Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN,...

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Disrupting the international commodity market PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE

Transcript of Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN,...

Page 1: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Disrupting the international commodity marketPRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LIL JEBRUNN, JESPERSUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK

PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE

Page 2: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

How can McGILL StLAURENT effectively leverage human, technological & financial capital to develop the next generation trading?

MAIN CHALLENGE

Page 3: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Imagine this future for McGILL St LAURENT…

Offering more value to current customers

50 million gross

profit in 2020

Staying true to

core values

Page 4: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Establish a trading platform for your customers and integrate suppliers of other commodities to offer a full product portfolio

OUR RECOMMENDATION

Page 5: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Material Quantity

Wood _________

Grain _________

Steel _________

Lithium _________

BUY

BUY

BUY

BUY

McGILL StLAURANT trading platform

Page 6: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Situation

Analysis of the opportunity

Recommendation

Implementation

Financials

Risks

Conclusion

Today’s agenda

Page 7: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Situation – Business challenges of the trading industry

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

• Unpredictability of product sales• Disrupt or be disrupted• Traditionally of trading business• Labor intensity

CHALLENGES:

Page 8: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Situation – The current business model is done using phones & in person meetings

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

McGill StLaurent• Wholesale distribution• Back to Back-model

Customers• Manufacture• International

importers

SUPPLIERS• Grain

suppliers• Sawmills• Custom-

cutters

Phone conversation in-person meetings

Page 9: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Situation – The core of the business

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

McGILL StLAURENT

Core values

• Entrepreneurship

• Professionality

• Commitment

Vison:

• To develop a world class trading company fueled by entrepreneurial and creative minds

Mission

• Sustainably build, feed and power the planet

Page 10: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Situation – Pinpointing what kind of business MS is in

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

“You deliver trades, sales and distribution of commodities worldwide,

Yet you facilitate world wide business connections”

Page 11: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Situation – The financial objectives for the future

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Financial objectives for the future:

$17-18 million EBTDA

By 2021

$50 million gross profit

By 2020

$200 million by

2018

Page 12: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Analysis – Four important areas to analyze

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

The capabilities

The position

The trends

The industry

Page 13: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Analysis – Different characteristics of different areas

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Wood Architectural wood

Grain Energy

market B2b b2b & b2c B2b b2b

Margins Low Hihgh Low High

volumes High Low High Mod

Competition High Mod High High

Barriers to entry

Low Mod Low high

Trend Positive Volatile Positive Volatile

Overview of the industries

Page 14: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Analysis – Strong current capabilities that could be an advantage in current industry

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

McGillSt Laurent

Relationships

Bravery

CuriosityRisk management

Technology

Current capabilities:

Valuable

Rare

Organized

Costly to imitate

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Analysis – Sales are currently fluctuating

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

2009 2017

Sales

Page 16: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Analysis – Markets disrupted by accessibility

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

What makes markets disrupt?

Reducing the value of the middle man

Page 17: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Analysis

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Who becomes the winner?

The one who provides the accessibility

Page 18: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Analysis – Move to a more attractive position in the market

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Glencore

ABCDMcGill St Laurent

Number of commodities

Size of company

Opportunity

Page 19: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Recommendation

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

How can McGILL StLAURENT effectively leverage human, technological & financial capital to develop the next generation trading?MAIN CHALLENGE

Page 20: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Recommendation

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Establish a trading platform for your

customers and integrate suppliers

of other commodities to

offer a full product portfolio

1

Expand the current business

to other geographical

areas

2

Expand the current business by hiring more

talents

3

Page 21: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Recommendation

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Growth potential1

Competitive advantage2

Profitability3

Investment4

Page 22: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Recommendation – Trading platform is the superior choice

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Ggrowth

Ccompetitive advantage

Pprofitability

investment

Trading platformGeographical

expansionHire talents

3 2 1

3 1 2

2 1 3

3 1 2

SUM: 11 SUM: 5 SUM: 8

Page 23: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Recommendation

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Establish a trading platform for your customers and integrate suppliers of other commodities to offer a full product portfolio

OUR RECOMMENDATION

Page 24: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Shut down the project

Expand your own

product offering

Wait until the market is ready for a new try

Recommendation – A contingency plan if the original strategy does not go well

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Contingency plan

Page 25: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Implementation – Leveraging on the core competence of connecting commodities with buyers

