District Surface Water Model (DSWM) Project Training Webinar

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District Surface Water Model (DSWM) Project Training Webinar . SWFWMD December 19, 2013. Agenda. Agenda Presentation Background DSWM development and calibration Select a watershed to go through Results for all watersheds HSPF Background/Theory Data Model development steps - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of District Surface Water Model (DSWM) Project Training Webinar

Kick-Off Meeting

District Surface Water Model (DSWM) Project Training Webinar SWFWMDDecember 19, 2013

1AgendaAgendaPresentationBackgroundDSWM development and calibrationSelect a watershed to go throughResults for all watershedsHSPFBackground/TheoryDataModel development stepsInterfacesRun proceduresRecharge Rate ExtractionHands-on Session

212/19/2013ObjectivesTo develop and calibrate an HSPF*-based numerical model(s) that simulates surface water flow and groundwater recharge in the Northern District Model (NDM) domain area and the entire District. DSWM District-wide Surface Water Model.To update the existing NDM (Version 3) with recharge and ET estimated by the surface water model.

* HSPF Hydrologic Simulation Program, Fortran312/19/2013DSWM Development and CalibrationModel Development12/19/20135Segmentation and Land UseMeteorological DataOther Input Data (springs, irrigation, etc.)Characterize Land and Stream SegmentsObserved Streamflow Data/Calibration LocationsCalibrationLand Segmentation12/19/20136Basis for land segments is Districts DrainageBasin data derived from FDEP Basin-24 coverage Segment size similar to previous models: INTB and IBCAdjustments to boundaries to accommodate waterbody transition (lake vs river), tributary connections, and stream gage locationsNon-contributing segments were disconnected and assigned parameters that resulted in all rainfall inputs that dont evaporate going to recharge

Land Use12/19/20137Land UseBased on 2004 Florida Land Use from SWFWMD, SRWMD, SJRWMD, and SFWMDUsed INTB categories and procedures Categories: Forest, Grass/Pasture, Agriculture/Irrigated, Mining/Other, Urban, Wetland, Urban Impervious, WaterAggregated to model categories using FLUCCS codesImpervious categoryEffective Impervious Area = directly connected impervious areasEIA computed by percentages of FLUCCS categoriesAll impervious area combined into a single Urban Impervious category

Meteorological Data Rainfall12/19/20138Rainfall data is NEXRAD (i.e., radar-derived) data at a 2x2 km grid resolution and 15 minute interval NEXRAD data provided by DistrictRainfall inputs for PERLNDs and IMPLNDs in each model segment are area-weighted averages of the rainfall values of the pixels overlying the segment Data are stored in WDM fileA pilot study on one watershed determined that the NEXRAD data were sufficiently similar to the gage-derived rainfall database used in the INTB model to support a calibrated modelDifferences between NEXRAD and gage rainfall were observedMeteorological Data Potential Evapotranspiration (PET)12/19/20139PET data are computed (Priestly-Taylor method) at the same 2x2 km grid as used by NEXRADPET data are 1-day totals; data are available for June1995 - December 2010 PET data developed by USGS and obtained from USGS PET inputs for PERLNDs and IMPLNDs in each model segment are area-weighted averages of the PET values of the pixels overlying the segment Daily PET data were disaggregated to 1 hour time step using a seasonally varying distribution function based on the pattern of daylight at the latitude of the watershed; data stored in WDM fileThe pilot study determined that the USGS GOES PET data were very similar to the gage-derived PET database used in the INTB model; differences had minimal impact on model resultsIrrigation12/19/201310Irrigation is applied to the Agriculture/Irrigated PERLND in each model segmentAmounts based on Districts monthly water use permit data for GW and surface water pumpingAmounts separated into Spray and Drip categoriesMonthly totals disaggregated to daily using a PET deficit computed from the rainfall and PET dataData are stored in WDM filesDaily Spray amount is applied as rainfall over three hours starting at 7 AMDaily Drip amount is applied as surface inflow (not subject to interception) over six hours starting at 7 AM

Surface Water Pumping12/19/201311Surface water pumping (diversions) computed from Districts monthly water use permit databaseMonthly surface water pumping totals for all permits in a subwatershed are summed, disaggregated to a constant daily rate, and stored in a WDM fileWater is removed from the model reach in the subwatershed where pumping occursSprings12/19/201312Flow from springs are added to the model reach in the subwatershed where the springs are locatedSpring discharge timeseries obtained from USGS and WM Districts and from pre-existing modelsSprings:Crystal, Rainbow, Silver, Homosassa, Chassahowitzka, Weeki Wachee, Wekiva River watershed springs, Gourdneck, Harris,Observed Streamflow Data12/19/201313Observed daily streamflow is used to compare with simulated flow during calibrationCalibration/comparison performed at 73 gage locationsData obtained from District database, USGS, and SJRWMDData stored in WDM filesData Used to Characterize Land Areas and Stream/Lake Reaches 12/19/201314DEM land area slope, stream slope, stream channelSoils infiltrationLand use segment watershed by landuse/coverNHD stream and lake locations, sizes, connectivityExisting models conveyance system connectivity, lake and stream configuration, stream cross sections, HSPF FTABLEsUSGS - stream cross sections and rating curvesLake surveys lake FTABLEsDepth to Groundwater infiltration, target ETCalibration12/19/201315Calibration followed the standard hierarchical methodology Focusing first on the overall water balance using the LZSN (lower zone nominal storage), INFILT (infiltration index), DEEPFR (fraction of GW inflow that is lost to recharge), and major ET parameters (e.g., LZETP)Maintain reasonable differences in land-use sensitive parameters within a watershedCompare total actual ET with land-use specific target ET and adjust balance between ET and recharge as necessaryAdjust low flow/high flow distribution with INFILT, AGWRC (GW recession), and BASET (baseflow ET)Calibration (continued)12/19/201316Adjust storm shape using INFILT, UZSN (upper zone nominal storage), INTFW (interflow), and IRC (interflow recession)Comparisons between observed and simulated used in calibrationHydrographsCumulative flow graphsFlow duration graphsAnnual runoff totalsStatistics (errors at various flow regimes, correlation coefficient, NS model fit efficiency)Overview of DSWM Watersheds12/19/201317Area separated into 12 major watersheds to make model input and output manageable and reduce simulation timesHAT Hillsborough River, Alafia River, and other Tampa area watershedsCRY Crystal River, Pithlachascotee River, Anclote River, Chassahowitzka River, Homosassa River, Weeki WachiWIT Withlacoochee RiverWAC Waccasassa RiverOKL Oklawaha River, including Orange Lake area17Watersheds (continued)12/19/201318KIS Kissimmee RiverMAN - Manatee/Little ManateeMSR - Myakka and Sarasota Bay areaPCH Peace River and Charlotte Harbor areaWOK - Western OkeechobeeCAL - Caloosahatchee RiverEXT Extended area - Etonia/Rice Creeks, Lake George area, Wekiva River

