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Tilburg University
Director Networks and Takeovers
Renneboog, L.D.R.; Zhao, Y.
Publication date:2013
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Citation for published version (APA):Renneboog, L. D. R., & Zhao, Y. (2013). Director Networks and Takeovers. (CentER Discussion Paper; Vol.2013-056). Finance.
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No. 2013-056
DIRECTOR NETWORKS AND TAKEOVERS
By
Luc Renneboog, Yang Zhao
11 October 2013
ISSN 0924-7815 ISSN 2213-9532
0
Director Networks and Takeovers
Luc Renneboog 1
CentER, Tilburg University
and
Yang Zhao 2
Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University
Abstract We study the impact of corporate networks on the takeover process. We find that better connected companies are more active bidders. When a bidder and a target have one or more directors in common, the probability that the takeover transaction will be successfully completed augments, and the duration of the negotiations is shorter. Connected targets more frequently accept offers that involve equity. Directors of the target firm (who are not interlocked) have a better chance to be invited to the board of the combined firm in connected M&As. While connections have a clear impact on the takeover strategy and process, we do not find evidence that the market acknowledges connections between bidders and targets as the announcement returns are not statistically different from those bidders and targets which are ex ante not connected.
Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions, Director Networks, Centrality, Connections.
JEL Classification: D85, G14, G34
Acknowledgments: We are grateful to John Armour, Lucian Bebchuk, Jan Belle, Bernie Black, Riccardo Calcagno, Salim Chahine,
Stijn Claessens, Mark Clatworthy, Martijn Cremers, Rafel Crespi, Peter Cziraki, Eric van Damme, Hans
Degryse, Ingolf Dittmann, Piet Duffhues, Andrew Ellul, Allen Ferrell, Fabio Feriozzi, Fabiozi Ferri, Philipp
Geiler, Marc Goergen, Willemien Kets, Christian Leuz, Neil O’Sullivan, Raghu Rau, Roberta Romano,
Christophe Spaenjers, Oliver Spalt, Konstantinos Stathopoulos, Jacques Vide, Paolo Volpin, and David Yermack
for helpful comments on this paper.
1 Department of Finance and CentER, Tilburg University, P.O. Box 90153, 5000 LE Tilburg, the Netherlands, and European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI), email: [email protected], phone: +31 13 4668210, fax: +31 13 466 2875. 2 Cardiff Business School, Aberconway Building, Colum Drive, Cardiff CF10 3EU, the UK, email: [email protected], Tel: + 44 (0)29 2087 6434, fax: + 44 (0)29 2087 4419,
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Director Networks and Takeovers
1. Introduction
Traditionally, firms have invited top managers of other corporations or bankers to serve on
their boards of directors. Despite some restrictions in the UK Corporate Governance Code3,
interlocking directorships are still common in listed UK companies. The fact that executive
directors also occupy board positions in firms other than their own can create useful
connections not just at the personal (director) level but can also be valuable for firms.
Through such networks, directors develop and strengthen their personal (and social) ties,
which may lead to more influence in board room discussions. Furthermore, networks enable
directors to gather information about corporate strategies, sector trends, (macro-)economic
evolutions, but also about the evolution in executive remuneration, and managerial vacancies
in other companies.
Over the last decade, director networks have attracted growing academic attention in the field
of corporate finance and corporate governance. With the help of the network method based on
graph theory, studies have documented a positive link between networks and firm
performance (Geletkanycz and Boyd, 2011; Larcker, So and Wang, 2013). The main
argument is that networks provide better access to information from which the firm can
benefit in decision making (Omer, Shelley and Tice, 2012). More recently, researchers have
revealed previously hidden relationships between the connections of the corporate elite and
3 The Higgs report (2003) suggested that a full-time executive director of a listed company should not hold more
than one non-executive directorship and should not be Chairman of another listed company. Furthermore, no one
should be (non-executive) Chairman of two major (FTSE 100) companies. Within a company, a CEO should not
also hold the position of chairman. The report does not limit the number of non-executive directorship that one
can hold (in unlisted firms). At the end of 2003, the Higgs report was incorporated in the UK Corporate
Governance Code (formerly known as the Combined Code). It should be noted that firms adopt this code
voluntarily, which stands in contrast to the corporate governance developments in the US where the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act can lead to legal intervention in case of violations against the Act.
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board room issues such as decision making on managerial compensation, hiring and firing of
top management, the recruiting of non-executive directors, and corporate restructuring. For
instance, Liu (2013) shows that a CEO’s connections (here labelled as ‘outside options’)
enhance his opportunities to leave his firm for another challenge. Cai and Sevilir (2010)
demonstrate in the context of mergers and acquisitions (M&As) that informational
asymmetries are lower when the bidder and the target have a common director. Renneboog
and Zhang (2011) and Horton, Millo and Serafeim (2012) demonstrate that a CEO’s direct and
indirect connections affect his power and his information-collection value, which is reflected
in a higher remuneration.
In this paper, we focus on how the connections of bidder and target firms impact on various
aspects of mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in the UK. In a network context, we study the
frequency of takeovers, the M&A process (in particular, the duration of the negotiation and
the success versus failure at the end of the negotiation process), the means of payment
(all-equity, all-cash or mixed offers), the retention or attraction of directors of the target firm
on the board of the merged firm, and whether there is a differences in terms of expected
returns at the announcement of connected and non-connected M&As.
To analyze the existence of director networks between bidder and target, we resort to
simulations of matching (potential) targets and bidders among all UK listed companies. To
find out the determinants of the various aspects of the takeover process mentioned above, we
use (multi-)nominal probit and tobit models, and as a robustness check sample selection
models. We find that when two firms are directly connected via their directors, the probability
that they merge or that one firm takes over the other is significantly higher than when the
firms are not connected. Takeover activity is not only affected by direct links with other firms
but also by the indirect connections of the board and of the CEO of the bidding firms: if those
(executive) directors hold many connections, acquisitions frequently occur. So, better
connected companies are more active bidders. We demonstrate that when a bidder and a target
have one or more directors in common, it is more likely that the takeover transaction will be
successfully completed. In this context, only direct connections play a role (and not the
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indirect proxies for information collection). Furthermore, connections also significantly
reduce the time spent in the negotiation process (both for successful or failed negotiations). It
is possible that connections lead to an informational advantage which may translate into more
trust between the parties involved, as connected firms more frequently accept equity offers.
Directors of the target firm (who are not interlocked) have a better chance to be invited on the
board of the combined firm in the case of a connected M&A.
While connections seem to have a clear impact on the takeover strategy and process
(frequency, duration, successful completion, means of payment, board composition of the
combined firm), we do not find evidence that market acknowledges that some M&As are
connected (or that it matters in terms of expected value creation) because the cumulative
abnormal returns (CARs) around the announcement date are not statistically different from
zero.
This paper is organized as follows. In the next section, we review the existing literature and
formulate the hypotheses. In section 3, we present the descriptive statistics of the
(sub)samples. The results of the empirically analyses are discussed in section 4, and section 5
comprises our conclusion.
2. Hypotheses and Methodology.
The information value of director networks consists of directors’ ability to collect (non-public)
information about the potential target or bidder and about the potential synergies in an M&A.
Companies with better information access (through networks) are more likely to find valuable
targets and therefore initiate more takeovers. If the bidder or target are directly connected
through cross-directorships, these common directors may already have disclosed relevant
information about the potential benefits of an M&A prior to the negotiations such that the
negotiation process can be sped up. We formulate our hypotheses on the relation between the
information value of connections and the value, process, and performance of M&A in this
section.
2.1. M&A Frequency.
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The first question we ask is whether the frequency of takeover bids initiated by a firm is
related to its network; in other words, do takeovers occur more often between firms with
common directors? It may be that firms who intend to take over another firm or want to be
taken over, offer a directorship to an (executive) director of a potential target or bidder,
respectively. This director may gain more information on the counterpart such that expensive
takeover mistakes can be avoided. The relation between takeover decisions and individual
director or corporate networks is not necessarily only based on direct links between bidder
and target as indirect director connections (links not directly with the respectively bidder or
target but through third boards) may also facilitate information transmission across companies.
