DEVELOPING FOR DESTINATION APPEAL - Asheville...Forecasting Based Upon Mathematical Relationships...
Transcript of DEVELOPING FOR DESTINATION APPEAL - Asheville...Forecasting Based Upon Mathematical Relationships...
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DEVELOPING FOR DESTINATION APPEAL Prepared by Jerry Henry | H2R Market Research | December 2013
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2
“I skate to where the puck is
going, not to where it has been.”
-Wayne Gretsky
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The World is Changing. FAST.
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Consumers have
more media & product choices than
ever before!
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The framework for making
purchase decisions has changed
Welcome to the New Consumer Decision Journey
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The one
constant in the
midst of epic
change is that
strong brands
continue to
dominate the
market place.
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Strong destination brands are typically
preceded by strong product experiences.
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Strong product
experiences
differentiate
destinations
in a way that
marketing
cannot
duplicate.
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What type of
product
experiences
would it take
to move
Asheville up to
the next level?
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There is no simple answer.
But, direction likely can
be found in
emerging
trends.
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It takes money to make money.
TR
EN
D 1
INVESTMENT
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Great Recession is in
the rearview mirror.
Destinations & attractions have begun pouring money into new projects again.
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Bass Pro Shops Fourth Street Live Southport West
• Branson Landing (Branson)
• Power & Light District (KC)
• Bricktown (OK City)
• Ballpark Village (St. Louis)
• Hopkins Square (Baltimore)
• Bass Pro Shops (Atlantic City)
• Southport West (Omaha)
• Fourth Street Live (Louisville)
Branson Landing Ballpark Village
Power & Light District Bricktown
Entertainment
Districts are
popping up
everywhere.
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Most people who travel for leisure are motivated to travel by some sort of attraction or activity.
FEW VISIT DESTINATIONS
TO SIT IN HOTEL ROOMS
This is why most travelers choose to stay in hotels that are near the activities they most want to experience
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New destination & attraction projects, however, are not just more of the same.
BLURRED LINES T
RE
ND
2
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• Destination Experiences
are becoming deeper,
more enhanced—
and blurred.
• Destinations are adding new entertainment districts.
• Zoos are adding rides. • Theme parks are adding
animals. • Museums are adding 4D movie
experiences. • .
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EXPERIENTIAL
DESIGN
Designing environments with a focus placed on the quality
of the customer experience.
UNIVERSAL
DESIGN
Broad spectrum of ideas meant to manage environments that are
accessible to older adults and people with and without
disabilities.
MORE INTRICATE
STORYLINES
Obscure characters & detailed storylines are popping up
more places as designers seek to create environments more relevant to
kids in the age of video games, smartphones & 3D TVs.
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VISITOR CENTERS
ARE NOW ALL OR NOTHING
Connect visitors with access
to the things they most want to do.
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• Destinations, as a whole,
must stand out from the
crowd.
• About the overall
experience, not singularly
focused.
• Often a combination of
public & private
investment.
• Authenticity!
Importance of
Place Making
Travelers are
looking for
special
experiences,
destinations.
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Downtown Greenville, SC
• Vision of becoming a thriving
“state-of-the-art” community for living, working & playing.
• Revitalization stemming from 30 years of strategic public-private partnerships.
• Over 3 million square feet of office space, over ninety restaurants & pubs, weekly concerts Mar-Sep, a cultural center for the region.
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Downtown Chattanooga
• The 21st Century Waterfront is a $120 million, 129 acre project that used the Tennessee River as the
primary resource to revive the city’s downtown.
• Former industrial center that has
become the city’s primary tourist attraction.
• Aquarium, restaurants, concerts, live music, sports, museums, galleries, theaters and more.
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The product is not the only focus. Travel experiences are also becoming more
consumer-centric.
OPTIMIZING THE CX
TR
EN
D 3
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• The experience is becoming the marketing.
• But, “good” is not good enough. Must be share worthy.
• Retention is the new acquisition.
Source: Purple GoldFish, Stan Phelps
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• Destination Pain
Points negatively
impact the visitor
experience.
