Demand of Burger King - Managerial Economic

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    NO PARTICULARS PAGE

    1 INTRODUCTION 2 5

    2 MODEL / EQUATION 6

    3 METHODOLOGY 7 - 10

    4 FINDINGS AND INTERPRETATION OF COEFFICIENT

    4.1 Interpretation of Coefficient

    4.2 Evaluation of statically significant variable

    4.3 - Interpretation of F-statistic

    4. 4 - Coefficient of determination ( )

    4.4 Range of Actual Value

    4.5 - Interpretation of standard error of estimate

    11 - 15

    5 CALCULATION OF ELASTICITY

    6.1 Price Elasticity of Demand

    6.2 Cross Elasticity of Demand

    6.3 Income Elasticity of Demand

    6.4 Advertising Elasticity of Demand

    16 - 17

    6 CONCLUSION 18 - 19

    7 REFERENCES 20

    8 APPENDIX 21

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    1.0 INTRODUCTION

    BACKGROUND COMPANY

    Burger king started in 1954, when James McLamore and David Edgerton opened their first

    restaurant in Miami, Florida. Their experience in restaurant business offering reasonably prices

    quality food, served quickly, in attractive, clean surroundings. In 1957, people were introduced to

    the new flavor of the Original Whopper. At that time, it was selling for only 37 cents. This product

    was become famous in short time and then made the BURGER KING concept of franchise success

    and spread rapidly throughout the 1960s and in 1963 the first international restaurant opened in

    Puerto Rico.

    The early BURGER KING restaurants distinguished themselves from others by their self-

    serve ordering and outdoor patio seating. Burger King Corporation pioneered dining rooms in the

    fast food industry and decided to close its patio seating in 1957. BURGER KING introduced their

    customers with comfortably eat their food at the table inside the restaurant. Eighteen years later, in

    1957 their innovation began with drive-thru service. In 1958, BURGER KING Corporation started

    their first major promotion with their first television commercial with The Bigger the Burger, the

    Better the Burger, that debuted in1968. In 1974 the memorable HAVE IT YOUR WAY

    campaign was created. In the late 1990s, the tremendously popular Food and Music television

    campaign set a new standard for advertising worldwide.

    Vision: We proudly serve the best burgers in the business, plus a variety of real, authentic, all

    freshly prepared, and just the way you want it.

    Values: Fairness, Diversity, Respect, Caring, Clear Accountabilities, Teamwork, High Standard,

    Commitment to Excellence, Celebrating our Successes.

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    BURGER KING IN MALAYSIA

    The first Burger Kings Restaurant was located at Overhead Bridge Sg. Buloh in December

    1997. Its operated with the different management group that operates under a new franchisee. It

    was officiated by our former Prime Minister Y.A.B Tun Dr. Mahathir Mohamad. Now, there are

    20 restaurants in that operated in Malaysia.

    There are currently, 3 franchise holders in Malaysia. The largest operating restaurant is

    managed by Cosmo Restaurant Sdn. Bhd. While outlets located in KLIA are under the

    management of Dewina Hosts Sdn. Bhd. Another franchise is Living Bread Sdn. Bhd. those

    manage outlets in Sabah.

    Started in 1960s, the first interior concept was featured with artists such as Marilyn

    Monroe, Elvis Presley, James Dean and vintage cars photos. Burger King now, use the concept to

    carters the customer requirement for the trendy, modern and more relaxing. Burger King caters to

    customers who love great tasting burgers, their way.

    PROBLEM STATEMENT

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    Nowadays, fast food had becomes popular among people. Fast food, such as hamburgers

    can be prepared and served very quickly and can be prepared in the short time. It can be served to

    the customer in a packaged for take away, and now can be easily got through drive-thru and

    delivery services, and no wonders hamburgers demand increasing from year to year.

    Burger king restaurant offers variety of hamburger that are popular throughout world. As a

    restaurant that offers hamburgers to people, there are several reasons that can effects the changes

    of quantity demand of hamburgers purchased. Which is price of our hamburgers, price of other

    hamburger, peoples income and advertising expenses on promoting our product?