Indeed, better connected companies are more likely to find suitable targets and engage more
frequently in M&As. Only few studies (Ishii and Xuan, 2010, and Wu, 2011) have related the
takeover probability to corporate (director) relations. Both studies focus on the US and show
that firm connectedness in an M&A sample is much higher than in random samples. We also
start our analysis with the method inspired by Ishii and Xuan (2010) and use simulation
techniques to create different samples from which hypothetical pairs of acquirers and targets
are selected. We expect that the level of connectedness is higher in the takeover sample group
than in the simulated samples, which leads to the following hypothesis: An M&A is more
likely to occur between two firms which are directly connected by means of common directors
(Hypothesis 1a) and for firms with a high indirect centrality scores which proxy for the
information collection ability of their directors in the universe of (listed) firms (Hypothesis
1b). This is translated into the following model:
(Cumulative) number of M&As = α+β1* (direct or indirect) centrality measure + β2* firm
characteristics + ε, whereby the centrality measure can be one of the following variables: the
bidder’s Degree, normalized Closeness measure, its Eigenvector centrality, and its
(normalized) Betweenness.4
2.2 Duration and Completion of M&A negotiations.
When the intention of the acquisition of a potential target is disclosed to the market by the
4 For the definitions of Degree and Closeness: see the methodology section. For the definition and calculation of other centrality measures (eigenvalue (a direct centrally measure) and betweenness (an indirect centrality measure)) which we use as a robustness check, see Renneboog and Zhao (2011).
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bidder or the target, the target board needs to decide how to react and what advice (rejection or
acceptance) to give to its shareholders. Upon a negative response by the target board, the
bidder may make a sweetened offer or initiate a hostile takeover. As a reply, the target
company may consider accepting an upwardly revised offer or ask permission to the
shareholders on an extraordinary general meeting to activate various defensive mechanisms
to protect itself (Goergen et al., 2005; Martynova and Renneboog, 2008b, 2011b). The
duration of the M&A process (from announcement to deal completion) can be measured. The
bidder usually prefers to have a short negotiation duration, as a longer waiting time due to the
target’s resistance increases the transaction costs and uncertainty. Moreover, connections
between bidder and target may also have an impact on the negotiation duration in case of
unsuccessful M&As; connections also resolve the information asymmetry problem and
enable the parties involved to reach the end of negotiation (in this case: the bidder withdraws)
within a shorter period of time. In sum, we expect that director connections shorten the
negotiation time, thanks to the directors’ information about the counter party or the indirect
information value of their network. We also expect networks to have an impact on the
completion rate of the negotiation process. The completion rate stands for the frequency of
successfully rounding off the M&A process with a signature that the two firms will be merged.
M&As of firms involving direct connections or bidders with strong information gathering
potential (high indirect centrality) successfully reach the end the M&A process more
frequently (Hypothesis 2a). M&As of firms with direct connections and firms with strong
information gathering potential (high indirect centrality) experience a shorter takeover
duration process as well (Hypothesis 2b).
The duration of the M&A negotiation period is counted as the number of days starting from
the day on which an M&A intention is first publicly disclosed, until the transaction is
completed (the contract is signed) or the negotiation is abandoned. In some cases, we cannot
determine the negotiation time as the first public announcement that takeover negotiations
have taken place only occurs upon completion of the deal. We treat these observations
separately in our study.
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2.3. Payment Method.
An important aspect of the negotiation relates to the payment method. An M&A could be
concluded in cash, in equity, or in a mixture of both. Information asymmetries between bidder
and target are an important determinant of the means of payment in corporate acquisitions
(Renneboog and Martynova, 2009). In particular, uncertainty about the true value of the target
firm induces the bidder to pay with its own equity rather than cash. Capital participation in the
combined firm makes the target shareholders share the risk of potential downward
revaluations after the bid’s completion. Faccio and Masulis (2005) document that a change in
the corporate control structure – for instance, by means of voting power dilution or the
emergence of an outside blockholder - may discourage bidders from paying for the
acquisition with equity. Thus, the likelihood of an equity payment is determined by the control
structures of the bidding and target firms. In particular, a cash payment is strictly preferred to
an equity payment when the target’s share ownership is concentrated and a bidder’s largest
blockholder only holds an intermediate or low level of voting power. This preference is
weakened if the target company is widely held or if the bidder’s dominant shareholder has a
supermajority of voting rights.
From a target shareholders’ perspective, the difficulty related to an all-equity offer lies within
the uncertainty about bidder’s stock value. An equity offer can be interpreted by the target as a
signal that the stock of the bidder is overvalued. This offer could therefore extend the
negotiation process as more detailed information on the bidder is to be gathered. If there are
common directors between bidder and target, we expect that the target is able to assess the
bidder’s stock value more accurately –overvalued or not - and will be more willing to accept
an equity offer (at the right offer rate). There are many studies on the payment method, but
none, save Wu (2011), mention the effect of director networks. Wu (2011) finds that
connections between bidder and target increase the likelihood of using a stock payment by
18.5%. Similarly, we hypothesize that: In M&As with direct connections between acquirer
and target, offers involving equity occur more frequently (Hypothesis 3).
2.4. M&A Performance.
A key issue in this paper is that direct and indirect connections at the firm level (and the
7
individual director level) create an informational advantage which implies that the acquirer is
able to select better acquisitions, which is in turn reflected in the creation of more value. The
question is therefore whether the market recognizes that the bidder makes a connected
acquisition. If the market is aware of this type of M&A and is convinced that the bidder is
hence unlikely to waste resources through an unsuccessful takeover, the bidder’s abnormal
stock return will be significantly positive upon the announcement of such an acquisition. In
contrast to the abnormal announcement returns of the target which typically are in the range
25%-35%, we know that the bidder’s announcement returns are in general very close to zero,
either slightly negative or slightly positive but on average not statistically different from zero.
A comprehensive overview of long and short term M&A returns for bidders and targets
around the world since the early 20th century can be found in Martynova and Renneboog
(2008a). If the bidder has a well-connected board and is hence better informed, the bidder’s
CEO may be less likely to succumb to building empires through M&As at the expense of
value creation. Evidence supporting this hypothesis has been documented for the US by Cai
and Sevilir (2010). Keeping in mind the benchmark of zero CARs for the bidder around the
announcement data, we hypothesize: In M&As with direct or indirect connections between
acquirer and target, the acquirer’s CARs are significantly positive (Hypothesis 4).
The alternative hypothesis is that connected M&As destroy value (in expectation) because a
connection may induce a false trust in the target. If connections are regarded as substitutes for
active information collection on the target such that the bidder’s estimation of the
compatibility between the bidder and the target and of the potential synergy value becomes
blurred, then connections induce poor takeover decisions. Furthermore, social connections
(e.g. decision makers in the bidder and target are friends) may contribute to the overvaluation
of the target. Therefore, acquiring a connected target may be considered as not efficient by the
investors such that a negative correlation between connections and announcement returns is
expected, which has been shown by Ishii and Xuan (2010) and Wu (2011) for US acquisitions.
Both studies show that connected M&As have lower bidder announcement returns than
unrelated M&As.
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2.5. The Bidder’s CEO Compensation.
Renneboog and Zhao (2011) find a close relation between a CEO’s network and his
remuneration. They distinguish between different types of centrality variables and state that
direct measures represent managerial power or influence whereas the indirect centrality
measures capture the degree to which a CEO is able to gather valuable information. Both
types of networks are related to higher remuneration (higher bonus and higher equity-based
compensation), but they conclude that the direct network contributes most to excessive CEO
pay. In the context of this paper, an acquiring company may have contractually committed to
pay the CEO a bonus if he is able to complete successfully an acquisition. This creates strong
incentives for a CEO to acquire other firms. The question is here whether a CEO is using his
own connections and those of his firm to facilitate takeovers in order to get an acquisition
bonus subsequent to the acquisition. According to Grinstein and Hribar (2004), managerial
power is the primary driver of CEO bonuses following M&As. It should be noted that the vast
compensation literature doubts the independence of the CEO in the design of his
compensation contract, which would be especially the case for powerful CEOs with a long
tenure (Liu, 2013). Therefore, we hypothesize that CEOs obtain a higher bonus when they
undertake M&As facilitated by connections between acquirer and target (Hypothesis 5).
