DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE CONFERENCE AngloGold Ashanti...

29
J.P. MORGAN GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE CONFERENCE AngloGold Ashanti FEBRUARY 2016 DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE

Transcript of DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE CONFERENCE AngloGold Ashanti...

Page 1: DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE CONFERENCE AngloGold Ashanti FEBRUARY 2016 DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE . ... dispositions or joint venture

J.P. MORGAN GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE CONFERENCE

AngloGold Ashanti

FEBRUARY 2016

DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE

Page 2: DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE CONFERENCE AngloGold Ashanti FEBRUARY 2016 DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE . ... dispositions or joint venture

Certain statements contained in this document, other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, those concerning the economic

outlook for the gold mining industry, expectations regarding gold prices, production, total cash costs, all-in sustaining costs, all-in costs, cost savings

and other operating results, return on equity, productivity improvements, growth prospects and outlook of AngloGold Ashanti’s operations,

individually or in the aggregate, including the achievement of project milestones, commencement and completion of commercial operations of

certain of AngloGold Ashanti’s exploration and production projects and the completion of acquisitions, dispositions or joint venture transactions,

AngloGold Ashanti’s liquidity and capital resources and capital expenditures and the outcome and consequence of any potential or pending litigation

or regulatory proceedings or environmental health and safety issues, are forward-looking statements regarding AngloGold Ashanti’s operations,

economic performance and financial condition.

These forward-looking statements or forecasts involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause AngloGold

Ashanti’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from the anticipated results, performance or achievements expressed or

implied in these forward-looking statements. Although AngloGold Ashanti believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements

and forecasts are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ

materially from those set out in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic, social and political and

market conditions, the success of business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, including

environmental approvals, fluctuations in gold prices and exchange rates, the outcome of pending or future litigation proceedings, and business and

operational risk management.

For a discussion of such risk factors, refer to AngloGold Ashanti’s annual reports on Form 20-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange

Commission. These factors are not necessarily all of the important factors that could cause AngloGold Ashanti’s actual results to differ materially

from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. Other unknown or unpredictable factors could also have material adverse effects on future

results. Consequently, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. AngloGold Ashanti undertakes no

obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or

to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except to the extent required by applicable law. All subsequent written or oral forward-looking

statements attributable to AngloGold Ashanti or any person acting on its behalf are qualified by the cautionary statements herein.

This communication may contain certain “Non-GAAP” financial measures. AngloGold Ashanti utilises certain Non-GAAP performance measures

and ratios in managing its business. Non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed in addition to, and not as an alternative for, the reported

operating results or cash flow from operations or any other measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. In addition, the

presentation of these measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures other companies may use. AngloGold Ashanti posts information

that is important to investors on the main page of its website at www.anglogoldashanti.com and under the “Investors” tab on the main page. This

information is updated regularly. Investors should visit this website to obtain important information about AngloGold Ashanti.

DISCLAIMER

2

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AGENDA

BACKGROUND AND STRATEGY

PROGRESS AGAINST OBJECTIVES

NEXT AREA OF FOCUS

INVESTMENT CASE

3

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POSITIONED TO CREATE VALUE THROUGH THE CYCLE

4

Focus on sustainable improvements to margins and cash flow

Consistent delivery on targets; improving cost management on all metrics

Decisive action on operations, balance sheet

Strong brownfields greenfields optionality

Portfolio improvements and rationalisation

Working towards zero harm through the elimination of high consequence events

We continue to respond decisively and

proactively to the current market, to remain

ahead of the curve in volatile conditions.

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GLOBALLY DIVERSIFIED AND ACTIVELY MANAGED

5

AISC $/oz

HIGHLIGHTS 2015

• Production of 3.95Moz – top end of guidance

• AISC $910/oz , down 11% yoy

• AIC $1,001/oz improved 10% yoy

• Net Debt reduced by 30% to $2.19bn

HIGHLIGHTS Q4 2015

• Strong production of 997koz – ahead of guidance

• AISC of $860/oz improved by 14% yoy

• AIC down 13% yoy at $959/oz

• Free cash flow of $160m

792

974

970

2015

2014

2013

15% of production

Australia

26% of production

South Africa

37% of production

Continental Africa

22% of production

Americas

AISC $/oz

815

968

1202

2015

2014

2013

AISC $/oz

1088

1064

1120

2015

2014

2013

AISC $/oz

875

986

1376

2015

2014

2013

*AISC and AIC based on World Gold Council standard.