Summary of DSWM Development12/19/201319Principal Inputs: NEXRAD 15-minute rainfall and daily computed PET dataset, 2004 Florida Land Use (seven categories same method as INTB);

Segmentation: average size = 44 sq miles

Irrigation Input: based on groundwater and surface water pumping data; same method as INTB

Calibration: ~75 calibration locations

ET Comparisons: within error bounds of target ET (+/- 10%) for much of the area

Model Performance: overall "fair" calibration to daily streamflow, monthly average flows show best results

19Watersheds and HSPF Models12/19/201320

20North Domain Model Expanded into St Johns River watershed12/19/201321

Final Model Segmentation12/19/201322

Watersheds in Northern RegionHillsborough-Alafia-Tampa Watershed12/19/201324

Crystal-Pithlachascotee and Withlacoochee Watersheds12/19/201325

Oklawaha Watershed12/19/201326

Extended Area Watersheds Rice Creek, Etonia Creek, Lake George Area creeks, Wekiva River, and local drainage to St. Johns River12/19/201327

Northern Region Calibration Results - Observed Annual Flows (inches) and Simulated Error Terms12/19/201328Annual Flow25% High Flow50% High Flow50% Low Flow25% Low FlowSite NameSite IDObs(in)Rel Err(%)Obs (in)Rel Err(%)Obs (in)Obs(in)Rel Err(%)Obs (in)Rel Err(%)Obs (in)Hillsborough River AreaBlackwater Ck nr Knights0230250010.90.49.1-1.510.-1.10.627.0.1185.Hillsborough R nr Zephyrhills0230300014.51.610.3-1.712.0.92.15.60.78-0.6Hillsborough R at Morris Br0230333010.54.17.8-4.69.30.71.230.0.4228.Cypress Ck at Worthington Gardens023034207.3-1.06.6-16.7.2-4.10.061367.low-Cypress Ck nr Sulphur Springs023038007.9-1.36.9-19.7.8-6.40.13309.low-Sweetwater Ck nr Tampa 0230664723.1-3.419.2-1.622.-2.01.2-30.0.23-51.Rocky Creek nr Sulphur Springs0230700018.2-0.114.36.717.1.81.1-31.0.21-55.Brooker Ck nr Tarpon Springs023073598.90.58.0-6.48.8-1.30.084192.low-Alafia River AreaBullfrog Creek nr Wimauma0230070023.70.518.8-8.221.6-2.22.227.0.6530.North Prong Alafia R at Keysville0230100016.5-1.311.8-6.114.5-1.52.0-0.10.59-13.South Prong Alafia R nr Lithia0230130013.90.39.59.212.43.01.5-22.0.2516.Alafia R at Lithia0230150013.66.39.43.512.05.91.68.80.428.0Crystal-Pithlachascotee River AreaAnclote R nr Elfers0231000012.81.711.6-10.12.50.90.3928.0.14-68.Pithlachascotee R nr New Port Richey023103002.024.31.810.61.94.60.036-11.0.0030-98.Withlacoochee River Withlacoochee R nr Cumpressco023109477.61.56.8-2.67.51.10.06345.low-Withlacoochee R at Trilby023120007.86.16.5-8.57.56.20.323.00.052-53.Little Withlacoochee R nr Tarrytown023121809.1-6.68.6-14.9.1-6.5low-low-Little Withlacoochee R at Rerdell023122008.64.47.6-3.88.45.10.13-39.low-Withlacoochee R at Croom023125007.28.15.60.76.710.00.44-21.0.058-35.Withlacoochee R nr Floral City023126006.014.4.77.45.715.20.34-13.0.026-19.Withlacoochee R nr Holder023130006.6-0.14.27.95.75.70.94-35.0.25-48.Waccasassa RiverWaccasassa R nr Gulf Hammock (1999-2006)023137005.75.23.99.15.42.30.3352.low-Oklawaha RiverBig Ck nr Clermont022365005.30.94.58.65.21.50.059-57.low-Palatlakaha R at Structure M-1022372933.81.53.6-163.7-0.50.036203.low-Apopka-Beauclair Canal nr Astatula022377004.7-0.74.0-1.04.4-2.40.3819.0.1442.Haynes Ck at Lisbon022380004.21.43.5-6.33.93.50.30-26.0.12-36.Ocklawaha R at Moss Bluff022385003.3-0.32.9-6.83.1-0.60.234.00.08635.Ocklawaha R nr Conner0224000012.31.55.50.08.41.63.891.21.67-0.1Ocklawaha R at Eureka0224050012.1-0.55.42.48.31.53.82-4.71.64-7.4Orange Ck at Orange Springs022430002.41.22.0-0.72.31.30.14-0.70.03-45.Ocklawaha R at Rodman Dam 022439609.2-0.44.9-2.67.1-3.42.159.30.8217.Northern Region Calibration Results - Statistics of Daily and Monthly Flow Rates12/19/201329Site NameSite IDDaily FlowMonthly FlowCorrel.Coeff.Coeff. of Deter.Mean Error (cfs)Mean Abs.Err. (cfs)RMS Error (cfs)Model Fit Effic.Correl.Coeff.Coeff. of Deter.Mean Error (cfs)Mean Abs.Err. (cfs)RMS Error (cfs)Model Fit Effic.Hillsborough River AreaBlackwater Ck nr Knights023025000.6110.3730.3760.4220.0.0300.9100.8280.4632.963.70.816Hillsborough R nr Zephyrhills023030000.8270.6853.884.3274.0.6630.9540.9094.053.6106.0.904Hillsborough R at Morris Br023033300.8980.80712.109.234.0.8070.9320.86912.488.6150.0.867Cypress Ck at Worthington Gardens023034200.7390.546-0.6340.1101.0.5400.9390.882-0.5728.752.90.833Cypress Ck nr Sulphur Springs023038000.9120.831-1.242.990.90.7730.9390.882-1.238.271.30.824Sweetwater Ck nr Tampa 023066470.6400.409-0.8318.045.60.2100.8940.799-0.819.517.70.757Rocky Creek nr Sulphur Springs023070000.5220.272-0.06940.994.6-0.2950.8960.803-0.03019.329.40.786Brooker Ck nr Tarpon Springs023073590.7820.6120.09211.331.90.5480.9140.8350.138.214.60.830Alafia River AreaBullfrog Creek nr Wimauma023007000.5560.3090.2535.3133.0.2650.9040.8170.1817.428.60.803North Prong Alafia R at Keysville023010000.7830.614-2.263.0191.0.6010.9540.909-2.337.457.60.906South Prong Alafia R nr Lithia023013000.7840.6140.3848.8131.0.2730.8960.8030.4339.863.10.730Alafia R at Lithia023015000.8740.76321111.280.0.7440.9440.89021.84.0133.0.882Crystal-Pithlachascotee River AreaAnclote R nr Elfers023100000.8260.6821.1243.0112.0.6470.8650.7471.0637.971.60.714Pithlachascotee R nr New Port Richey023103000.9120.8331.069.426.40.8240.9490.9011.058.116.20.892Withlacoochee River Withlacoochee R nr Cumpressco023109470.8320.6932.3183.0195.0.6860.8810.7772.472.9139.0.776Withlacoochee R at Trilby023120000.7350.54019.8218.414.0.5380.7890.62321.193.332.0.620Little Withlacoochee R nr Tarrytown023121800.8450.714-3.727.969.80.7060.8920.795-3.623.751.70.784Little Withlacoochee R at Rerdell023122000.8820.7794.139.783.20.7780.9180.8424.232.861.70.841Withlacoochee R at Croom023125000.8340.69634.6216.389.0.6920.8640.74636.192.327.0.739Withlacoochee R nr Floral City023126000.8440.71259.9226.397.0.6960.8650.74861.207.351.0.729Withlacoochee R nr Holder023130000.9070.822-0.65299.463.0.7990.9210.849-0.4277.410.0.833Waccasassa RiverWaccasassa R nr Gulf Hammock (99-06)023137000.7520.565-4.498151.6281.540.5160.8430.71-6.156119.62164.380.653Oklawaha RiverBig Ck nr Clermont022365000.5990.3590.2424.058.2-0.3990.7220.5220.2319.736.00.373Palatlakaha R at Structure M-1022372930.7730.5970.9343.986.40.5920.7990.6380.8639.377.50.630Apopka-Beauclair Canal nr Astatula022377000.8170.668-0.4335.274.10.6550.9000.809-0.3527.949.30.806Haynes Ck at Lisbon022380000.7960.6342.77126.221.0.6290.8650.7492.43106.165.0.746Ocklawaha R at Moss Bluff022385000.7870.620-0.68128.254.0.6150.8620.744-0.86101.182.0.739Ocklawaha R nr Conner022400000.8970.80513.8141.255.0.7900.9340.87214.0119.193.0.862Ocklawaha R at Eureka022405000.8510.724-4.73182.361.0.6470.9130.834-4.53155.257.0.781Orange Ck at Orange Springs022430000.8920.7950.9035.576.20.7910.9080.8250.9432.367.30.816Ocklawaha R at Rodman Dam 022439600.8670.751-5.50348.558.0.7200.9210.849-5.12252.386.0.827