2.6. Target Director Retention
We examine whether the directors of the target company have a larger probability, subsequent
to the M&A, to be on the board of the combined company. If professional connections are
instrumental to bring M&As to a good end, connected directors of the target may have a
higher probability to be retained on the board of the merged firm. The professional (and social)
ties of the directors serving on both the bidder and target boards may lead to a higher number
of not-connected target directors to be invited to board of the combined firms. Some studies
document that the retention of the target CEO is positively affected by factors including the
abnormal stock return of the acquirer (Matsusaka, 1993) and social connections to target
company (Ishii and Xuan 2010). Hence, we expect that the target directors with no prior
connections to the bidder are more frequently invited to serve on the board of the combined
firm if there are connections between the acquirer and target (Hypothesis 6).
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3. Sample Selection, Data Sources, and Descriptive Statistics.
Our M&A data are gathered from the Thomson One Banker SDC Premium database. We
collected information about 743 acquisition announcements that involved bidders and targets
both listed on the London Stock Exchange and took place over the period 1995 to 2012. We
collected stock price, accounting information (total assets, cash ratio, debt-to-assets ratio),
and other control variables (e.g. return on assets (ROA)) from Datastream as well as data on
the bidders’ and targets’ individual board members (e.g. the number of (non-)executive
directorships, cross-directorships between our M&A sample firms, ownership stakes by type
of shareholder) and on their board structures from the BoardEX database.
The first two columns in Table 1 show the size of our acquisitions’ sample and its distribution
over time. Most takeover announcements occurred in the periods 1998 to 2000, which
represents the climax of the fifth takeover wave (Martynova and Renneboog (2006, 2011a)),
and 2005 to 2007 which coincides with the recovery of equity market following its prolonged
slowdown triggered by the high tech collapse in 2000 (Goergen and Renneboog (2004)).
Columns (3) and (4) record the number and proportion of takeovers that are connected
through directors; a larger proportion of connected acquisitions occurred when the market for
corporate control was booming. On average, 9.4% of all acquisitions are connected (Column
(5)), a ratio is comparable to the US takeover samples in Wu (2011) and Ishii and Xuan (2011)
(6.38% and 10.60%, respectively). Table 2 depicts the number of acquisitions across
industries: takeovers are most frequent in the financial sector and the services industry (with
respectively, 28.94% and 21.27% of all bidders). Takeovers also occur often in manufacturing
and retailing sectors.
[Insert Tables 1 and 2]
The characteristics of the acquisitions such as connectedness, number of announcements per
bidder, takeover success rate, negotiation time, transaction size, means of payment in the offer,
and the market response to the takeover announcement are reported in Table 3. Many bidders,
namely 139 out of 513, have acquired/attempted to acquire more than one target throughout
10
our sample period (Panel A). Amongst them, some were serial bidders acquiring up to seven
target firms within our sample period. Panel B presents the target’s attitude towards to the
offer. In the UK market for corporate control, most M&As are friendly, only approximately 5%
of the deals are hostile takeovers (which are defined as deals with target board opposition –
whatever the reason). Most offers are all-cash offers (46.3%), almost a third are all-equity
deals (which include the largest transactions), and about 22% of the offers comprise a mix of
cash and equity (possibly also of loan notes) – see Panel C. It should be noted that our sample
includes all bids, both the successful transactions (609) and failed ones (134 deals ended with
the bidder withdrawing the offer). If we analyse the success rate conditional on the bidder and
target being connected through their directors (Panel D), we find that connected deals have a
substantially higher success rate than the unconnected ones (96% vs. 81%, the difference
being statistically significant at the 99% confidence interval). Panel E shows that in 9.4% of
the acquisitions, the bidder and target have at least one director in common, and on average
16.4% of all directors of the bidder and target boards serve on both boards (which implies that
some firms are connected through multiple directorships – more precisely, in the average
M&A transaction, the bidder and target have 1.74 directors in common). The statistics about
negotiation time are reported in Panel F. For the successful deals, the average time between
announcement and completion is almost two months (59.6 days)5, and in unsuccessful deals
the offer is withdrawn after a similar time period (of about 60 working days). Note that in
some rare cases, it can take up to ten months to finalize the transaction. The deal size amounts
to GBP 143 million, with the largest transaction amounting to GBP 1 billion (Panel G). The
median deal size (the value of the offer scaled by the market value of the bidder) amounts to
0.24, which indicates that the bidder is about four times larger than the target. Two thirds of
the transactions occur between two companies from the same industry, which we call focused
transactions. In panel H of Table 3, we summarize how the market receives the announcement
and show the CARs over event windows of different lengths ([-1,+1], [-5,+1] and [-10,+10],
whereby day 0 is the announcement day). We estimate the market model over the period 194
to 41 days before the announcement to get the systematic risk. In line with earlier research, the
5 This statistics is calculated after the 2% observations with longest negotiation time – which are prone to recording error - were removed from the sample.
11
announcement CARs [-1,1] for the bidder are indistinguishable from zero with a mean of
-0.47% and a median of exactly 0%. The 25% and 75% quartiles span a range of -2.36% to
1.34%. In the final Panel (I) we present statistics for the number of target directors joining
combined firm after the deal. On average, one director from the target company will remain
on the board of the combined company. Note this number does not include the ex-ante
common directors between bidder and target. Apparently, more target directors are invited to
serve on the board of the combined company if bidder and target had been connected prior to
the M&A.
[Insert Tables 3 and 4]
Table 4 exhibits the bidders’ characteristics. Degree and Closeness are used to measure the
bidder’s network centrality, but they capture different network properties. In order to
differentiate and compare the network advantage of the CEO and the entire company, we
calculate centrality measures on different levels. More specifically, Degree (C) measures the
number of director interlocks held by a company (hence the C-label); Degree (D) measures
the number of interlocks at the individual director level (hence the D-label) and we
concentrate on the network of the CEO in this study. Closeness (C) evaluates how close a
company is to all other companies in the network, while Closeness (D) takes the individual
director as a node. In order to define Closeness, we first create a matrix for all the companies
(directors) whereby each cell represents a connection between the companies (directors) or
lack thereof. A cell comprises a one in case of a connection and a zero in case of no connection.
We define the farness of a vertex as the sum of geodesic distances between this vertex and all
other vertices that can be reached. We transform the matrix into the geodesic distance matrix
by replacing all the zeros by the geodesic distance. A higher farness value indicates that the
vertex is further from other vertices. In order to define Closeness (and normalized Closeness),
we calculate the inverse of the sum of all geodesic paths from vertex v to any other vertex t:
∑=
),(
1)(
tvdvC
Gc
. In this formula, the Closeness centrality of vertex v (Cc(v)) is equal to one
divided by the sum of the lengths of geodesic paths (dG) from v to any other vertex t. A high
Closeness value reflects the shorter distance to all other vertices, which suggests that the
target vertex is more central in the network. The normalized Closeness is defined by the
12
following formula where n is the number of vertices in the graph: ∑
−=),(
)1(100)('
tvd
nvC
Gc
. A higher
normalized Closeness score implies a shorter distance to other vertices, in which case
companies (directors) may be able to acquire the information faster. The Closeness measure is
defined over all the connected vertices in the graph (which entails that all isolated vertices do
not have a closeness measure). Degree proxies for a firm’s (a director’s) direct ability to
collect information about the target and the bidder, whereas Closeness is an indirect measure
that shows how close a corporate (or director) node is to other nodes in the whole network of
corporations (directors). Therefore, closeness focuses on the general information collection
ability in the entire network, rather than access to information from interlocked companies.
The reason to differentiate the two is that according to social network theory, information
from close-by nodes are stronger but more likely to be redundant than that from distant nodes.
On average, the bidders in our sample have (executive and non-executive) directors who hold
directorships in six other companies, which is higher than the average Degree (4) of all listed
UK companies reported in Renneboog and Zhao (2011). Table 4 also reports the normalized
Closeness at the company level (C), and Degree and normalized Closeness at the director
level (D). In this paper, we focus on the connectedness of the CEO rather than other directors.
Therefore the centrality measures at the director level (D) are based on the CEO in that
financial year. The Degree measure at the director’s level is higher than at the corporate level
as is comprises the links with the directors of all the boards that directors is serving on. The
average bidder’s board size is 10.5 with a median of 10. The last four rows of Table 4 contain
bidders’ statistics on the ROA, cash ratio, debt ratio, and total assets (in million GBP).
