Default Expectations for the Holocene from an Energy Balance Model.
12
Default Expectations for the Holocene from an Energy Balance Model
-
date post
22-Dec-2015 -
Category
Documents
-
view
213 -
download
0
Transcript of Default Expectations for the Holocene from an Energy Balance Model.
Annual mean energy balance model- expected temp change (6k-0)
Part of the would be change is damped by changes in heat flux-
Monsoons
• Claim: enhanced magnitude of summer insolation during the holocene forced stronger monsoons
Assumption – summer insolation was stronger during holcene
COUNTERCLAIM- it’s just (mostly) a phase shift- JJA insolation is the worst possible proxy for magnitude of seasonal insolation
Have I screwed something up?• Very possibly, but I can come close to getting
the JJA curve from my script
Note: I’ve used a three point interpolation of orbital parameters [-9 -6 0] which probablyDoes a bad job between -6 and 0