Dividend Policy and Leverage Policy Indonesian Firms )
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Transcript of Dividend Policy and Leverage Policy Indonesian Firms )
THE ASSOCIATION OF MANAGERIAL OWNERSHIP WITH
DIVIDEND POLICY AND LEVERAGE POLICY: INDONESIAN FIRMS *)
Putu Anom Mahadwartha**)
Abstract
The research examines the relationship of financial policy (dividendand leverage) influenced managerial ownership. Managerialownership as dependent variable regressed with dividend andleverage policy that already separate the effect of agents and insiderswealth. Logit Model is use to examine the relationship becausemanagerial ownership proxy by dummy variable. Hosmer-Lemeshowand Andrews Goodness-Of-Fit test used to conclude the model fitted.Result showed a significant relationship that financial policyinfluenced probability firm engages in managerial ownershipprogram. Dividend policy is a substitute for managerial ownership.The lower dividend level will increase the probability of the firmengage in managerial ownership program and still maintain theeffectiveness of reducing agency cost of equity. The lower leveragelevel will increase the probability of the firm engage in managerialownership program to multiply the effect of reduced agency cost ofdebt with the reduction in agency cost of equity.
Keyword: managerial; ownership; leverage; dividend; logit
*) presented on National Seminar Surviving Strategies to Cope with The Future,13 September 2002, Universitas Atmajaya Yogyakarta-Indonesia.**) Doctoral students, Economics Faculty, Gadjah Mada University.
I. OVERVIEW
Shareholders, debtholders and management (managers) are parties that
have different interest and perspective regarding value of the firm. Shareholders
will tend to maximize their shares, forcing managers to act in their interest despite
of debtholders interest. Debtholders on the other side will protect their fund
already placed in firm with covenant and strict monitoring policy. Conflict of
interest between parties in firm is known as agency problems.
Agency theory derives from the conflict of interest between corporate
managers, outside shareholders and bondholders. Managerial ownership, leverage
and dividend policies might be related directly through agency theories. Jensen
and Meckling (1976) provide an analysis of the effect of agency conflicts among
the three groups. Their analysis suggests that the proportion of equity controlled
by insiders should influence the firm’s policies.
Managers choose their stock ownership in the firm, the firm’s mixture of
outside debt and equity financing and dividends to reduce the costs of these
agency conflicts. Leverage is relevant because using debt reduces the conflict of
having outside equity. Managerial ownership and dividend are relevant because
they reduce the conflict of interest between managers and outside shareholders
(Jensen and Meckling, 1976; Crutchley and Hansen, 1989; Jensen, Solberg and
Zorn, 1992; Myers, 1977; Smith and Warner; 1979). Leland and Pyle (1977); and
Ross (1977) present hypotheses that managerial ownership and financial policies
help resolve informational asymmetry between managers and external investors
(outside shareholders).
Mahadwartha (2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono (2002) investigate
interdependency of leverage and dividend policy with managerial ownership, and
find significant result that support agency theory. The two previous papers used
different approach but came with the same conclusion about managerial
ownership. This paper inversely tries to investigate the relationship between
managerial ownership with dividend and leverage policy without any
interdependency relationship between those two policies. The result hopefully
supports the last two papers that managerial ownership does matter controlling
agency problem in Indonesia.
The paper proceeds as follows; Section II reviews the relevant issues and
empirical finding of managerial ownership. Section III describes hypotheses to be
test and a brief theoretical background. Section IV describes methodology used in
the study. Section V describes the results from statistical analysis and summary
and discussion are presented in Section VI.
II. ISSUES
How the self-interest controlled is main issue that tries to explain by
agency theory. Manager’s interest must align with shareholders interest to
minimize the agency cost. Managerial ownership is one issue used to control such
self-interest behavior (Jensen and Meckling, 1976; Crutchley and Hansen, 1989;
Jensen, Solberg and Zorn, 1992; Myers, 1977; Smith and Warner; 1979; Leland
and Pyle, 1977; Ross, 1977; Mahadwartha, 2002; Mahadwartha and Hartono,
2002).
Financial policies such as dividend and leverage will affect managerial
policy and decision of managers to join as owner of the firm. Mahadwartha
(2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono (2002); Crutchley and Hansen (1989); and
Jensen, Solberg and Zorn (1992) tested the issue with different perspectives and
variables. Mahadwartha (2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono (2002) used
Indonesian data and find a significant result and support of managerial ownership
to control agency cost of equity and agency cost of debt. The main differences
between these two studies are in firm specific variables, observation and period of
analysis.
