Disegno Sperimentale (DoE) come strumento per...
Transcript of Disegno Sperimentale (DoE) come strumento per...
Giornata di Studio
Disegno Sperimentale (DoE) come strumento per QbD
Università degli Studi di Milano Dipartimento di Scienze Farmaceutiche
Milano, 22 aprile 2013
Dr. Lorenza Broccardo
Introduction
Quality by Design is
systematic approach to development that begins with predefined objectives and emphasizes product and process understanding
and process control, based on sound science and quality risk management
--ICH Q8 (R), Step 2
Nowadays, product quality cannot be tested into the finished product but it must be “designed” and built into a product and its manufacturing process The International Conference on Harmonization of Technical Requirements for Registration of Pharmaceuticals for Human Use provides a guide for pharmaceuticals process developers that introduce the QbD concept:
Design of Experiments (DOE) is
an statistical methodology useful to plan a set of experiments in order to obtain
the maximum amount of information with the minimum amount of experiments
Tools to achieve QbD: • Design by Experiments (DoE) • Risk Assessment • Multivariate data Analysis (MVA)
Which applications? • process • products
When is it useful? • development (new process-new product) • optimisation (process/product-performance) • minimization (cost-discard-pollution) • robustness testing (method-instrument) • selection of influencing variables • understand the relation between responses and variables • define the set point • define the design space
About DoE
Examples pharmaceutical problems well handled by DoE • define factors influencing a reaction yield
• optimization of a chromatographic separation • optimization of a mixture (mixture: blend which components cannot be
manipulated independently of one another)
• production of active substance as powder: define the design space, that is, the experimental conditions assuring a production inside specifications
Definitions
Factors
independent variables, X, controlled by the experimenter
Range
[Xmin; Xmax]
Experimental domain
the numbers of factors and their ranges of variability define the experimental domain
Responses
dependent variables, Y, measured
Objective
The experimentation purpose:
• screening (preliminary information)
• optimization (detailed information)
• robustness testing (evaluate the process robustness)
X
factors
Y
responses
MODEL
Why an experimental planning ? To obtain new information about the system, the experimenter causes a controlled variation of factors and measure the corresponding modification of the responses • information are “located” in the factors setting (X matrices): a careful
planning of experiments increases the amount of information • an appropriate experiments planning allow to connect matrix X and Y by a
mathematical equation (model) which enable prediction
Classical
1. incomplete sampling of the X space
2. gives different implications with different starting points
3. no quantification of interactions
4. does not lead to the real optimum
5. leads to many experiments and poor information
6. what about: X=3 and Y=2?
Classical vs DOE approach
10 11 12 13 14 15
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
X1
X2
DOE
1. homogeneous sampling of the X space
2. result independent from the starting point
3. quantification of interactions
4. experimental results are interpreted by a regression model
- system description by a surface
- predictive power
- information about the real optimum
5. requires few experiments to obtain al lot of information
6. handles complex systems
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10 11 12 13 14 15 -2 0 2 4 6 8
X1
X2
DoE make use of “design” Design: organized distribution of experiments within the experimental domain
Full Factorial Composit Box-Behnken
Doehlert x2=1 x3=1
x1=1
Simplex
The design generates the worksheet
Experiments are analyze and interpret by a model
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The model is a mathematical relation between ∆X (set) and ∆Y (measured)
ƒ(x) = b0 + b1x + b2x2 + … bnx
n + e
Three main types of polynomial models
linear: y = b0 + b1x1 + b2x2 +...+ e
interaction: y = b0 + b1x1 + b2x2 + b12x1x2 +...+ e
quadratic: y = b0 + b1x1 + b2x2 + b11x12 + b22x2
2 + b12x1x2 +...+
The model graphical representation
It is a m dimensional surface representing Y
as a function of all Xi
(m = ∑i Xi + 1)
Y = f (Xi)
It is used for Y prediction
design
2 factors 3 factors > 3
Hyper cube
Balanced fraction
of hyper cube
Hyper cube + axial
points
Objectives, Design and Model are linked
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objective
Screening (factors<4)
Screening (factors>4) Rob. testing
Optimization
response surface
Linear
Linear Interactions
Quadratic
model
Identification of influencing input process parameters
Early stage of system study (screening)
Find out which factors are the dominating ones
Many factors are investigated in few runs
List of supposed influencing factors is
proposed on the bases of:
• previous knowledge on the system
• fishbone (cause-and-effect) diagram
• risk assessment (FMEA)
Factors effect is tested by a
screening design
• outcome:
QbD steps that achieve benefit from DoE application
Definition of appropriate experimental domain
Early stage of system study (screening)
Find out which factors ranges include the experimental condition corresponding to the required response(s) value
Many factors are investigated in few runs
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10 11 12 13 14 15 -2 0 2 4 6 8
X1
X2
Define the set point conditions
As a result of the screening phase, the most important factors and their appropriate range of variability have been defined
Optimization:
• understand the relation between each factor and each response (linear, interaction, quadratic)
• plot the responses predicted value by the polynomial models
• predict the best set point conditions
Few factors are investigated in many runs
-100
1020
Sul
Mof
Tem
p
Sul*
Sul
Mof*
Mof
Tem
p*T
em
p
Sul*
Mof
Sul*
Tem
p
Mof*
Tem
p
%
Scaled & Centered Coefficients for Yield
Robustness testing
It is usually carried out before the release of a product or an analytical method as a latest test to assure quality.
The objective is to verify the process stability and define the design space
Responses specifications must be defined
Set point Factor combination which is currently used for running the process
Experimental domain “small” shift around the set point
Design Linear (many factors are investigated in few runs)
Outcome • the process is robust:
release the set point factor combination and the factors variability ranges that assure quality
• the process is not robust: identify factors responsible for the process high sensitivity and define how to reduce their impact
4000
5000
6000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Pla
teN
Replicate Index
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4
5
6 7
8 910
1112
Min
Target
Nature of robustness
Are responses inside or outside specifications? Is regression model significant or not? Four limiting cases
1) Inside specification/Significant model • all the measured values are inside the specification • regression model significant • apply the model to predict maximum variation
the process is robust 2) Inside specification/Non-Significant model • ideal outcome • changes in parameters correspond to the experimental error
the process is robust
3) Outside specification/Significant model • discover which factors causes the outside of specification • apply the model to understand how factors’ ranges should be varied to achieve robustness the process is not robust
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3,0
3,5
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k2
Replicate Index
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910 1112Target
Max
-0,30-0,20-0,10-0,000,10
AcN
#
pH
#
Tem
p#
OS
A#
Co
l(A
)
Co
l(B
)
Scaled & Centered Coefficients for k2
4) Outside specification/Non-Significant model
Most complex limiting case ......
• replicated center-points have much higher response values (left) o might be possible to resolve by shrinking the design o at minimum an additional design
• one strong outlier (right) o risk for a process that is unstable and then gives strange results o cause of problem needs to be found and a new design performed
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30
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ve
tifi
c
Replicate Index
Plot of Replications for vetificwith Experiment Number labels
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4
5 6 7 8 91011
Investigation: itdoe_roblimcases
MOD DE 7 - 2003-11-17 11:58:00
50
60
70
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
ve
tifi
c
Replicate Index
Plot of Replications for vetificwith Experiment Number labels
1 23 4 5 6 7 8
91011
Investigation: itdoe_roblimcases
MODDE 7 - 2003-11-17 11:59:51
0
10
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50
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
ve
tifi
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Replicate Index
Plot of Replications for vetificwith Experiment Number labels
1 2
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4 5 6 7 8 91011
Investigation: itdoe_roblimcases
MODDE 7 - 2003-11-17 12:01:59
Design Space
The Design Space correspond to the experimental domain centered on the set point and including only experimental conditions that assure quality according
with defined standard (y) and the accepted level of risk of failure (DPMO)
To define the Design Space, a robustness test is required
The design space is calculated on the bases of: • regression model • model error • Monte Carlo simulation • responses specifications • DPMO (Defect Per Million Opportunities) level accepted Outcome: experimental domain (design space) assuring that all responses are inside specifications according to the accepted level of failure
Monte Carlo simulation The Monte Carlo simulations are: • random factor settings according to • the selected distribution • around their optimum value but • within the Low and High limits • followed by predictions of the responses 1.000.000 predictions are performed DPMO (Defect Per Million Opportunities) shows how many response predictions are outside the response specifications based on one million simulations Indicates the sensitivity of the responses to the external perturbation applied to the factors settings Ideal outcome: DMPO = 0
Design Space outcome Identify critical factors (AcN, OSA) and define new range of variability
Identify critical responses (k2) Verify that the new factors range assure robustness
Design space outcome Probability contour plot
DoE
• is a tool to achieve QbD
• is an organized methodology useful to plan a set of experiments efficiently
• provides tools to analyze the data and make decision
• makes available a deep understanding of the process
• allows to save time and money
Conclusion
Acknowledgements
Scientific committee
Organizing committee All attendees