Deepak mba project

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A PROJECT REPORT On “EQUITY ANALYSIS” AT INDIA INFOLINE Submitted in partial fulfillment for the requirement for the award of MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION By: G DEEPAK SHAPUR (HT. No: 228013672008) Project submitted in partial fulfillment for the award of Degree of MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION To Osmania University, Hyderabad Under the guidance of K.HARI KRISHNA (ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR) Department Of Business Administration St.Francis Institute Of Management Gagillapur Village, Quthubullapur (M), Ranga Reddy Dist. 2013-2015

Transcript of Deepak mba project

A PROJECT REPORT

On “EQUITY ANALYSIS”

AT INDIA INFOLINE

Submitted in partial fulfillment for the requirement for the award of

MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION

By: G DEEPAK SHAPUR

(HT. No: 228013672008) Project submitted in partial fulfillment for the award of Degree of

MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION To

Osmania University, Hyderabad

Under the guidance of

K.HARI KRISHNA (ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR)

Department Of Business Administration St.Francis Institute Of Management

Gagillapur Village, Quthubullapur (M), Ranga Reddy Dist. 2013-2015

DECLARATION

I hereby declare that the project report entitled “A PROJECT ON EQUITY

ANALYSIS” carried out at INDIA INFOLINE. Is my original work written and

submitted by me in partial fulfillment of Master`s Degree in Business Administration of

Osmania University. I also declare that this project has not been submitted earlier in

any other university or institution.

G DEEPAK SHAPUR

(HT. No: 228013672008)

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

I take this opportunity to extend my profound thanks and deep sense of gratitude

to the authorities of INDIA INFOLINE. For giving me the opportunity to undertake this

project work in their esteemed organization. I profusely thank Mr. Company Guide Name

MUKESH

My sincere thanks to Honorable Correspondent Sri T.Jagan Mohan Reddy

, principal D.L.N.Vachaspathi, and my project guide K.Hari Krishna. For the kind

encouragement and constant support extended in completion of this project work. From

the bottom of my heart

I am also thankful to all those who have incidentally helped me, through their

valued guidance, co-operation and unstinted support during the course of my project.

G DEEPAK SHAPUR (HT. No: 228013672008)

SUMMARY

The Banking Sector, one of the core sectors, has undergone metamorphosis in the light of

liberalization and globalization. The sector seems to be optimistic of posting strong

growth in the couple of years in the view of a reasonable surge in demand. The rise of

retail lending in emerging economies like India has been of recent origin. Asia Pacific’s

vast population, combined with high savings rates, explosive economic growth, and

underdeveloped retail banking services, provide the most significant growth opportunities

for banks. Banks will have to serve the retail banking segment effectively in order to

utilize the growth opportunity. A detailed analysis of Banking Sector has been covered in

respect of past growth and performance. Under this project to better understand the

Industry I have used Fundamental tools to make it more authentic and meaningful.

An economy-industry-company (E.I.C) approach has been followed under Fundamental

Analysis which covers effect of Recession, the impact of inflation, FDI’s, Export, and

GDP etc. on Banking Sector. The Industry Analysis has been done with the help of

SWOT analysis and industry life cycle. For Company Analysis as a part of Fundamental

tool I have undertaken with the comparative analysis of ICICI Bank, AXIS Bank and

HDFC Bank along with the help of ratio analysis. The fundamental aspect consists of

financial and Non-Financial analysis of these companies.

At the end conclusion and recommendations have been specified so as to make the

project work more meaningful and purposeful.

CONTENTS

CHAPTER – I 1 - 4

Introduction

Objectives of the study

Need of the study

Scope of the study

Research of Methodology

Limitations

CHAPTER – II 5 – 12

Company profile

CHAPTER – III 13 - 35

Theoretical framework

CHAPTER – IV 36 - 69

Data interpretation & Analysis

CHAPTER – V 70 - 115

Findings, conclusions, Suggestion

Bibliography

CHAPTER I - INTRODUCTION

INTRODUCTION India is a developing country. Nowadays many people are interested to invest in financial

markets especially on equities to get high returns, and to save tax in honest way. Equities

are playing a major role in contribution of capital to the business from the beginning.

Since the introduction of shares concept, large numbers of investors are showing interest

to invest in stock market.

In an industry plagued with skepticism and a stock market increasingly difficult to predict

and contend with, if one looks hard enough there may still be a genuine aid for the Day

Trader and Short Term Investor.

The price of a security represents a consensus. It is the price at which one person agrees

to buy and another agrees to sell. The price at which an investor is willing to buy or sell

depends primarily on his expectations. If he expects the security's price to rise, he will

buy it; if the investor expects the price to fall, he will sell it. These simple statements are

the cause of a major challenge in forecasting security prices, because they refer to human

expectations. As we all know firsthand, humans expectations are neither easily

quantifiable nor predictable. If prices are based on investor expectations, then knowing

what a security should sell for (i.e., fundamental analysis) becomes less important than

knowing what other investors expect it to sell for. That's not to say that knowing what a

security should sell for isn't important--it is. But there is usually a fairly strong consensus

of a stock's future earnings that the average investor cannot disprove

Fundamental analysis and technical analysis can co-exist in peace and complement each

other. Since all the investors in the stock market want to make the maximum profits

possible, they just cannot afford to ignore either fundamental or technical analysis.

NEED OF THE STUDY To start any business capital plays major role. Capital can be acquired in two ways by

issuing shares or by taking debt from financial institutions or borrowing money from

financial institutions. The owners of the company have to pay regular interest and

principal amount at the end.

Stock is ownership in a company, with each share of stock representing a tiny piece of

ownership. The more shares you own, the more of the company you own. The more

shares you own, the more dividends you earn when the company makes a profit. In the

financial world, ownership is called “Equity”.

Advantages of selling stock:

• A company can raise more capital than it could borrow.

• A company does not have to make periodic interest payments to creditors.

• A company does not have to make principal payments

Stock/shares play a major role in acquiring capital to the business in return investors are

paid dividends to the shares they own. The more shares you own the more dividends you

receive.

The role of equity analysis is to provide information to the market. An efficient market

relies on information: a lack of information creates inefficiencies that result in stocks

being misrepresented (over or under valued). This is valuable because it fills information

gaps so that each individual investor does not need to analyze every stock thereby making

the markets more efficient.

OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY The objective of this project is to deeply analyze our Banking Sector for investment

purpose by monitoring the growth rate and performance on the basis of historical

data.

The main objectives of the Project study are:

• To study the overall growth of Indian Economy which is growing at a fast

pace.

• Detailed analysis of Banking Sector which is gearing towards international

standards

• Analyze the impact of qualitative factors on industry’s and company’s

prospects

• Comparative analysis of three main banks in the industry ICICI Bank, HDFC

Bank and Axis Banks through fundamental analysis.

• Suggesting as to which company’s shares would be best for an investor to

invest.

SCOPE OF THE STUDY

The scope of the study is identified after and during the study is conducted. The

project is based on tools like fundamental analysis and ratio analysis. Further, the

study is based on information of last five years.

• The analysis is made by taking into consideration three banks i.e. ICICI

Bank, HDFC Bank and AXIS Banks.

• The scope of the study is limited for a period of five years.

• The scope is limited to only the fundamental analysis of the chosen stocks.

IMPORTANCE OF THE STUDY Decisions like whether you should buy or sell when trading in the share market is a

difficult task to do. It requires split-hair analysis of the market. To do so one also

needs to have excellent understanding of the market. Equity analysis forms an

integral part of the share trading experience. Equity analysis decides the stance one

would take in the share trading industry. Finding out the highs and lows in the market

and analyzing the equity is of utmost importance before making any sort of

investment. Technical analysis and fundamental analysis form part of the equity

analysis.

METHODOLOGY

Research design or research methodology is the procedure of collecting, analyzing

and interpreting the data to diagnose the problem and react to the opportunity in such

a way where the costs can be minimized and the desired level of accuracy can be

achieved to arrive at a particular conclusion.

The methodology used in the study for the completion of the project and the

fulfillment of the project objectives.

The sample of the stocks for the purpose of collecting secondary data has been

selected on the basis of Random Sampling. The stocks are chosen in an unbiased

manner and each stock is chosen independent of the other stocks chosen. The stocks

are chosen from the automobile sector.

The sample size for the number of stocks is taken as three for fundamental analysis of

stocks as fundamental analysis is very exhaustive and requires detailed study.

LIMITATIONS

• This study has been conducted purely to understand Equity analysis for investors.

• The study is restricted to three companies based on Fundamental analysis.

• The study is limited to the companies having equities.

• Detailed study of the topic was not possible due to limited size of the project.

• There was a constraint with regard to time allocation for the research study i.e. for

a period of 45 days.

• Suggestions and conclusions are based on the limited data of five years.