    Price of our hamburger is one of the factors that can make demand change. People will

    expect for reasonable price for the product that they purchase. If price of burger king suddenly

    increase, they would probably more prefer switch to another hamburger such as McDonalds

    burgers, Wendys burgers or other competitors.

    Another factor that arises in changes in Burger King Demands is price of other hamburger.

    If the price of our hamburgers remained the same while the price of other restaurant of hamburgers

    fell dramatically. It will effect on the demand for our hamburger, because there are other substitute

    products such as hamburgers from others restaurant or competitors. When customer wants to eat

    hamburgers see that the price of Burger King increase, they may not eliminate to eat hamburgers

    but they will certainly start eating other hamburgers such as McDonalds burger.

    Changes in income can also change overall demand for a product or service. As people's

    incomes rise, they demand more goods and services. They also demand better goods and services

    the good things in life. When peoples income fall, they demand fewer goods and services and

    when income increase, people demand will be increase. We assume that our hamburger is among

    normal goods. Normal goods are those for which demand increase as income rise.

    The last factors that can effects the total demand of our hamburgers is advertising. When

    Burger King increases their advertising expenditure, means that we are trying to promote our

    products in order to attract our customers towards to rise our hamburgers demand. When our

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    advertisement such as Free Soft Drink, When you buy a Whopper. It can increase the demand of

    our hamburger, because advertisements play an important role in order to attract people.

    RESEARCH OBJECTIVE

    To investigate the factors of changes in our price, price of competitors, income and advertising will

    effects the total quantity demand for hamburgers.

    2.0 MODEL / EQUATION

    PAGE 5

    Q = a + b P + b Pz+

    b Y + b A

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    From the SPSS analysis the result shows :

    a = -3,624.513

    b = -565.120

    b2 = 4,321.381

    b3 = 0.065

    b = 1.316

    So, the equation is :

    Where :

    Q = Quantity of Burger King hamburger purchased per week

    P = Price of Burger King hamburger

    Pz = Price of other hamburger

    Y = Real income (RM)

    A = Advertising expenses (RM thousand)

    F Statistic = 2.794

    SE = 461.631

    R2 = 0.504

    3.0 METHODOLOGY

    PAGE 6

    Q = -3,624.513 - 565.120P + 4,321.381Pz +

    0.065Y + 1.316A

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    Methodology can properly refer to the theoretical analysis of the methods and appropriate

    to a field of study or to the body of methods and principles particular to a branch of knowledge.

    Research methodology is what the research doings ,how to go on the research ,how to evaluate

    progress, and what constitutes success .it also provides us an advancement of wealth of human

    knowledge ,tools of the trade to carry out research ,tools to look at things in life objectively

    ;develops a critical and scientific attitude ,disciplined thinking to observe objectively which are

    scientific deductions and inductive thinking ,skills of research particularly in the age of

    information .the research methodology is a science that studying how research is done

    scientifically .It is the way to systematically solve the research problem by logically adopting

    various steps. Also it defines the way in which the data are collected in a research project.

    Data collection methods are an integral part of research design. There are 2types of data

    collection method which are primary and secondary data. Primary data is the data is derived from a

    new or original research study and collected at the source. Data observed or collected directly from

    first- hand experience. Published data and the data collected in the past or other parties is called

    secondary data for this assignment ,we are going to use secondary data collection methods which

    are refer to information gathered by someone other than the researcher conducting the current

    study. Such data can be internal or external to the organization and accessed through the internet or

    perusal of recorded or published information. As there are too many information in secondary data,

    we had been used only several which are book, journal or article and internet sources.

    i. Book

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    Set or collection of written, printed, illustrated, or blank sheets, made of paper parchment .or

    other various material, usually fastened together to hinge at one side. In this research the book that

    had been used in order to complete the assignment is Managerial Economics Eighth Edition which

    are written by Christopher R. Thomas, S. Charles Maurice and published M.C. GRAW.HILL

    INTERNATIONAL EDITION , RATIONAL DECISION MAKING FOR MANAGERS An

    Introduction which are written by Sarah Keast and Michael Towler published by A John Wiley and

    Sons Ltd. Publication.

    ii. Article or Journals.

