DELL LBO Model Part 2 Completed (Excel)

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  • 8/13/2019 DELL LBO Model Part 2 Completed (Excel)

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    Dell Inc. - LBO Model for Private Equity Interview Case Study

    ($ in Millions Except Per Share Data)

    Transaction Assumptions

    Company Name: Dell Inc. Transaction Close Date: 2/1/2013 EBITDA Purchase Multiple: 5.1 x

    "Undisturbed" Share Price: 10.88$ Equity Purchase Price: 24,675$ Baseline EBITDA Exit Multiple: 4.0 x

    Offer Premium: 25.5% Transaction Enterprise Value: 21,212

    Advisory Fee %: 0.10%

    Offer Price Per Share: 13.65$ Funds Required: Financing Fee %: 0.60%

    Equity Purchase Price: 24,675$ Legal & Misc. Fees: 30$

    Refinance Existing Debt? No Plus: Debt Refinanced: -Less: Excess Cash: (6,220) LIBOR Units: 10,000

    % Debt Used for "Funds Required": 90% Less: Founder Cash Contribution: (750)

    Debt Used: 12,650 Less: Founder Rollover: (3,726)

    Pro-Forma TTM Debt / EBITDA: 5.2 x Total Funds Required (Excl. Fees): 13,979$ Minimum Cash Balance: 3,000$

    Tax Rate for Repatriated Cash: 35.0%

    Purchase Price Calculations: Diluted Shares: Company Effective Tax Rate: 21.2%

    Shares Owned by Founder: 273.0 Operating Case: 2 Base

    Common Shares: 1,762.0 Exercise 1 Conservative

    Diluted Shares: 1,807.7 Name Number Price Dilution 2 BaseOptions A: 8.0 7.38$ 3.675 3 Upside

    Diluted Equity Value: 24,675$ Options B: 42.0 15.57 - 4 Street Consensus

    Less: Cash & Cash-Equivalents: (12,569) Options C: 45.0 25.86 -

    Plus: Debt 9,085 Options D: 31.0 34.31 - Year 5 Revenue in Selected Case: 58,625$

    Plus: Noncontrolling Interests 21 Options E: 17.0 40.23 - 5-Year Revenue Growth: 3.0%

    Plus: Preferred Stock - RSUs: 42.0 42.000 Year 5 EBITDA in Selected Case: 5,301$

    Plus: Other Liabilities - Total 45.675 Year 5 EBITDA Margin: 9.0%

    Enterprise Value: 21,212$ 5-Year EBITDA Growth: 27.5%

    Debt Assumptions

    Interest Rates: Principal Repayment %:

    Revolver Commitment (Undrawn): 1,100$ Revolver: L + 100 Revolver: N/A

    Total Existing Debt (if assumed): 9,085$ Total Existing Debt: 3.66% Total Existing Debt: (See schedule)

    %: $ Amount:

    Total Debt Raised: 12,650$

    Term Loan B: 32% 4,000 Term Loan B: L + 250 Term Loan B: 5.0%

    Term Loan C: 12% 1,500 Term Loan C: L + 350 Term Loan C: 1.0%

    ABL Facility: 15% 1,900 ABL Facility: 5.50% ABL Facility: 0.0%1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes: 16% 2,000 1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes: 6.00% 1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes: 0.0%

    2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes: 10% 1,250 2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes: 6.50% 2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes: 0.0%

    Microsoft - Subordinated Note: 16% 2,000 Microsoft - Subordinated Note: 7.50% Microsoft - Subordinated Note: 0.0%

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    Sources & Uses

    Sources: Uses:

    Revolver: -$ Equity Value of Company: 24,675$

    Term Loan B: 4,000 Refinance Existing Debt: -

    Term Loan C: 1,500 Assume Existing Debt: 9,085

    ABL Facility: 1,900 Advisory Fees: 25

    Bridge Loan (1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes): 2,000 Capitalized Financing Fees: 76

    Bridge Loan (2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes): 1,250 Legal & Misc. Fees: 30