ExamplesNorthern WatershedsWithlacoochee River near Holder12/19/201331Add

Withlacoochee River near Holder12/19/201332

Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge12/19/201333

Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge12/19/201334

Summary of Examples12/19/201335Both examples are good statistically except for low flows, which are too high in Hillsborough and too low in Withlacoochee Withlacoochee Basin was difficult to calibrate due to large surface storage and groundwater contributionsDry years are over-simulated and wet years are under-simulated, generallyNEXRAD rainfall appears to be low in early years and higher than gage rainfall in later years

Simulated Steamflow Volume ErrorsWithlacoochee River - HolderHillsborough River - Morris Br.Obs. Flow (in)Error (%)Obs. Flow (in)Error (%)Total Annual Flow6.6-0.110.54.125% High Flow4.27.97.8-4.650% High Flow5.75.79.30.750% Low Flow0.94-351.23025% Low Flow0.25-48.0.4228Statistical MeasuresWithlacoochee River - HolderHillsborough River - Morris Br.DailyMonthlyDailyMonthlyCorrelation Coefficient0.9070.9210.8980.932Coefficient of Determination0.8220.8490.8070.869Mean Error (cfs)-0.650.412.12.4Mean Abs. Error (cfs)299.277.109.88.6RMS Error (cfs)463.410.234.150.Model Fit Efficiency (NS)0.7990.8330.8070.86735Watersheds in Southern RegionManatee and Myakka-Sarasota Watersheds12/19/201337

Peace-Charlotte Harbor Watershed12/19/201338

Kissimmee Watershed12/19/201339

Western Okeechobee and Caloosahatchee Watersheds12/19/201340

Peace-Charlotte Harbor Watershed12/19/201341

12/19/201342Annual Flow25% High Flow50% High Flow50% Low Flow25% Low FlowSite NameSite IDObs(in)Rel Err(%)Obs (in)Rel Err(%)Obs (in)Rel Err(%)Obs (in)Rel Err(%)Obs (in)Rel Err(%)Manatee River AreaLittle Manatee R nr Ft. Lonesome0230010017.74.513.6-6.716.8-1.60.92117.0.19153.S F Little Manatee R nr Wimauma (2001-2006)0230030018.611.13.7-4.716.38.62.329.0.80-9.0Little Manatee R nr Wimauma0230050016.84.412.2-5.614.92.21.922.0.59-15.Manatee R near Myakka Head0229995018.66.715.5-2.517.56.81.14.70.34-58.Gamble Creek near Parrish (2001-2006)0230001825.9-11.23.6-21.25.3-14.70.55143.0.1221.Braden R at Lakewood Ranch nr Lorraine0230003322.0-11.20.1-20.21.6-14.10.46115.0.08817.Ward Lake nr Bradenton0230004223.3-25.21.5-25.23.3-25.40.022239.low-Myakka River & Sarasota AreaMyakka R at Myakka City0229860821.30.117.6-9.020.2-1.41.030.0.2136.Myakka R nr Sarasota0229883017.21.513.14.816.23.11.0-26.0.17-41.Big Slough Canal nr Myakka City0229941019.6-0.317.6-1319.2-2.50.4593.0.060202.Big Slough at Tropicaire Blvd (2002-2006)0229945018.2-2.115.4-8.517.6-3.00.5327.0.078-8.0Walker Ck nr Sarasota0229986117.80.813.52016.011.1.7-96.0.54-100.Peace River & Charlotte HarborPeace Ck Drainage Canal nr Wahneta022939879.3-0.77.2-1.88.71.70.62-34.0.14-85.Saddle Ck at St. Hwy 542 nr Lakeland0229421711.20.39.7-9.310.9-0.10.2816.0.014-99.Peace R at Bartow022946508.41.86.7-8.97.9-0.20.4240.0.070-44.Peace R at Fort Meade022948988.30.36.5-7.17.9-1.50.4333.0.0469.1Bowlegs Ck nr Fort Meade0229501310.41.98.62.49.84.90.60-48.0.15-77.Peace R at Zolfo Springs0229563710.51.67.62.89.53.30.96-16.0.20-34.Charlie Ck nr Gardner0229650012.8-0.611.0-7.412.4-1.70.4232.0.0782.2Peace R at Arcadia0229675011.42.18.7-0.410.52.70.94-3.90.20-14.Horse Ck nr Arcadia0229731015.0-1.312.8-13.14.5-4.10.5473.0.1035.Shell Ck nr Punta Gorda0229820214.50.511.4-10.13.4-1.41.1123.0.28-6.3Kissimmee RiverShingle Ck at Airport nr Kissimmee 0226380017.05.812.02.015.24.41.818.0.4718.Reedy Ck nr Vineland0226630011.33.88.12.710.15.01.2-6.30.28-2.5Catfish Ck nr Lake Wales 022670009.1-0.54.423.6.912.2.2-39.0.57-29.Boggy Ck nr Taft0226290014.6-0.111.0-9.713.2-2.51.422.0.3715.Tiger Ck nr Babson Park0226839011.98.76.028.8.820.3.0-25.1.12-38.Livingston Ck nr Frostproof022695208.010.4.915.6.716.1.3-19.0.40-20.Carter Ck nr Sebring022700007.3-0.54.07.05.74.91.5-21.0.51-21.Arbuckle Ck nr De Soto City0227050011.8-3.97.8-8.310.2-4.41.6-0.20.40-15.Josephine Ck nr De Soto City022715009.7-2.77.1-9.08.8-3.10.891.10.19-16.Western Okeechobee Fisheating Ck at Palmdale0225650012.92.511.5-10.12.7-1.10.19240.0.016209.Fisheating Ck at Lakeport0225700011.58.88.89.810.811.0.79-17.0.20-78.Caloosahatchee RiverCaloosahatchee R at S-79, nr. Olga0229290037.1-15.27.0-20.34.8-21.2.377.0.12966.Whiskey Ck at Ft. Myers0229323020.114.14.016.17.818.2.3-16.0.61-61.Southern Region Calibration Results - Observed Annual Flows (inches) and Simulated Error TermsSouthern Region Calibration Results - Statistics of Daily and Monthly Flow Rates12/19/201343Site NameSite IDDaily FlowMonthly FlowCorrel.Coeff.Coeff. of Deter.Mean Error (cfs)Mean Abs.Err. (cfs)RMS Error (cfs)Model Fit Effic.Correl.Coeff.Coeff. of Deter.Mean Error (cfs)Mean Abs.Err. (cfs)RMS Error (cfs)Model Fit Effic.Manatee River AreaLittle Manatee R nr Ft. Lonesome023001000.7850.6161.823.946.80.6140.9160.8391.815.120.00.837S F Little Manatee R nr Wimauma023003000.7950.6336.035.163.40.6280.8590.7385.822.732.00.721Little Manatee R nr Wimauma023005000.8030.6448.3108.253.0.6240.9060.8217.963.994.60.820Manatee R near Myakka Head022999500.8160.6666.152.1154.0.6580.9160.8396.031.449.00.836Gamble Creek near Parrish (2001-2006)023000180.5770.333-11.170.12080.2710.9190.845-11.137.762.60.762Braden R at Lakewood Ranch nr Lorraine023000330.5750.330-4.734.6116.0.2850.8730.762-4.619.634.50.700Ward Lake nr Bradenton023000420.5740.329-25.382.2249.0.1890.8910.795-25.144.985.20.694Myakka River & Sarasota AreaMyakka R at Myakka City022986080.8920.7960.2684.8226.0.7620.9390.8820.2066.7104.0.849Myakka R nr Sarasota022988300.7860.6174.48177.366.0.5900.9130.8344.7114.160.0.833Big Slough Canal nr Myakka City022994100.7300.533-0.1532.7122.0.5090.8770.769-0.1024.150.50.707Big Slough at Tropicaire Blvd022994500.6590.435-2.2062.31920.3930.8900.792-1.843.674.20.768Walker Ck nr Sarasota022998610.8370.7010.054.09.40.6520.9060.8210.0512.13.20.818Peace River & Charlotte HarborPeace Ck Drainage Canal nr Wahneta022939870.8880.789-0.7547.378.30.7720.9090.827-0.7240.963.80.818Saddle Ck at St. Hwy 542 nr Lakeland022942170.7540.5680.1523.960.40.5100.9150.8360.2217.831.10.830Peace R at Bartow022946500.8640.7464.49117.221.0.7400.9210.8484.7495.1159.0.832Peace R at Fort Meade022948980.8580.7360.88127.233.0.7280.9160.841.2699.5162.0.840Bowlegs Ck nr Fort Meade022950130.5670.3220.6622.984.2-0.1010.9060.820.7413.526.00.815Peace R at Zolfo Springs022956370.8050.64910.1256.640.0.5560.9520.90610.9160.250.0.905Charlie Ck nr Gardner022965000.7850.616-1.91152.413.0.5970.9480.899-1.95102.173.0.882Peace R at Arcadia022967500.7560.57224.5484.1327.0.4850.9570.91525.2275.439.0.915Horse Ck nr Arcadia022973100.7960.633-3.22128.354.0.6200.9190.845-3.2293.4171.0.806Shell Ck nr Punta Gorda022982020.8890.7902.03158.309.0.7870.9370.8781.91118.194.0.862Kissimmee RiverShingle Ck at Airport nr Kissimmee 022638000.7770.6046.4457.0108.0.5640.8770.7706.5339.559.40.767Reedy Ck nr Vineland022663000.8850.7832.6827.651.60.7800.9260.8582.6521.833.00.854Catfish Ck nr Lake Wales 022670000.7700.593-0.2216.722.70.2760.7800.609-0.1916.121.80.280Boggy Ck nr Taft022629000.8250.680-0.0943.588.40.6780.8410.7070.0637.363.40.707Tiger Ck nr Babson Park022683900.8860.7854.0217.329.80.3580.9170.8424.0216.324.70.418Livingston Ck nr Frostproof022695200.8620.7427.0226.543.40.6400.8870.7887.0424.338.40.663Carter Ck nr Sebring022700000.7500.563-0.108.514.40.4100.7700.592-0.087.5611.20.459Arbuckle Ck nr De Soto City022705000.8330.694-12.81182210.6830.8800.774-13.1104.161.0.769Josephine Ck nr De Soto City022715000.8010.642-2.1335.571.40.6390.8840.781-2.1428.044.80.780Western Okeechobee Fisheating Ck at Palmdale022565000.7820.6117.3188.379.0.6070.8920.7967.3133.207.0.789Fisheating Ck at Lakeport022570000.6110.373-22.0317.620.0.2390.8200.672-22.3222.338.0.650Caloosahatchee RiverCaloosahatchee R at S-79, nr. Olga022929000.8880.788-360.916.1516.0.7640.9340.873-35866710350.846Whiskey Ck at Ft. Myers022932300.6660.4441.67.616.30.2710.8290.6881.64.97.30.611

ExamplesSouthern Watersheds44Peace River at Arcadia 12/19/201345

Peace River at Arcadia 12/19/201346

Braden River near Lorraine (Manatee)12/19/201347

Braden River near Lorraine (Manatee)12/19/201348

Summary of examples12/19/201349Peace River is good statistically except for low flows, especially in two dry years (2000 and 2006) Braden River (Manatee tributary) was difficult to calibrate; possibly because watershed/reach storage is under estimated, since peaks are earlyBraden River low flows are over-simulated

Simulated Steamflow Volume ErrorsPeace River - ArcadiaBraden River - LorraineObs. Flow (in)ErrorObs. Flow (in)ErrorTotal Annual Flow11.42.1%22.0-11%25% High Flow8.7-0.4%20.1-20%50% High Flow10.52.7%21.6-14%50% Low Flow0.94-3.9%0.46115%25% Low Flow0.20-14.%0.08817%Statistical MeasuresPeace River - ArcadiaBraden River - LorraineDailyMonthlyDailyMonthlyCorrelation Coefficient0.7650.9570.5750.873Coefficient of Determination0.5720.9150.3300.762Mean Error (cfs)24.525.2-4.7-4.6Mean Absolute Error (cfs)484.275.34.619.6RMS Error (cfs)1327.439.116.34.5Model Fit Efficiency (NS)0.4850.9150.2850.700Sample Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201350