4. Results.
4.1 The Frequency of Connected M&As.
If it is true that director networks increase the probability of M&As (Hypothesis 1), we expect
to find more connections between companies in the M&A sample than between randomly
matched companies. We therefore compare the level of connectedness of the M&A sample –
the pairs of bidders and targets in our original sample - to that of three other simulation groups
13
drawn from the universe of all listed UK firms. From the descriptive statistics, we know that
the probability of having at least one common director between a bidder and a target is 9.42%.
In the first simulation group, we match a bidding company in the sample to a potential target
company randomly selected from the industry of the real target in the year of the acquisition.
For instance, in 2007, company A acquired company B in the chemical industry. In the
simulation, we match company A to another randomly selected company C from the chemical
industry. By checking the board information of company A and the pseudo-target C in the
year 2007, we examine whether A and C have directors in common. This procedure is
repeated for all other bidders in the sample. When the pseudo-target happens to be the same
company (C = B) as the real target, we replace it with another company D until D ≠ B. The
second simulation group includes the targets from our sample matched with randomly
selected potential bidding companies from the industry of the real bidder in the year of
acquisition. The third simulation group includes random bidders and random targets selected
from the industry of the firms involved in the real M&As in the year of the M&A.
In simulation group 1 (Table 5), the percentage of directly connected companies is 4.38%;
this is significantly lower than the real percentage of connected firms in our M&A sample
(9.42%). When we match randomly selected ‘bidders’ (from the same industry as the bidder)
to the real M&A targets, we do not find any common directors between those bidders and
targets. Finally, less than 3% pseudo-bidders and pseudo-targets (both are randomly drawn
from the same industries as the bidder and the target) are connected. We conclude that the
average level of connectedness is much higher between the real M&A companies than
randomly paired companies, which supports our first hypothesis that connections matter in
M&As. Our simulation results are in line with the results from US data presented in Ishii and
Xuan (2010).
[Insert Table 5 about here]
We further examine the relationship between M&A activity and the level of connectedness.
First, we regress the total number of M&As that a bidder undertakes on the network centrality
of the bidder and other control variables (including board size, corporate performance, and the
financial structure). The independent variables are the average values for the whole sample
14
period. The result is reported in Panel A of Table 6: the Degree centrality measure at company
level (Average Degree (C)) is positively correlated with the number of M&As. This implies
that companies with many interlocking directors more frequently enter into M&A activity.
The (normalized) Closeness and the other centrality measures at the director (CEO) level,
have a positive but insignificant impact on the number of M&As. With exception of the
debt-to-equity ratio of the bidder, other factors including profitability, board size and structure,
and ownership structure (now shown) do not affect the cumulative number of M&As. In panel
B of Table 6, we take as dependent variable the cumulative number of deals over time, which
is the number of M&As that a bidder initiated since the start of our sample period up to a
specific point in time. The cumulative number-approach considers the M&A activities every
year while also taking into account the history of M&A activities and thus combines these two
measures: a dummy variable capturing an M&A transaction announcement in one particular
year and the total number of acquisitions that a bidder has undertaken over the whole time
period. We find that all centrality measures significantly increase the occurrence of an M&A.
This signifies that the when a bidder and its CEO have many connections (a high Degree), the
takeover activity of this bidder significantly augments. The same is valid when the firm is
strongly connected to the population of listed firms as expressed by its high Closeness.
Nevertheless, the above analysis cannot rule out one alternative argument that firms planning
expansions via acquisitions appoint well-connected directors to overcome information
asymmetries. In other words, instead of connectedness influencing M&A probability, it may
be other way around. If that is indeed the case, we expect to find that well-connected directors
(especially the ones connected with the target) are appointed shortly before the M&A occurs.
However, in the sample, the average tenures of the connected directors in the target firm is
more than 2.6 years. For most of sample (75%), the common director has been on the target
board for more than one year when the M&A is announced. On the bidder side, the common
director’s average tenure is 3.5 years. Therefore it is less likely that establishing connections
is solely driven by the purpose of an M&A.
To sum up, the analyses shown in Tables 5 and 6 yield strong evidence supporting the
hypotheses 1a and 1b. Namely, we find a positive relationship between takeover frequency
15
and connections through directorships between bidder and acquirer. Furthermore, not only
direct connections between bidder and target are important, but so are the indirect connections
of the board and the CEO of the bidding firms. In general, better connected companies are
more active in M&As.
[Insert Table 6 about here]
4.2 M&A Completion Rate.
Better connected companies are more likely to engage in M&As. However, are these bidding
firms also more successful in completing the M&A negotiations (with a signature confirming
the creation of a combined firm)? In Table 7, we present the results of 6 logit models which
relate the takeover completion rate to difference measures of connectedness. We demonstrate
that when a bidder and a target have one (model (1)) or more (model (2)) directors in common,
the probability that the takeover transaction will be successfully completed significantly
augments. Models (3) and (5) show that bidders with a high Degree (bidders are connected to
many firms) are also more successful to bring the M&A negotiations to a successful end. It
should be noted that only the direct connections have an impact on the completion of the
M&A process which supports Hypothesis 2a. This is not the case for the indirect connections
which are captured by the normalized Closeness at the bidder and the bidder-CEO level
(models (4) and (6)). As predicted, hostile takeover negotiations have a higher chance to fail
and making a cash offer improves the odds to complete the transaction.
[Insert Table 7 about here]
4.3 Duration of M&A negotiation.
While the previous section has shown that connectedness increases the probability to
successfully complete the deal, we now analyze whether the M&A negotiation time is
influenced by director connections. We expect that the time between the first public M&A
announcement and the completion of the negotiations (whether they are successful or not) are
shorter when the bidder and target share directors. Connections of this sort can improve the
information exchange such that less time is needed to complete the negotiations. As the
16
negotiation time is a left censored at zero for 18% of the sample, Tobit models are used in
Table 8. Panel A exhibits that both connection variables (the dummy capturing whether the
target and bidder are connected and the number of connections between bidder and target) are
significantly negatively related to the negotiation time. This implies that a connection
between bidder and target significantly reduces the time used to negotiate the deal. This can
result from the fact that bidder and target have already acquired much information prior to the
first public announcement of the bid and/or that the connections stimulate the trust in the
counterparty. This result is valid both for the subsample of successful M&A deals as well as
for the full sample including the deals with failed negotiations. Consequently, Table 8
provides strong support for Hypothesis 2b. In line with our expectations, Panel A also shows
that hostile takeovers trigger more resistance in the sample of ultimately successful deals.
When the offer includes equity, the valuation of the bidder’s equity may become an important
issue in the negotiation such that more negotiation time is required. We also show that larger
firms spend more time negotiating.
In Panel B of Table 8, we add bidder centrality at the company level to the models of Panel A.
A higher centrality measure, Degree (C), implies that many directors take directorships
outside the bidding company. In the context of the negotiation process with a target, we find
that a higher Degree prolongs the negotiation time. This suggests that a board with people
who hold many outside directorships may negatively affect the efficiency of decision making
due to lack of monitoring by this ‘busy board’, and may reduce the focus on (and increase the
duration of) the negotiations with the target firm. The Closeness (at the company level)
captures how close a firm is to important nodes in the network and is hence proxy for
information collection ability within the population of listed UK firms. A high Closeness
could imply that the bidding firm is better informed about the takeover opportunities in the
market which hence reduces the negotiation time. The statistical significance of Degree and
Closeness does not influence the significance of the Connected dummy variable and the
Number of connections.6
6 We also tested the effect of centrality measures on the individual level, but they do not have a significant
influence on negotiation time.
17
As a robustness test, we take the models of Panel A and substitute the variables capturing the
direct connection between bidder and target by – one at the time : (i) Degree at the company
level (C), (ii) Degree at the director (CEO) level (D), (iii) Closeness at the company level (C),
and (iv) Closeness at the director (CEO level (D). We find that the statistical significance
which we have found for these variables in Panel B does not change. Another robustness
check is survival analysis using hazard models on the sub-sample of non-zero negotiation
time observations. The result implies that connections shorten negotiation time (although
insignificantly so). Moreover, deals with more cash in payment and smaller bidder company
size on average take less time to complete.
