7/28/2019 Demographics and Climate Change Future Trends and Their Policy Implications for Migration

1/2

Carol

WP-T27.pdf

http://www.eldis.org/go/topics/resource-guides/climate-change/poverty-and-vulnerability/migration&id=38822&type=Document

Demographics and climate change: future trends and their policyimplications for migration

The impact of demographic and climate change on migration patterns in

developing countries

Authors: R. Black; D. Kniveton; R. Skeldon

Publisher: Development Research Centre on Migration, Globalisation and

Poverty, University of Sussex, 2008

Full text of document

This working paper seeks to explore the potential impact of future

demographic and climate change on migration patterns in developingcountries, in order to identify policy implications for international

development and evidence gaps that could be plugged with appropriate new

research.

The author concedes that this paper is a long way away from predicting

with any degree of certainty what the migration consequences of climate

change might be over the next 40-50 years. Estimates of the likelynumbers of 'environmental' or 'climate change' migrants or refugees are

guesses at best, and have their origin in a mapping of likely climate

impacts, but such a mapping doesn't allow for any concomitantunderstanding of how migration might be sensitive to such impacts. It is

unclear how far climate change will emerge as a significant or

predominant factor in influencing human migration, distinct from other

economic, social or political factors, and/or overriding their effect.However, it is recognised that the challenges posed by climate change

are many, and that these challenges are likely to be particularly

acutely felt by the world's poorer populations. A number of policy

responses may be appropriate. These include:

climate sensitive development policies- These should include new

policies to build specific adaptive capacity amongst some of the mostaffected populations in areas such as the African Sahel, as well as the

http://www.eldis.org/go/topics/resource-guides/climate-change/poverty-anhttp://www.eldis.org/go/topics/resource-guides/climate-change/poverty-anhttp://www.eldis.org/go/topics/resource-guides/climate-change/poverty-an

7/28/2019 Demographics and Climate Change Future Trends and Their Policy Implications for Migration

2/2

integration of climate change concerns into existing policies, to ensure

that programmes do not further undermine the resilience of the poor when

faced with climate change

policies to support migrants- including Incorporation of migration

into National Adaptation Programmes of Action (NAPA), incorporation ofboth migration and climate change into national development plans, andPolicies aimed at ensuring the social protection of more vulnerable or

poorer migrants

research into migration and climate change- Given the absence of

local and regional data, a final area in which policy makers must take

action is to support further research, both to understand the specific

causes and consequences of migration associated with climate change, andto seek to improve estimates of the likely numbers involved.

http://www.migrationdrc.org/publications/working_papers/WP-T27.pdf

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

__._,_.___

Reply to sender|Reply to group|Reply via web post|Start a New Topic

Messages in this topic(1)

http://www.migrationdrc.org/publications/working_papers/WP-T27.pdfhttp://www.migrationdrc.org/publications/working_papers/WP-T27.pdfmailto:clombard@dsd.gov.za?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationmailto:clombard@dsd.gov.za?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationmailto:clombard@dsd.gov.za?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationmailto:pop_dev_migration@yahoogroups.com?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationmailto:pop_dev_migration@yahoogroups.com?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationmailto:pop_dev_migration@yahoogroups.com?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationmailto:pop_dev_migration@yahoogroups.com?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationhttp://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJvMGlvb2I4BF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBG1zZ0lkAzcxNQRzZWMDZnRyBHNsawNycGx5BHN0aW1lAzEzMzQ4Mjc1OTc-?act=reply&messageNum=715http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJvMGlvb2I4BF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBG1zZ0lkAzcxNQRzZWMDZnRyBHNsawNycGx5BHN0aW1lAzEzMzQ4Mjc1OTc-?act=reply&messageNum=715http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJvMGlvb2I4BF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBG1zZ0lkAzcxNQRzZWMDZnRyBHNsawNycGx5BHN0aW1lAzEzMzQ4Mjc1OTc-?act=reply&messageNum=715http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJvMGlvb2I4BF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBG1zZ0lkAzcxNQRzZWMDZnRyBHNsawNycGx5BHN0aW1lAzEzMzQ4Mjc1OTc-?act=reply&messageNum=715http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJlczcxcTYwBF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBHNlYwNmdHIEc2xrA250cGMEc3RpbWUDMTMzNDgyNzU5Nw--http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJlczcxcTYwBF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBHNlYwNmdHIEc2xrA250cGMEc3RpbWUDMTMzNDgyNzU5Nw--http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJlczcxcTYwBF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBHNlYwNmdHIEc2xrA250cGMEc3RpbWUDMTMzNDgyNzU5Nw--http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/message/715;_ylc=X3oDMTMydGY4MmMzBF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBG1zZ0lkAzcxNQRzZWMDZnRyBHNsawN2dHBjBHN0aW1lAzEzMzQ4Mjc1OTcEdHBjSWQDNzE1http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/message/715;_ylc=X3oDMTMydGY4MmMzBF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBG1zZ0lkAzcxNQRzZWMDZnRyBHNsawN2dHBjBHN0aW1lAzEzMzQ4Mjc1OTcEdHBjSWQDNzE1http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/message/715;_ylc=X3oDMTMydGY4MmMzBF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBG1zZ0lkAzcxNQRzZWMDZnRyBHNsawN2dHBjBHN0aW1lAzEzMzQ4Mjc1OTcEdHBjSWQDNzE1http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJlczcxcTYwBF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBHNlYwNmdHIEc2xrA250cGMEc3RpbWUDMTMzNDgyNzU5Nw--http://groups.yahoo.com/group/pop_dev_migration/post;_ylc=X3oDMTJvMGlvb2I4BF9TAzk3MzU5NzE0BGdycElkAzI3OTEzNDUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDgzNTEyBG1zZ0lkAzcxNQRzZWMDZnRyBHNsawNycGx5BHN0aW1lAzEzMzQ4Mjc1OTc-?act=reply&messageNum=715mailto:pop_dev_migration@yahoogroups.com?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationmailto:clombard@dsd.gov.za?subject=Re%3A%2019%2F4%2F%20Demographics%20and%20climate%20change%3A%20future%20trends%20and%20their%20policy%20implications%20for%20migrationhttp://www.migrationdrc.org/publications/working_papers/WP-T27.pdf