• Biggest pain points
across industry are: • Rude or indifferent
employees • Dirty restrooms • Businesses or exhibits
not open • Overly aggressive tour
guides/sales people • Long lines/traffic Source: PGAV Destinology; H2R Market Research
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Test before you
invest.
• New product concept
testing is the norm.
• Destinations & attraction designers routinely enlist consumer input before ideation, during concept vetting and in the selection process.
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Consumers are stressed. When they finally get time away, they have higher
expectations.
MEETING CHANGING NEEDS T
RE
ND
4
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Expectations & behavior have changed
over the past 5 years.
Travelers say that since 2007 they
are/have…
• Greater focus on value
• Engage in more pre-
planning
• A preference for
authenticity, moving away
from commercialism
• A desire for unique
experiences
• More security sensitive
P E O P L E A R E M O R E
E N G A G E D . . . A N D
STRESSED
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Ways that travelers say their behavior is
different today…
MORE PLANNING
MORE RELAXATION
PATH LESS TRAVELED
MORE DEAL HUNTING
STAYING CLOSER TO HOME
“I am more likely to go online and learn all I can about the places I go or any attraction I
might be interested in going to.”
“More content to travel and relax at my destination, rather than be concerned about
trying to cram in as much as possible.”
“I choose less crowded venues for a more enjoyable experience.”
“I am more likely to check for discounts before I travel, rather than just go.”
“We go on short day trips more often and travel fewer miles away from home.”
SOURCE: PGAV DESTINOLOGY, H2R MARKET RESEARCH
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SECURITY SENSITIVE
TRAVELING LESS
OUT OF THE ORDINARY
MORE AUTHENTIC
NO FLY ZONE
“Five years ago it was safer to carry a purse. Today it’s really not safe to keep anything of
value with you.”
“I travel less often and spend less money when I do travel.”
“I now prefer to do more things out of the ordinary, things that most people do not do
on a regular basis.”
“I’m more inclined to go to smaller venues than theme parks or tourist traps.”
“Flying by airplanes are the biggest problems. I’ve not been on any plane since
1999—too much of a hassle & fees.”
SOURCE: PGAV DESTINOLOGY, H2R MARKET RESEARCH
Ways that travelers say their behavior is
different today…
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The Four Times Rule
CRITICAL MASS MATTERS
Visitors will make a point of
visiting a destination if it has
enough activities that appeal
to them and will keep them
busy four times
longer than it took
them to get there.
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DEMOGRAPHICS
TR
EN
D 5
A sea change is upon us that is going to impact every destination.
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The U.S.
population is
getting older.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau; The Psychology of Aging, Slideshare.net
Up until the 1600s only about 1%
of the population was 65. That
ratio was only 4% 300 years later.
Today, 13% of U.S. population is
over 65…
…and by 2030 fully 20% Americans
will be 65+.
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Source: U.S. Census Bureau
1.2%
11.0%
8.6%
42.9%
43.0%
28.8%
9.7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
White Alone
Black Alone
Native American
Asian Alone
Hispanic
Minority Popn Overall
Total Popn
Percentage Change 2000 to 2010: All Ages
The U.S. is becoming
more diverse.
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34
Sources: USA Today
Share of the population under age 18 dropped in 95% of U.S. counties since 2000, according to a USA TODAY analysis of the 2010 Census.
Number of households with children remained at 38 million in 2010 census, while overall population increased 10%.
Share of households with children dropped from 36% in 2000 to 33.5% today.
Americans are getting older, and women are having children later and when they do have kids, they're not having as many.
There are fewer households with children
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More multi-
generational
travel.
Source: Roger Brooks International
• A strange thing has happened. Parents,
their children and their children’s children all
actually like one another.
• 40% of Baby Boomers have traveled in a
multi-generational travel party.
• 25% of all leisure travelers are
grandparents, and grandparents travel 25%
more than average.
• 37% of them travel with their
grandchildren.
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Millennials
define their
own version of
“success.”
Source: J. Walker Smith, The Futures Company
• Far more about close friends
and connections than money.
• Experiences matter far more
than things.