    Microsoft - Subordinated Note: 2,000 Total Uses: 33,891$

    Assume Existing Debt: 9,085

    Company - Excess Cash: 6,220Founder - Cash Contribution for Equity: 750

    MD Investors - Founder Rollover Equity: 3,726

    Silver Lake - Investor Equity: 1,460

    Total Sources: 33,891$

    Ownership Percentages, Pre and Post-Deal:

    Pre-Deal Ownership Percentages: Post-Deal Ownership Percentages:

    Michael Dell: 15.1% Michael Dell: 75.4%

    Silver Lake Partners: 0.0% Silver Lake Partners: 24.6%Institutional Investors: 84.9% Institutional Investors: 0.0%

    Total: 100.0% Total: 100.0%

    Goodwill Creation & Purchase Price Allocation

    Goodwill Calculation: Fixed Asset Write-Up:

    Equity Purchase Price: 24,675$ PP&E Write-Up %: 10.0%

    Less: Seller Book Value: (10,680) PP&E Write-Up Amount: 213

    Plus: Write-Off of Existing Goodwill: 9,304 Depreciation Period (Years): 8

    Total Allocable Purchase Premium: 23,299$Intangible Asset Write-Up:

    Less: Write-Up of PP&E: (213)$ Purchase Price to Allocate: 23,299

    Less: Write-Up of Intangibles: (4,660) % Allocated to Intangibles: 20.0%

    Less: Write-Down of DTL: - Intangibles Write-Up Amount: 4,660

    Plus: New Deferred Tax Liability: 1,032 Amortization Period (Years): 5

    Total Goodwill Created: 19,459$

    Financing Fees Amortization Period: 5 New Deferred Tax Liability: 1,032$

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    Margins, Expense and Working Capital Trends, and BS / CFS Assumptions

    Historical Transaction Adjustments Projected

    FY Ending February 1, 2010 2011 2012 2013 Debit Credit 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    Revenue Growth %: (13.4%) 16.2% 0.9% (8.3%) (0.3%) 2.7% (0.5%) 2.0% (0.9%)

    COGS % Revenue: 82.5% 81.5% 77.7% 78.6% 78.3% 78.0% 77.7% 77.4% 77.1%

    Cases - COGS % Revenue:

    Conservative Case: 79.0% 79.5% 80.0% 80.5% 81.0%

    Base Case: 78.3% 78.0% 77.7% 77.4% 77.1%

    Upside Case: 78.0% 77.5% 77.3% 77.0% 76.7%Street Consensus Case: 78.6% 78.6% 78.6% 78.6% 78.6%

    Selected Case: Base 78.3% 78.0% 77.7% 77.4% 77.1%

    OpEx % Revenue: 13.4% 12.9% 15.1% 16.1% 16.5% 16.0% 16.0% 15.5% 15.5%

    Cases - OpEx % Revenue:

    Conservative Case: 16.5% 16.5% 17.0% 17.0% 17.5%

    Base Case: 16.5% 16.0% 16.0% 15.5% 15.5%

    Upside Case: 16.3% 15.9% 15.5% 15.5% 15.5%

    Street Consensus Case: 16.7% 16.9% 17.2% 17.2% 17.4%Selected Case: Base 16.5% 16.0% 16.0% 15.5% 15.5%

    Effective Tax Rate: 29.2% 21.3% 17.6% 16.5% 21.2% 21.2% 21.2% 21.2% 21.2%

    AR % Revenue: 11.0% 10.6% 10.4% 11.6% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9%

    Provision for Doubtful Accounts % AR: 7.3% 5.9% 3.6% 3.9% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%

    ST Financing Receivables % Revenue: 5.1% 5.9% 5.4% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5%

    Inventory % COGS: 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8%

    Prepaid Expenses % OpEx: 51.4% 40.4% 36.5% 43.2% 42.9% 42.9% 42.9% 42.9% 42.9%

    Accounts Payable % COGS: 26.1% 22.5% 24.2% 25.9% 24.7% 24.7% 24.7% 24.7% 24.7%

    Accrued Expenses % OpEx: 54.8% 52.5% 41.9% 39.7% 40.0% 39.0% 38.0% 37.0% 36.0%

    ST Deferred Revenue % Revenue: 5.7% 5.1% 5.7% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 9.0% 10.0%

    LT Deferred Revenue % Revenue: 5.7% 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0%

    Depreciation % Revenue: 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%

    Amortization of Existing Intangibles: 205 349 391 613 770 682 613 515 370

    SBC % Revenue: 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%

    Deferred Taxes % Total Taxes: (8.8%) (6.3%) 2.5% (91.3%) (5.0%) (5.0%) (5.0%) (5.0%) (5.0%)

    CapEx % Revenue: 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%

    Income Statement

    Historical Transaction Adjustments Projected

    FY Ending February 1, 2010 2011 2012 2013 Debit Credit 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    Revenue: 61,101$ 52,902$ 61,494$ 62,071$ 56,940$ 56,783$ 58,313$ 58,031$ 59,179$ 58,625$

    Cost of Goods Sold: 43,641 50,098 48,260 44,754 44,461 45,484 45,090 45,805 45,200

    Gross Profit: 9,261 11,396 13,811 12,186 12,322 12,829 12,941 13,374 13,425

    Gross Margin %: 17.5% 18.5% 22.3% 21.4% 21.7% 22.0% 22.3% 22.6% 22.9%

    Operating Expenses: 7,089 7,963 9,380 9,174 9,369 9,330 9,285 9,173 9,087

    Depreciation of PP&E Write-Up: - - - -

    New Intangibles Amortization: - - - -

    Amortization of Financing Fees: - - - -

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    Balance Sheet

    Historical Transaction Adjustments ProjectedFY Ending February 1, 2010 2011 2012 2013 Debit Credit 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    Assets:

    Current Assets:

    Cash & Cash-Equivalents: 10,635$ 13,913$ 13,852$ 12,569$ 15,097$ 17,546$ 20,673$ 23,888$ 27,431$

    Short-Term Investments: 373 452 966 208 208 208 208 208 208

    Accounts Receivable: 5,837 6,493 6,476 6,629 6,199 6,366 6,335 6,461 6,400

    Short-Term Financing Receivables: 2,706 3,643 3,327 3,213 3,129 3,213 3,198 3,261 3,231

    Allowances for Losses / Doubtful Accounts: - - - - (321) (651) (980) (1,315) (1,647)

    Inventories, Net: 1,051 1,301 1,404 1,382 1,223 1,251 1,240 1,260 1,243

    Prepaid Expenses & Other: 3,643 3,219 3,423 3,967 4,018 4,001 3,982 3,934 3,897Total Current Assets: 24,245 29,021 29,448 27,968 29,553 31,934 34,656 37,697 40,764

    Long-Term Assets:

    Net PP&E: 2,181 1,953 2,124 2,126 2,188 2,252 2,316 2,382 2,448

    Long-Term Investments: 781 704 3,404 2,565 2,897 3,230 3,562 3,894 4,226

    Long-Term Financing Receivable, Net: 332 799 1,372 1,349 1,328 1,307 1,286 1,265 1,244

    Other Non-Current Assets: 6,113 6,122 490 854 812 770 728 686 644

    Goodwill: - - 5,838 9,304 9,304 9,304 9,304 9,304 9,304

    Intangible Assets: - - 1,857 3,374 2,604 1,922 1,309 794 424

    Capitalized Financing Fees: - - - - - - - - -Total Long-Term Assets: 9,407 9,578 15,085 19,572 19,133 18,785 18,505 18,325 18,290

    Total Assets: 33,652$ 38,599$ 44,533$ 47,540$ 48,686$ 50,719$ 53,161$ 56,022$ 59,053$

    Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity:

    Current Liabilities:

    Revolver: -$ -$ -$ -$

    Accounts Payable: 11,373 11,293 11,656 11,579 10,963 11,215 11,118 11,294 11,145

    Accrued Expenses & Other: 3,884 4,181 3,934 3,644 3,748 3,639 3,528 3,394 3,271

    Short-Term Deferred Revenue: 3,040 3,158 3,544 4,373 4,543 4,665 5,223 5,326 5,862Total Current Liabilities: 18,297 18,632 19,134 19,596 19,253 19,519 19,869 20,014 20,279

    Long-Term Liabilities:

    Total Existing Debt: 4,080 5,997 9,254 9,085 9,085 9,085 9,085 9,085 9,085

    Long-Term Deferred Revenue: 3,029 3,518 3,836 3,971 4,259 4,373 4,642 5,030 5,276

    Other Long-Term Liabilities: 2,605 2,686 3,392 4,187 4,158 4,123 4,085 4,041 3,994

    Term Loan B: - - - -

    Term Loan C: - - - -

    ABL Facility: - - - -

    1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes: - - - -2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes: - - - -

    Microsoft - Subordinated Note: - - - -

    Long-Term Deferred Tax Liability: - - - -

    Total Long-Term Liabilities: 9,714 12,201 16,482 17,243 17,502 17,581 17,813 18,157 18,356

    Total Liabilities: 28,011$ 30,833$ 35,616$ 36,839$ 36,755$ 37,100$ 37,682$ 38,170$ 38,634$

    Equity:

    Shareholders' Equity: 5,641 7,766 8,917 10,680 11,910 13,598 15,458 17,831 20,398

    Noncontrolling Interests: - - - 21 21 21 21 21 21Founder Equity:

    Sponsor Common Equity:

    Total Equity: 5,641$ 7,766$ 8,917$ 10,701$ 11,931$ 13,619$ 15,479$ 17,852$ 20,419$

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    Cash Flow Statement

    Historical Transaction Adjustments Projected

    FY Ending February 1, 2010 2011 2012 2013 Debit Credit 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    Net Income: 1,433$ 2,635$ 3,492$ 2,372$ 2,162$ 2,611$ 2,785$ 3,291$ 3,489$

    Depreciation of Existing PP&E: 647 621 545 531 574 589 587 598 593

    Amortization of Existing Intangibles: 205 349 391 613 770 682 613 515 370

    Stock-Based Compensation: 312 332 362 347 330 339 337 344 340

    FX Rate Effects: 59 (4) (5) 18 17 17 17 17 17

    Deferred Income Taxes: (52) (45) 19 (428) (29) (35) (37) (44) (47)

    Provision For Doubtful Accounts: 429 382 234 258 321 330 328 335 332

    Other: 102 26 21 19 42 42 42 42 42

    Depreciation of PP&E Write-Up:Goodwill Impairment: - - - - - - - - -

    New Intangibles Amortization:

    Amortization of Financing Fees:

    Changes in Operating Assets & Liabilities:

    Accounts Receivable: (660) (707) (53) (150) 430 (167) 31 (125) 61

    Financing Receivables: (1,085) (709) (372) (193) 84 (84) 16 (63) 31

    Inventories: (183) (248) (52) 48 159 (28) 11 (20) 17

    Other Assets: (225) 516 (28) (334) (51) 17 19 48 37

    Accounts Payable: 2,833 (151) 327 (74) (616) 252 (97) 176 (149)

    Deferred Revenue: 135 551 720 382 457 237 827 491 782Accrued And Other Liabilities: (44) 421 (74) (126) 104 (109) (110) (134) (123)

    Cash Flow from Operations: 3,906 3,969 5,527 3,283 4,754 4,692 5,367 5,470 5,791

    Cash Flow from Investing:

    Purchases of Investments: (1,383) (1,360) (4,656) (2,615) (2,504) (2,504) (2,504) (2,504) (2,504)

    Maturities And Sales of Investments: 1,538 1,358 1,435 4,354 2,171 2,171 2,171 2,171 2,171

    Maturities / (Purchases) of ST Investments: - - - - - - - - -

    Capital Expenditures (367) (444) (675) (513) (681) (700) (696) (710) (703)

    Proceeds From Asset Sales: 16 18 14 135 46 46 46 46 46

    Purchase of Financing Receivables: - (430) - - (108) (108) (108) (108) (108)Collections of Financing Receivables: - 69 278 167 129 129 129 129 129

    Acquisition Of Businesses: (3,613) (376) (2,562) (4,844) - - - - -

    Cash Flow from Investing: (3,809) (1,165) (6,166) (3,316) (947) (965) (962) (976) (969)

    Cash Flow from Financing:

    Repurchases Of Common Stock: - (800) (2,717) (724) (1,060) (1,060) (1,060) (1,060) (1,060)

    Cash Dividends Paid: - - - (278) (278) (278) (278) (278) (278)

    Issuance Of Common Stock: 2 12 40 52 27 27 27 27 27

    Issuance (Repayment) Of Comm. Paper: 76 (176) 635 (331) - - - - -

    Proceeds From Debt: 2,058 3,069 4,050 3,311 - - - - -Repayments Of Debt: (122) (1,630) (1,435) (3,248) - - - - -

    Other: (2) 2 4 8 - - - - -

    Changes in Noncontrolling Interests: - - - - - - - - -

    Cash Flow from Financing: 2,012 477 577 (1,210) (1,312) (1,312) (1,312) (1,312) (1,312)

    Cash Flow Avail. for Debt Repayment: 2,109 3,281 (62) (1,243) 2,495 2,415 3,094 3,183 3,510

    Revolver: - - - -

    Total Existing Debt: - - - -

    Term Loan B: - - - -Term Loan C: - - - -

    ABL Facility: - - - -

    1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes: - - - -

    2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes: - - - -

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    Debt & Interest Schedules

    Projected

    FY Ending February 1, 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    LIBOR Curve: 0.30% 0.30% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00%

    Fixed

    Interest Rate Assumptions: LIBOR + Interest

    Revolver: 1.00%

    Total Existing Debt: 3.66%

    Term Loan B: 2.50%

    Term Loan C: 3.50%

    ABL Facility: 5.50%

    1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes: 6.00%2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes: 6.50%

    Microsoft - Subordinated Note: 7.50%

    Cash & Cash-Equivalents and All Investments: 0.50% 0.80% 0.80% 1.00% 1.25% 1.50%

    Interest Income / (Expense) Calculations:

    Revolver:

    Total Existing Debt: (332) (332) (332) (332) (332)

    Term Loan B:

    Term Loan C:

    ABL Facility:1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes:

    2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes:

    Microsoft - Subordinated Note:

    Cash & Cash-Equivalents and All Investments: 123 146 210 306 420

    Net Interest Income / (Expense): (210) (187) (123) (27) 87

    Sources of Funds:

    Beginning Cash Balance:

    Less: Minimum Cash Balance:

    Plus: Cash Flow Available for Debt Repayment:Subtotal Before Revolver:

    Revolver Borrowing Required:

    Total Sources of Funds:

    Payment Schedule for Existing Debt: 1,404 1,291 701 400 300

    Uses of Funds:

    Mandatory Debt Repayment:

    Total Existing Debt:

    Term Loan B:Term Loan C:

    ABL Facility:

    Bridge Loan (1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes):

    Bridge Loan (2nd Lien Fixed Rate Notes):

    Microsoft - Subordinated Note:

    Mandatory Repayment Total:

    Optional Debt Repayment:

    Revolver:

    Total Existing Debt:Term Loan B:

    Term Loan C:

    ABL Facility:

    Bridge Loan (1st Lien Fixed Rate Notes):

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    Dell Inc. - Revenue, Operating Income, and Market Share and Market Data

    ($ in Millions Except Per Share Data)

    Income Statement - Segment-Level Revenue ScenariosHistorical Transaction Adjustments Projected

    FY Ending February 1, 2010 2011 2012 2013 Debit Credit 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    Revenue by Product:

    Servers and Networking: 6,032$ 7,609$ 8,336$ 9,294$ 9,517$ 9,993$ 10,193$ 10,589$ 10,694$

    Storage: 2,192 2,295 1,943 1,699 1,750 1,802 1,839 1,875 1,913

    Services: 5,622 7,673 8,322 8,396 9,179 9,592 10,024 10,425 10,842

    Software & Peripherals: 9,499 10,261 10,222 9,257 9,627 10,012 10,313 10,622 10,888

    Mobility: 16,610 18,971 19,104 15,303 13,909 14,048 13,334 13,401 12,612

    Desktop PCs: 12,947 14,685 14,144 12,991 12,801 12,865 12,329 12,267 11,675Total Revenue: 52,902 61,494 62,071 56,940 56,783 58,313 58,031 59,179 58,625

    Selected Case: Base

    Total Market Size by Product Segment:

    Servers and Networking: 49,851$ 52,840$ 55,573$ 54,351$ 55,981$ 57,101$ 58,243$ 58,825$ 59,414$

    Mobility: 136,920 162,145 160,538 151,515 154,545 156,091 156,871 157,655 157,655

    Desktop PCs: 98,198 107,582 104,770 105,618 106,674 107,207 107,207 106,671 106,138

    Growth in Total Market Size by Product Segment:

    Servers and Networking: 6.0% 5.2% (2.2%) 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0%Mobility: 18.4% (1.0%) (5.6%) 2.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%

    Desktop PCs: 9.6% (2.6%) 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% (0.5%) (0.5%)

    Market Share by Product: Base Case:

    Servers and Networking: 12.1% 14.4% 15.0% 17.1% 17.0% 17.5% 17.5% 18.0% 18.0%

    Market Share Cases - Servers and Networking:

    Conservative Case: 16.0% 15.0% 15.0% 14.0% 14.0%

    Base Case: 17.0% 17.5% 17.5% 18.0% 18.0%

    Upside Case: 17.5% 18.0% 18.0% 18.5% 18.5%Street Consensus Case: 16.0% 15.5% 15.5% 15.0% 15.0%

    Selected Case: Base 17.0% 17.5% 17.5% 18.0% 18.0%

    Market Share by Product: Base Case:

    Mobility: 12.1% 11.7% 11.9% 10.1% 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.0%

    Market Share Cases - Mobility:

    Conservative Case: 7.5% 7.0% 6.5% 6.0% 5.0%

    Base Case: 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.0%

    Upside Case: 10.0% 10.0% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5%Street Consensus Case: 8.5% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0%

    Selected Case: Base 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.0%

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    Market Share by Product: Base Case:

    Desktop PCs: 13.2% 13.7% 13.5% 12.3% 12.0% 12.0% 11.5% 11.5% 11.0%

    Market Share Cases - Desktop PCs:

    Conservative Case: 10.5% 10.0% 9.5% 8.5% 7.5%Base Case: 12.0% 12.0% 11.5% 11.5% 11.0%

    Upside Case: 12.5% 12.5% 13.0% 13.0% 13.5%

    Street Consensus Case: 11.5% 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0%

    Selected Case: Base 12.0% 12.0% 11.5% 11.5% 11.0%

    Base Case:

    Services Revenue: 5,622$ 7,673$ 8,322$ 8,396$ 9,179$ 9,592$ 10,024$ 10,425$ 10,842$

    Services Segment Metrics:

    Deferred Revenue from Warranties: 5,900$ 6,416$ 7,002$ 7,103$Contracted Services Backlog: 6,900 7,500 8,400 8,700$

    Total Services Backlog: 12,800 13,916 15,402 15,803$ 16,514 17,257 17,948 18,665 19,319

    Services Revenue % Prior Year Backlog: 59.9% 59.8% 54.5% 58.1% 58.1% 58.1% 58.1% 58.1%

    Base Case:

    Growth Rate in Services Backlog: 8.7% 10.7% 2.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 3.5%

    Growth Rate Cases - Services Backlog:

    Conservative Case: 2.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5%Base Case: 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 3.5%

    Upside Case: 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.5% 6.5%

    Street Consensus Case: 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.0%

    Selected Case: Base 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 3.5%

    Base Case:

    Software & Peripherals Revenue: 9,499$ 10,261$ 10,222$ 9,257$ 9,627$ 10,012$ 10,313$ 10,622$ 10,888$

    Growth Rate: 8.0% (0.4%) (9.4%) 4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5%

    Growth Rate Cases - Software & Peripherals:Conservative Case: 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0%

    Base Case: 4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5%

    Upside Case: 6.5% 6.5% 6.0% 5.5% 5.0%

    Street Consensus Case: 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.0%

    Selected Case: Base 4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5%

    Storage Revenue: 2,192$ 2,295$ 1,943$ 1,699$ 1,750$ 1,802$ 1,839$ 1,875$ 1,913$

    Growth Rate: 4.7% (15.3%) (12.6%) 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

  • 8/13/2019 DELL LBO Model Part 2 Completed (Excel)

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    Other Revenue and Expense Metrics and Key Performance Indicators

    Historical Transaction Adjustments 41671

    FY Ending February 1, 2010 2011 2012 2013 Debit Credit 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    Revenue by Business Unit:Global Large Enterprise: 18,111$ 18,786$ 17,781$

    Global Public: 16,377 16,070 14,828

    Global Small And Medium Business: 12,608 13,547 13,413

    Global Consumer: 14,398 13,668 10,918

    Total Revenue: 52,902 61,494 62,071 56,940

    Market Share of Business Units:

    Global Large Enterprise: 8.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.0%

    Global Public: 12.0% 12.8% 13.0% 12.0%

    Global Small And Medium Business: 20.9% 17.7% 16.9% 15.0%Global Consumer: 31.8% 29.3% 26.5% 24.0%

    Other Data - Global Desktop, Notebook, and Tablet Shipments (Millions):

    Enterprise Desktops: 94.7 84.4 89.9 87.6 89.3

    Enterprise Notebooks: 69.9 68.3 80.8 86.2 86.0

    Consumer Desktops: 48.0 47.1 49.9 48.2 42.7

    Consumer Notebooks: 59.1 69.0 89.1 98.8 95.3

    Consumer Netbooks: 12.9 32.7 34.4 24.4 17.1

    Total, Branded PCs: 301.5 344.1 345.2 330.4

    Non-Branded PCs: 23.9 20.8 27.5 43.2 60.2Total Shipments: 322.3 371.6 388.4 390.6

    Tablet Shipments: 0.0 18.0 70.0 125.0

    Total Enterprise Shipments: 164.6 152.7 170.7 173.8 175.3

    Total Consumer Shipments: 120 148.8 173.4 171.4 155.1

    Total Desktop Shipments: 142.7 131.5 139.8 135.8 132.0

    Total Notebook Shipments: 141.9 170.0 204.3 209.4 198.4

    Growth Rates by Segment:Enterprise: (7.2%) 11.8% 1.8% 0.9%

    Consumer: 24.0% 16.5% (1.2%) (9.5%)

    Desktop: (7.8%) 6.3% (2.9%) (2.8%)

    Notebook: 19.8% 20.2% 2.5% (5.3%)

    Non-Branded PCs: (13.0%) 32.2% 57.1% 39.4%

    Tablets: N/A N/A 288.9% 78.6%

    New Signings: N/A N/A 1,900 2,100

    Growth Rate: N/A 17.0% N/A 10.5%

    Operating Income by Business Unit:

    Global Large Enterprise: 1,490 1,889 1,553

    Global Public: 1,446 1,584 1,238

    Global Small And Medium Business: 1,383 1,581 1,505

    Global Consumer: 180 433 (11)

    Total Operating Income (Excl. Overhead): 3,327 4,499 5,487 4,285

    Operating Margin (Excl. Overhead): 6.3% 7.3% 8.8% 7.5%