    A non fictional literary composition that forms an independent part of a publication, as of a

    newspaper or magazine. Journals defines as many publication, issued at stated intervals, such as

    magazines, or scholarly pacific journals, academic journals, or the record of the transactions of a

    society, are often called. Although journal is sometimes used, erroneously, as a synonym for

    magazine, in academic use, a journal refers to a serious, scholarly publication, most often peer-

    review. A non-scholarly magazine written for an educated audience about an industry or an area of

    professional activity is usually called a professional magazine.

    iii. Internet Sources

    The publicly available worldwide system of interconnected computer networks that transmit

    data by packet switching using a standardized Internet Protocol (IP) and many other protocols. It is

    made of thousands of smaller commercial, academic, and government networks. It carries various

    information and services, such as electronic mail, online chat and the interlinked web pages and

    other documents of the World Wide Web.

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    What is SPSS?

    SPSS is a popular statistics program used in a variety of scientific disciplines. It is

    composed of two facets, the statistical package itself and the SPSS language, a system of syntax

    used to execute commands and procedures. Likewise, there are two approaches to using SPSS: (a)

    via the menu system and point-and-click approach and (b) via the use of SPSS programming

    syntax. Most users will find a combination of these approaches most effective in carrying out their

    data analyses. At the University of North Texas, we have obtained the licenses of the software for

    Windows and Mac OSX. In this series, we will focus on SPSS for Windows, which is a complete

    data analysis program with many capabilities and applications. The requirements for PCs and

    Macs are as follows

    While Excel is a very useful business tool, it has limitations and now that it can handle

    large datasets, you also need help to manage this data. IBM SPSS Advantage for Microsoft Excel

    gives you advanced tools to more efficiently and effectively manage and analyse business datasets.

    IBM SPSS Advantage for Microsoft Excel puts the right tools at your fingertips, enabling you to:

    1) Conduct RFM analysis

    2) Easily identify groups

    3) Find unusual data

    4) Prepare and transform data

    5) Save Excel tables to native IBM SPSS data files

    6) Operating systems supported: Windows family

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    Advantages.

    SPSS offers a user friendliness that most packages are only now catching up to. It is popular, and

    though that is certainly not a reason for choosing a statistical package, many data sets are easily

    loaded into it and other programs can easily import SPSS files. As of version 16 and 17 it now is

    compatible with R and Python (assuming they are installed on the machine), which can give it the

    functionality it otherwise lacks or would be too clunky in its own syntax.

    Disadvantages.

    For academic use SPSS lags notably behind SAS, R and even perhaps others that are on the more

    mathematical rather than statistical side for modern data analysis (e.g. robust and bootstrapping

    approaches available easily conducted elsewhere are non-existent or very difficult to do, basic tests

    of analytical assumptions are often not available). Its menu offerings are typically the most basic

    of an analysis and sometimes lacking even then, and it makes doing an inappropriate analysis very

    easy. The default graphics are poor and not easily customizable to make them better. It is

    expensive, sometimes ridiculously so (e.g. many of its add-ons are free elsewhere or part of the

    base install for other packages), and even when you do buy you're really only leasing, and its

    license is definitely not user friendly. There are often compatibility issues with prior versions.

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    4.0 FINDING AND INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS

    4.1 Interpretation of the coefficient

    Price of Burger King hamburger (P)

    When the price of hamburger increases by RM1, quantity demand for hamburger will decrease by

    565.120 units.

    P is negative sign. The sign of coefficient is consistent with the economic theory.

    Price of other hamburger (Pz)

    When the price of other hamburger increase by RM1, quantity demand for the hamburger will

    increase by 4,321.381 units.

    Pz is positive sign. The sign of coefficient is consistent with the economic theory.