CHAPTER II - REVIEW OF LITERATURE

SECURITY ANALYSIS

Investment success is pretty much a matter of careful selection and timing of stock

purchases coupled with perfect matching to an individuals risk tolerance. In order to carry

out selection, timing and matching actions an investor must conduct deep security

analysis.

Investors purchase equity shares with two basic objectives;

1. To make capital profits by selling shares at higher prices.

2. To earn dividend income.

These two factors are affected by a host of factors. An investor has to carefully

understand and analyze all these factors. There are basically two approaches to study

security prices and valuation i.e. fundamental analysis and technical analysis

The value of common stock is determined in large measure by the performance of the

firm that issued the stock. If the company is healthy and can demonstrate strength and

growth, the value of the stock will increase. When values increase then prices follow and

returns on an investment will increase. However, just to keep the savvy investor on their

toes, the mix is complicated by the risk factors involved. Fundamental analysis examines

all the dimensions of risk exposure and the probabilities of return, and merges them with

broader economic analysis and greater industry analysis to formulate the valuation of a

stock.

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Fundamental analysis is a method of forecasting the future price movements of a

financial instrument based on economic, political, environmental and other relevant

factors and statistics that will affect the basic supply and demand of whatever underlies

the financial instrument. It is the study of economic, industry and company conditions

in an effort to determine the value of a company’s stock. Fundamental analysis

typically focuses on key statistics in company’s financial statements to determine if the

stock price is correctly valued. The term simply refers to the analysis of the economic

well-being of a financial entity as opposed to only its price movements.

Fundamental analysis is the cornerstone of investing. The basic philosophy underlying

the fundamental analysis is that if an investor invests re.1 in buying a share of a

company, how much expected returns from this investment he has.

The fundamental analysis is to appraise the intrinsic value of a security. It insists that

no one should purchase or sell a share on the basis of tips and rumors. The fundamental

approach calls upon the investors to make his buy or sell decision on the basis of a

detailed analysis of the information about the company, about the industry, and the

economy. It is also known as “top-down approach”. This approach attempts to study the

economic scenario, industry position and the company expectations and is also known

as “economic-industry-company approach (EIC approach)”.

Thus the EIC approach involves three steps:

1. Economic analysis

2. Industry analysis

3. Company analysis

1. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS The level of economic activity has an impact on investment in many ways. If the

economy grows rapidly, the industry can also be expected to show rapid growth and

vice versa. When the level of economic activity is low, stock prices are low, and when

the level of economic activity is high, stock prices are high reflecting the prosperous

outlook for sales and profits of the firms. The analysis of macro economic environment

is essential to understand the behavior of the stock prices.

The commonly analyzed macro economic factors are as follows:

Gross Domestic Product (GDP): GDP indicates the rate of growth of the economy. It

represents the aggregate value of the goods and services produced in the economy. It

consists of personal consumption expenditure, gross private domestic investment and

government expenditure on goods and services and net exports of goods and services.

The growth rate of economy points out the prospects for the industrial sector and the

return investors can expect from investment in shares. The higher growth rate is more

favorable to the stock market.

Savings and investment: It is obvious that growth requires investment which in turn

requires substantial amount of domestic savings. Stock market is a channel through

which the savings are made available to the corporate bodies. Savings are distributed

over various assets like equity shares, deposits, mutual funds, real estate and bullion.

The savings and investment patterns of the public affect the stock to a great extent.

Inflation: Along with the growth of GDP, if the inflation rate also increases, then the

real growth would be very little. The effects of inflation on capital markets are

numerous. An increase in the expected rate of inflation is expected to cause a nominal

rise in interest rates. Also, it increases uncertainty of future business and investment

decisions. As inflation increases, it results in extra costs to businesses, thereby

squeezing their profit margins and leading to real declines in profitability.

Interest rates: The interest rate affects the cost of financing to the firms. A decrease in

interest rate implies lower cost of finance for firms and more profitability. More money

is available at a lower interest rate for the brokers who are doing business with

borrowed money. Availability of cheap funds encourages speculation and rise in the

price of shares.

Tax structure: Every year in March, the business community eagerly awaits the

Government’s announcement regarding the tax policy. Concessions and incentives

given to a certain industry encourage investment in that particular industry. Tax relief’s

given to savings encourage savings. The type of tax exemption has impact on the

profitability of the industries.

Infrastructure facilities: Infrastructure facilities are essential for the growth of

industrial and agricultural sector. A wide network of communication system is a must

for the growth of the economy. Regular supply of power without any power cut would

boost the production. Banking and financial sectors also should be sound enough to

provide adequate support to the industry. Good infrastructure facilities affect the stock

market favorably.

2. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS An industry is a group of firms that have similar technological structure of production

and produce similar products and Industry analysis is a type of business research that

focuses on the status of an industry or an industrial sector (a broad industry

classification, like "manufacturing"). Irrespective of specific economic situations, some

industries might be expected to perform better, and share prices in these industries may

not decline as much as in other industries. This identification of economic and industry

specific factors influencing share prices will help investors to identify the shares that fit

individual expectations

Industry Life Cycle: The industry life cycle theory is generally attributed to Julius

Grodensky. The life cycle of the industry is separated into four well defined stages.

• Pioneering stage: The prospective demand for the product is promising in this

stage and the technology of the product is low. The demand for the product

attracts many producers to produce the particular product. There would be

severe competition and only fittest companies survive this stage. The producers

try to develop brand name, differentiate the product and create a product image.

In this situation, it is difficult to select companies for investment because the

survival rate is unknown.

• Rapid growth stage: This stage starts with the appearance of surviving firms

from the pioneering stage. The companies that have withstood the competition

grow strongly in market share and financial performance. The technology of the

production would have improved resulting in low cost of production and good

quality products. The companies have stable growth rate in this stage and they

declare dividend to the shareholders. It is advisable to invest in the shares of

these companies.

• Maturity and stabilization stage: the growth rate tends to moderate and the rate

of growth would be more or less equal to the industrial growth rate or the gross

domestic product growth rate. Symptoms of obsolescence may appear in the

technology. To keep going, technological innovations in the production process

and products should be introduced. The investors have to closely monitor the

events that take place in the maturity stage of the industry.

• Decline stage: demand for the particular product and the earnings of the

companies in the industry decline. It is better to avoid investing in the shares of

the low growth industry even in the boom period. Investment in the shares of

these types of companies leads to erosion of capital.

Growth of the industry: The historical performance of the industry in terms of growth

and profitability should be analyzed. The past variability in return and growth in

reaction to macro economic factors provide an insight into the future.

Nature of competition: Nature of competition is an essential factor that determines the

demand for the particular product, its profitability and the price of the concerned

company scrips. The companies' ability to withstand the local as well as the

multinational competition counts much. If too many firms are present in the organized

sector, the competition would be severe. The competition would lead to a decline in the

price of the product. The investor before investing in the scrip of a company should

analyze the market share of the particular company's product and should compare it

with the top five companies.

SWOT analysis: SWOT analysis represents the strength, weakness, opportunity and

threat for an industry. Every investor should carry out a SWOT analysis for the chosen

industry. Take for instance, increase in demand for the industry’s product becomes its

strength, presence of numerous players in the market, i.e. competition becomes the

threat to a particular company. The progress in R & D in that industry is an opportunity

and entry of multinationals in the industry is a threat. In this way the factors are to be

arranged and analyzed.

3. COMPANY ANALYSIS

In the company analysis the investor assimilates the several bits of information related

to the company and evaluates the present and future values of the stock. The risk and

return associated with the purchase of the stock is analyzed to take better investment

decisions. The present and future values are affected by a number of factors.

Competitive edge of the company: Major industries in India are composed of

hundreds of individual companies. Though the number of companies is large, only few

companies control the major market share. The competitiveness of the company can be

studied with the help of the following;

• Market share: The market share of the annual sales helps to determine a

company’s relative competitive position within the industry. If the market share

is high, the company would be able to meet the competition successfully. The

companies in the market should be compared with like product groups

otherwise, the results will be misleading.

• Growth of sales: The rapid growth in sales would keep the shareholder in a

better position than one with stagnant growth rate. Investors generally prefer

size and growth in sales because the larger size companies may be able to

withstand the business cycle rather than the company of smaller size.

• Stability of sales: If a firm has stable sales revenue, it will have more stable

earnings. The fall in the market share indicates the declining trend of company,

even if the sales are stable. Hence the stability of sales should be compared with

its market share and the competitor’s market share.

Earnings of the company: Sales alone do not increase the earnings but the costs and

expenses of the company also influence the earnings. Further, earnings do not always

increase with increase in sales. The company’s sales might have increased but its

earnings per share may decline due to rise in costs. Hence, the investor should not only

depend on the sales, but should analyze the earnings of the company.

