DER Growth: Load Forecast & Customer Data Appendix F1...Customer Class Total Customer Count Peak Day...

1

DER Growth: Load Forecast & Customer DataAppendix F1

WILLOW PASS DEFERRAL OPPORTUNITYWillow Pass Bank 1 and Willow Pass Bank 3

3

Technical and Operational Requirements

• A combined need of at least 0.3 MW across Willow Pass feeders 1101 and 1102 is required• A combined need of at least 5.1 MW across Willow Pass feeders 2107 and 2108 is required

Candidate Deferral

Expected Performance and Technical Requirements

GNA Facility Name

In-

Service

Date

Requirement

Real

Time

(RT) or

Day

Ahead

(DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

DaysCalls/ Year Hours

Duration

(Hours)

Willow Pass Bank 1

WILLOW PASS BANK 1

• Willow Pass 1101


6/1/2023 A DA 0.3 6-8 Sat - Sun 8 2PM-8PM 2

WILLOW PASS BANK 3



6/1/2023 B DA 5.1 6-9Mon –

Sun101 2PM-10PM 6

4

Willow Pass Bank 1 and Feeders Location Overview

• Equipment: Willow Pass Bank 1 – Feeders 1101 and 1102

• Electrical Service:

• 3-phase, 3.5 MVA bank with two 12.47 kV feeders

Location

Willow Pass Substation Bank 1, Contra Costa County

All data depicted in thisapplication is for PG&Einternal use only.Dissemination to any entityoutside of PG&E requires theapproval of Corporate Security.

Willow Pass

Candidate Deferral GNA Facility NameIn-Service

Date

Grid Need

(MW)

Willow Pass Bank 1WILLOW PASS BANK 1 6/1/2023 0.3

WILLOW PASS BANK 3 6/1/2023 5.1

5

DIDF Project Location:

Willow Pass Bank 1

Willow Pass Substation Bank 1 and Bank 3 Map

Willow Pass Bank 1

Willow Pass 1101

Willow Pass 1102

Willow Pass Bank 3

Willow Pass 2107

Willow Pass 2108

6


Willow Pass Bank 1

Willow Pass Substation Bank 1 Map

7

Willow Pass Bank 1


0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

Willow Pass Bank 1 – Hourly Load Profile

June July August Facility Rating

0.3 MW

Candidate Deferral GNA Facility Name Requirement

Real

Time

(RT) or

Day

Ahead

(DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

Willow Pass Bank 1WILLOW PASS BANK 1 A DA 0.3 6-8 Sat - Sun 8 2PM-8PM 2

WILLOW PASS BANK 3 B DA 5.1 6-9 Mon – Sun 101 2PM-10PM 6

8

Customer Composition Served by Willow Pass Bank 1

Customer Class Total Customer Count Peak Day Load (MW)

Agricultural 1 0.00

Commercial/Industrial 183 1.64

Residential 2,674 7.23

Other 9 0.00

Total 2,867 8.87

1 183

2,674

9

Customer Count

Agricultural Commercial/Industrial Residential Other

0.0%

18.5%

81.5%

0.0%

Peak Day Load by Customer Class (%)


9

Load by Customer Class – Willow Pass Bank 1

(Peak Load Day – August 15th, 2019)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

MW

Hour

Peak Day Hourly Load Profile by Customer Type


10

Willow Pass Bank 1 DER Overview

Historical 2019 Forecast

Observed Peak Load

(MW)

Installed DERsYear

(Need vs Peak)

Peak Load

(1 in 10 Year) (MW)

Incremental DER Growth

Solar PV (MW)

Storage (MW)

PV (MW)

ES (MW) EE (MW) DR (MW) EV (MW)

8.87 0.94 0.022020 10.11 0.26 0.004 0.07 0.00 0.00

2020 10.11 0.26 0.004 0.07 0.00 0.00

11

Willow Pass Bank 3 and Feeders Location Overview

• Equipment: Willow Pass Bank 3 – Feeders 2107 and 2108


• 3-phase, 30 MVA bank with two 21.6 kV feeders

Location

Willow Pass Substation Bank 3, Contra costa County


Willow Pass

Candidate Deferral GNA Facility NameOnline

Date

Grid Need

(MW)