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201351

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201352

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201353

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201354

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201355

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201356

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201357

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201358

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201359

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201360

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201361

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201362

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201363

Little Manatee River near Wimauma12/19/201364

Other Calibration Metrics12/19/201365Water BalanceTarget ETBaseflow SeparationWater Balance (inches) Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge near Thonotosassa12/19/201366ComponentForestGrass/ PastureAgri-culture/Mining/ OtherUrbanWetlandImper-viousWaterWeighted AverageInfluxRainfall50.450.550.450.151.250.551.251.250.7Irrigation15.31.1Overflow from Withlacoochee R.57.71.1Point Source80.81.5Flow from Crystal Springs12.10.2RunoffSurface0.71.72.92.54.10.034.94.3Interflow1.82.32.91.62.61.01.9Base flow2.62.02.51.61.21.11.6Total5.26.18.35.77.92.134.97.8GW InflowDeep8.88.016.55.97.48.67.9Active6.35.86.63.34.510.96.0EvaporationPotential51.451.451.451.351.451.351.451.551.4Interception Storage15.413.916.613.913.89.616.313.3Upper Zone5.57.39.16.87.912.27.7Lower Zone12.011.711.216.311.28.29.9Ground Water3.53.64.11.83.39.74.4Base flow0.20.20.00.00.10.40.2Total36.636.741.238.936.340.116.343.436.2Target43.432.941.042.035.349.415.055.037.5Area-Weighted Target ET (inches/year) and Simulated Errors for Selected Watersheds12/19/201367Site NameSite IDForestError(%)Grass/ PastureError(%)Agric./ IrrigatedError(%)Mining/OtherError(%)UrbanError(%)WetlandError(%)ImpervError(%)Hillsborough River AreaHillsborough R at Morris Br0230333043.4-16%32.912%41.00%42.0-7%35.33%49.4-19%15.9%Cypress Ck nr Sulphur Springs0230380041.9-10%31.913%42.5-6%42.0-9%35.20%47.9-11%15.7%Alafia River AreaBullfrog Creek nr Wimauma0230070042.8-20%32.13%42.5-16%42.0-12%35.8-10%47.7-7%15.11%Alafia R at Lithia0230150040.8-15%31.97%43.9-20%42.0-5%36.0-8%44.9-10%15.7%Crystal-Pithlachascotee River AreaAnclote R nr Elfers0231000042.927%32.6-4%41.78%42.016%36.35%48.318%15.25%Withlacoochee River Withlacoochee R nr Cumpressco0231094743.9-18%32.910%44.31%42.0-10%37.1-7%48.1-21%15.11%Little Withlacoochee R at Rerdell0231220044.7-13%33.613%42.64%42.0-9%37.4-16%49.4-16%15.47%Withlacoochee R nr Holder0231300038.81%29.231%38.217%42.0-8%31.711%45.8-11%15.41%Waccasassa RiverWaccasassa R nr Gulf Hammock 0231370036.68%26.543%43.51%42.0-11%30.323%42.3-6%15.10%Oklawaha RiverBig Ck nr Clermont0223650035.011%26.045%43.7-10%42.0-11%30.025%40.0-6%15.33%Apopka-Beauclair Canal nr Astatula0223770035.05%26.037%40.5-5%42.0-11%30.119%40.0-14%15.30%Haynes Ck at Lisbon0223800035.08%26.041%38.71%42.0-11%30.022%40.0-11%15.28%Ocklawaha R nr Conner0224000035.29%26.145%40.2-3%42.0-11%30.125%40.4-10%15.30%Orange Ck at Orange Springs0224300039.0-1%35.26%26.150%42.0-11%30.127%40.6-7%15.27%Manatee River AreaLittle Manatee R nr Wimauma0230050044.2-14%33.77%44.1-9%42.0-14%37.6-4%49.3-14%15.14%Manatee R near Myakka Head0229995040.5-9%30.613%44.1-14%42.0-21%34.5-2%45.9-1%15.17%Myakka River & Sarasota AreaMyakka R nr Sarasota0229883040.4-7%30.819%43.8-5%42.0-17%34.29%46.8-12%15.17%Peace River & Charlotte HarborSaddle Ck at St. Hwy 542 nr Lakeland0229421743.8-11%32.716%40.219%42.0-14%36.24%48.1-16%15.32%Bowlegs Ck nr Fort Meade0229501340.6-5%3122%44.80%n/an/a35.36%46.7-12%15.27%Charlie Ck nr Gardner0229650039.8-6%29.922%42.82%42.0-14%33.85%44.8-13%15.33%Peace R at Arcadia0229675040.6-6%30.521%43.90%42.0-11%34.96%45.5-10%15.45%Horse Ck nr Arcadia0229731040.2-3%30.325%44.12%42.0-10%34.111%45.5-5%15.35%Kissimmee RiverShingle Ck at Airport nr Kissimmee 0226380040.6-23%30.02%38.3-13%42.0-15%34.0-33%44.8-39%15.20%Catfish Ck nr Lake Wales 0226700036.82%28.127%44.1-10%42.0-16%31.712%41.40%15.32%Tiger Ck nr Babson Park0226839036.52%28.426%44.4-10%42.0-18%31.713%40.66%15.33%Carter Ck nr Sebring0227000038.9-2%29.424%44-9%n/an/a33.58%43.52%15.47%Josephine Ck nr De Soto City0227150038.7-4%29.121%43.8-13%42.0-14%32.78%43.3-5%15.33%Western Okeechobee Fisheating Ck at Lakeport0225700040.9-11%30.211%44.7-20%42.0-20%33.8-2%46.3-11%15.14%Caloosahatchee RiverCaloosahatchee R at S-79, nr. Olga0229290042.41%31.8-23%45.0-1%42.011%37.0-2%47.515%15.18%Baseflow Separation - Mean Annual Baseflow (Observed vs. Simulated) for Selected Gages12/19/201368Site NameSite IDObservedSimulatedDifferencePercent DifferenceHillsborough R at Morris Br023033302.312.870.5725%Alafia R at Lithia023015002.452.10-0.35-14%Withlacoochee R nr Holder023130002.591.50-1.08-42%Little Manatee R nr Wimauma023005002.543.811.2750%Manatee R near Myakka Head022999501.411.530.128%Myakka R nr Sarasota022988301.330.45-0.89-66%Big Slough Canal nr Myakka City022994100.450.630.1839%Peace R at Bartow022946500.831.040.2125%Peace R at Arcadia022967501.390.98-0.40-29%Model Performance Summary12/19/201369Statistical measures of calibration indicate that many of the main river basins are fairly well calibrated at the outlets; correlation coefficients for daily flows at these gages range from 0.75 (Poor) for the Peace River to 0.91 (Good) for the Withlacoochee River, based on typical hydrology calibration criteria. Average daily correlation coefficient at all gages: 0.783The monthly flow correlation coefficients at the major gages are generally better, and are all above 0.90 (Good). Results at the smaller gages are variable, with some poor statistical comparisons and some good. Average: 0.894Errors in total flow and 25%/50% high flows are small, and flow frequency comparisons are good at higher flowsSome of the calibration error is attributable to apparent errors in the principal hydrological input (rainfall). The NEXRAD rainfall dataset appears to be lower than gage-based rainfall in the earlier years of the model calibration period (WY 1996-2006), and higher in the later years, specifically it is higher in 2004-06, and lower prior to 2004Low flow years are over-simulated and high flow years are under-simulated in many watershedsHSPF:HYDROLOGIC SIMULATION PROGRAM - FORTRANContinuous simulation modelNatural and developed watersheds and water systemsLand surface and subsurface hydrology and quality processesStream/lake hydraulics and water quality processesTime series data management and storageCore watershed model in EPA BASINSDevelopment and maintenance activities sponsored by U.S. EPA and U.S. Geological SurveyCONTINUOUS SIMULATION

Represent hydrologic processes, storages, and pathways for a watershed, continuously for many days to multiple years, with time steps of one day or less, usually in the range of minutes to hours 717172 of 32 RESULTS FROM CONTINUOUS SIMULATION

Daily FlowFlow Duration/FrequencyStorm Hydrographs7272HSPF APPLICATION & UTILITY MODULESPERLNDIMPLNDRCHRESSnowSnowHydraulicsWaterWaterConservativeSedimentSolidsTemperatureQualityQualitySedimentPesticideNonconservativeNitrogenBOD/DOPhosphorusNitrogenTracerPhosphorusCarbonPlanktonBMPFlowAny constituentsimulated in PERLND, IMPLND or RCHRESAPPLICATION MODULESUTILITY MODULESCOPY, MUTSIN, PLTGEN, DURANL, GENER, DISPLY, REPORTHSPF - STRENGTHSComprehensive representation of watershed land and stream processes

Comprehensive representation of watershed pollutant sources, including nonpoint sources (by multiple land uses), point sources, atmospheric, etc.

Flexibility and adaptability to a wide range of watershed conditions

Well-designed code modularity and structure

Companion database and support programs to assist model users (e.g., BASINS, WDMUtil, WinHSPF, GenScn, HSPEXP+)

Development and support by U.S. EPA and USGS HSPF - LIMITATIONS AND WEAKNESSESExtensive data requirements

User training normally required

Lack of comprehensive parameter guidance

Large number of parameters

Limited spatial definition (i.e., lumped parameter approach) Hydraulics limited to non-tidal freshwater systems and unidirectional flow

Simplified representation of urban drainage systems

HSPF APPLICATION PROCESS Study definition

Development of modeling strategy

Learn how to use HSPF

Development of time series data

Parameter development

Calibration/validation

Analysis of alternate scenarios78 of 35

THE HYDROLOGIC CYCLEHYDROLOGIC COMPONENTSHydrologic Components:RainfallInterceptionDepression storageEvapotranspirationInfiltration Surface storage RunoffInterflowGroundwater flow

EvapotranspirationInterceptionDepressionstorageGround surfaceCapillaryrisePrecipitationInfiltrationSoil moisturePercolationGroundwaterstorageUnderground flow into or out of the areaGround water flowStreamflowInterflowSurface runoffChannel pptn.WATER BALANCEWater balance equation R = P - ET - IG - Swhere:P=PrecipitationR=RunoffET=EvapotranspirationIG=Deep/inactive groundwater S=Change in soil storage

Inter-relationships between componentsVariation of components with timeconsideration of soil condition, cover, antecedent conditions, land practicesSTANFORD WATERSHED MODELTo StreamActual ETPotential ETPrecipitationTemperatureRadiationWind, DewpointSnowmeltInterceptionStorageLower ZoneStorageGroundwaterStorageInterflowUpper Zone StorageOverland FlowDeep or InactiveGroundwaterCEPSC*BASETP*AGWETP*DEEPFR*LZSN*INFILT*INTFW*UZSN*AGWRC*NSUR*SLSUR*LSUR*IRC*Delayed InfiltrationDirectInfiltrationPERC1 ET2 ET3 ET4 ET5 ETLZETP* * ParametersOutputProcessInputStorageET - EvapotranspirationnOrder taken tomeet ET demandDecisionPWATER PARAMETERSCEPSC - Interception storage capacityNSUR - Mannings N for overland flow planeLSUR - Length of assumed overland flow planeSLSUR - Slope of assumed overland flow planeINFILT - Index to infiltration capacity of the soilUZSN - Upper zone nominal soil moisture storage LZSN - Lower zone nominal soil moisture storageLZETP - Lower zone ET parameter; index to density of deep-rooted vegetation PWATER PARAMETERS INTFW - Interflow inflow parameterIRC - Interflow recession parameter (the ratio of interflow outflow rate today / rate yesterday)KVARY - Variable groundwater recession parameterAGWRC - Basic groundwater recession rate (when KVARY is 0)DEEPFR - Fraction of groundwater inflow which will enter deep (inactive) groundwaterBASETP - Fraction of remaining potential ET which can be satisfied from baseflowAGWETP - Fraction of remaining potential ET which can be satisfied from active groundwater storagePWATER PARAMETERSINTFW - Interflow inflow parameter

IRC - Interflow recession parameter, i.e., the ratio of interflow outflow rate today / rate yesterday

LZETP - Lower zone ET parameter; an index to the density of deep-rooted vegetation

Mean runoff volume for simulation period (inches)

Annual and monthly runoff volume (inches)

Daily flow timeseries (cfs)observed and simulated daily flowscatter plots

Flow frequency (flow duration) curves (cfs)

Storm hydrographs, hourly or less, (cfs)

CALIBRATION/VALIDATION COMPARISONSWeight-of-Evidence ApproachPrecipitationTotal Runoff (sum of following components)Overland flowInterflowBaseflowTotal Actual Evapotranspiration (ET) (sum of components):Interception ETUpper Zone ETLower Zone ETBaseflow ETActive Groundwater ETDeep Groundwater Recharge/Losses

CALIBRATION/VALIDATION COMPARISONSWater Balance ComponentsGraphical Comparisons:Timeseries plots of observed and simulated values for fluxes (e.g., flow) or state variables (e.g., stage, sediment concentration, biomass concentration)Observed and simulated scatter plots, with 45o linear regression line displayed, for fluxes or state variablesCumulative frequency distributions of observed and simulated fluxes or state variable (e.g., flow duration curves)

Statistical Tests:Error statistics, e.g., mean error, absolute mean error, relative error, relative bias, standard error of estimate, etc.Correlation tests, e.g., correlation coefficient, coefficient of model-fit efficiency, etc.Cumulative Distribution tests, e.g., Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test