Crutchley and Hansen (1989) find strong support that managerial
ownership will tend to influence firm specifics variables and on the long run
suggest that it will influence dividend and leverage policy. Jensen, Solberg and
Zorn (1992) directly tested relationship between managerial ownership and
financial policies (dividend and leverage). They found that managerial ownership
influenced policies but policies did not influence managerial ownership.
Conclusion of four previous study is high managerial ownership will derive firms
to lower debt and dividend. The study conduct here will test inversely about the
relationship between policies (dividend and leverage) influenced managerial
ownership.
Dividend and leverage policy variables used in the study is the same as
Mahadwartha (2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono (2002). Dividend and leverage
variables already separate the effect of inside shareholders wealth and agents
wealth with outside shareholders wealth. The measurement suggests increasing
predictability power of policy variables.
III. THEORY AND HYPOTHESIS
Agency theory viewed firm as a set of contracts among factors of
production, with each factor motivated by its self-interest (Jensen and Meckling,
1976). The relationship of agency is one of the oldest and commonest codified
modes of social interaction. Examples of agency are universal. Essentially all
contractual arrangements, as between employer and employee or the state and the
governed contains important element of agency.
Agency theory is concerned with resolving two problems that can occur in
agency relationship. The first is the agency problem that arises when the desires or
goals of the principal and agent conflict and it is difficult or expensive for the
principal to verify what the agent is actually doing. The second is the problem of
risk sharing that arises when the principal and agent have different attitudes
toward risk (Fama, 1980; Eisenhardt, 1989). Difference in risk preferences leads
to different policy decisions and disregard the value maximizing activity as the
economics pursued. As Ross (1973) noted:
An agency relationship has arisen between two (or more) partieswhen one, designated as the agents, acts for, on behalf of, or asrepresentative for the other, designated the principal, in aparticular domain of decision problems.
Problems in decision making especially with aligned of interest between
agent and principal will leads to catastrophic decreasing value of the firm.
Decision making policy such as dividend and leverage will increase value of the
firm as long as the policy able to aligned the self-interest behavior between
parties.
Separation between ownership and control arise agency problem.
Managerial ownership on the other side, try to decrease agency problem by
pooling back the ownership structure and control mechanism of the firm. Agrawal
and Knoeber (1996) describe the importance of ownership structure as control
mechanism in agency problem.
In addition, concentrated shareholdings by institutions or by blockholders
can increase managerial monitoring and improve firm performance, as can
outsider representation on corporate bonds. The use of debt financing can improve
performance by inducing monitoring by lenders. Agrawal and Knoeber (1996)
investigated firm performance and mechanism to control agency problems. The
findings support managerial ownership as mechanism of control and affect firm
performance.
III.1. Leverage Policy Influenced Managerial Ownership
Agency cost between managers and shareholders are real, pervasive and
very difficult to effectively reduce. One way to control these cost is for firm to
issue debt. Leverage policy serves as a bonding mechanism for managers to
convey their good intentions to outside shareholders. Because taking on debt
validates that managers are willing to risk losing control of their firm if they fail to
perform effectively. As bonding mechanism, leverage policy will decrease agency
cost of equity but increase the agency cost of debt (Megginson, 1997: 335)
Mahadwartha (2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono (2002); Crutchley and
Hansen (1989); and Jensen, Solberg and Zorn (1992) find a negative relationship
between managerial ownership influenced leverage policies. Firm with managerial
ownership program will tend to lower their debt level to reduce agency cost of
debt and simultaneously reduce agency cost of equity. The result also support by
Friend and Hasbrouck (1987); Friend and Lang (1988).
Is leverage policy attracting firm to involve in managerial ownership
program? This question is not answered from previous study (Mahadwartha,
2002; Mahadwartha and Hartono, 2002). The relationship between leverage policy
influenced managerial ownership programs will negative. Less leverage will
increase the probability a firm to engage in managerial ownership program to
multiply the effect of reduced agency cost of debt with the reduction in agency
cost of equity.
The relationship between leverage policy and managerial ownership isnegative. The lower leverage level, the higher probability of managerialownership happened.
III.2. Dividend Policy Influenced Managerial Ownership
Agency cost or contracting model of dividend assumes that dividend
payments arise as an attempt to overcome the agency problem that result when
there is a separation of corporate ownership and control. As ownership becomes
more atomistic, few investors have the incentive or the ability to monitor and
control corporate managers and agency problems become more important.