    Real income (Y)

    When the income increase by RM1, quantity demand for the hamburger will increase by 0.065

    units.

    Y is positive sign. The sign of coefficient is consistent with the economic theory.

    Advertising expenses (A)

    When the advertising expenses increase by RM1, quantity demand for the hamburger will increase

    by 1.316 units.

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    A is positive sign. The sign of coefficient is consistent with the economic theory.

    4.2 Evaluation of statically significant variable at 95% confident level

    T- value =

    T-Statistic Table :

    Variable T-statistic Significant/Not Significant

    P [565.120 / 1,128.821]

    = 0.501 < 2.201

    Not Significant

    Pz [4,321.381 / 2,432.334]

    = 1.777 < 2.201

    Not Significant

    Y [0.065 / 0.136]

    = 0.478 < 2.201

    Not Significant

    A [1.316 / 1.420]

    = 0.927 < 2.201

    Not Significant

    Based on the rule of thumb, the critical t-value which is at 2.201 at 95% confidence interval, the

    following variables statistically significant in explaining the changes in demand for hamburger

    (Q) : the price of hamburger (P), price of other hamburger (Pz), real income(Y) and advertising

    expenses (A) are not statistically significant in explaining the changes in demand for hamburger.

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    Estimated Coefficient

    Standard Error of

    Coefficient

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    i. Because of the ratio of P is lower than 2.201, the t-value is concluded that there is

    not significant relationship between price and demand for Burger King hamburger.

    ii. Because of the ratio of Pz is lower than 2.201, the t-value is concluded that there is

    not significant relationship between price of other hamburger and demand for

    Burger King hamburger.

    iii. Because of the ratio Y is lower than 2.201, the t-value is concluded that there is not

    significant relationship between income and demand for Burger King hamburger.

    iv. Because of the ratio A is lower than 2.201, the t-value is concluded that there is not

    significant relationship between advertising and demand for Burger King

    hamburger.

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    4.3 Interpretation of F-statistic

    F-Value : = R/ (k-1)

    (1-R)/(n-k)

    = 0.504 / (5-1)

    (1-0.504) / (16-5)

    = 0.126

    (1-0.504) / (16-5)

    = 2.794

    The F-statistic is 2.794 < 3.3567 F-tables [k-1/n-k = 5-1/16-5] (critical value).

    At 95% confident interval there is a not significant relationship between dependent variable and all

    the independent variables.

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    4. 4 Coefficient of determination ( )

    Coefficient of determination, : 0.504

    50.4% changes in quantity demand of hamburger is explained by the all changes in the

    independent variables. Another 49.6% is due to the changes in other factors not included in the

    model.

    4.5 Interpretation of standard error of estimate

    Standard error estimation : 461.631

    Q = -3,624.513 - 565.120P + 4,321.381Pz + 0.065Y + 1.316A

    P = 0.99 Pz = 0.95 Y = 16,505.50 A = 579.38

    = -3,624.513 565.120 (0.99) + 4,321.381 (0.95) + 0.065 (16,505.50) + 1.316 (579.38)

    = 1,756.65

    Q t-value (SE)

    = 1,756.65 2.201 (461.631)

    Upper Range :

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    Q t-value (Standard Error

    Estimation)

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    = 1,756.65 + 2.201 (461.631)

    = 2,772.70

    Lower Range :

    = 1,756.65 - 2.201 (461.631)

    = 740.60

    At 95% confident interval with the given values for price, income and price of competitor, the

    sales will range between 740.60 and 2,772.70.

    5.0 CALCULATION OF ELASTICITY

    Q = -3,624.513 565.120P + 4,321.381Pz + 0.065Y + 1.316A

    P = 0.99 Pz = 0.95 Y = 16,505.50 A = 579.38

    Q = -3,624.513 565.120 (0.99) + 4,321.381 (0.95) + 0.065 (16,505.50) + 1.316 (579.38)

    = 1,756.65

    Price Elasticity of Demand

    = -565.120 x 0.99 / 1,756.65

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    x

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    = - 0.32 < 1 : inelastic of demand

    Therefore, increase in price will increase in total revenue.

