Designing Designs for Research. Designing Designs cause u How do you establish cause? minimize...

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Designing Designs for Research
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Transcript of Designing Designs for Research. Designing Designs cause u How do you establish cause? minimize...

Designing Designs for Research

Designing Designs

How do you establish causecause? How do you minimize threats minimize threats to

validity? How do you construct construct a design? What is a goodgood design?

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal PrecedenceTemporal Precedence

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

Time

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

Time

Why is this important?Why is this important?

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

Time

Why is this important?Why is this important?

Cyclical functionsCyclical functions

Inflation

Unemployment

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal PrecedenceTemporal Precedence

Covariation of Cause and EffectCovariation of Cause and Effect

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

TimeTime

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

Covariation of cause and effectCovariation of cause and effect

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

timetime

If X, then Y.If X, then Y.If If notnot X, then X, then notnot Y. Y.

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

Covariation of cause and effectCovariation of cause and effect

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

timetime

If X, then Y.If X, then Y.If If notnot X, then X, then notnot Y. Y.

If program given, then outcome observed.If program not given, then outcome not observed.

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

Covariation of cause and effectCovariation of cause and effect

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

timetime

If X, then Y.If X, then Y.If If notnot X, then X, then notnot Y. Y.

If program given, then outcome observed.If program not given, then outcome not observed.

If more of program, then more of outcome observed.If less of program given, then less of outcome observed.

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

Covariation of cause and effectCovariation of cause and effect

No alternative explanationsNo alternative explanations

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

timetime

If X, then Y.If X, then Y.If If notnot X, then X, then notnot Y. Y.

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

Covariation of cause and effectCovariation of cause and effect

No alternative explanationsNo alternative explanations

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

timetime

If X, then Y.If X, then Y.If If notnot X, then X, then notnot Y. Y.

ProgramProgram OutcomeOutcomecauses?

How Do You Establish Cause?

Temporal precedenceTemporal precedence

Covariation of cause and effectCovariation of cause and effect

No alternative explanationsNo alternative explanations

CauseCause EffectEffectthenthen

timetime

If X, then Y.If X, then Y.If If notnot X, then X, then notnot Y. Y.

ProgramProgram OutcomeOutcomeCauses?

Alternativecause

Alternativecause

Alternativecause

Alternativecause

In Typical Outcome Evaluation

Is taken care of because you intervene before you measure outcome

Is taken care of because you control the intervention

Is the central issue of internal validity -- usually taken care of through your design

Temporal Precedence

Covariation of Cause and Effect

No Alternative Explanations

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By argument By measurement or observation By design By analysis By preventive action

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By argumentBy argument

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By argumentBy argument

Simply say the threat isn’t reasonable.

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By measurementBy measurement

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By measurementBy measurement

Measure that the threat didn’t happen.

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By designBy design

R O X OR O X O

MaturationMaturationthreat?threat?

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By designBy design

Add a group to control for the threat.

R O X OR O OR O X OR O O

To address aTo address amaturationmaturation

threatthreat

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By analysisBy analysis

Mortality threat : Are your dropoutsMortality threat : Are your dropoutsdifferent from those retained indifferent from those retained in

your study?your study?

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By analysisBy analysis

Show through analysis that the threat isn’t plausible.

Retained Drop-Out05

1015202530

Retained Drop-Out

PretestPretestPretestmeansmeans

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By preventive actionBy preventive action

Rivalry?

How Do You Minimize Threats to Validity?

By preventive actionBy preventive action

Don’t allow the threat to happen in the first place.

Rivalry

Get programGet programnext semesternext semester

How Do You Construct a Design?

Across time Across programs Across observations Across groups

Expand...

How Do You Construct a Design?

Start with the simplest design.

How Do You Construct a Design?

X OX O

Start with the simplest design.

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across timetime..

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across timetime..

O O X OO O X O

O X O O OO X O O O

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across programsprograms..

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across programsprograms..

O X1 OO X2 OO X3 O

O X1 OO X2 OO X3 O

ProgramProgramvariationsvariations

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across observationsobservations..

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across observationsobservations..

O1 X O1,2,3

O1 O1,2,3

O1 X O1,2,3

O1 O1,2,3

MeasurementMeasurementvariationsvariations

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across groupsgroups..

R O X OR O OR O X OR O O

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across groupsgroups..

R O X OR O OR O X OR O O

R O X OR O OR O X OR O OAdd aAdd a

replicate.replicate.

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across groups and timegroups and time..

R O X OR O O

N O

R O X OR O O

N O

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across groups and timegroups and time..

R O X OR O O

N O

R O X OR O O

N O

How Do You Construct a Design?

Expand across groups and timegroups and time..

R O X OR O O

N O

R O X OR O O

N O

TimeTime

GroupsGroups

How Do You Construct a Design?

X OStart

How Do You Construct a Design?

X OStart

Expand

R O X O O

R O O X O

N O X O

N O O

How Do You Construct a Design?

X OStart

Expand

R O X O O

R O O X O

N O X O

N O O

R O X O

R O O

N O OContract

What Is a Good Design?

Theory-grounded Situational (adapted) Feasible Redundant Efficient