DFA Campaign Academy Field Planning...
Transcript of DFA Campaign Academy Field Planning...
Field Organizing
Paid for by Democracy for America,
www.democracyforamerica.com, and not
authorized by any candidate or
candidate’s committee.
Your Blueprint for Victory
Contains your campaign’s Goals and
the Strategies, Tactics, Timelines,
and Benchmarks to achieve them
Person to person voter contact
• Delivers a campaign’s message to
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• Delivers a campaign’s message to
targeted voters
• Tactics: Canvass, phone calls, mail
literature drops, etc.
Builds a grassroots volunteer base
A strong FieldOrganization can helpyou gain between 3-5%
on election day.
What’s Your Win Number?
Step 1: Project the turnout:
Step 2: Set Your Goals
% Turnout in last similar election(s)
Current number of registered voters
xProjected
Turnout=
3
Win Number = (Projected Turnout / 2) + 1
Vote Goal = Projected Turnout x .52
Step 2: Set Your Goals
Step 3: Write them down!
Targeting Your Resources
Why target?• Limited People, Money & Time
• Gets the right message to the right voters
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3 Ways to Target Voters• Geographically
• Voter History & Identification
• Constituencies
Research Suggestions• Secretary of State • County Elections Board
• Party Voter File
• NCEC
• US Census data
Calculate Your Vote Goals
Current
Registration
Turnout %
in last
similar election
Turnout
Estimate
for current
election
Win
Number
=
50% + 1
Vote
Goal
=
52%
Precinct # 1 740 32%
Precinct # 2 446 55%
Precinct # 3 463 51%Precinct # 3 463 51%
Precinct # 4 599 43%
Precinct # 5 686 42%
Precinct # 6 1,002 48%
District
Totals3,936 44%
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Democratic Performance Index
‘Percentage of the vote an average Dem can
expect in an average election’� Based on voting history NOT voter registration
How to calculate D.P.I
{ }
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How to calculate D.P.I
About NCEC
Democratic % in similar election # 1
+ Democratic % in similar election # 2
+ Democratic % in similar election # 3
/ 3 = D.P.I.{ }
Dem
Performance
%
Est.
Dem.
Turnout
Vote
Difference
Persuasion
%
Swing
Voters
Precinct # 1 69% 12%
Precinct # 2 21% 8%
Precinct # 336% 33%
Precinct # 336% 33%
Precinct # 4 43% 19%
Precinct # 5 38% 39%
Precinct # 648% 21%
District
Totals43% 22%
Final Vote
Goal
Persuasion
RankingGOTV Ranking
Precinct # 1
Precinct # 2
Precinct # 3Precinct # 3
Precinct # 4
Precinct # 5
Precinct # 6
District
Totals
Field Targeting Strategies
DEM BASE PRECINCTS- D.P.I. = greater than 65%- Identification, voter registration, volunteer recruitment, GOTV
REPUBLICAN BASE PRECINCTS- D.P.I. = less than 35%
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- D.P.I. = less than 35%
- Lowest priority, highly targeted contact only
SWING PRECINCTS - D.P.I. = between 35% and 65%
- Identification, Persuasion & GOTV
Targeting with Voter History
Voter Contact Priorities
A. Undecideds likely to Vote (ID, Persuasion)
B. Supporters less likely to vote (ID, GOTV)
FADAlways Vote
(4x4)
Strong Opponent
(5)
Undecided
(2, 3, 4)
Strong Supporter
(1)
Partisanship ID
Vo
tin
g H
isto
ry
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(ID, GOTV)
C. Undecideds less likely to vote (ID, Persuasion, GOTV)
D. Supporters likely to vote (Base building)
FEENever Vote
(0x4)
FC
Persuasion #2
B
Sometimes Vote
(2x4)
(0x0)
FAPersuasion
DBase
(4x4)
Vo
tin
g H
isto
ry
Look at your candidate and message
Meet with community leaders early
Build bases of support
Targeting with Constituencies
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Seek endorsements
Target niche media
Conversations win Elections
Phone Calls & Canvassing:• Deliver a campaign’s message
to targeted voters in a personable way
• Give the campaign valuable information about the voter’s
Voter Preference Targeting
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information about the voter’s preferences
• Allow for a targeted field campaign
Yard signs belong in Yards,
NOT street corners
Canvassing
Know your turf
Prepare your canvass
Packets
Train your volunteers
Sample Canvass Packet� Scripts � Walksheets � Maps� Campaign Lit� Candidate FAQ� Goodie bags (food, water,
stickers, etc)
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Train your volunteers
� Provide ‘context’
� Explain the Canvass Packet Materials
� Review scripts, responses and coding instructions
� Role Plays!
stickers, etc)
Phonebanks
Your most versatile voter contact tactic
• High number of contacts
• Two way communication
Ideal for voter identification, persuasion, & GOTV
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Drawbacks:Lower impact than canvassing
Increasingly difficult to reach voters
Direct Mail
Highly targeted persuasion & GOTV tactic
Once you start, you cannot go dark
Stick with an interesting & repetitive message
Know your production, shipping & delivery
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Know your production, shipping & delivery timelines
Drawbacks:Lower impact than canvass, phonesNo info back from voters Expensive
Yard Signs and Visibility
Shows supporters and donors your support base
Reminds supporters of their support
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Reminds supporters of their support
No more than 1% of budget spent on visibility
Drawbacks:
Signs don’t vote (just ask Ron Paul)
Often overemphasized at expense of more effective tactics
Paid Media
Powerful persuasion tactic when done right
Once you start you cannot go dark
Widespread exposure to electorate
Can be targeted by Demographics
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Can be targeted by Demographics
Drawbacks:
Lower impact than canvass, phones
No info back from voters
Very expensive
Time consuming
Timelines & Benchmarks
1) Start from your goal (Election Day)
and work backwards
2) Identify Your Timeline and
Strategies
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Strategies
3) List your tactics & set benchmarks
4) Revise and Update
Setting Benchmarks &
Metrics
Identify Your Key Metrics# of voters contacted# of supporters identified# of early vote applications (if applicable)
Identify Your Contact Metrics
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Identify Your Contact Metrics% of attempts with contacts (50% standard)# of calls/doors per hour (10-15 standard)% of Supporters / Undecideds / Opposes (30% / 40% / 30% standard)
Stick with numbers – Can you reach your goals?
Your early warning system – Are you on track?