CALIBRATION/VALIDATION COMPARISONSGraphical/Statistical Procedures & TestsR & R2 VALUE RANGES FOR MODEL PERFORMANCECriteria0.60.70.80.9PoorFairGoodVery GoodPoorFairGoodVery Good0.750.800.850.900.95R2Daily FlowsMonthly FlowsRHYDROLOGIC (PWATER) CALIBRATION Annual Water Balance -

Runoff = Prec. - Actual ET - Deep Perc. - Storage

Key Parameters:Repre. Precipitation (MFACT)LZSNLZETPINFILTDEEPFR

Groundwater (Baseflow) Volume and Recession -

Runoff = Surface Runoff + Interflow + Baseflow

Key Parameters:INFILTAGWRC/KVARYDEEPFRBASETP/AGWETP

Surface Runoff + Interflow (Hydrograph Shape) -

Key Parameters:UZSNINTFWIRCLSUR, NSUR, SLSURIMPERVIOUS AREA - IWATERIWATERSimulate water budgetfor imperviousland segmentSimulate moistureretentionDetermine howmuch of themoisture supplyruns offEvaporate fromretention storageIWATER CALIBRATIONImperviousarea processIWATERparameterInterception RETSC retention storage

Overland flow/runoff LSUR, NSUR, SLSUR

Evaporation (no parameter, occurs at PET)HSPF INTERFACESWinHSPFInteractive interface to HSPFAccess to all HSPF FeaturesScenario development

WinHSPFLtInterface to HSPF (batch)

HSPEXP+Hydrologic calibration support

HSPF SUPPORTING PROGRAMSBASINSBuild/maintain WDM time series file and meteorologic data for HSPF and other modelsMeteorologic data generation and fill-inGraphical and tabular display of time series dataEtc.

WDMUtil (becoming obsolete)Build/maintain WDM time series file and meteorologic data for BASINSMeteorologic data generation and fill-inGraphical and tabular display of time series data

GenScn (becoming obsolete)Graphical and tabular display of time series data

FILES UTILIZED BY HSPFUCI (Users Control Input) - contains all input except time series data

Run Interpreter Output (ECH) - output summary of users input

Operation Module Output - state variables and fluxes at user-selected intervals for PERLND/IMPLND/RCHRES

WDM - time series data input and output (binary format)

PLTGEN/MUTSIN/SEQ - Time series data input and output (text format)

HSPF Binary Output - Operation module output in binary format

Basin Specifications (EXS) - contains information for the HSPF hydrology calibration support program HSPEXP+ Recharge and ET EstimationSTANFORD WATERSHED MODELTo StreamActual ETPotential ETPrecipitationTemperatureRadiationWind,DewpointSnowmeltInterceptionStorageLower ZoneStorageGroundwaterStorageInterflowUpper Zone StorageOverland FlowDeep or InactiveGroundwaterCEPSC*BASETP*AGWETP*DEEPFR*LZSN*INFILT*INTFW*UZSN*AGWRC*NSUR*SLSUR*LSUR*IRC*Delayed InfiltrationDirectInfiltrationPERC1 ET2 ET3 ET4 ET5 ETLZETP* * ParametersOutputProcessInputStorageET - EvapotranspirationnOrder taken tomeet ET demandDecisionETVadoseETSatIGWIAGWIAGWETBASET9612/19/201312/19/201397

AGWIIGWIBASETAGWETInfiltration, Effective Recharge and ET in MODFLOWI = AGWI + IGWI Vadose ZoneRIETSatGroundwaterI = PrecipEff - ETVadose9812/19/2013ETsat = AGWET + BASET = 9812/19/201399

Extinction DepthET at depth d below ET surfaceET SurfaceDEdET From GroundwaterETMax12/19/2013100BASINS 4.1*_REC.WDM FileSubbasinAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET Arc/MAPShapefilesLanduse, GridGridAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET GW ModelFilesRCH, EVT12/19/2013101BASINS 4.1*_REC.WDM FileSubbasinAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET Arc/MAPShapefilesLanduse, GridGridAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET GW ModelFilesRCH, EVTProcessing12/19/2013102

Model_REC.WDMText_Grid_Format.txtSubbasinAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET Step 1: Open BASINS12/19/2013103

Step 2: Select File Type12/19/2013104

File>Open DataSelect a File Type>WDM Time Series> OKStep 3: Select File12/19/2013105

Select File> OpenStep 4: Open Data File12/19/2013106

Select by clicking on Filename

Analysis>ListFile>Manage DataStep 5: Select Data Sets12/19/2013107

YesW A I TStep 6: Select Data to List12/19/2013108

OKTime Series List12/19/2013109

Adjust Formats12/19/2013110

Time Series ListView> Date and Value FormatsSelected Formats12/19/2013111

Select Attributes to be Included12/19/2013112Time Series List

File>Select Attributes

Save Data File as a Text File12/19/2013113

File>Save Grid as TextSave Data File12/19/2013114

Saving Data File12/19/2013115

12/19/2013116BASINS 4.1*_REC.WDM FileSubbasinAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET Arc/MAPShapefilesLanduse, GridGridAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET GW ModelFilesRCH, EVTTransfer of Arrays to Grid Cells using ArcMAP12/19/2013117Area-Weighted Average of Infil and ET Apply intersection of Polygons to determine contributions of respective unitsUpscale from LU SubBasin Basin Cell

SUBASIN i in BASIN jSUBBASIN m in BASIN nLU1LU1LU2GRID CELLBASIN nBASIN j12/19/2013118

118Plots12/19/2013119Annual 1995, 2000, 2004 (Net Recharge)Annual 1995, 2000, 2004 (I 2)Annual 1995, 2000, 2004 (ET 2)

1995 Net Infiltration

2000 Net Infiltration

2004 Net Infiltration

1995 Total Infiltration

2000 Total Infiltration

2004 Total Infiltration

1995 ET

2000 ET

2004 ETNonNorthern District Model12/19/201312912/19/2013130

NorthernBasinEasternBasinCentralBasin12/19/2013131

12/19/2013132

12/19/2013133

12/19/2013134BASINS 4.1*_REC.WDM FileSubbasinAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET Arc/MAPShapefilesLanduse, GridGridAGWI, IAGWI, AGWET, BASET GW ModelFilesRCH, EVT

Hands-on Session12/19/2013138Install softwareBASINSHSPEXP+Model filesLearn Concepts and How to Make ChangesProgramsModel filesOutputs generatedMake a runWinHspfLt or HSPEXP+Review OutputGraphsStatistics and ErrorsWater Balance and other SummariesInstall Software12/19/2013139Download BASINS packagehttp://aquaterra.com/basins4/BASINS4.1.2013.04.exx Change file extension to exeUninstall any previous versions of BASINSRun the file as an administrator to installDownload HSPEXP+http://aquaterra.com/pub/DSWM/HSPEXP+.zip Unzip the file and run setup.exe to installDownload Model fileshttp://aquaterra.com/pub/DSWM/ModelFiles.zip Unzip the file Copy the three separate directories (HAT, EXT, OKL) to the C:\BASINS41\modelout directoryLearn Concepts12/19/2013140Watershed Model Files (XXX = three letter code for watershed)