Willow Pass Bank 1WILLOW PASS BANK 1 6/1/2023 0.3

WILLOW PASS BANK 3 6/1/2023 5.1

12


Willow Pass Bank 3

Willow Pass Substation Bank 3 Map

13

Willow Pass Bank 3


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

Willow Pass Bank 3 – Hourly Load Profile

June July August September Facility Rating

5.1 MW


Real

Time

(RT) or

Day

Ahead

(DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

Willow Pass Bank 1WILLOW PASS BANK 1 A DA 0.3 6-8 Sat - Sun 8 2PM-8PM 2

WILLOW PASS BANK 3 B DA 5.1 6-9 Mon – Sun 101 2PM-10PM 6

14

Customer Composition Served by Willow Pass Bank 3


Agricultural 0 0



Other 10 0.00

Total 8,227 24.21

0.0%

10.3%

89.7%

0.0%



0 236

7,981

10

Customer Count


15

Load by Customer Class – Willow Pass Bank 3


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

MW

Hour


Commercial/Industrial Residential Other

16

Willow Pass Bank 3 DER Overview


Observed Peak Load

(MW)

Installed DERsYear

(Need vs Peak)

Peak Load

(1 in 10 Year) (MW)


Solar PV

(MW)

Landfill Gas

(MW)

Storage (MW)

PV (MW)

ES (MW) EE (MW)DR

(MW)EV (MW)

24.21 4.88 4.75 0.162020 30.29 1.53 0.026 0.16 0 0.019

2023 34.74 1.71 0.03 0.0 0 0.024

SAN MIGUEL DEFERRAL OPPORTUNITYSan Miguel Bank 1, San Miguel 1104, and Paso Robles 1107

18


• A combined need of at least 3.5 MW across San Miguel feeders 1104, 1105, 1106 and 1107 is required• At least 1.0 MW of the 3.5 MW must be sourced at San Miguel feeder 1104• 0.6 MW must be sourced at Paso Robles 1107

Candidate Deferral


GNA Facility Name

In-

Service

Date

Requirement

Real

Time

(RT) or

Day

Ahead

(DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

San Miguel Bank 2

SAN MIGUEL BANK 1• San Miguel 1104• San Miguel 1105• San Miguel 1106• San Miguel 1107

5/1/2023 A1 DA 1.3Jun-Sep

Mon -Sun

122 6AM-11PM 5

5/1/2023 A2 DA 2.2Jun-Sep

Mon -Sun

122 6AM-11PM 10

SAN MIGUEL 1104 5/1/2023 B DA 1.0Jun-Sep

Mon-Fri 66 5PM-10PM 4

PASO ROBLES 1107 5/1/2023 C DA 0.6Jul-Sep

Mon-Fri 21 3PM-9PM 4

19

San Miguel Bank 1 and Feeders Location Overview

• Equipment: San Miguel Bank 1 – Feeders 1104, 1105, 1106, and 1107


• 3-phase, 16 MVA bank with four 12.47 kV feeders

Location

San Miguel substation Bank 1, San Luis Obispo County


San

Miguel


Date

Grid

Need

(MW)

San Miguel Bank 2

SAN MIGUEL BANK 1 5/1/2023 3.5

SAN MIGUEL 1104 5/1/2023 1.0

PASO ROBLES 1107 5/1/2023 0.6

20


San Miguel Bank 1

San Miguel Bank 1 and Paso Robles 1107 Map

21


San Miguel Bank 1

San Miguel Bank 1 Map

22

San Miguel Bank 1 – Peak Day, Hourly Load ProfileFlat, baseload profile – Energy storage will not be able to charge from the constrained location to meet the grid

need (i.e., would need a separate energy source)


0

5

10

15

20

25

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

San Miguel Bank 1


1.3 MW

Candidate Deferral GNA Facility Name

Distribution

Service

Required

Requirement

Real Time (RT)

or Day Ahead

(DA)

Grid Need

Grid

Need

Unit

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

San Miguel Bank 2

SAN MIGUEL BANK 1 Capacity A DA 3.5 MW 6-9 Mon – Sun 122 6AM-11PM 10

SAN MIGUEL 1104 Capacity B DA 1.0 MW 6-9 Mon - Fri 66 5PM-10PM 4

PASO ROBLES 1107 Capacity C DA 0.6 MW 7-9 Mon - Fri 21 3PM-9PM 4

2.2 MW

23

San Miguel Bank 1 Options

• Option 1: Requirement A

– Requirement A: 3.5 MW, 10 hours

• Option 2: Requirements A1 and A2

– Requirement A1: 1.3 MW, 5 hours

– Requirement A2: 2.2 MW, 10 hours

– Both Requirement A1 and Requirement A2 must be met in order to meet the cumulative 3.5 MW grid need

24

Customer Composition Served by San Miguel Bank 1


Agricultural 286 2.61



Other 12 1.14

Total 2,728 13.15

286

386

2,044

12

Customer Count


19.8%

36.7%

34.8%

8.7%



25

Load by Customer Class – San Miguel Bank 1

(Peak Load Day – September 4th, 2019)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

MW

Hour


AGR Commercial/Industrial Residential Other

26

San Miguel Bank 1 DER Overview


Observed Peak Load

(MW)

Installed DERsYear

(Need vs Peak)

Peak Load

(1 in 10 Year) (MW)


Solar PV

(MW)

Wind (MW)

Storage (MW)

PV (MW)

ES (MW) EE (MW)DR

(MW)EV

(MW)

13.15 5.63 0.01 0.0052020 16.93 0.2 0.013 0.11 0.016 0.004

2028 19.32 0.2 0.018 0.00 0.00 0.013

27

San Miguel 1104 – Peak Day, Hourly Load Profile


0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

San Miguel 1104


1 MW


Distribution

Service

Required

Requirement

Real Time (RT)

or Day Ahead

(DA)

Grid Need

Grid

Need

Unit

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

San Miguel Bank 2




28

Customer Composition Served by San Miguel 1104




Residential 821 1.98

Other 1 0.00

Total 1,241 7.36

211

208

821

1

Customer Count


29.2%

43.9%

27.0%

0.0%



29

Load by Customer Class – San Miguel 1104


0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

MW

Hour



30

San Miguel 1104 DER Overview


Observed Peak Load

(MW)

Installed DERsYear

(Need vs Peak)

Peak Load

(1 in 10 Year) (MW)


Solar PV

(MW)

Wind (MW)

PV (MW)

ES (MW)

EE (MW)

DR (MW)

EV (MW)

7.36 3.30 0.012022 12.34 0.15 0.01 0.06 0.00 0.01

2028 13.13 0.17 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01

31

Paso Robles Feeder 1107 Location Overview

• Equipment: Paso Robles Feeder 1107 (Bank 3)


• 12.47 kV feeder

Location

Paso Robles substation Bank 3, San Luis Obispo County


San

Miguel


Date

Grid

Need

(MW)

San Miguel Bank 2

SAN MIGUEL BANK 1 5/1/2023 3.5

SAN MIGUEL 1104 5/1/2023 1.0

PASO ROBLES 1107 5/1/2023 0.6

32


Paso Robles Feeder 1107

Paso Robles 1107 Map

33

Paso Robles – Peak Day Hourly Load Profile


0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

Paso Robles 1107

July August September Facility Rating

0.6 MW


Distribution

Service

Required

Requirement

Real Time (RT)

or Day Ahead

(DA)

Grid Need

Grid

Need

Unit

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

San Miguel Bank 2




34

Customer Composition Served by Paso Robles 1107





Other 9 0.11

Total 2,108 10.12

46255

1,798

9

Customer Count


2.0%

43.4%

53.5%

1.1%



35

Load by Customer Class – Paso Robles 1107


0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

MW

Hour



36

Paso Robles 1107 DER Overview


Observed Peak Load (MW)

Installed DERsYear

(Need vs

Peak)

Peak Load

(1 in 10 Year) (MW)


Solar PV

(MW)

Biogas (MW)

Wind (MW)

Storage (MW)

PV (MW)

ES (MW)

EE (MW)

DR (MW)

EV(MW)