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CURRENCY LEVERAGE

6

Sensitivities:

$10 move in oil = $8/oz cash cost

1% move in currencies = $6/oz cash cost

0.80

0.90

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

1.70

Index

Production Weighted Price Received vs. Oil and US$ Gold Price 2014 - YTD

AGA WEIGHTED GOLD PRICE RECEIVED XAU/USD

56%

0%

-71%

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AGENDA

BACKGROUND AND STRATEGY

PROGRESS AGAINST OBJECTIVES

NEXT AREA OF FOCUS

INVESTMENT CASE

7

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WE HAVE DELIVERED ON OUR COMMITMENTS

8

Management has made significant progress

delivering results, addressing key concerns

within the business.

Further improve margins, cash flow

Sell core operating asset to reduce debt

Continued debt reduction to help withstand gold price volatility

Explore joint venture at Obuasi

Accelerate Reef-Boring technology in South Africa

Further enhance safety and sustainability performance

Explore partnerships for Colombia

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0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Fata

litie

s

AIF

R p

er

mill

ion h

ours

All Injury Frequency Rate and Fatalities

Fatalities All Injury Frequency Rate

SAFETY PERFORMANCE

9

• Two fatalities occurred in Q4

• Group AIFR ▼2% y-on-y at 7.18

• AIFR ▼19% qoq in Americas

• AIFR ▼36% qoq in Australia

• Ongoing focus on Major Hazard Management

• Safety training targets for 2015 achieved

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FOCUSING ON MARGINS

10

1597

1312 1341

1170

1017 993 1052 1034

1005

920 928 937 860

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015

$/o

z

All-in sustaining costs, All-in costs and Average gold price*

All-in sustaining costs Average gold price All-in costs

* Restated to treat CC&V as discontinued; AISC and AIC are in accordance with World Gold Council Standard

Focused on improving margins, regardless

of the gold price environment, through cost

control, portfolio improvement and

operational excellence.

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US$800m

US$484m Cash(1)

ZAR 2,408m

A$365m

CONTINUED FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY

11

Total calculated with ZAR facility excluding DMTNP at R15.5/$, AUD facility at 0.70$ to A$

(1)Cash at 31 Dec 2015

Reduced debt, along with strong liquidity, no material bond

maturities until 2020, and significant covenant headroom,

provide additional flexibility in a volatile market.

*Last-12-months adjusted EBITDA,

Ratio based on restated results

Undrawn facilities At 31 Dec, 2015

Net debt/Net debt to Adjusted EBITDA

$1,690bn 1.8

1.7

1.94 2.02 1.95

1.54 1.49

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12015

Q22015

Q32015

Q42015

Net

debt

$m

Net

debt

to E

BIT

DA

Net debt to Adjusted EBITDA Net debt

Covenant: 3.5x

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Debt Type Debt Facilities Maturity

date

Base

Currency

A$ RCF* July 2019 A$

US$ RCF July 2019 USD

ZAR RCF (Rmn) Dec 2018

Dec 2020 ZAR

5.375% Bond Apr 2020 USD

8.500% Bond Jul 2020 USD

5.125% Bond Jul 2022 USD

6.50% Bond Apr 2040 USD

Facility amount Drawn amount

SCHEDULE OF EXISTING DEBT MATURITIES

US$300m

US$750m

US$1250m

700

992

200

135

300

750

471

700

R1500m

US$1000m

A$500m 365

R1400m

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CONSISTENTLY BEATING GUIDANCE

13

Consistently meeting or exceeding our

commitments is a cornerstone of our strategy

and is fundamental to our investment case.

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

Q1

'13

Q2

'13

Q3

'13

Q4

'13

Q1

'14

Q2

'14

Q3

'14

Q4

'14

Q1

'15

Q2

'15

Q3

'15

Q4

'15

Production ‘000oz

Actual Guidance **

500

600

700

800

900

Q1'13Q2'13Q3'13Q4'13Q1'14Q2'14Q3'14Q4'14Q1'15Q2'15Q3'15Q4'15

Cash costs $/oz

Actual Guidance **

. **Guidance refers to midpoints of guidance provided for each period

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ALL-IN SUSTAINING COSTS IMPROVEMENTS

14

826 852 882 899 903 916 923 972 975 978 986 1006 1020 1021 1051 1064 1105 1125 1185

Po

lyus

Ba

rric

k

Eld

ora

do

Ya

mana

Randgo

ld

Po

lym

eta

l

Bu

enaventu

ra

Gold

corp

Kin

ross

New

cre

st

AG

AIn

tern

atio

nal

Ag

nic

o

An

glo

Gold

New

mo

nt

Gold

Fie

lds

AG

A S

A

Acacia

Sib

an

ye

Harm

ony

2014 $/oz

853 868 873 935 947 1000 1005 1024 1030 1058 1100 1120 1127 1141 1188 1195 1198 1362 1445