XXX.uci primary input file for watershedContains all parameters, option flags, land use, watershed connectivity, and instructions for reading input and writing outputText file; column-specific inputs in all active lines; three * indicate a comment lineExperience with HSPF and access to Users Manual are necessary

XXX.wdm time series input and output data for watershedBinary file; access/maintain with BASINS or WDMUtilMultiple datasets

XXX_MET.wdm - WDM file containing meteorological time series input data for watershed

XXX_IRR.wdm WDM file containing irrigation and surface water pumping data for watershed

Watershed Model Files (continued)12/19/2013141XXX_REC.wdm WDM file containing recharge-related output for watershed

XXX.exs one or more basin description files for defining information used by the HSPEXP+ program to generate graphical and statistical output at specific outlet locations in the watershed

XXX.out PERLND, IMPLND, RCHRES output summaries at user-defined intervals (text file)

XXX.hbn - PERLND, IMPLND, RCHRES output summaries at user-defined intervals (binary file) for use by post-processing programs

XXX.ech output file; echo/summary of all info in the UCI file; contains error/warning messages

Programs (review from earlier)12/19/2013142BASINS display time series data graphically and listing; build/maintain WDM files and datasets; generate meteorological data; much more!

HSPEXP+ - runs simulation; generates statistical and graphical output at locations in watershed; provides hydrology calibration advice

WDMUtil build/maintain WDM files and datasets; generate meteorological data

WinHspf run HSPF models; edit UCI file; implement scenarios; set up output locations in model

WinHspfLt run HSPF model (batch)Outputs Generated by HSPF12/19/2013143XXX.out textfile summaries of state variables and fluxes at user-defined intervals for HSPF operations (PERLND, RCHRES, IMPLND)

XXX.hbn binary file version of XXX.out (used by HSPEXP or BASINS to generate statistics and other outputs)

XXX.ech echo of UCI file information; error/warning messages

XXX.wdm HSPF writes timeseries output to the primary WDM file (flow rates and other information specific to subwatershed outlets)

XXX_REC.wdm recharge-related timeseries output (AGWET, BASET, AGWI, IGWI)

Outputs Generated by HSPEXP+12/19/2013144Look in subdirectory with name: Reports_201312181302HydrographsFull period, Annual, Log, MonthlyFlow Duration graphsCumulative Flow graphsStatistical Summaries - all are text filesDailyMonthlyFlowStats - *.txtAnnualFlowStats - *.txtMonthlyAverageFlowStats - *.txtExpert System Statistics - *.stsExpert System Calibration Advice - *.adv

Examples - graphs12/19/2013145

Examples Daily Flow Stats12/19/2013146RCH418: Daily Simulated Observed Count 4,110 4,110 Mean 305.34 310.06 Geometric Mean 271.89 287.48

Note: TS, Time Series

Correlation Coefficient 0.884 Coefficient of Determination 0.781 Mean Error -4.716 Mean Absolute Error 58.961 RMS Error 81.485 Model Fit Efficiency 0.673

Table 1 TS 1 - EXT RCH418 SIMQ TS 2 - WEKIVA RIVER NEAR SANFORD, FLExamples Expert System Statistics12/19/2013147 Expert System Statistics for EXT.uciSimulation Period: 3 Water years from 2003/10/01 to 2006/09/30 Site: RCH507

Total (3 year run)

Observed Simulated Simulated Simulated Total Runoff Total Runoff Surface Runoff Interflow total (inches) = 236.74 238.17 1.289 5.073 10% high (inches) = 37.895 36.983 25% high (inches) = 77.75 78.459 50% high (inches) = 136.27 138.89 50% low (inches) = 100.48 99.272 25% low (inches) = 47.993 47.04 10% low (inches) = 18.809 18.145 storm volume (inches) = 23.235 22.697 0.78 2.446 average storm peak (cfs) = 277.52 277.57 78.81 50.655 baseflow recession rate = 0.998 0.997 summer volume (inches) = 58.131 58.679 winter volume (inches) = 56.313 56.803 summer storms (inches) = 7.971 8.119 0.044 0.353 winter storms (inches) = 0 0 0 0Make a Model Run with WinHspfLt12/19/2013148Open C:\Basins41\modelout\EXT directoryBrowse to UCI fileDrag file to WinHspfLt icon on desktopAlternatively, doubleclick WinHspfLt icon, browse to UCI file, and click Open

Make a Model Run with HSPEXP+12/19/2013149Start Programs Browse to HSPEXP+ and start the programUse Browse button to browse to the UCI file; click OpenToggle () the following 5 items:Run WinHspfLt before calculating the statisticsCalculate Expert StatisticsProduce Land Use and watershed area reportsProduce standard monthly flowgraphsProduce Water Balance reportsEnter the following numbers in the red-bordered box: 312,316,415,418,434,507,508 (these are outlet reach ID numbers where observed flow data are available)Click StartHSPEXP+12/19/2013150

Create Time Series Graphs with BASINS 4.1Open BASINS from Start Menu.

Go to File Open Data Select WDM Time Series Click OK

Browse to Desired WDM Time Series Click OK

View the Data File(s) opened by BASINS 4.1The file is opened by BASINS 4.1 and you may view the file by going to File Manage Data

Go to AnalysisGraphFrom the Data Sources Window or BASINS 4.1 window.

Click No at the selection Window

Data Selection Window

Select Desired Locations and Constituents to see the matching dataYou can view more attributes of Data by Clicking on Attributes Add and then selecting the desired attributes.

Select Desired Matching Data by Clicking on it. Selected Data shows up on Selection Pane near bottom

Verify the Time Periods, Time Step; Change if Needed, and Click OK.

Select the Types of Graphs Desired and Click Generate

Selected Graphs are Produced

EditGraphThis window can be used to edit colors, scale, legend, font, add lines etc.

On Scatter Plot go to Edit Graph Lines

Click on Add with Equation Y (second Add Button) to get a Y=X lineEdit the label and color of the new line.Click on Apply.

Make a model run to see the effects of parameter changes12/19/2013166EXT model Adjust parameters for the PERLNDs that contribute to RCHRES 415 (Little Wekiva River)RCHRES 415 represents SJRWMD gage at Springs LandingIncrease INFILT (PWAT-PARM2 table) to try to reduce the peak flows; make use of comments in UCI file to locate the PERLNDs that contribute to RCHRES 415Save modified UCI file and then run the model and generate outputs using HSPEXP+Compare hydrographs, duration plot, cumulative flow graph, and expert statistics for RCHRES 415 for the original run and your new runSee next slide for instructionsRun HSPEXP+12/19/2013167Make changes to UCI file with a text editorSave fileStart HSPEXP+Browse to EXT.uciCheck the boxes shown in the figureEnter 415 in the red boxClick StartReview/compare results for the two runs