[Insert Table 8 about here]
4.4. The Means of Payment.
From an information value perspective, director networks that span the bidder and target
provide better information access, which may enable the target to evaluate the synergy value
as well the bidder’s equity value more accurately. We therefore expect that such connections
induce trust and that in connected M&A equity is more frequently used as payment. The
results of Models (1) in Panel A of Table 9 reveal that connections do indeed have a
significant and positive impact on the use of equity in an M&A offer, which supports
Hypothesis 3. Models (2), where the dependent variable is an indicator variable that equals
one if the offer consist of cash or is a mixed of cash and equity confirms that connections
reduce the use of cash in an M&A offer. Expectedly, an equity payment is more likely when
the relative transaction value is large and the bidder is smaller and less profitable as it is then
more difficult to raise the bid value in cash. In Panel B of Table 9, we use the percentage of
cash in the offer as the dependent variable. As before, we note that connections reduce the
need to offer cash. We also include the centrality measures Degree and Closeness, but they are
statistically insignificant. When we re-estimate the models of Table 9 using a multinomial
regression, we find results consistent with those reported above (not shown). Lastly, as the
final payment method may be influenced by the negotiation process, we apply a Heckman the
sample selection model to condition on negotiation failure, and the results remain valid. To
18
sum up, the empirical results on the offered payment method support the hypothesis that
equity is more likely to be used when bidder and target are connected.
[Insert Table 9 about here]
4.5. M&A performance.
We study the bidder’s announcement CARs over a three-day event window [-1,1] (starting
one day before the first public announcement of the M&A (day zero) until one day after the
event) in order to examine whether connected M&As are expected to perform differently than
non-connected ones. We find that the bidders’ CARs of connected and non-connected M&As
are not statically different. In the regression models, both the variable Connection between
bidder and target (a dummy variable) and the total number of connections between them are
insignificantly related to the CAR, which implies that the market does not take connections
into account when they evaluate the M&A transaction (not shown). We also cannot find a
relation between connectedness measured by Degree and Closeness and the CARs. As
reported in the vast M&A literature on the means of payment (see Martynova and Renneboog,
2008, for an overview), we also find that an all cash payment is associated with more positive
market reactions. And a larger relative deal value and a larger bidder firm size also improve
the shareholders’ expected valuation of the deal (at the announcement). We conclude that we
reject Hypothesis 4; the market does not acknowledge the impact of connections on the M&A
process and valuation. An alternative explanation could be that even though connections may
be acknowledged by the market, their benefit does not outweigh their costs which are
reflected in insignificant expected returns.
4.6. The Bidder’s CEO Compensation.
We also investigate whether or not CEOs receive a higher remuneration after completing
connected M&As, while we control for corporate performance, CEO characteristics (tenure,
internal/externally hired, CEO-chairman duality), corporate governance variables (e.g.
ownership concentration, board structure), and financial information. We find that director
connections between bidder and target or the CEO’s Degree and Closeness are not a
significant determinant of his bonus, whereas to firm performance (ROA), CEO experience
19
(tenure), and firm size (total assets) do explain that type of remuneration. Hence, in this
sample of UK bidders, we do not find convincing evidence for a relationship between CEO
bonus and bidder-target connections and thus reject Hypothesis 5.
4.7. Retention of Targets’ Directors.
To examine the target’s director retention, we record the number of target directors who are
invited as directors on the board of the merged firm and regress this dependent variable on
variables capturing the connectedness of bidder and target. In order to avoid the identification
error that interlocked directors are already a director on the bidder’s board (and thus on the
combined firm’s board), we only count the number of retained directors that are not already
on the bidder’s board prior to the acquisition announcement. I.e., a director is only identified
as a retained director if he joined the company after the deal’s completion. When focus on
Total Retention (model (1) of Table 10), we notice that the coefficients of both our connection
variables are significant and positive. This implies that the target directors (without prior
connections to the bidding firm) have a better chance to remain on the board of the combined
firm when bidder and target are connected by means of shared directors. Moreover, director
retention is more likely when the M&A is not hostile, the bidder and target are in the same
industry and when the bidder is larger and acquires the target with an offer involving equity.
In addition, a larger bidding firm size, a higher cash ratio and a lower debt ratio are also
positively related to director retention. The above results support hypothesis 6 and are in line
with results in Ishii and Xuan (2010). However, one potential problem is that the number of
target director retention may be affected by the size of the bidder’s board. Larger boards may
be more likely to have extra positions for new directors than small and focused boards. In
order to remove the board size effect, we replace the dependent variable by the number of
target director retention scaled by the size of bidder board. The result in models (2) of Table
10 reveals that the connections-related variables are still positive and that the number of
connections is significant at the 5% level.7 As a robustness check, we use Heckman sample
selection models whereby the selection regression is the success versus failure of the M&A,
and we obtain similar results for the regression equation results. Lastly, Degree and Closeness
7 Since board size is missing for some company years, the sample size of model (2) is smaller.
20
on the company as well as the bidder’s CEO level are not significant when included in the
above models. In other words, contrary to the direct connections between bidder and target,
the general network position of the bidder or his CEO does not seem to affect target director
retention.
[Insert Table 10 about here]
5. Conclusion.
In recent years, some scholars have applied graph theoretical methods in the research on the
impact of director networks on managerial decision making. They found relations between
networks and remuneration contracting, the managerial labour market (hiring and firing of top
management, attracting non-executive directors), corporate restructuring, and firm and fund
performance. In this paper, we examine the effect of the connections between the acquirer and
target firms on the takeover process, more specifically on M&A frequency, the M&A
negotiation success and duration, the means of payment in the offer, the M&A expected
performance (as reflected in the short term wealth effects of the bidder), the bidder’s CEO
compensation subsequent to the M&A, and target director retention rate in the merged
company. The idea is that direct connections enable both parties to gather information more
easily on the counter party which establishes trust, and that the overall network (which
includes the indirect connections) enable firms to scout for suitable takeover targets and
collect relevant information on the whole takeover market. We find that director networks
play an important role in UK takeovers in the following way: First, we exhibit strong evidence
on the fact that connections through directorships between bidder and acquirer lead to more
takeover activity. Not only direct connections between bidder and target are important, but so
are the indirect connections of the board and the CEO of the bidding firms. In a nutshell:
better connected companies are more active bidders. Second, the above conclusion raises the
question as to whether connected bidders just make more acquisition attempts or are more
successful in completing the M&A negotiations. We demonstrate that when a bidder and a
target have one or more directors in common, the probability that the takeover transaction will
be successfully completed significantly augments. Only direct connections have an impact on
21
the M&A process but not the proxies for indirect connections of information collection. Third,
connections also significantly reduce the time used in the negotiation process (both for
successful or failed negotiations). Fourth, we expect that connections yield an informational
advantage which could also build trust between the parties which would in turn be reflected in
the more frequent use of offers that involved equity. We confirm that equity is indeed used
more often when bidder and target are connected. Fifth, the market reaction to the M&A
announcement of the bidder is not related to connected takeovers. This suggests that the
market either does not pick up that the two parties involved are connected or that they do not
believe it to be important. Sixth, while earlier research found a positive relation between a
CEO’s level of connectedness and his remuneration, we do not find evidence that CEOs of
connected bidders are paid more subsequent to completing a connected M&A. Finally, the
target directors (without prior connections to the bidding firm) have a better chance to be
invited to the board of the combined firm when bidder and target were directly connected.
The paper has contributed to our understanding of M&As and director networks. At first sight,
interlocked directors and directors’ information collection ability (proxied by centrality
measures) makes the M&A process more efficient: the degree of connectedness increases the
number of M&A transactions, increases the successful completion rate, reduces the
negotiation time, and enables the bidder to offer equity. Still, it seems that the market does not
recognize the fact that the parties involved are connected or attaches little value to it as the
announcement share price reactions in connected M&As are small and not difference from
those of unconnected M&As.
22
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Faccio, M., and R. W. Masulis, 2005, The Choice of Payment Method in European Mergers and
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23
Table 1. (Connected) Acquisitions.
This table gives an overview of the number of acquisitions by year (Column (1)) over the period 1995 to
2012 and the percentage of acquisitions by year (based on all acquisitions over the whole period) (Column
(2)). The table also shows the number (and percentage) of connected acquisitions in which the bidder and
target firms share at least one director (Columns (3) and (4)). The last column shows the percentage of
connected acquisitions (considering all acquisitions) by year. Source: SDC.
(1)
Number of
acquisitions
(2)
Distribution of
all acquisitions
over time (%)
(3)
Number of connected
acquisitions
(4)
Distribution of
connected acquisitions
over time (%)
(5)
% of Connected
acquisitions by year
Year
1995 33 4.44 2 2.86 6.06
1996 49 6.59 7 10.00 14.29
1997 51 6.86 9 12.86 17.65
1998 65 8.75 7 10.00 10.77
1999 90 12.11 4 5.71 4.44
2000 66 8.88 1 1.43 1.52
2001 30 4.04 1 1.43 3.33
2002 21 2.83 1 1.43 4.76
2003 40 5.38 4 5.71 10.00
2004 27 3.63 3 4.29 11.11
2005 53 7.13 7 10.00 13.21
2006 42 5.65 5 7.14 11.90
2007 44 5.92 2 2.86 4.55
2008 41 5.52 3 4.29 7.32
2009 34 4.58 5 7.14 14.71
2010 32 4.31 4 5.71 12.50
2011 19 2.56 5 7.14 26.32
2012 6 0.81 0 0 0
Total 743 100 70 100
Average 9.42
24
Table 2. Acquisitions by Bidder and Target Industry.
This table shows the percentage of bidders and targets by industry. Source: SDC.
Bidder Industry Sector % Target Industry Sector %
Agriculture 0.54 Agriculture 0.40
Chemicals 4.17 Chemicals 4.17
Construction 3.23 Construction 4.17
Finance 28.94 Finance 23.01
Food 3.1 Food 2.15
Furniture 0.4 Furniture 0.54
Manufacturing 9.29 Manufacturing 11.57
Mining 4.71 Mining 5.38
Printing 4.31 Printing 3.63
Retailing 9.29 Retailing 10.63
Services 21.27 Services 23.55
Telecommunication 5.65 Telecommunication 5.38
Textile 1.35 Textile 1.75
Transportation 2.29 Transportation 1.88
Utilities 1.48 Utilities 1.75
25
Table 3. M&A Transaction Characteristics.
Panel A shows the statistics on the number of M&A announcements per bidder over the sample period.
Panel B reports the target’s attitude towards the deal. Friendly means that the target board recommends the
offer; Hostile reflects that the target board officially rejects the offer but that the bidder persists with the
takeover. Panel C reports the different types of means of payment in the acquisition: all cash, all equity, or
mixed offers. Panel D records the completion rate by subsample. Panel E reports the connections between
bidders and targets. The dummy variable Connected equals one if the bidder and target share at least one
director at the time of acquisition (according to the most recent information prior to the acquisition). The
number of connections at the board level gives the number of shared directors between the bidder and target.
St.dev. stands for standard deviation. Panel F presents the negotiation time of the acquisition which is
defined as the difference between the announcement and completion dates of the takeover. Panel G reports
the deal size (in million GBP), the relative deal size (deal size dividend by market value of the bidder), and
whether target and bidder belong to the same sector which we call a focused transaction (dummy= 1, and 0
otherwise). Panel H reports the bidder CARs for the event windows: [-1,+1], [-5,+5] and [-10,+10]. Panel I
reports the number of directors from the target joining the combined company after M&As. Note these
statistics have been adjusted for the number of common directors to avoid double counting. Source: SDC,
Datastream and BoardEX.
Panel A. Number of M&A Transactions by Bidder
Number of deals by
bidder
Number of
bidders Percentage
1 374 72.90 2 92 17.93 3 26 5.07 4 7 1.36 5 7 1.36 6 5 0.97 7 2 0.39
Total 513 100
Panel B. Attitude towards the Takeover
Attitude Frequency Percentage
Friendly 704 94.75
Hostile 39 5.25
Total 743 100
Panel C. Payment Method
Payment method Frequency Percentage
Cash only 294 46.30
Equity only 202 31.81
Mixed 139 21.89
Total 635 100
26
Panel D. Takeover Completion Rate
Group Completed Deals Total takeover
announcements Success rate
All 609 743 81.97%
Not-Connected 542 673 80.53%
Connected 67 70 95.71%
Sample/mean
difference test
Mean Standard Deviation T-statistic
Not-Connected 0.805 0.014 2.95
Connected 0.957 0.024
Panel E. Connectedness of Bidder and Target
N Mean St.dev. Min 25% Median 75% Max
Connected (dummy) 743 0.094 0.292 0 0 0 0 1
Number of connections 743 0.164 0.799 0 0 0 0 17
Number of connections
(for connected M&As) 70 1.743 2.019 1 1 1 2 17
Panel F. Negotiation Time
N Mean St.dev. Min 25% Median 75% Max
Successful deals 594 59.602 49.141 0 23 56 85 293
Withdraw offers 129 60.333 52.646 1 26 45 82 256
All 723 59.733 49.747 0 24 55 83 293
Panel G. Deal Size, Relative Deal Size, and Focused Transaction
N Mean St.dev. Min 25% Median 75% Max
Deal size (GBP m) 578 143.392 211.155 0.050 14.380 52.525 162.58 996.9
Relative deal size 544 1.733 20.770 0.0001 0.062 0.243 0.662 480.1368
Focused M&A 743 67.2% 47.0% 0 0 1 1 1
Panel H. Cumulative Abnormal Stock Returns for the Bidder
CAR (%) N Mean St.dev. Min 25% Median 75% Max
[-1,+1] 666 -0.47 6.35 -37.96 -2.36 0.00 1.34 63.75
[-5,+5] 666 -0.94 9.40 -64.85 -4.30 -0.13 1.89 94.32
[-10,+10] 666 -1.37 11.65 -72.28 -5.76 -0.21 3.22 52.75
Panel I. Target Director Retention
N Mean St.dev. Min 25% Median 75% Max
Retention (all) 743 1.292 3.287 0 0 0 1 36
Retention (connected) 70 2.729 4.370 0 0 1 3 18
Retention (unconnected) 673 1.143 3.119 0 0 0 1 36
8 The outlier is Lasmo plc which acquired Monument Oil and Gas plc with a market value of GBP 1.25b, which leads to the very high relative deal size. Lasmo was acquired by ENI two years later.
27
Table 4. Bidder Characteristics.
This table summarizes the corporate governance and financial information on the bidders. Degree and
Closeness are the centrality measures of the bidder in the director networks. They are calculated on the
company level (C) as well as director level (D) (see Section 3). This table also reports board size, return on
assets (ROA), cash-to-assets ratio, debt-to-assets ratio, and total assets (in millions GBP).
N Mean St.dev. Min 25% Median 75% Max
Degree (C) 341 6.21 5.17 0 2 5 9 29
Closeness (C) 311 0.41 0.14 0.07 0.25 0.43 0.55 0.59
Degree (D) 341 12.39 8.38 0 7 10 15 55
Closeness (D) 341 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.09
Board size 341 10.49 4.054 2 8 10 13 23
ROA (%) 615 4.44 6.53 -24.53 1.41 5.54 8.67 16.59
Cash-to-assets ratio (%) 511 31.36 26.13 0 10.71 23.47 47.91 99.46
Debt-to-assets ratio (%) 643 0.21 0.17 0 0.05 0.18 0.33 0.76
Total assets (in mil. GBP) 668 153.25 171.01 4.72 28.85 81.78 218.02 734.80
Table 5. Connected Bidders and Targets.
This table measures the number of directly connected firms through director interlocks for different
samples: a. our takeover sample and b. random samples of bidder and target matched-up groups of firms
(whereby the random samples are drawn from the universe of all listed UK firms). The first row (simulation
group (1)) reports the number of connections between the bidders in the sample and random targets. The
random targets belong to the same industry as the real target. For simulation group (2), we select a random
company as a pseudo bidder for each target in the sample. Then, we examine whether the two companies
are connected via directors. Simulation group (3) is based on a similar simulation exercise, but this time
both the bidder and the target are randomly selected. The final row is based on the bidders and targets in the
actual sample.
Bidder Target
Percentage of
connected deals
Simulation group (1) From M&A sample Random 4.38%
Simulation group (2) Random From M&A sample 0.00%
Simulation group (3) Random Random 2.63%
Sample group From M&A sample From M&A sample 9.42%
28
Table 6. The Number of M&As.
This table reports the OLS regression with the total number of M&As (panel A) and the cumulated number
of M&As (panel B) as the dependent variable. Degree and (normalized) Closeness are used to measure the
bidder’s centrality in the network. (C) and (D) stands for networks on the company level and the director
(here taken as the CEO) level, respectively. Board size measures the number of executive and
non-executive directors on the board. Relative boardsize is board size scaled by total assets. ROA is the
return to assets of the bidder. Cash to total assets is the total cash and cash equivalents divided by total
assets. Debt to total assets captures the bidder’s leverage. We measure the size of the bidder by its total
assets value (logarithm). Standard errors are between brackets; ***, **, * stand for statistical significance
at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively.
