Development and Energy in Africa An example of MDG impact assessment: MFP in Mali – UNDP study.
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Transcript of Development and Energy in Africa An example of MDG impact assessment: MFP in Mali – UNDP study.
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Development and Energy in Africa
An example of MDG impact assessment:
MFP in Mali – UNDP study
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Warning!
• We will not restrict ourselves in DEA to MDG impact
• This is just an example• There are shortcomings and limitations• But it illustrates a possible starting point• PLEASE, let us concentrate on the method
and shortcomings rather than the example details, pros and cons of MFP
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Achieving the Millennium Development Goals: The role of energy services – UNDP 2005
• case studies from Brazil, Mali and the Philippines
• focus on Mali – the Multifunctional Platform
• How does the MFP impact on 5 of the MDGs?
• MFPs in 12 villages
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Oil pressSaws…
Grinding millDe-husker
Battery charging
Engine
The Multifunctional Platform supports a simple diesel engine that can power different tools : cereal grinding mills, de-huskers, oil presses, joinery and carpentry tools …
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Example: Mali Multifunctional Platform
Contributions to achieving
MDG Goals and Targets
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education
Goal 3: Promote gender equality, empower women
Goal 5: Improve maternal healthGoal 7: Ensure environmental
sustainability
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Can this be quantified and documented?
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Impacts of MFPTime women spend milling cereals and de-husking rice
Revenue women generate through sale of agricultural goods and foodstuffs
Amount of rice women produce and consume
Total proportion of school children completing primary school
- girls
- boys
Girl to boy ratio in primary school
Dropout rates
Number of prenatal visits women make to health clinics
Number of vomiting and diarrhoea cases
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Time savings – impacts on MDGs
Multifunctional Platform
Energy Service: Motive Power
Greater Productivity in
Agro-processing
Time Savings
Increased Income
Generating Opportunities
Increased Rice Production and Consumption
Better Educational
Opportunities for Girls
Better Health Opportunities
for Women
MDG 1 MDG 2 MDG 3 MDG 4 MDG 5
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Time saved grinding cerealsvillage potential time
savings with MFP
(hrs/woman/day)
avg. no. of women per family engaged in grinding cereals
potential time savings
(hrs/family/day)
N´Gorona 1.3 1.6 2.1
Banzana 2.6 2.0 5.2
Lobougoula 1.8 2.4 4.3
Kolango 1.0 3.3 3.3
Sebenebougou 2.9 3.7 10.7
Tendely 2.1 3.9 8.2
Zoumana D 2.5 4.5 11.3
Manaco 2.6 5.0 13.0
Balanfina 1.0 5.5 5.5
M’Pegnesso 1.3 9.0 11.7
Bogotiere 1.8 15.7 28.3
Kolayerebougou 3.3 16.7 55.1
average 2.0 6.1 13.2
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Time saving
• grinding cereals + dehusking rice
• average time saving 2.5 hours per day
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MDG 1: Poverty reduction
• increased revenue generation
• of 127 women interviewed, 89 (70%) reported increase in revenues after introduction of the MFP
• average annual increase $68 per woman
• rural Mali average per capita income from agriculture is $122
• significant increase
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Other MDGs
• similar information and impacts for impacts on the other MDGs: Education, Gender Equality, Health
• e.g girl/boy ratio in primary school
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Conclusions of the study
1. Modern energy services can can make significant contribution to improving livelihood of rural poor in:– poverty alleviation– education– gender equality– health
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2. Lessons for policy• Increase the role of rural energy services in macro-
scale/national poverty reduction strategies• Couple provision of energy services with productive
activities• Reduce gender bias of rural energy poverty• Focus on modernizing energy services for food
processing, agriculture cooking and rural enterprises to maximise the impact of energy interventions
Conclusions of the study (continued)
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• How reliable is the methodology?
• Are the results convincing enough to draw these policy lessons?
• Does it provide an example of an approach that can be replicated for other energy interventions?
• Main weakness: It says little about the causal links between the intervention and the MDG impact.
But …..
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• To get this kind of information it is necessary to look at each installation (i.e. village) separately, collect data on income increases, production, school attendance
• necessity of interviews, surveys
• expensive!
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Analytical Limitations
• Small sample size (data from 12 villages, 1267 women) out of 394 platforms serving 80,000 women. Therefore caution to be exercised in generalising the results.
• No control group: study does not control for overall development of villages without MFPs.
• Unrepresentative sample: villages concentrated in one area
• Low explanatory power: does not control for other non-MFP factors, e.g. educational or health reforms, that may have contributed to these results
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We must consider these limitations in designing the Assessment Framework so
that it can be generalised to different kinds of projects, different institutional and
national settings, etc.