As bonding mechanism, dividend policy will decrease agency cost of
equity, reduce the opportunity for managers to use firm cash flow for perquisites
activities but also decrease the ability to pursue new investment opportunity
(Megginson, 1997: 377). Rozeff (1982) used American company data to
investigate dividend policy and ownership structure. The findings showed that
ownership structure affect dividend policy or how firm disbursed their cash in
dividend payment.
Mahadwartha (2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono (2002); Crutchley and
Hansen (1989); Jensen, Solberg and Zorn (1992); and Rozeff (1982) find a
negative relationship between managerial ownership influenced dividend policies.
Firm with managerial ownership program will tend to lower their dividend
payment because the purpose of managerial ownership is the same as dividend
policy that is reduce agency cost of equity. It will be ineffective to use two tools at
the same time for the same problems.
Is dividend policy attracting firm to involve in managerial ownership
program? This question is not answered from previous study (Mahadwartha,
2002; Mahadwartha and Hartono, 2002). The relationship between dividend
policy influence managerial ownership programs will negative. Lower dividend
will increase the probability a firm to engage in managerial ownership program
and still maintain the effectiveness of reducing agency cost of equity.
The relationship between dividend policy and managerial ownership isnegative. The lower dividend level, the higher probability of managerialownership happened.
IV. METHODS
IV.1. Data and Sample
Samples are 81 manufacture firms from Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX)
with period of observation from 1993 to 2000. All data are available from Market
Directory JSX and Pusat Pengembangan Akuntansi Universitas Gadjah Mada
(PPA-UGM). Pooling data result in 648 observations for 8-year observation
period.
IV.2. Variables Description
1. Leverage (LEV): leverage measurement separates the outside shareholders
wealth with inside shareholders wealth and agents wealth. The measurement
will clarify the effect of outside shareholders to managerial ownership
program.
MvCso = TotShrso * MpriceCs
TotShrso = total common stock outsiders own
MpriceCs = average price per year with weekly data to reduce the seasonality
effects from price changes.
Leveragei = LtDebtit __
LtDebtit + MvCsoit
Dividend = ComDivit_____TotShrsit * MpriceCsit
2. Dividend (DIV): dividend measurement separates the outside shareholders
wealth with inside shareholders wealth and agents wealth.
3. Managerial ownership (DMOWN): dichotomous behaviors of managerial
ownership (binomial data) support the use of dummy variable. D=1 for firm
with managerial ownership and vice versa.
Mahadwartha (2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono (2002); Crutchley and
Hansen (1989); Jensen, Solberg and Zorn (1992); Rozeff (1982); Megginson
(1997: 376); Ang, Chua and McConnell (1982); Gaver and Gaver (1993) find that
size of firm affect the relationship between dividend, leverage and managerial
ownership. This study also includes size as control variable that measure as
dummy variable (DSIZE). Size is measure from total assets, ascend and pick 50%
upper level with value D=0 and 50% lower level with value D=1. The reason is
pooling data can cause cross sectional biased (Murphy, 1985). Crisis period is also
control by dummy variable (DCRS) with cut off data 1993 – 1996 and 1997 –
2000.
IV.3. Statistical Analysis
Model equation is:
DMOWN = +1LEV +2DIV+3DSIZE +4DCRS +1
Logit model will be used to solve the equation because dependent dummy
variable (Gujarati, 1995: 554). The result will employ in term of probability of
dependent variable to happen after independent variables. Linear Probability
Model (LPM) is not use because some limitations such as questionable value of
R2 and heteroscedastic variances on disturbances.
Hosmer-Lemeshow and Andrews Goodness-Of-Fit test is employ to see if
Logit Model fitted. The idea underlying these tests is to compare the fitted
expected values to the actual values by group. If these differences are “large”, we
reject the model as providing an insufficient fit to the data.
V. RESULTS
Descriptive result for independent variables:
LEV Mean Std. Dev. Observation(0, 0.2)
(0.2, 0.4)(0.4, 0.6)(0.6, 0.8)(0.8, 1)
All
0.0477390.2977110.5026110.6963630.8942790.391157
0.0592300.0550230.0585380.0599010.0545910.336113
2638286
105112648
Table 1: Descriptive for Leverage
DIV Mean Std. Dev. Observation(0, 0.5)(0.5, 1)(1, 1.5)(1.5, 2)(2, 2.5)
All
0.0477660.6822611.0908661.8034552.3931620.077072
0.0942070.1738360.0422480.193305
NA0.210596
62813
1648
Table 2: Descriptive for Dividend
DMOWNPredict
Constant
LEV
–0.396933(–2.215737)*
–0.738048(–2.217768)*
DIV
DSIZE
DCRS
McFadden R2
– –2.438077(–2.765506)*
–0.492879(–2.315441)*
–0.760215(–3.639324)*
0.058508() z-statistic* Significant at 5%; ** Significant at 10%Table 3: Logit Model Result
Quantile of Risk Dep=0 Dep=1 Total H-LLow High Actual Expect Actual Expect Obs Value
1 0.0005 0.09252 0.0929 0.11413 0.1148 0.14374 0.1438 0.16115 0.1621 0.18766 0.1882 0.21457 0.2150 0.23928 0.2392 0.28679 0.2871 0.3708
10 0.3710 0.4020Total
59585858514651534537
516
59.615458.429756.562055.000353.670951.163050.039348.204443.762639.5524516.000
5777
141814122028
132
4.384586.570338.437979.9996911.329112.837014.960716.795621.237425.4476132.000
64656565656465656565
648
0.092730.031260.281611.063440.762582.597560.080141.846360.107090.420737.28350
H-L Statistic:Andrews Statistic:
7.28357.9224
Prob[Chi-Sq(8 df)]:Prob[Chi-Sq(10 df)]:
0.50640.6364
Table 4: Hosmer-Lemeshow and Andrews Goodness-Of-Fit Test
The result shows that all variables including control variables significant at
5%. Leverage and dividend variable significantly affect managerial ownership (–
0.738048 and –2.438077) as predicted earlier. The relationships are negative and
significant. Control variables DSIZE and DCRS also significant. Size of the firm
is matter when company engages in managerial ownership program. Before crisis
and within crisis period showed different behavior in financial policy and
managerial ownership.
The columns labeled “Quantiles of Risk” depict the high and low value of
the predicted probability for each decile. Also depicted are the actual and expected
numbers of observations in each group, as well as the contribution of each group
to the overall Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) statistic large values indicate large
differences between the actual and predicted values for those deciles. H-L and
Andrews Goodness of Fit test showed that differences between actual and
expected DMOWN variable is not “large” and the H-L statistics and Andrews
statistics exceed the Chi-sq with 8 and 10 degree of freedom. As a whole, the
model is fitted.
VI. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION
Mahadwartha (2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono (2002) investigate
interdependency of leverage and dividend policy with managerial ownership, and
find significant result that support agency theory. This paper inversely tries to
investigate the relationship between managerial ownership with dividend and
leverage policy without any interdependency relationship between those two
policies. The result significantly supports the last two papers (Mahadwartha,
2002; Mahadwartha and Hartono, 2002) that managerial ownership does matter
controlling agency problem in Indonesia.
1. Leverage policy variable (LEV) influenced managerial ownership (DMOWN)
with significant result (-0.738048) at 5%. The lower leverage level will leads
to higher probability firms engage in managerial ownership program. Less
leverage will increase the probability a firm to engage in managerial
ownership program to multiply the effect of reduced agency cost of debt with
the reduction in agency cost of equity.
2. Dividend policy variable (DIV) influenced managerial ownership (DMOWN)
with significant result (-2.438077) at 5%. The lower dividend level will leads
to higher probability firms engage in managerial ownership program. Lower
dividend will increase the probability a firm to engage in managerial
ownership program to maintain the effectiveness of reducing agency cost of
equity. Since there is a managerial ownership, the usefulness of dividend
policy to control agency cost of equity will lower.
3. The magnitude of dividend policy parameter (-2.438077) is higher than
leverage policy (-0.738048). this is make sense because dividend policy act as
substitution policy for managerial ownership to control agency cost of equity.
4. Size (DSIZE) and period of crisis(DCRS) as control variables are significant.
The result supported previous empirical studies that include size as firm
specific variable for decision-making in financial policy of the firm. Lower
level of size will increase the probability firm engage in managerial ownership
because management only needs a small portion of their wealth to capture
firm shares. Crisis dummy variable showed differences in behavior of the firm
before and while crisis.
5. Hosmer-Lemeshow and Andrews Goodness-Of-Fit Test showed the research
model fitted to test managerial ownership issue as dependent dummy variable
Research in managerial ownership will lead to broad conclusion that
managerial ownership is important in controlling agency cost of equity, beside the
use of debt and dividend. The robustness of model also supported by previous
empirical study conducted by Mahadwartha (2002); Mahadwartha and Hartono
(2002) for Indonesian capital market.
Future research should expand sample size, not only manufacture firms but
also include other industries cover by Jakarta Stock Exchange and Surabaya Stock
Exchange. Other firm specific variables such as diversification losses, internal
cash flow, etc should also include as variables that influenced managerial
ownership program.
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