Panel A: Total Number of M&As
Average Degree (C) of bidder 0.044*
(0.023)
Average Closeness (C) of bidder 0.996
(0.673)
Average Degree (D) of bidder 0.017
(0.015)
Average Closeness (D) of bidder 4.742
(3.610)
Average Board Size -0.004 0.013 0.006 0.013
(0.034) (0.035) (0.034) (0.032)
Average ROA 0.001 -0.001 0.001 0.002
(0.007) (0.008) (0.007) (0.007)
Average Cash-to-total assets 0.003 0.002 0.003 0.004
(0.003) (0.004) (0.003) (0.003)
Average Debt-to-total assets 1.307** 1.396** 1.349** 1.291**
(0.564) (0.622) (0.568) (0.567)
Average Total assets (Logarithm) 0.011 0.034 0.032 0.037
(0.060) (0.064) (0.059) (0.058)
Number of Observations 191 169 191 191
R-squared 0.0773 0.0704 0.0659 0.0683
29
Panel B: Cumulative Number of M&As
Degree (C) of bidder 0.079***
(0.018)
Closeness (C) of bidder 0.954*
(0.568)
Degree (D) of bidder 0.023**
(0.011)
Closeness (D) of bidder 6.952**
(3.111)
Relative board size 0.403 0.914** 0.653* 0.840**
(0.357) (0.386) (0.376) (0.349)
ROA 0.002 0.001 0.002 0.002
(0.005) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
Cash-to-total assets 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
Debt-to-total assets 1.382*** 1.283*** 1.403*** 1.188***
(0.429) (0.484) (0.445) (0.444)
Total assets (Logarithm) -0.052 0.023 0.002 0.027
(0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.041)
Number of Observations 258 231 258 258
R-squared 0.1645 0.1078 0.1125 0.1155
30
Table 7. The Takeover Success Rate.
This table reports the logit regression results of the success rate of M&A transactions: the dependent
variable equals 1 if the M&A was successful, and 0 if withdrawn. The network variables are: Connected
(dummy) is a dummy variable which equals one if the bidder and target is connected via common
director(s); Number of connections is the number of common directors; Degree and (normalized)
Closeness measure the bidder’s centrality in the network with (C) and (D) representing networks at the
company level and CEO level, respectively. We control for: Same sector (dummy) equals one if the bidder
and target belong to the same industry; Hostile (dummy) is one if the target’s board rejects the bid; All cash
payment (dummy) equals one if the transaction is performed by means of an all-cash payment, and zero in
case of all-equity or mixed payment; Relative deal size is the transaction value in GBP scaled by the market
capitalization of bidding company. Standard errors are between brackets; ***, **, * stand for statistical
significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Bidder and target are 0.834**
connected (dummy) (0.364)
Number of connections 0.317*
between bidder and target (0.188)
Degree (C) of bidder 0.091***
(0.033)
Closeness (C) of bidder 0.716
(0.802)
Degree (D) bidder 0.046**
(0.021)
Closeness (D) of bidder 3.985
(4.573)
Same sector (dummy) -0.046 -0.047 -0.220 -0.149 -0.222 -0.228
(0.157) (0.156) (0.264) (0.269) (0.263) (0.260)
Hostile (dummy) -1.527*** -1.524*** -1.784*** -1.704*** -1.746*** -1.673***
(0.253) (0.253) (0.443) (0.423) (0.443) (0.419)
All cash paym. (dummy) 0.295** 0.285** 0.072 0.299 0.198 0.246
(0.143) (0.142) (0.236) (0.231) (0.223) (0.220)
Relative deal size -0.0004 -0.0005 0.0001 0.001 0.0002 0.001
(0.003) (0.003) (0.005) (0.004) (0.005) (0.004)
Number of Obs. 542 542 256 231 256 256
R-squared 0.1186 0.1115 0.161 0.1263 0.1407 0.1139
31
Table 8. Negotiation Time.
Panel A reports the (left censored) Tobit regression results of the negotiation time in M&A transactions.
Negotiation time is the difference between announcement and accomplishment dates. Two network
variables are used to measure the connectedness between the bidder and target: Connected (dummy) equals
1 if the bidder and target is connected via common director(s) and 0 otherwise. Number of connections is
the number of common directors between bidder and target. Degree and (normalized) closeness are used to
measure the bidder’s centrality in the network. (C) stands for networks on the company level. We use four
variables to control for deal nature and for the bidder’s characteristics: Same sector (dummy) equals 1 if the
bidder and target belong to the same industry; Hostile (dummy) is 1 if the target’s board rejects the bid (for
whatever reason); All cash payment (dummy) equals 1 if an all-cash offer is made, and 0 in case of
all-equity or mixed offers; Relative deal size is the transaction value in GBP scaled by the market
capitalization of bidding company; Cash-to-total assets is calculated as the total cash and cash equivalents
divided by total assets; Debt-to-total assets is the capital structure of bidder. The bidder’s size is the
logarithm of total assets value (book value). Panel B expands the previous models by including the
centrality measures at the company level. Standard errors are between brackets; ***, **, * stand for
statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively.
Panel A: Negotiation time
Success All
Bidder and Target are -21.141** -21.501**
connected (dummy) (8.787) (8.902)
Number of connections -9.955** -10.119**
between bidder and target (4.899) (4.965)
Same sector (dummy) -8.973 -9.401 -7.690 -8.041
(5.920) (5.945) (5.587) (5.606)
Hostile (dummy) 36.554** 37.297** 9.714 10.254
(17.564) (17.597) (10.782) (10.795)
All cash payment (dummy) -42.360*** -42.040*** -37.011*** -36.746***
(5.821) (5.829) (5.381) (5.387)
Relative deal size 1.960 1.987 -0.043 -0.034
(1.703) (1.707) (0.788) (0.790)
ROA 0.098 0.099 0.100 0.101
(0.142) (0.142) (0.137) (0.137)
Cash-to-total assets 0.056 0.074 0.042 0.057
(0.116) (0.117) (0.109) (0.109)
Debt-to-total assets 0.364 3.234 -0.749 1.656
(19.119) (19.085) (17.852) (17.829)
Total assets (logarithm) 8.815*** 8.705*** 6.787*** 6.684***
(1.676) (1.678) (1.574) (1.575)
Number of Observations 331 331 392 392
R-squared 0.0244 0.0238 0.016 0.0155
32
Panel B: Negotiation time
Success All
Connected (dummy) -26.635** -29.992**
(13.256) (13.324)
Number of connections -18.860** -21.006**
(8.678) (8.735)
Degree (C) 2.759** 2.811** 2.076** 2.126**
(1.099) (1.097) (1.031) (1.030)
Closeness (C) -75.141** -77.875** -57.779** -60.904**
(30.220) (30.101) (28.252) (28.160)
Same sector (dummy) -5.455 -6.317 -5.110 -5.939
(8.910) (8.949) (8.585) (8.620)
Hostile (dummy) 82.080** 83.151** 33.939* 34.520*
(37.051) (36.981) (18.114) (18.072)
All cash payment (dummy) -40.198*** -40.173*** -38.729*** -38.671***
(8.568) (8.560) (7.990) (7.984)
Relative deal size 0.114 0.078 -0.329 -0.350
(2.170) (2.167) (1.244) (1.243)
ROA -0.279 -0.249 -0.115 -0.086
(0.325) (0.326) (0.316) (0.316)
Cash-to-total assets -0.243 -0.228 -0.125 -0.109
(0.193) (0.193) (0.172) (0.172)
Debt-to-total assets 3.998 8.469 3.523 7.926
(25.918) (25.810) (24.697) (24.600)
Total assets (logarithm) 2.657 2.348 2.422 2.111
(3.004) (3.003) (2.795) (2.795)
Number of Observations 166 166 192 192
R-squared 0.0255 0.026 0.0193 0.0198
33
Table 9. The Means of Payment.
