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Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank
Dr. Josef AckermannChairman of the Management Board
an e roup xecu ve omm ee
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
Investor RoadshowInvestor RoadshowMadrid, 2Madrid, 2 JuneJune 20102010
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Agenda
1 A strong start to 2010: 1Q Highlights
2 Implementing Phase 4 of our management agenda
3 Key current issues
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
2
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First Quarter 2010: Highlights
1Q2009 1Q2010
Profitability
Net income (in EUR bn)
Pre-tax RoE (target definition)(1)
.
1.8
30%
.
1.2
25%
31 Dec2009
31 Mar2010
Capital
.
32.8
.
34.4
er cap a ra o
Tier 1 ca ital in EUR bn
Core Tier 1 capital ratio 8.7% 7.5%
Balance 978891Total assets (U.S. GAAP pro-forma, in EUR bn)
Total assets (IFRS, in EUR bn) 1,6701,501
2323Leverage ratio (target definition)(2)s ee
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
3
ase on average ac ve equ y
(2) Total assets based on U.S. GAAP pro-forma divided by total equity per target definition
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First quarter revenues and profits close to pre-crisis levels
n nNet revenues Income before income taxes
9.6 9.0 3.2
6.26.6
8.07.2
1.8
2.6
1.8
2.8
5.04.6
0.2
.
(0.3)
03 04 05 06 07 08 09
1Q
03 04 05 06 07 08 09
1Q
10 10
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
4
Note: 2003-2005 based on U.S. GAAP reported figures, 2006 onwards based on IFRS reported figures
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Global Markets 1Q2010 vs. 1Q2007: A tale of two cities
Similar top line revenue
erformance . . . . . . usin si nificantl lower resources
(26%)1Q2010 vs. 1Q20071Q2010 vs. Peak
U.S. GAAP pro-forma
S&T revenues, in EUR m
(2)
n.a.
(38%)Level 3 Assets
, ,
(22%)
(35%)
(38%)VaR
1Q2007 1Q2010
(93%)
(50%)
(95%)Prop Trading Notional
Capital
Stress Loss(1) (3)
(3%)(25%) Headcount
(1) 1Q2007 based on structure as of 2008
(2) Peak refers to highest level during the period 3Q2007 to 4Q2009
(3) Maximum potential loss across all risk typesNote: S&T revenues differ from Global Markets revenues due to some revenue
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
5
reallocation between GM and GB
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Reduced provisioning for credit losses
n m
Related to IAS 39 reclassified assets
1,000
(50)%
526 544 560
159308
492 329 249
Thereof: CIB20102009
Thereof: PCAM
357 779 323 357 90
169 221 214 201 173
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
6
Note: Divisional figures do not add up due to omission of Corporate Investments; figures may not add up due to rounding differences
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Tier 1 capital remains well above target
11.712.6
11.211.2
Tier 1 ratio: (117) bps(1)
10.2.
8.7
Target: 10%
7.17.8 8.1 7.57.5
316 295 288 273 292
: n
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
2009 2010Core Tier 1 ratio, in %Tier 1 ratio, in % RWA, in EUR bn Sal. Oppenheim Group impact
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
7
o e: ore er ra o = er cap a ess y r er cap a v e y s
(1) Includes Tier 1 capital deduction (including goodwill and other intangibles) of EUR 1.3 bn and EUR 17 bn RWA
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Agenda
1 A strong start to 2010: 1Q Highlights
2 Implementing Phase 4 of our management agenda
3 Key current issues
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
8
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Well placed to deliver on Phase 4
Management Agenda Phase 4
2009 2011
Focus on core PCAM businessesIncrease CIB profitability with renewed
of revenue growth
performance culture
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