Po

lyus

Ba

rric

k

Eld

ora

do

Bu

enaventu

ra

Ya

mana

Po

lym

eta

l

Kin

ross

Randgo

ld

New

mo

nt

Go

ldcorp

Sib

an

ye

AG

A S

A

Ag

nic

o

AG

AIn

tern

atio

nal

Gold

Fie

lds

An

glo

Gold

New

cre

st

Acacia

Harm

ony

2013 $/oz

759 771 791 822 841 844 898 910 950 991

1030 1035

1088 1112 1132

Ag

nic

o

Ba

rric

k

New

cre

st

AG

AIn

tern

atio

nal

Eld

ora

do

Ya

mana

New

mo

nt

An

glo

Gold

Randgo

ld^

Kin

ross

Sib

an

ye G

old

Gold

Fie

lds

AG

A S

A

Acacia

Harm

ony

2015 $/oz

Ave*

$1,071/oz

-13%

Source: Company reports, JPM *AngloGold Ashanti International and South Africa region AISC excludes central corporate overhead

^JPM estimate

We’re making systemic changes to our operations

to move down the cost curve. Our SA operations

have lagged, but now present an opportunity for

our next step-change improvement.

-17%

Ave*

$979/oz

Ave*

$928/oz

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PORTFOLIO IMPROVEMENTS

15

Bubble size = reserve size; full year AISC and production

We continue to move our assets down

the cost curve through rigorous cost

management and capital allocation.

2014 South Africa 2014 Continental Africa

2014 Australia

2014 Americas

2015 South Africa

2015 Continental Africa

2015 Australia

2015 Americas

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200

Pro

duction,

koz

AISC ($/oz)

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AGENDA

BACKGROUND AND STRATEGY

PROGRESS AGAINST OBJECTIVES

NEXT AREA OF FOCUS

INVESTMENT CASE

16

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SOUTH AFRICA REGION: 2016 PRIORITIES

17

Focus on eliminating high potential incidents, improving knowledge and skills,

particularly amongst managers. Establishment of clear roles, schedules and

work routines to encourage safe practices

Cost optimisation work underway, focusing on labour and contractor management,

and power efficiencies West Wits

Following delays in phase 1, mainly due to safety issues, our focus remains on establishing

of critical infrastructure in support of future production. Phase 2 optimization under consideration

Increase efficiencies through Uranium Flotation circuit improvements and

P500 cost savings initiatives

Focus remains on TauTona with delivery of fourth generation machine

Consultations aimed at obtaining approval for continuous operations critical to overall project viability

P500 initiatives related to off-mine costs and operational improvement work

commencing across all three operations

Vaal River

Surface Ops

Mponeng B120

Technology

Safety

An improvement in production is

expected from 2015 levels.

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2016 PRIORITIES- INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS

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Resource conversion drilling at Vogue; prefeasibility for recovery

improvements and ore handling infrastructure to lower future costs Sunrise Dam

Ramp-up underground mining and development at Star & Comet;

Evaluate other underground options at Nyankanga and Geita Hill

Project conditionally approved and final engineering design in progress

Confirm exploration potential of Block 1

Focus on site and regional exploration; Completed exploration agreement

with neighbouring land position for drilling in 2016

Developing new high-grade Palmeiras and Inga ore bodies

Continue drilling satellite ore bodies; Ore sorting prototypes commissioned

Definition drilling to define down dip extensions to orebodies;

explore in-pit backfilling options

Tropicana

Siguiri

Geita

Iduapriem

CVSA

Serra Grande

Mineração

Work is underway pursuing key

opportunities for each asset, to further

optimise our portfolio and costs.

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COMMITMENTS FOR 2016

19

We have a new set of objectives for 2016,

which will support our central objective of

realising sustainable improvements to

cash flow and returns.

Further improve safety and sustainability performance

Continue to enhance margins and cash flow

Effect South Africa operational turnaround

Conclude Obuasi approvals; reduce holding cost

Progress Colombia projects up value curve; reduce holding cost

Continue debt reduction to improve flexibility

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AGENDA

BACKGROUND AND STRATEGY

PROGRESS AGAINST OBJECTIVES

NEXT AREA OF FOCUS

INVESTMENT CASE

20

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POSITIVE CASH FLOW MOMENTUM

21

•Repaying portion of high-yield bond in 2015

saves c.30% from annual interest payments

•Efficiency improvements plus currency and oil

leverage to help improve margins

•Colombia expenditure to decline further, whilst

maintaining optionality

•Obuasi expenditure to decrease whilst finalising

investment agreement

•Prioritise further debt reduction in near term.

The business has been restructured to deliver

further cash flow improvements.

