DeepWater Desal Intake Assessment€¦ · The early stages of fishes in the California Current...
Transcript of DeepWater Desal Intake Assessment€¦ · The early stages of fishes in the California Current...
DeepWater Desal
Intake Assessment
1. Assessment Background and
Objectives
2. Methods Used in Assessment
3. Key Findings
4. Assessment Summary
Joe Phelan, PhD. [email protected]
John Steinbeck [email protected]
Tenera Environmental
San Luis Obispo, CA
www.tenera.com
19 slides
Study Objectives
• Objective 1: Describe the
magnitude of the
entrainment effect.
• Objective 2: Describe the
implications of the deep
intake design in light of
entrainment effects. Blue rockfish (Sebastes mystinus) from Moser, H. G. (ed.). 1996.
The early stages of fishes in the California Current region.
1. Assessment Background and Objectives 2/19
In a Nutshell
1. Assessment Background and Objectives 3/19
• The desalination intake
pipe will entrain seawater.
• The seawater contains
living organisms.
• Those organisms are also
entrained through the pipe.
• This study seeks to
estimate the magnitude of
the effect from entrainment.
Collaborative Discussions
2. Assessment Method 4/19
• Technical Working Group Meetings • 1Jeff Paduan (Naval Postgraduate School)
• 2,3Erika McPhee-Shaw (MLML)
• 2Leslie Rosenfeld (MBARI/CeNCOOS)
• 1,3Pete Raimondi (UCSC)
• 1Peter von Langen (SWRCB)
• 1Andrew DeVogelaere (MBNMS/NOAA)
• 1Bridget Hoover (MBNMS/NOAA)
1. 19th July 2012 – Project overview and field work methods
2. 18th April 2013 – Update to status and oceanography discussion
3. 22nd Nov 2013 – Review results and discuss method
Intake Assessment Approach
Back-projections of modeled ocean
currents can predict both;
– Origins of those larvae; and/or
– Paths they took prior to
arriving at the intake site
This area is the source water area
and defines the extent of the
source water population.
Empirical Transport Model (ETM)
2. Assessment Method 5/19
Entrainment mortality is the
proportion entrained from the
source water population
Preliminary Intake Assessment
• Ichthyoplankton taxa data
based on 316(b) study done
for MLPP (Tenera, 2001) and
Diablo Canyon (Tenera, 2000).
• PEi was calculated using a
volumetric assumption.
• CODAR data from June 2010
to September 2011.
• ADCP data from MBARI M0
ADCP.
Preliminary Intake Assessment
2. Assessment Method 6/19
Data Collection
2. Assessment Method 7/19
Data Collection
2. Assessment Method 8/19
CODAR Surface
Currents
Data Collection
2. Assessment Method 9/19
Does ‘Deep’ Reduce Entrainment?
Average difference 0.624 larvae per m3
0 m to 25 m = 0.895 larvae per m3
25 m to 40 m = 0.271 larvae per m3
ANOVA: f = 50.44, p =< 0.0001
Highly significant difference
Deeper has less total larvae
Factors: Cycle, Survey, Station
Blocks: Sample pair
Transform: log(x+0.01)
3. Key Findings 10/19
Internal Wave at a Shelf Break
3. Key Findings 11/19
DWD/Tenera data
McPhee-Shaw et al 2013
Naples Reef, Santa Barbara
Internal Wave at a Shelf Break
3. Key Findings 12/19
Temperature
mooring
Canyon Regime
Can derive a
proportion of time
the canyon is in
one regime state
or the other
3. Key Findings 13/19
Canyon Regime
Warm
Cold
Transition
Warm regime had more larvae and more taxa.
However, taxa were essentially the same between the two regimes: G. lineatus
(white croaker), E. mordax (northern anchovy), CIQ goby and L. lepidus (bay
goby).
3. Key Findings 14/19
Shelf Water Volume
Northern anchovy White croaker CIQ goby Sanddabs
Blue rockfish complex KGB rockfish complex
3. Key Findings 15/19
Canyon Water Volume
3. Key Findings 16/19
ETM Output
Taxa PM
(25 MGD)
Entrainment
(25 MGD)
PM
(63 MGD)
Entrainment
(63 MGD)
Northern anchovy 0.025 % 15,224,457 larvae 0.062 % 38,365,623 larvae
White croaker 0.019 % 7,734,933 larvae 0.049 % 19,492,026 larvae
CIQ goby 0.043 % 1,085,411 larvae 0.109 % 2,735,235 larvae
Sanddabs 0.011 % 478,530 larvae 0.028 % 1,205,896 larvae
Blue rockfish 0.008 % 293,599 larvae 0.019% 739,870 larvae
KGB rockfish 0.003 % 42,701 larvae 0.009 % 107,607 larvae
Other fish NA 3,724,277 larvae NA 9,385,175 larvae
Total fish NA 28,583,908 larvae NA 72,031,432 larvae
Cancer crab NA 8,719,982 larvae NA 21,974,348 larvae
Market squid NA 142,038 larvae NA 357,935 larvae
3. Key Findings 17/19
Assessment Summary
4. Summary 18/19
1. Largest PM was for CIQ goby. This means 0.1% of the source water population
would be lost due to entrainment. However, adult habitat for CIQ goby is
shallow tidal channels higher in the slough. These larvae have been washed
out of the slough and are unlikely to recruit to the adult population. In the open
ocean they are also subject to increased natural mortality rates.
2. All the PM values are low (from 0.003% to 0.062%). This is because the rate of
entrainment is small relative to the source water volume. The source water
volume is also small relative to the total population size, which for some
species such as northern anchovy, ranges from Alaska to Baja.
3. Variation in annual recruitment due to competition, predation and many other
factors that do not include an ocean intake is much greater than these PM
values. These other mortalities rarely limit adult abundances. Therefore the
desalination entrainment mortality is negligible in terms of population change.
Objective 1: Assessment of Entrainment Effects
for Unscreened Intake
Assessment Summary
Objective 2: Assessment of Depth on Entrainment
4. Summary 19/19
1. There are less larvae at depths below 25 m and above 40 m than there are
larvae above 25 m deep. Therefore building the intake at depths that will
entrain larvae from the deeper depths will reduce entrainment numbers.
2. A further reduction in entrainment is obtained by locating the intake at the
Monterey Bay Canyon head. The internal tide at the canyon head advects
deep, cold canyon water with low concentrations of larvae and low diversity
into relatively shallow water from which the proposed intake will obtain it’s
feedwater, thus further reducing entrainment effects during these periods of
cold water advection.
3. The larval concentrations used in the ETM calculations did not include any
adjustments for the lower concentrations of larvae below 25 m where the intake
is proposed.