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Phase 4: Financial potential
Revenue growth p.a. ~ 8%
ormance
Income before income taxes, in EUR bn(1) ~ 10.0
Per Return on Equity(2)
Cost / income ratio
25% over-the-cycle
~ 65%
raints Tier 1 ratio 10%
Const
Leverage(3) 25x
1 Before Cor orate Investments and Consolidations & Ad ustments
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
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(2) Pre-tax return on Average Active Equity
(3) Per target definition: Assets based on U.S.GAAP pro-forma; total equity adjusted for FV gains / losses on DB issued debt
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Phase 4: assumptions for 2010 2011
No further major market dislocations
Normalization of asset valuations
below 9M2007 annualized
Margins remain higher than pre-crisis
Environmental
Interest rates normalization from 2nd half 2010
Global GDP growth 2% p.a. over the period
No significant further write-downs
Deutsche Bank Market share gains
EUR 1 bn efficiency gains out of infrastructure
2 June 2010
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Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
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Phase 4: IBIT otential of business divisions
In EUR bn
ase po en a
Corporate Banking & Securities 6.3
Global Transaction Banking 1.3
Asset and Wealth Management 1.0
Private & Business Clients 1.5
Total business divisions 10.0
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
12
Note: Figures do not add up due to rounding differences
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2011 potential: CB&S / Global Markets
Cost developmentRevenue developmentRisk
development
ncome e ore ncome taxes, n n
~(1.6)~2.4 ~(0.9)
normalisation
Lower market volatility
Predominantly
FX/Rates/ Credit
De-risking losses
Legacy businesses
Mark-downs
Monoline reserves
Strategic hiring
Platform investments
5.6 4.1 5.7 5.6
U.S. cash
Liquid/flow
Commodities build
EM debt build
Other
derivatives
Asia cash Prime
Brokerage
(4.0)
2009 2009 2011Additional Potential 1
Direct market access
Clearing
Growth areas GrowthRevenue impacts
IBITEquities Debt / other
products
incl. deferrals
-Market nor-
malisation
Specific
items / other
trading
losses
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
r mar y con ra-revenues
Note: Does not correspond to segmental reporting; the sum of GM and CF does not add up to the reported CB&S figure mainly due to LEMG; column size is illustrative
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2011 potential: CB&S / Corporate Finance
Credit s reads
CostdevelopmentRevenue development
Riskdevelopment
ncome e ore ncome taxes, n n
0.9
tightening
Lower market volatility
Lower hedge losses
~(0.4)~0.9 ~0.0
2.4
0.6 0.4
Strategic hires:
Junior hiring
Senior hires in
Top-5
Key investments
(M&A, FIG, NRG) IPO market
CRE / Other mark-downs(1)(0.9)
IAS 39 LLPs (1.2)
FIG, NRG, China & UK ecap ta zat on
Financing
(2.6)
2009 Specific Market 2009 Target fee Share Invest- Additional 2011
Lev. Fin.-related legal
settlements (0.3)
Non- AdditionalIBIT items normali-
sation
before
specific
items
pool
growth
capture ment hiring staff costs
incl.
deferrals
potential
IBIT
recurring
Lev. Fin.
revenues
risk costs(2)
(1) Incl. significant property impairments of EUR 0.5 bn
(2) Incremental LLP
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
o e: oes no correspon o segmen a repor ng; e sum o an oes no a up o e repor e gure ma n y ue o ;
column size is illustrative FIG = Financial Institutions Group; NRG = Natural Resources Group; LDCM = Leveraged Debt Capital Markets
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2011 potential: Global Transaction Banking
CostdevelopmentRevenue development
Riskdevelopment
ncome e ore ncome taxes, n n
~(0.5)~1.1 ~(0.0)
Supply Chain Finance
Agency Securities
Lending
Expansion in
key growthregions (e.g.