10.12 3.36 0.36 0.008 0.0252021 13.67 0.32 0.002 0.09 0 0.04

2023 14.13 0.17 0.002 0.03 0 0.06

CALISTOGA DEFERRAL OPPORTUNITYCalistoga Bank 1 and Calistoga 1102

38


Candidate Deferral


GNA Facility NameIn-Service

DateRequirement

Real

Time

(RT) or

Day

Ahead

(DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

Calistoga Bank 1

CALISTOGA BANK 1

• Calistoga 1101

• Calistoga 1102

5/1/2023 A DA 1.3 6-9Mon –

Sun40 2PM-6PM 3

CALISTOGA 1102

5/1/2023 B1 DA 2.0 6-9Mon –

Sun122 12PM-9PM 5

5/1/2023 B2 DA 1.0 6-9Mon –

Sun122 12PM-9PM 8

• A combined need of at least 1.3 MW across Calistoga feeders 1101 and 1102 is required• 3.0 MW must be sourced at Calistoga feeder 1102

39

Calistoga Bank 1 and Feeders Location Overview

• Equipment: Calistoga Bank 1 – Feeders 1101 and 1102


• 3-phase, 7 MVA bank with two 12.47 kV feeders

Location

Calistoga substation Bank 1, Napa County


Calistoga


Date

Grid

Need

(MW)

Calistoga Bank 1CALISTOGA BANK 1 5/1/2023 1.3

CALISTOGA 1102 5/1/2023 3.0

40


Calistoga Bank 1

Calistoga Bank 1 and the associated feeders Map

41


Calistoga Bank 1

Calistoga Bank 1 Map

42


Calistoga Bank 1

Calistoga 1102 Map

43

• Calistoga Bank 1 – Peak Day, Hourly Load Profile– Potential red flag – Interconnection in the area may be costly and challenging due to protection and operational issues. PG&E will continue to assess the

issue.


0

5

10

15

20

25

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

Calistoga Bank 1


1.3 MW


Real Time

(RT) or Day

Ahead (DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

Calistoga Bank 1CALISTOGA BANK 1 A DA 1.3 6-9 Mon – Sun 40 2PM-6PM 3

CALISTOGA 1102 B DA 3.0 6-9 Mon – Sun 122 12PM-9PM 8

• Calistoga 1102 – Peak Day, Hourly Load Profile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

Calistoga 1102


2 MW


Real Time (RT) or Day

Ahead (DA)

Grid Need (MW)

MonthDelivery

DaysCalls/ Year

HoursDuration (Hours)

Calistoga Bank 1CALISTOGA BANK 1 A DA 1.3 6-9 Mon – Sun 40 2PM-6PM 3

CALISTOGA 1102 B DA 3.0 6-9 Mon – Sun 122 12PM-9PM 8


1 MW

45

Calistoga 1102 Options

• Option 1: Requirement B

– Requirement B: 3 MW, 8 hours

• Option 2: Requirements B1 and B2

– Requirement B1: 2 MW, 5 hours

– Requirement B2: 1 MW, 8 hours

– Both Requirement B1 and Requirement B2 must be met in order to meet the cumulative 3.0 MW grid need

46

Customer Composition Served by Calistoga Bank 1





Other 6 0.04

Total 3,645 14.85

157

658

2,824

6

Customer Count


3.4%

46.8%

49.5%

0.3%



47

Load by Customer Class – Calistoga Bank 1


0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

MW

Hour



48

Calistoga Bank 1 DER Overview



Installed DERsYear

(Need vs

Peak)

Peak Load

(1 in 10 Year) (MW)


Solar PV

(MW)

Natural Gas

(MW)

Storage (MW)

PV (MW)

ES (MW)

EE (MW)

DR (MW)

EV (MW)

14.85 3.52 0.84 0.162021 20.9 0.23 0.01 0.11 0 0.06

2023 21.0 0.12 0.01 0.06 0 0.08

RIPON DEFERRAL OPPORTUNITYVierra 1707

50


Candidate Deferral

Expected Performance and Technical Requirement

GNA Facility

Name

In-Service

DateRequirement

Real Time

(RT) or

Day

Ahead

(DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

Ripon 1705 VIERRA 1707 4/30/2024 A DA 3.7 6-9Mon –

Sun102 3PM-10PM 5

• 3.7 MW must be sourced at Vierra feeder 1707

51

Vierra 1707 Feeder Location Overview

• Equipment: Vierra Feeder 1707 (Bank 2)


• 17 kV feeder

Location

Ripon Substation Bank 1, San Joaquin County


Ripon`


Date

Grid

Need

(MW)