-1,100

-850

-600

-350

-100

150

2012 2013 2014 2015

Free Cash Flow* $m

Note: Adjusted for repurchase premium on part settlement of $1.25bn bonds in 2015

and for Obuasi redundancy costs and Rand Refinery loan in 2014

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INVESTMENT CASE – VALUE CATALYSTS

22

1. High-quality portfolio of long-life, pure gold assets with

strong leverage to energy and currencies

4. Decisive strategic response cements ability to weather

lower gold price

5. Balance sheet flexibility - appropriate liquidity, covenant

and maturities

6. Well developed engagement model ensures strong

stakeholder relationships and license to operate

2. Transparent, decisive management team focused on

delivery and shareholder value

3. Prioritising margins over production growth – focus on

cost and capital discipline

for value uplift and a

sustainable, long-term

mining business

A strong investment

case with several

catalysts…

Page 23: DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE CONFERENCE AngloGold Ashanti FEBRUARY 2016 DIVERSIFIED, DECISIVE, SUSTAINABLE . ... dispositions or joint venture

23

APPENDIX

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KEY METRICS: COMPARATIVE PERFORMANCE

24

FY 2015 FY2014 Change (%)

Gold Price Received ($/oz) 1,158 1,264 -8%

Gold Production (kozs)* 3,830 4,225 -9%

Total cash costs ($/oz) 712 785 -9%

All-in sustaining costs ($/oz) 910 1,020 -11%

All-in costs ($/oz) 1,001 1,114 -10%

Adjusted EBITDA ($m) 1,472 1,616 -9%

Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) 36.7% 32.6% 12%

Free cash flow ($m) 141 (112) 226%

Net Debt ($m) 2,190 3,133 -30%

*From continuing operations; Cripple Creek has been disclosed as a discontinued operation and the 2014 comparative results have been restated.

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600

620

640

660

680

700

720

740

715 -72 31 44 -18 5 -39 -3 663

Q4 2014 Exchange Inflation Volume and grade Stockpiles andinventory

By products Efficiency Other Q4 2015

Cash Cost $/oz produced

COST PERFORMANCE

25

Efficiencies were key to delivering a reduction

in costs, as benefits from exchange rates were

offset by inflation, volumes and grades.

Inflation and

volumes/grades offsets

currency effect

750

800

850

900

950

1,000

1,050

1,005 -52 -9 -50 -4 3 -49 16 860

Q4 2014 Cash Cost RetrenchmentCost

Rehab and othernon cash cost

Corporate Cost Exploration Cost SIB Capex Inventory andOther

Q4 2015

All in sustaining cost $oz sold Excluding Stockpile NRV and other adjustments

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GEITA UNDERGROUND: SELF-FUNDING THE FUTURE

26

Star & Comet Underground Development

• One structure drive from pit ramp for

underground exploration drilling

• Single incline and decline to stope upper

and lower areas of high-grade zone

Project Summary

• Total 8,143m of development in 31 months

• 641,000 tonnes of ore @ 6.27g/t for

117,000oz recovered

South East OP potential

UG Design based on 2015 high-grade ore wireframes and OK model (IND + INF to 1160m RL BST from 1160 to 1000m RL)

Cut 2 mined-out pit

Cut3 OP Potential

UG high-grade wireframes modelled to 1000m RL

Design

BSIT below 1000mRL

Oblique 3D View of Resource Model coded on classification

Early self funding exploration, enabling quick

access to value while building UG capability.

Upside potential

• Underground targets at Nyankanga, Star &

Comet and Geita Hill have potential to

significantly extend the LOM

• Matandani sulphide material being tested

?

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PROJECT UPDATE: OBUASI

• Feasibility optimisation underway, whilst ongoing

costs are reduced

• Optimisations include metallurgical testwork,

capital estimates, refining mining plan over first five

years, and tendering the mining contract

• EIS approvals are in process

• Ongoing engagements with government for

investment agreement

• Search for partner to recommence following

completion and approval of investment package

Work underway to optimise feasibility

study, but security issues impede progress.

27

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PROJECT UPDATE: OBUASI

28

Galamsey activity

Mineralised corridor

• Withdrawal of military

presents safety risk –

non-critical staff

withdrawn

• Critical tasks include

pumping, water

treatment, and essential

services to the mine and

Obuasi community

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SIGUIRI BROWNFIELDS EXPANSION

29

Kibali - Dam wall and Stilling basin

Siguiri has been a strong mine, delivering

IRR of 33% since 2004 to date.

• Plant expansion under consideration to treat fresh and

transitional material containing ~1.6Moz gold

• Modest capital and robust returns

• Project would initially extend LOM from 2019 to

2023, and also open up significant additional

potential from satellite pits

• Capex of c.$115M to be spent over two years

• Targeting c.300,000oz per annum at AISC below

$900/oz

• Requisite approvals expected by mid-year