1.3
Alternative Fund
Services
Asia, MENA)
Strengthening
footprint in
EuropeNormalisation:
Avg. EONIA
Avg. FFE
0.8 IT Additional
headcount
Payment ServiceDirective
Reduced funding
benefit
Local LargeCap/MNC
clients
Large MidCaps in Europe
Integration of parts
of ABN AMRO(1)
Non-bank FIs and Tier 2
and 3 banks
2009
reported
IBIT Solutions Clients
2011
potential
IBITMarkets
Growth
related
investment
costs
Additional
risk costs(2)Improved
interest rates
Growth areas Other
constraints
(1) Pro rata running and migration costs
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
ncremen a ; = u a ona orpora es, = uro ver g n ex verage , = e era un s ec ve
Note: Figures do not add up due to rounding differences; column size is illustrative
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2011 potential: Asset Management
ncome e ore ncome taxes, n m Assumes no appreciation ofequity indices 2010 - 2011
Cost developmentRevenue developmentRisk
development
500
RREEF-related losses MM fund injections
Rightsizing / Smartsourcing /
Outsourcing (RREEF propmgmt./fund accounting, EQ/QS,
~235~45 ~0
Severance
Acquisition costs
Write-back of DWS
Scudder intangible
IT / Ops
optimization
Office space
rationalization
Portfolio mgt (~800 FTE))
Partnerships (e.g. insurance)
(~100 FTE)
159
63 222
Full ear Result of 2009
AUM growth
RREEF transaction
activity growth
2009
market
impact
reductions
Specific
items
Market
normali-
sation
IT/Ops/
Real Estate
rationali-
zation
2009
reported
IBIT
2009
before
specific
items
Cost
savings
run rate
Strategic
initiatives
2011
potential
IBIT
2010-2011
organic growth
Change
in
LLPs
Strategic
initia-
tives
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
Note: Figures do not add up due to rounding differences; column size is illustrative
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Sal. Oppenheim: Dedicated strategy for each business
act v ty
Cluster 1 Cluster 2 Cluster 3 Cluster 4
Wealth ManagementWealth Management
WM GER + AM
GER/LUX
Select WM / AM
international activitiesOther business
Switzerland IB
Asset Management
Corporate Banking/
ermany
Asset ManagementGermany/Lux
Austria
Luxembourg
Other (BAS, SGG,Alternative
investments, etc.)
Other
SOPEP
OVAM
Refine value
proposition / platformIntegrate / Align
Reposition / integrate
dispose / wind-downStrategic options
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
BAS = BHF Asset Servicing, SOPEP = Sal. Oppenheim Private Equity Partners, SGG = Services Generaux de Gestion, OVAM = Oppenheim Versicherungs AM GmbH
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Sal. Oppenheim: Asset base
ObservationsInvested assets develo ment Sal. O enheim Grou (1)
15
4
8
103 105
127
In EUR bn Invested assets have
grown with only(2) (2)
9
142
(3)
2
(1)
34 38
WM forei n
IB, SOPEP,OVAM & other
BHF
Invested assets of
core proposition(5)
overall broadl stable
(4)
32 33 34
Sal. O . WM
entities
Sal. Opp.Institutional
OVAM first timeintegrated with
invested assets of
Germany
Dec
2008
NNM Adjust-
ments(3) Market Dec
2009
NNM Adjust-
ments(3) Market Mar
2010
EUR 12 bn in 1Q2010
Note: Invested assets of cluster 1 and 2 allocated to PWM; SOPEP = Sal. Oppenheim Private Equity Partners, OVAM = Oppenheim Versicherungs AM GmbH
(1) Invested assets according to DB definition
(2) Excludes OVAM EUR 12 bn invested assets
(3) Acquisitions, disposals and reclassifications
us er us er us er us er
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
anuary arc
(5) Wealth Mgt. Germany, Asset Mgt. Germany/Luxembourg, Wealth and Asset Mgt. Switzerland, Austria and Luxembourg
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PWM and Sal. Oppenheim: Benefits, synergies and outlook
Undisputed leadership in Private Wealth Management in Germany
Strategicimpact
omp emen ary c en pro e, par cu ar y n e c en segmen
Second wealth management proposition with strong brand complementing business
portfolio at the top end of the market
Expansion of Deutsche Banks non-investment banking activities
Diversification of Deutsche Banks earnings mix
Financial
Short-term (2010 / 2011) significant impact from integration and exit costs, including
severanceimpact /Outlook
Positive contribution from 2012 onwards
Substantial upside potential
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
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2011 potential: Private & Business Clients
ncome e ore ncome taxes, n n
Cost developmentRevenue developmentRisk
development
Severance /
1.5
~0.1~0.7 ~0.0
ITinvestments related to
efficiency program
One-off gain from LLP
recalibrationOptimization in:
Head-office
Mid-office
Other
Growth related non-comp
increase
Hua Xia
Investment & Insurance products: sales initiatives,reali nment of s ecialized investment advisor teams
0.2 0.7
0.5
Service
centers
e ec e nves men s
Staff costs
Credit Products: selective growth mainly in Europe,exit of specific portfolios and tightened approval criteria
Deposits & Payments / Other(1): active margin management,fixed rate saving deposits up 20 bps over the next 12 months
2009
reported
IBIT
Specific
items
2009
before
specific items Sales initiatives
Germany Europe Efficiency
initiatives(2)Infra-
structure
platform
efficiency
Change
in LLPs
Asia 2011
potential
IBIT
Cost to
achieve
growth(1) Mainly Asset Liability Management
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
e uces a so r s cos s
Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding differences; column size is illustrative
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Complexity reduction program: Further strengthen
competitive position
Efficiency gains and complexity
Development cost/income ratio reduction
134Reported, in %
reduction is planned to result in
EUR 1 bn cost savings in
infrastructure areas (based on 2009
Benefits may partly be off-set by re-
investments to further reduce
Target65%
79 8075
7277
102
Achievements will significantly
contribute to P&L
71 7067
64
68 69
Peer rou (1)
Note: DB: 2002-2005 based on U.S. GAAP, from 2006 onwards based on IFRS
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
22
eer group nc u es ar as, , re u sse, o man ac s, organ ase, organ aney, , err ync un , e man ro ers un
2007), BoA (since 2008), 2007 excluding Citi and UBS, 2008 excluding UBS
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Cost and infrastructure efficiency: examples of initiatives
n m Illustrative
End 2011 potential
-
Technology / IT Functional alignment of IT operating model: Elimination of duplication Functional integration and standardisation of
processes (app. dev., production mgt.) Maximising value from of vendor management and
outsourcing Maximum benefit of low-cost locations
200 - 250
a orm e c enc es er ner an ,
integration)
Global Business Transition to next generation operating model: Further use of low-cost locations Continued standardisation of processes Automation (elimination of manual processes)
150- 200
Legal, Risk & Capital Implementation of Global Efficiency Model: Redefine core and optimise non-core activities Strict risk / return discipline in portfolio / coverage Integrated delivery model
100
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
ncrease ou source oo pr n
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On track to achieve 2011 targets
Income before income taxes, in EUR bn
1Q2010
Phase 4
potential
Corporate Banking &
Securities
reported
2.6
2011
6.3
Prospects / Key features
Capture client flow / market share with prudent risk
taking
Global Transaction
Banking0.1 1.3
Expansion in key regions and client sectors
Upside potential from interest rate increase
Asset and Wealth
Management(0.0) 1.0
AM: Benefits from right-sizing the platform PWM: Exploit undisputed home market leadership
and grow Asia
Private & Business
Clients0.2 1.5
Reap benefits from sales initiatives in Germany and
Europe
Positive impact from efficiency measures
Total business divisions 2.9 10.0
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
24
Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding differences
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Agenda
1 A strong start to 2010: 1Q Highlights
2 Implementing Phase 4 of our management agenda
3 Key current issues
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
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The changing environment: current issues
Consultation phase Proposal / discussion phase
Basel Committee consultative document
Capital / capital eligibility
National capital requirements
Structure and capitalization of legal Leverage
Liquidity
entities
Asset allocation
Countercyclical capital buffers
Timeline for implementation
Sources and means of funding
Living wills
U.S. balance sheet levy
U.S. / EU proposed reforms
Proprietary trading
Hedge funds
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
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Tier 1 capital and RWA development
n n
Tier 1 capital RWA
1.8
0.714.4
292.5
34.4(1.3)
3.31.5
6.5(6.7)
(2.1) (0.1)(0.5)
32.8 .