Ripon 1705 VIERRA 1707 4/30/2024 3.7

52


Ripon 1705

Ripon Bank 1 and Vierra Bank 2 with associated feeders Map

Vierra Bank 2

Vierra 1706

Vierra 1707

Ripon Bank 1

Ripon 1701Ripon 1703

53


Ripon 1705

Vierra Bank 2 Map

54

0

5

10

15

20

25

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

Vierra 1707


3.7 MW

• Vierra 1707 – Peak Day, Hourly Load Profile



Real Time

(RT) or Day

Ahead (DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

Ripon 1705 VIERRA 1707 A DA 3.7 6-9 Mon – Sun 102 3PM-10PM 5

55

Customer Composition Served by Vierra 1707





Other 2 0.00

Total 4,427 14.79

54200

4,171

2

Customer Count


0.8%

13.3%

85.9%

0.0%



56

Load by Customer Class – Vierra 1707


0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

MW

Hour



57

Vierra 1707 DER Overview



Installed DERsYear

(Need vs

Peak)

Peak Load

(1 in 10 Year) (MW)


Solar PV

(MW)

Storage (MW)

PV (MW)

ES (MW)

EE (MW)

DR (MW)

EV (MW)

14.79 8.22 0.132023 17.25 0.99 0.02 0.00 0 0.06

2029 20.73 0.72 0.03 0.07 0 0.07

ZAMORA DEFERRAL OPPORTUNITYZamora Bank 1

59

• A combined need of at least 1.1 MW across Zamora feeders 1105 and 1106 is required


Candidate Deferral

Expected Performance and Technical Requirement

GNA Facility NameIn-Service

DateRequirement

Real Time

(RT) or

Day

Ahead

(DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

Zamora 1108

ZAMORA BANK 1

• Zamora 1105

• Zamora 1106

5/1/2023 A DA 1.1 6-7 Mon - Fri 45 6AM-10PM 14

60

Zamora Bank 1 and Feeders Location Overview

• Equipment: Zamora Bank 1 – Feeders 1105 and 1106


• 3-phase, 10.5 MVA bank with two 12.47 kV feeders

Location

Zamora Substation Bank 2, Yolo County


Zamora


Date

Grid

Need

(MW)

Zamora 1108 ZAMORA BANK 1 5/1/2023 1.1

61


Zamora 1108

Zamora 1108 Map

62


Zamora 1108

Zamora Bank 1 and Bank 2 Map

Zamora Bank 1

Zamora Bank 2

63


• Zamora Bank 1 – Peak Day, Hourly Load Profile– Flat, baseload profile – Energy storage will not be able to charge from the constrained location to meet the grid need

(i.e., would need a separate energy source)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Load

(M

W)

Hour

Hourly Load Forecast - Peak Year (2020)

May June July August Facility Rating

1 MW


Date

Real Time

(RT) or Day

Ahead (DA)

Grid

Need

(MW)

MonthDelivery

Days

Calls/

YearHours

Duration

(Hours)

Zamora 1108 ZAMORA BANK 1 5/1/2023 DA 1.1 6-7 Mon - Fri 45 6AM-10PM 14

64

Customer Composition Served by Zamora Bank 1




Residential 230 0.24

Other 2 0.00

Total 513 7.99

194

87

230

2

Customer Count


82.6%

14.3%

3.0%



65

Load by Customer Class – Zamora Bank 1

(Peak Load Day – June 29th, 2019)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

MW

Hour


AGR Commercial/Industrial Residential

66

Zamora Bank 1 DER Overview


Observed Peak Load

(MW)

Installed DERsYear

(Need vs Peak)

Peak Load

(1 in 10 Year) (MW)


Solar PV (MW)

Wind (MW)

Storage (MW)

PV (MW)

ES (MW) EE (MW) DR (MW)EV (MW)

7.99 1.10 0.002 0.0052020 10.35 0.12 0.01 0.03 0 0

2020 10.35 0.12 0.01 0.03 0 0

DER Growth: Load Forecast & Customer Data Appendix F1...Customer Class Total Customer Count Peak Day...

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Transcript of DER Growth: Load Forecast & Customer Data Appendix F1...Customer Class Total Customer Count Peak Day...