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

“Establish a trading platform for your customers and integrate supplies of other

commodities to offer a full product portfolio”

• Implementing trading platform• Higher volume trading• Automatizing commodity connection• Using customer data to predict commodity sales• Tools to identify future growth opportunities

Page 26: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

MS trading platform CustomersSUPPLIERS

Implementation – The MS automated trading platform to connect commodities 2.0

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Material Quantity

Wood _________

Grain _________

Steel _________

Lithium _________

BUY

BUY

BUY

BUY

ProducersSelling their goods effectively and efficiently

Trading companies

Selling their goods effectively and efficiently

Offering full service product

selection• Energy• Mining• Agriculture• Forestry• Stone products

Collect customer data to predict commodity sales to optimize to optimize and to identify new opportunities

Page 27: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Implementation – Move to a more attractive position in the market

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Glencore

ABCDMcGill St Laurent

Number of commodities

Size of company

McGill St Laurent

Page 28: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Implementation – value proposition of digitally innovating the day-to-day-trading

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

• Industrial manufactures professionals (and customers) and buyers

For whom

• Commodity trading

In the market of…

• Export, custom transformation and storage solutions

Promising

• Financial success

• Long-lasting relationship

• State of the art tech solutions

• Entrepreneurial approach

• Strong brand image

Proven by

Page 29: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Implementation – Continous implementation cycle

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Build platform

•Frontend sellers

•Front end buyers

•Back end MS

•Hire 5 IT

Establish partnership•Suppliers with complementary construction material offering

Train customers and suppliers•Practical implementation

•Account manager guidance and service

•Keep old ordering system in place

Hedge sales unpredictability•Identify product growth opportunities

•Expand business

Page 30: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Implementation – New offerings on the platform

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Wood Architectural wood Grain EnergyNEW

COMMODITYNEW

COMMODITY

Identified by sales datafrom trading system

Page 31: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Implementation – Solving all challenges

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

• Unpredictability of product sales• Disrupt or be disrupted• Traditionally of trading business• Labor intensity

Page 32: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Implementation - Reaching 15 gross profit million by 2020

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Hire 5 IT staff

Build platform

Establish partnership

Train suppliers

Roll out

Collect data

Identify product opportunities

Expand product portfolio

Page 33: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Financials

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Lower margins

Bigger volumes

Financial Impact

Page 34: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Financials

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Product diversity fuelling the growth, 20% of revenues from

other categories by 2020

45 46 50 5713 13 16 20

122 125156

1800

32

54

84

180

216

270

338

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2017 2018 2019 2020

Revenues mln $

Energy Grain CWP Other product categories Sales

Page 35: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Financials – Investment costs

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

One/off Ongoing

Trading Platform 0.5 mln $ 0.25 mln annually

Product Portfolio expansion

0.5 mln $ Ca 1 mln annually (trading team of 7-10 ppl)

Role out activities 0.2 mln $

Total 1.2 mln $

Page 36: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Financials – Reaching the financial objectives

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Financial objectives reached with the plan:

$17-18 million EBTDA

By 2021

$50 million gross profit

By 2020

$200 million by 2018

Page 37: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Risks – There are risks with various impacts but they can all be mitigated

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

Risk

Loss of personal contact

Industry unwilling to

change

System failures

Impact

Mod

High

Low

Mitigation

Keep account managers

Educate

Old system

Page 38: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Conclusion

Situation Analysis Recommendation Implementation Financials Risks Conclusion

• A company well off financially

The situation

• Developing next generation trading

• Capitalizing on market disruption

• Optimizing business model for disruption

Objectives

• How can McGILL StLAURENT effectively leverage human, technological & financial capital to develop the next generation trading?

Key challenge

• Establish a trading platform for your customers and integrate suppliers of other commodities to offer a full product portfolio

Our recommendation

Page 39: Disrupting the international commodity market · PRESENTERS LUND CONSULTING: TIMOTHY LILJEBRUNN, JESPER SUNDSTROM, KAISA VAINO, IRIS POLITIEK PRESENTING TO: MR BOISERLAIR & MR. LOBBE.

Imagine this future for McGILL St LAURENT…

Offering more value to current customers

50 million gross

profit in 2020

Staying true to

core values