Panel A presents the results of logit regressions on the type of means of payment in the offer. The dependent
variable in Models (1) equals 1 if the M&A is concluded with an offer that includes equity (an all-equity
transaction or a mixed payment), and equals zero in case of an all-cash payment. In Models (2), we test the
use of offers involving cash (in case of cash or mixed payment the dummy equals one, and equals zero in
case of an all equity offer). Connected (dummy) equals one if bidder and target is connected via common
director(s). Number of connections is the number of directors that a bidder and target share. Same sector
(dummy) equals one if the bidder and target are from the same industry. Hostile (dummy) is one if the offer
is (initially) rejected by the target’s board. Relative deal size is the transaction value scaled by the market
capitalization of bidding company. ROA is the bidder’s return to assets. Cash-to-total assets is the total cash
and cash equivalents divided by total assets. Debt-to-total assets is of the bidder’s leverage. Size is total
assets’ book value (logarithm). Panel B gives the results of Tobit (left and right censored) regressions on
the means of payment. The dependent variable is the percentage of cash in the offer. Standard errors are
between brackets; ***, **, * stand for statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively.
Panel A: Type of Offer
(1)
All equity or mixed payment
(2)
All cash or mixed payment
Connected (dummy) 0.646* -0.936**
(0.357) (0.366)
Number of connections 0.3011 -0.343*
(0.204) (0.203)
Same sector (dummy) 0.168 0.177 -0.147 -0.151
(0.228) (0.228) (0.259) (0.258)
Hostile (dummy) 0.332 0.315 -0.723 -0.656
(0.463) (0.462) (0.463) (0.461)
Relative deal size 0.254* 0.251* -0.003 -0.002
(0.137) (0.137) (0.033) (0.032)
ROA -0.007 -0.007 0.015** 0.015**
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
Cash to total assets 0.003 0.002 -0.002 -0.002
(0.004) (0.004) (0.005) (0.005)
Debt to total assets 0.227 0.149 1.277 1.411
(0.734) (0.731) (0.878) (0.872)
Total assets (logarithm) -0.217*** -0.212*** 0.300*** 0.289***
(0.065) (0.065) (0.077) (0.075)
Number of Observations 403 403 403 403
R-squared 0.0670 0.0651 0.1077 0.1004
34
Panel B: Percentage of Cash in Offer
Connected (dummy) -87.504**
(35.802)
Number of connections -36.905*
(19.948)
Same sector (dummy) -16.747 -17.626
(22.485) (22.630)
Hostile (dummy) -55.774 -53.178
(43.862) (44.009)
Relative deal size -3.310 -3.280
(3.084) (3.100)
ROA 1.148* 1.160*
(0.601) (0.605)
Cash to total assets -0.218 -0.166
(0.434) (0.437)
Debt to total assets 31.656 41.564
(71.288) (71.364)
Total assets (logarithm) 29.581*** 29.078***
(6.920) (6.913)
Number of Observations 395 395
R-squared 0.033 0.0312
35
Table 10. Target Director Retention in the Combined Firm.
The table reports the results of regressions for the retention of the targets’ directors in the combined
company subsequent to the M&A. The dependent variable in Models (1) (Poisson model) is the number of
unconnected targets’ directors joining the combined company’s board while this variable in Models (2)
(OLS) is the number of retained directors as a percentage of the bidder’s board. Two variables are used to
measure the connections between bidder and target: Connected (dummy), a dummy variable which equals 1
if bidder and target are connected via (a) director(s); Number of connections, the number of directors which
bidder and target have in common. Same sector (dummy) equals one if bidder and target are from the same
industry. Hostile (dummy) is 1 if the M&A is considered as hostile by the target. All cash payment (dummy)
equals one if the transaction is completed with an all-cash payment and zero in case of an all-equity or
mixed offer. Relative deal size is the transaction value scaled by the market capitalization of bidding
company. ROA is the bidder’s return on assets. Cash-to-total assets is calculated as the total cash and cash
equivalents divided by total assets. Debt-to-total assets is used to measure the capital structure of bidder.
The size of the bidder is the total assets value (logarithm). Standard errors are between brackets; ***, **, *
stand for statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level, respectively.
(1)
Total Retention
(2)
Total Retention/Board Size
Connected (dummy) 0.653*** 0.127
(0.103) (0.080)
Number of connections 0.381*** 0.094**
(0.046) (0.044)
Same sector (dummy) 0.400*** 0.446*** 0.081 0.088*
(0.094) (0.095) (0.054) (0.054)
Hostile (dummy) -0.484** -0.486** -0.111 -0.110
(0.218) (0.218) (0.120) (0.119)
All Cash -0.505*** -0.490*** -0.056 -0.056
(0.086) (0.086) (0.050) (0.049)
Relative deal size -0.023 -0.023 -0.001 0.0003
(0.018) (0.018) (0.008) (0.008)
ROA -0.006*** -0.006*** 0.003 0.003
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
Cash-to-total assets 0.004** 0.003* 0.002* 0.002*
(0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001)
Debt-to-total assets -1.051*** -1.089*** -0.067 -0.088
(0.302) (0.299) (0.155) (0.154)
Total assets (logarithm) 0.108*** 0.104*** -0.007 -0.006
(0.024) (0.024) (0.016) (0.015)
Number of Observations 403 403 220 220
R-squared 0.0744 0.0806 0.0566 0.0662
36
Appendix A: Variable Definitions. Variable Name Description Source
Dependent variables
Takeover success rate Equals 1 if the M&A was successful, and 0 if withdrawn Thomson Reuters SDC
Negotiation time
The gap between the announcement of the deal
completion or failure of the negotiations and the first
public announcement of that takeover negotiations are
taking place
Thomson Reuters SDC
All equity or mixed payment
Equals 1 if the M&A is completed with an all-equity or
mixed payment (equity and cash, and potentially with
loan notes)
Thomson Reuters SDC
Cumulative abnormal stock returns (CARs) Cumulative abnormal stock return over an event window
around the first public announcement Datastream, calculation
Total director retention The number of target directors joining the board of the
bidding company subsequent to the takeover transaction
BoardEx, Manifest, Thomson Reuters
One Banker
Director retention as a percentage of bidder board Total director retention divided by the bidder’s board size
priori to M&A
Boardex, Manifest, Thomson Reuters One
Banker
Centrality and connections
Degree (C) Number of companies connected by common directors Boardex,Manifest, calculation
Degree (D) Number of directors connected to the bidder CEO Boardex,Manifest, calculation
(normalized) Closeness (C)
The inverse of the sum of geodesic distances from bidder
to all other companies, scaled by total number of
reachable companies in the network
Boardex,Manifest, calculation
(normalized) Closeness (D)
The inverse of the sum of geodesic distances from bidder
CEO to all other directors, scaled by total number of
reachable directors in the network
Boardex,Manifest, calculation
Connected (dummy) Equals 1 if the bidder and target have directors in
common Boardex,Manifest, Thomson Reuters SDC
Number of connections The number of shared directors between bidder and target Boardex,Manifest, Thomson Reuters SDC
Number of connections/directors Number of connections divided by the bidder’s board size Boardex,Manifest, Thomson Reuters SDC
M&A characteristics
Same sector (dummy) Equals 1 if the bidder and target belong to same sector Thomson Reuters SDC
Hostile (dummy) Equals 1 if the M&A is hostile Thomson Reuters SDC
All cash payment (dummy) Equals 1 if the M&A is paid in cash only Thomson Reuters SDC
Relative deal size Transaction value (in GBP) scaled by the market
capitalization of bidding company Thomson Reuters SDC, calculation
Total relative deal size
The sum of the transaction values of all M&As in a
financial year scaled by the market capitalization of
bidding company
Thomson Reuters SDC, calculation
Multiple deals The number of M&As announced on the same day by the
bidder Thomson Reuters SDC
(Cumulative) number of M&As The number of M&As by a bidder over the sample period Thomson Reuters SDC
Bidder characteristics
ROA (%) Net income prior to tax and interest divided by total Datastream
37
assets, and then multiplied by 100
Relative board size Board size divided by total number of directors on the
board
Boardex,Manifest,Datastream,
calculation
Cash to total assets (%) Total cash and cash equivalents divided by total assets,
and then multiplied by 100 Datastream
Debt to total assets (%) Sum of short-term and long-term debt divided by total
assets, and then multiplied by 100 Datastream
Total assets
Sum of total current assets, long-term receivables,
investment in unconsolidated subsidiaries, other
investments, net property plant and equipment and other
assets. We take the logarithm of total assets.
Datastream