31 Dec 31 Mar 1Q10 FX Equity-Capital- Other(2)
Sal. - 31 Dec Opera- 31 Mar Sal. - OtherMarket3 FX
income-
pensation-
ductionitems(1)
-heim
risk(4)
-heim(5)
Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding differences
(2) Other includes dividend accrual and actuarial gains/losses on pension plans
(3) Contains EUR 1 bn market risk Sal. Oppenheim
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
27
(1) Primarily reflecting deductions in relation to certain securitization positions in
the trading book
on a ns . n opera ona r s a . ppen e m
(5) Credit Risk RWA only
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Sovereign risk
1 000
oncerns a ou sovere gn r s po en a er ary e ec roug con ag on
CDS spreads by country (in bps) DB exposures(1) by country, 31 Mar 2010
400500
600
700
800
900
,
Italy Spain Portugal Greece Ireland
0
100
200
300
Aug 08 Nov 08 Feb 09 May 09 Aug 09 Nov 09 Feb 10 May 10
Greece Portugal Spain Ireland Italy
Total exposure (gross)
Exposure after hedging and collateral (net) Thereof sovereign(net)
Sovereign: Overall relatively small, except Italy
CIB: Focus on better rated clients; corporates / FIs with satisfactory diversification & risk
Limited primary/
secondarym ga on
PBC: Large presence in Spain and Italy, mitigated by low concentration risk and collateralpor o o
concerns
Significant spread widening could lead to losses on our illiquid GM/GB legacy positions
Temporarily reduced liquidity in EU debt and equity markets
European banks with significant cross border funding would exhibit renewed stress
risk of tertiary
market impact
due to contagion
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
28
(1) Includes exposure for CIB, PBC and PWM, excludes traded credit positions (TCP)
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Modest reliance on shorter term wholesale funding
n n
Funding sources overview Liquidity position
Secured funding increase mainly
against highly liquid trading
assets
21131 Mar 2010 (Total: EUR 856 bn)31 Dec 2009 (Total: EUR 777 bn)
Incremental discretionary
wholesale funding more than
offset by increase of available
164153
118
165158
123
cash balances
Available cash and strategic
liquidity reserve exceed net51
26
61
29un ng gap un er com ne
stress scenario
YTD execution of 2010 issuanceCapital
markets
Retail Trans-
action
Other
customers(1)
Discre-
tionary
Secured
funding
Financing
vehicles(2)
(>50% of EUR 19 bn plan)and equity banking wholesale and shorts
Unsecured funding and equity
Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding differences
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
29
er nc u es uc ary, se - un ng s ruc ures e.g. -mar e s , marg n r me ro erage cas a ances s own on a ne as s
(2) Includes ABCP conduits
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Key takeaways
Well-capitalized
Significant capital buffer; above targets
Future retained earnings potential
Fresh capital for buying new earnings streams (only)
Strong liquidity / Substantial liquidity reserve
un ng Diverse unsecured funding base
Clear achievable goals Profit growth of core businesses
Infrastructure efficiency gains
In all aspects: Positioned to deliver on Phase 4
2 June 2010
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Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
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Shareprice and dividend
DividendShareprice performance since 2009
Dividend per share, in EURTotal shareholder return, in LFC,
indexed, 1 Jan 2009 = 100
.
69%
.46%
18%
International
peers(1)
DAX
2008 20091 Jan 09 30 Jun 09 31 Dec 09 25 May 10
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations31
n erna ona peers o man ac s, organ ase, re u sse, an an er, arcays, ar as ; n ex ase on , o a s are o er re urn an mar e
capitalization weightings Source: Bloomberg
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Cautionary statements
This resentation contains forward-lookin statements. Forward-lookin statements are statements that are not historical
facts; they include statements about our beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These
statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as they are currently available to the management of Deutsche
Bank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to.
By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could
therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors
include the conditions in the financial markets in German in Euro e in the United States and elsewhere from which we
derive a substantial portion of our revenues and in which we hold a substantial portion of our assets, the development of
asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of our
strategic initiatives, the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods, and other risks referenced in
-. . .
of 16 March 2010 under the heading Risk Factors. Copies of this document are readily available upon request or can be
downloaded from www.deutsche-bank.com/ir.
This presentation also contains non-IFRS financial measures. For a reconciliation to directly comparable figures reportedunder IFRS, to the extent such reconciliation is not provided in this presentation, refer to the 1Q2010 Financial Data
Supplement, which is accompanying this presentation and available at www.deutsche-bank.com/ir.
2 June 2010
Dr. Josef Ackermann
Deutsche Bank
Investor Relations
32