have reached the point of no return”
Distribution
• Hardware– Circuit City, The Good Guys
• Software– Circuit City, The Good Guys– Divx website
• Future expansion– Video rental stores only
Title Catalog
• 50 titles in limited launch
• 100 titles by mid-summer
• 400 titles by year-end holidays
• DVE holds “day-and date” agreements for 1,500 titles
Title Catalog (Cont’d)Will Divx catch up with DVD?
-200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,600
Mar
-97
May
-97
Jul-9
7
Sep
-97
Nov
-97
Jan-
98
Mar
-98
May
-98
Jul-9
8
Sep
-98
Nov
-98
Month
Tit
les DVD
Divx
Industry Players
• Hardware manufacturers
• Studios (content providers)
• Pre-mastering facilities
• Replicators
• Retailers
Hardware Manufacturers
• Zenith Electronics Corp
• Thomson Consumer Electronics
• Matsushita Electric Industrial Co.
• JVC
• Pioneer Electronic Corp
• The Harman Consumer Group
Studios
Divx Only Divx and DVD DVD Only
Fox Disney Sony
Dreamworks Universal Warner Bros.
Paramount
MGM-UA
Industry Other
• Pre-mastering facilities– Complete Post, Sunset Post
• Replicators– Nimbus, Rainmaker, Panasonic Disc Services
• Retailers– Circuit City, The Good Guys
Critical Issue - Company
Political :Copyright
Behavioral :No disk return
Recordability
Economic :Price premium of $.50 - $1 over VHS
Cost effective licensing
Social :Interactive system or movie theater
Technological :Encryption
DVD superior quality picture/sound
Critical Issue - Business Ecosystem
Political :Copyright, piracy by consumers
Behavioral :Initial limited film selection on DVD and DIVX Consumer ready for DVD/DIVX technology?
Economic :Low penetration due to standard confusion
High cost for retailers due to no disk return
Social :”Cocooning" going to be reversed?
Technological :Can DIVX's encryption scheme be broken?
Critical Issue - Infrastructure
Political :Copyright
Intellectual property protection worldwide
Behavioral :”Throw away”- environmental threat?
Cable/satellite pay-per-view systems
Economic :Internet commerce - physical retail distribution obsolete
Social :New forms of recreation emphasize personal interaction
Technological :Encryption and multimedia in internet, cable, PCs...
House of Quality: Consumers Needs
En
cryp
tio
n
Div
x p
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-> D
VD
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DV
D p
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> D
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dis
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$4.5
0 p
rici
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po
int
Per
use
tra
ckin
g
Co
st a
dva
nta
ge
Co
nte
nt
avai
lab
ilit
y (5
of
7 m
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ud
ios)
Dis
k ca
pac
ity
Dis
po
sab
ilit
y
Ren
tal
/ s
ell-
thru
du
al p
urp
ose
No
rec
ord
abil
ity
No
in
tera
ctiv
ity
Mar
keti
ng
lau
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cam
pai
gn
Ava
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icen
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ure
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ibu
tors
Players User Needs
Consumers should make movie-viewing convenient + ++should have price similar to VHS +should offer wide variety of films + +should be able to record movies - -should support added media features -
Product / Service Specifications
Must-haveLiner SatisfierDelighterIndifferent
House of Quality:Retailer Needs
Must-haveLiner SatisfierDelighterIndifferent
En
cryp
tio
n
Div
x p
laye
rs <
-> D
VD
dis
cs
DV
D p
laye
rs <
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> D
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dis
cs
$4.5
0 p
rici
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po
int
Per
use
tra
ckin
g
Co
st a
dva
nta
ge
Co
nte
nt
avai
lab
ilit
y (5
of
7 m
ajo
r st
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Dis
k ca
pac
ity
Dis
po
sab
ilit
y
Ren
tal
/ s
ell-
thru
du
al p
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ose
No
rec
ord
abil
ity
No
in
tera
ctiv
ity
Mar
keti
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lau
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pai
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Ava
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icen
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anu
fact
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Ava
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ll d
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Players User Needs
Product / Service Specifications
Retailers should keep inventories low - - +should provide wide variety of content + +should provide full range of players +should be backed by 'pull' marketing ++should be equally available to all distributors +should be easy for sales force to explain - - -
House of Quality:Studio Distributor Needs
Must-haveLiner SatisfierDelighterIndifferent
En
cryp
tio
n
Div
x p
laye
rs <
-> D
VD
dis
cs
DV
D p
laye
rs <
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dis
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$4.5
0 p
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po
int
Per
use
tra
ckin
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Co
st a
dva
nta
ge
Co
nte
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avai
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y (5
of
7 m
ajo
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Dis
k ca
pac
ity
Dis
po
sab
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y
Ren
tal
/ s
ell-
thru
du
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urp
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No
rec
ord
abil
ity
No
in
tera
ctiv
ity
Mar
keti
ng
lau
nch
cam
pai
gn
Ava
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icen
sin
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anu
fact
ure
rs
Ava
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g t
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ll d
istr
ibu
tors
Players User Needs
Product / Service Specifications
Studio Distributors should provide piracy protection ++ + ++should generate extra revenues from VHS replacement + +should generate extra revenues by video mkt expansion -should be equally available to all distributors ++should have low/flexible licensing fees +
House of Quality:Manufacturer Needs
Must-haveLiner SatisfierDelighterIndifferent
Manufacturers should have low/flexible licensing fees +should have low manufacturing costs +should have flexible operational implementation - + -
En
cryp
tio
n
Div
x p
laye
rs <
-> D
VD
dis
cs
DV
D p
laye
rs <
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> D
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dis
cs
$4.5
0 p
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ng
po
int
Per
use
tra
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Co
st a
dva
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Co
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nt
avai
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y (5
of
7 m
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Dis
k ca
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Dis
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y
Ren
tal
/ s
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ose
No
rec
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abil
ity
No
in
tera
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Mar
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lau
nch
cam
pai
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Ava
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fact
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Ava
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Players User Needs
Product / Service Specifications