    When price increase by 1%, the QD will decrease by 0.32%.

    Income Elasticity of Demand

    = 0.065 x 16,505.50 / 1,756.65

    = 0.61 0 : Substitute goods

    Therefore, when price of competitor increase by 1%, the Qd Burger King hamburger will increase

    by 2.34%.

    Advertising Elasticity of Demand

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    x

    x

    x

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    = 1.316 x 579.38 / 1,756.65

    = 0.43 < 1 : Advertising has small impact on demand.

    6.0 CONCLUSION

    From the study we can conclude that the regression equation for the impact on the demand

    for hamburgers cannot be accepted. There are three criteria that should be concern in order to know

    whether the estimated demand function is can be acceptable or not. First, which is it need to

    comply is the most of the independent variable must be consistent with the economic theory. The

    second criteria is most of the independent be significant accordingly to the result of T-test and the

    last criteria is high R2. The regression cannot be accepted because R2 which is 0.504 (50%) lower

    than 60%. Most variables are not significant and the variables are not consistent with the economic

    theory.

    Based on the rules of thumb, the critical t-value which is at 2.201 at 95% confidence

    interval, the following variables statically significant in explaining the changes in demand for

    hamburger (Qx): the price of hamburger (P), real income (Y), price of other hamburger (Pz) and

    advertising expenses as the compute t-value (0.501,1.777,0.478 and 0.927) is lower than 2.201.

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    On the other hand, price of other hamburger (Po) are not statistically significant in

    explaining the changes in demand for hamburger. While for the coefficient of determination (R2),

    there is 81.2% of changes in quantity demand of hamburger are influences by the all factors in the

    function of (P), (Pz), (Y) and (Adv). Another 18.8 % is due to the changes in other factors not

    included in the model.

    The interpretations of standard error of estimate are showing the result of (2,772.70, 740.60). This

    is show the standard deviation of the differences between the actual values of the dependent

    variables (results) and the predicted values. The demand curve function that we gain from the

    equation model given is Qx = - 3624.513 565.120P + 4321.381Pz + 0.065 I + 1.316A

    As for the last which are the calculation of elasticity, it was show that the price elasticity

    demand for this product is inelastic demand. So, the customers are not sensitive towards the

    changes of price, when price increase it will help increase in total revenue. Besides that, the

    income elasticity demand, it shows that the products are necessity or normal good. While for the

    cross elasticity of demand, it shows that the product are substitute good. So, when price of

    hamburger increase people will then to buy other hamburger. Other than that is advertising

    elasticity of demand has only small impact on demand.

    Last but not least, R2 is lower than 0.60 which is 0.504, this is means that there is no

    relationship between the dependent variables and independent variables. So to increase the value of

    R2, we need added independent variables to the regression model. R2 will increase regardless of

    whether or not the new variable has any explanatory power. Values closer to 1 imply that the

    model has better explanatory power than models where the value is closer to 0.

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    7.0 REFERENCES

    Thomas C.R. & Maurice S. C (2005). Managerial Economics. New York: McGraw-Hill

    Companies.

    Keast S. & Towler M. (2009). Rational Decision Making for Managers. England: John Wiley &

    Sons Ltd. Publication.

    Xueming L. & Pieter J (2010). Does advertising really work? The intermediate role of analysts in

    the impact of advertising on firm value.Journal of the Academy Marketing Science.

    Author (2007). History of Burger King. Retrieved by 2011, 8 June at

    http://www.burgerking.com.my/about_us.php

    Wikipedia (2003). History about Burger King. Retrieved by 2011, 8 June at

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BurgerKing

    PAGE 20

    http://www.burgerking.com.my/about_us.phphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burgerhttp://www.burgerking.com.my/about_us.phphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burger
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    Juyong . & Karpova (2010). The US and Japanese apparel of demand conditions: implications for

    industry competitiveness.Journal of Fashion Marketing and Management. Vol 15 No 1 pp76-90.

    8.0 APPENDIX