• For teens, being successful
means being debt free.
• The future is all about
prioritization. Not enough
just to be in the consideration
set. Must be near the top.
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Higher household incomes
• People with money continue to travel.
• Households earning over $50,000 per year account for 85% of all travel spending.
• MMGY doesn’t even track those earning less than $50,000 in the Portrait of Leisure Travel
• Lower income households are increasingly removing themselves from the travel marketplace.
Source: MMGY
Household Income
% of U.S. Households
Total Leisure Spending
Total % Travel Spending
Under $50,000 50 $40 billion 15
$50,000 to $125,000 40 $147 billion 52
$125,000 or more 10 $83 billion 33
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UPSCALE TRAVEL
EXPERIENCES T
RE
ND
6
Wealthier travelers have the
money and desire for upscale
experiences.
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Splurge travel is back to
pre-recession levels.
• But, the inspiration is
different this time.
• More about stress reduction & control.
• Less about personal enrichment.
• Recent data suggests these trends will only grow larger. Source: PGAV Destinology, H2R Market Research
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LEVERAGING GUEST INFO T
RE
ND
7
Leveraging guest insight & information to provide better experiences.
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VOC Programs
are using many new tools to
dig deeper.
• Online triads/quads
• Digital ethnography
• Social listening • Predictive
analytics
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Online Focus Groups
Qualitative Research
• Conduct groups online in prospects’ homes or offices.
• Include multiple geographies.
• Right state of mind.
• Saves travel time & money.
• Speeds up delivery.
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Digital Ethnography
Research by Observation
Ethnography is the scientific study of human social phenomena and communities, through means such as fieldwork.
• Online video diaries.
• Participants record their purchases & respond to pre-set questions.
• Follow-up with online IDI’s.
• Results help identify key interactions & interruptions in the purchase experience.
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Social Listening.
Paying Attention
Process of identifying and assessing what is being said about a destination online. Executions Include: • Web Scraping • Facebook Discussions • TripAdvisor.com • Yelp.com • Customer Complaints
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Predictive Analytics
Forecasting Based Upon Mathematical
Relationships
• Transactional data, e.g. Google Analytics, inquiries, occupancy, etc.
• Embed environmental data points.
• Use multivariate statistical analysis to explore relationships.
• Identify key performance indicators necessary to project visitation in the future.
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…AND MORE T
RE
ND
8
Looking out over the next 10-20 years, things are really going to get interesting...
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Global Future 2045
• The 2045 initiative is a community of researchers
dedicated to extending human life.
• The Avatar Project’s goal is to transpose human
consciousness into artificial bodies within the next 30
years.
• The paradigm is to develop the new body, the new carrier
for consciousness; to understand what consciousness is;
and to develop the potential of consciousness in the
future.
• Four phases of development will occur beginning as early
as 2020, when “clones” will be developed, controlling a
robotic human replica remotely.
Source: gf2045.com
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SUPER FAST
CONSTRUCTION Chinese workers built the 15-story Ark Hotel in just
six days.
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Autonomous Cars
Nissan promises their debut by 2020
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We must reinvent/redefine. Can’t waste time watching the competition. Odds are they’re doing it wrong and even if not, by the time you catch up you will have missed the wave. Focus on the customer and where they are headed.
We must differentiate. Jettison the generic. Narrow our focus. Too many destinations look & sound the same.
Become less traditional. DMO’s should not hesitate to lead the way for the whole destination, even add product.
Great product delivers great results. A lesson learned over and over. Great product moves the demand curve outward.
IM
PL
IC
AT
IO
NS
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Key Takeaways
• No such thing as status quo. Change, or be changed.
• Product differentiates destinations in a way that marketing cannot.
• Reinvent with new product, or Redefine with new approaches.
• In the social age, the experience is the marketing.
• Consumers are stressed. Don’t make it worse.
• Future consumers will look & act much different.
• Technology is a game changer.
• Big data will drive guest products & services in the future.
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@H2RMktResearch
Jerry Henry
1717 E. Republic Road, Suite C Springfield, MO 65804
417.877.7808
Questions?