Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and...

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Determining landscape factors influencing tropical amphibians using a multispecies occupancy model José W. Ribeiro Jr, Tadeu Siqueira, Elise F. Zipkin email: [email protected]

Transcript of Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and...

Page 1: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

Determining landscape factors influencing tropical amphibians using a multispecies

occupancy model

José W. Ribeiro Jr, Tadeu Siqueira, Elise F. Zipkin

email: [email protected]

Page 2: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

INTRODUCTION

Why Amphibians?

Hoffmann et al. 2010, IUCN 2016

Critically endangered

Endangered

Data Deficient

Vulnerable

Least concern + Near threatened

Amphibians

Cartilaginous fish

Mammals

Reptiles

Bony fish

Birds

Proportion of species

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

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➢ Major driver of biodiversity loss

Collins and Crump 2009, Gámez-Virués et al. 2015Figures credit: http://blog.globalforestwatch.org

Forest loss

INTRODUCTION

NATURAL FOREST AGRICULTUREDEFORESTATION

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Fahrig 2003

Forest habitat Forest patch

Matrix

INTRODUCTION

Habitat fragmentation

NATURAL FORESTDEFORESTATION AGRICULTURE

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➢ Alters vegetation composition

➢ Increase light

➢ Increase temperature

➢ Decrease water quality

INTRODUCTION

Habitat fragments

Collins and Crump 2009, Ewers and Banks-Leite 2013, Clément et al. 2017

NATURAL FORESTDEFORESTATION AGRICULTURE

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INTRODUCTION

Matrix matters

Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017

TREE PLANTATIONAGRICULTURE

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Ficetola et al. 2009, 2011

➢ Proxy for habitat amount

➢ Increase connectivity between

aquatic habitats

INTRODUCTION

Stream density

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Parris and McCarthy 1999, Eterovick and Barata 2006, Keller et al. 2009, Ribeiro et al. 2012

➢ Physical habitat

▪ Substrate type

▪ Stream size

➢ Variation in vegetation

INTRODUCTION

Catchment area and Slope

Page 9: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

Parris and McCarthy 1999, Eterovick and Barata 2006, Keller et al. 2009, Ribeiro et al. 2012

➢ Physical habitat

▪ Substrate type

▪ Stream size

➢ Variation in vegetation

INTRODUCTION

Catchment area and Slope

Catchment area

Slope

height difference / horizontal distance

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Source: http://biodiversitymapping.org

INTRODUCTION

Why Brazilian Atlantic Rainforest Amphibians?

Page 11: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

Source: http://biodiversitymapping.org

INTRODUCTION

Why Brazilian Atlantic Rainforest Amphibians?

Threatened Amphibians Endemic Amphibians Data Deficient Amphibians

Page 12: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

➢ Atlantic Forest originally

covered >1,450,000 km2

➢ ~15% of forest remains

▪ 14% is protected by

nature reserve

Ribeiro et al. 2009, Joly et al. 2014

INTRODUCTION

Brazilian Atlantic Forest

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Investigate the influence of landscape characteristics on amphibian

occurrence probabilities in Brazilian Atlantic Forest streams

GOAL

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EXPECTATIONS

Forest cover andStream density

Forest cover andStream density

Occurr

ence

pro

bability

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EXPECTATIONS

Agriculture

Agriculture

Occurr

ence

pro

bability

Page 16: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

EXPECTATIONS

Catchment areaand Slope

Catchment areaand Slope

Occurr

ence

pro

bability

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Forest (69%)

Silviculture (19%)

Agriculture (11%)

Streams

State Park

STUDY AREA

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Active - Standardized Acoustic and Visual Transect Sampling (SAVTS)

Passive - Automated Acoustic Recorders (AAR)

rainy season (Oct 2015 - Mar 2016)

AMPHIBIAN SAMPLING

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➢ 100 m transect segment

➢ Stream channel, vegetation, and litter

➢ Recorded all calling individuals

➢ Each stream was sampled twice

Parris 2004, Alix et al. 2014, Walls et al. 2014

AMPHIBIAN SAMPLING

Active method - SAVTS

Page 20: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

➢ Automated Acoustic Recorders

➢ 1.5 m above the ground

➢ 5-min periods each hour from 4-11 pm

➢ During three days

Parris 2004, Alix et al. 2014, Walls et al. 2014

AMPHIBIAN SAMPLING

Passive method - AAR

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Dorazio and Royle 2005, Zipkin et al. 2009, Kéry and Royle 2015

Occupancy ~Stream density

Forest cover

Agriculture

Catchment area

Slopelogit link function

MULTI-SPECIES MODEL

Occupancy model

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Dorazio and Royle 2005, Zipkin et al. 2009, Kéry and Royle 2015

Detection ~ Method type +

Precpitation

Date - linear

Date - square

MULTI-SPECIES MODEL

Detection model

logit link function

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Dorazio and Royle 2005, Zipkin et al. 2009, Iknayan et al. 2014, Kéry and Royle 2015

MULTI-SPECIES MODEL

Community-level paramater

➢ Use a community-level distribution

(hyper-distribution)

➢ Normal distribution

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RESULTS

Community-level occupancy

< 75%

Posterior distribution not overlapping zero

75 - 95%

> 95%

Page 25: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

RESULTS

Community-level occupancy

< 75%

Posterior distribution not overlapping zero

75 - 95%

> 95%

Page 26: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

RESULTS

Community-level occupancy

92%

< 75%

Posterior distribution not overlapping zero

75 - 95%

> 95%

Page 27: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

RESULTS

Community-level occupancy

< 75%

Posterior distribution not overlapping zero

75 - 95%

> 95%

Page 28: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

RESULTS

Species-level occupancy

Forest cover Stream density

Sp

ecie

s

Sp

ecie

s

< 75%

Posterior distribution not overlapping zero

75 - 95%

> 95%

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RESULTS

Species-level occupancy

Catchment area SlopeAgriculture

Sp

ecie

s

< 75%

Posterior distribution not overlapping zero

75 - 95%

> 95%

Page 30: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

➢ Average detection varied widely

(0.01 – 0.88)

➢ Influenced by the method

➢ Peaked middle of the rainy

season

PassiveActive

RESULTS

Detection process

Page 31: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

Active

Passive

RESULTS

Community-level detection

Page 32: Determining landscape factors influencing tropical ... Presentation.pdfMatrix matters Prevedello and Vieira 2010, Ferrante et al. 2017 AGRICULTURE TREE PLANTATION. Ficetola et al.

➢ On average, small streams and flat topographic areas increase

the amphibian occurrence probabilities

➢ Forest fragments can maintain amphibian diversity in a forested

dominated landscape

➢ Agriculture has a negative impact on amphibians

CONCLUSIONS

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Grants: 2014/07113-8 and 2016/07469-2

The São Paulo Research Foundation

BIODIVERSITY ANALYSIS & SYNTHESIS LAB

Universidade Estadual Paulista(UNESP)

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS