DEGREE AND ENROLLMENT PLANNING UPDATE Board of Governors Strategic Planning Committee November 17,...
17
DEGREE AND ENROLLMENT PLANNING UPDATE Board of Governors Strategic Planning Committee November 17, 2005
-
Upload
ezra-barton -
Category
Documents
-
view
212 -
download
0
Transcript of DEGREE AND ENROLLMENT PLANNING UPDATE Board of Governors Strategic Planning Committee November 17,...
DEGREE AND ENROLLMENT PLANNING UPDATE
DEGREE AND ENROLLMENT PLANNING UPDATE
Board of Governors
Strategic Planning Committee
November 17, 2005
Board of Governors 2November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
How Do University Bachelor Degree Plans Compare to BOG Goals?How Do University Bachelor Degree Plans Compare to BOG Goals?
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Bachelor Degrees 43,144 57,638 56,090
2004-05 Actual 2012-13 BOG Goal2012-13 University
Plans
97% of Goal
Lower by Equivalent of One Year’s Planned Growth
97% of Goal
Lower by Equivalent of One Year’s Planned Growth
Board of Governors 3November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
How Do University Masters Degree Plans Compare to BOG Goals?How Do University Masters Degree Plans Compare to BOG Goals?
02,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,000
Masters Degrees 13,268 17,514 18,519
2004-05 Actual2012-13 BOG
Goal2012-13
University Plans
106% of Goal
106% of Goal
Board of Governors 4November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
How Do University Emerging Tech Doctorate Plans Compare to BOG Goals?How Do University Emerging Tech Doctorate Plans Compare to BOG Goals?
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Emerging Tech DoctoralDegrees
621 941 1,158 1,317
2004-05 Actual
2012-13 Goal (Low)
2012-13 Univ Plans
2012-13 Goal (High)
Within BOG Goal Range
Within BOG Goal Range
Board of Governors 5November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
How Do University Professional Degree Plans Compare to BOG Goals?How Do University Professional Degree Plans Compare to BOG Goals?
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
First Prof Degrees 1,539 2,167 2,251
2004-05 Actual 2012-13 BOG Goal 2012-13 Univ Plans
104% of Goal104% of Goal
Board of Governors 6November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
How Do University Degree Plans Compare with University Enrollment Plans?How Do University Degree Plans Compare with University Enrollment Plans?
STATE UNIVERSITY SYSTEM PLANNED ENROLLMENT AND DEGREE GROWTH 2004-2013
0%
50%
100%
Enrollment Growth 35% 45% 54% 47%
Degree Growth 30% 40% 79% 48%
UndergradMast / Law /
PharmDDoctoral Medical
Board of Governors 7November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
How Do University Degree Plans Compare with University Enrollment Plans?How Do University Degree Plans Compare with University Enrollment Plans?
STATE UNIVERSITY SYSTEM PLANNED ENROLLMENT AND DEGREE GROWTH
(EXCLUDING USF) 2004-2013
0%
50%
100%
Enrollment Growth 29% 32% 38% 35%
Degree Growth 30% 42% 88% 25%
UndergradMast / Law /
PharmDDoctoral Medical
USF is in process of revising enrollment plans
USF is in process of revising enrollment plans
Board of Governors 8November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
What Are the Key Variables in Enrollment Planning?What Are the Key Variables in Enrollment Planning?
# of new applicants# of new
applicants
% of applicants admitted
% of applicants admitted
% of admitted applicants who enroll
(yield)
% of admitted applicants who enroll
(yield)
% of enrolled students who
return (retention)
% of enrolled students who
return (retention)
# of credits per student
(intensity)
# of credits per student
(intensity)
Board of Governors 9November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
What Factors Determine the Number of Applicants?What Factors Determine the Number of Applicants?
Preparation Cost/Perception of Value
Demographics
Number of Applicants
Largely determined by external factors
Tuition and financial aid are main policy tools
Recruiting / outreach also important
Largely determined by external factors
Tuition and financial aid are main policy tools
Recruiting / outreach also important
Board of Governors 10November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
How Closely Have Applications Tracked Certain Trends in Florida?How Closely Have Applications Tracked Certain Trends in Florida?
90%100%110%120%130%140%150%160%170%180%190%
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
SUS Fall Freshman Applicants Public HS GradsSAT Test-Takers 18-19 Population
Board of Governors 11November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
What Factors Determine the Percent of Applicants Admitted?What Factors Determine the Percent of Applicants Admitted?
Estimates of Yield (Next Slide)
Institutional / System Policy, Planning, and Finance
Percent of Applicants Admitted
Primarily a policy / planning decision
Only variable entirely in institution’s / system’s control
Primarily a policy / planning decision
Only variable entirely in institution’s / system’s control
Board of Governors 12November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
What Factors Determine the Percent of Admitted Students Who Enroll (Yield)?What Factors Determine the Percent of Admitted Students Who Enroll (Yield)?
Institutional Appeal
Demographics Student Choice
Economic Conditions
Other Institutions’ Admissions Decisions
Yield
Limited ability to affect through policy
Financial aid is an important management tool
Institutions use past experience to estimate yield
Competitors’ decisions affect the equation
Limited ability to affect through policy
Financial aid is an important management tool
Institutions use past experience to estimate yield
Competitors’ decisions affect the equation
Board of Governors 13November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
What Factors Determine the Percent of Enrolled Students Who Return (Retention)?What Factors Determine the Percent of Enrolled Students Who Return (Retention)?
Completers Drop-outs and stop-outs
Transfers-out
Retention
Limited ability to affect directly through policy
Initiatives can produce incremental changes
Limited ability to affect directly through policy
Initiatives can produce incremental changes
EconomicsEconomics
Academ
icsA
cademics
Board of Governors 14November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
What Factors Determine the Number of Credits Per Student (Intensity)?What Factors Determine the Number of Credits Per Student (Intensity)?
Course Availability
Economic Conditions
Academic Ability
Student Level and Program
Intensity
Limited ability to make radical shifts
Course scheduling and tuition structure are main policy tools to create incremental change
Limited ability to make radical shifts
Course scheduling and tuition structure are main policy tools to create incremental change
Board of Governors 15November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
What Other Factors Can Impact Enrollment Planning?What Other Factors Can Impact Enrollment Planning?
Disruptive events
– 9/11
– Hurricanes Economic Cycles State Budget/Other External Funding
Board of Governors 16November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
How Do External Factors Affect Demand?How Do External Factors Affect Demand?
Growth in Florida Non-Farm Employment and Growth in State University System Graduate
School Applications
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05
Growth, Jobs Growth, Graduate School Applications
Board of Governors 17November 17, 2005 [DRAFT]
Summary . . .Summary . . .
Degree plans are close to Board of Governors goals Enrollment plans are aligned with degree plans Universities’ enrollment planning processes differ in
details Common variables are
– Applications (demand)– Acceptance rate– Yield Rate– Retention Rate– Intensity of Attendance