Financial analysis: The best source of financial information about a company is its

own financial statements. This is a primary source of information for evaluating the

investment prospects in the particular company’s stock. Financial statement analysis is

the study of a company’s financial statement from various viewpoints. The statement

gives the historical and current information about the company’s operations. Historical

financial statement helps to predict the future and the current information aids to

analyze the present status of the company. The two main statements used in the analysis

are Balance sheet and Profit and Loss Account.

The balance sheet is one of the financial statements that companies prepare every year

for their shareholders. It is like a financial snapshot, the company's financial situation at

a moment in time. It is prepared at the year end, listing the company's current assets and

liabilities. It helps to study the capital structure of the company. It is better for the

investor to avoid a company with excessive debt component in its capital structure.

From the balance sheet, liquidity position of the company can also be assessed with the

information on current assets and current liabilities.

Ratio analysis: Ratio is a relationship between two figures expressed mathematically.

Financial ratios provide numerical relationship between two relevant financial data.

Financial ratios are calculated from the balance sheet and profit and loss account. The

relationship can be either expressed as a percent or as a quotient. Ratios summarize the

data for easy understanding, comparison and interpretations.

Ratios for investment purposes can be classified into profitability ratios, turnover ratios,

and leverage ratios. Profitability ratios are the most popular ratios since investors prefer

to measure the present profit performance and use this information to forecast the future

strength of the company. The most often used profitability ratios are return on assets,

price earnings multiplier, price to book value, price to cash flow, and price to sales,

dividend yield, return on equity, present value of cash flows, and profit margins.

a) Return on Assets (ROA)

ROA is computed as the product of the net profit margin and the total asset turnover

ratios.

ROA = (Net Profit/Total income) x (Total income/Total Assets)

This ratio indicates the firm's strategic success. Companies can have one of two

strategies: cost leadership, or product differentiation. ROA should be rising or keeping

pace with the company's competitors if the company is successfully pursuing either of

these strategies, but how ROA rises will depend on the company's strategy. ROA

should rise with a successful cost leadership strategy because the company’s increasing

operating efficiency. An example is an increasing, total asset, turnover ratio as the

company expands into new markets, increasing its market share. The company may

achieve leadership by using its assets more efficiently. With a successful product

differentiation strategy, ROA will rise because of a rising profit margin.

b) Return on Investment (ROI)

ROI is the return on capital invested in business, i.e., if an investment Rs 1 crore in

men, machines, land and material is made to generate Rs. 25 lakhs of net profit, then

the ROI is 25%. The computation of return on investment is as follows:

Return on Investment (ROI) = (Net profit/Equity investments) x 100

As this ratio reveals how well the resources of a firm are being used, higher the ratio,

better are the results. The return on shareholder’s investment should be compared with

the return of other similar firms in the same industry. The inert-firm comparison of this

ratio determines whether the investments in the firm are attractive or not as the

investors would like to invest only where the return is higher.

c) Return on Equity

Return on equity measures how much an equity shareholder's investment is actually

earning. The return on equity tells the investor how much the invested rupee is earning

from the company. The higher the number, the better is the performance of the

company and suggests the usefulness of the projects the company has invested in.

The computation of return on equity is as follows:

Return on equity = (Net profit to owners/value of the specific owner's

Contribution to the business) x 100

The ratio is more meaningful to the equity shareholders who are invested to know

profits earned by the company and those profits which can be made available to pay

dividend to them.

d) Earnings per Share (EPS)

This ratio determines what the company is earning for every share. For many investors,

earnings are the most important tool. EPS is calculated by dividing the earnings (net

profit) by the total number of equity shares.

The computation of EPS is as follows:

Earnings per share = Net profit/Number of shares outstanding

The EPS is a good measure of profitability and when compared with EPS of similar

other companies, it gives a view of the comparative earnings or earnings power of a

firm. EPS calculated for a number of years indicates whether or not earning power of

the company has increased.

e) Dividend per Share (DPS)

The extent of payment of dividend to the shareholders is measured in the form of

dividend per share. The dividend per share gives the amount of cash flow from the

company to the owners and is calculated as follows:

Dividend per share = Total dividend payment / Number of shares outstanding

The payment of dividend can have several interpretations to the shareholder. The

distribution of dividend could be thought of as the distribution of excess

profits/abnormal profits by the company. On the other hand, it could also be negatively

interpreted as lack of investment opportunities. In all, dividend payout gives the extent

of inflows to the shareholders from the company.

f) Dividend Payout Ratio

From the profits of each company a cash flow called dividend is distributed among its

shareholders. This is the continuous stream of cash flow to the owners of shares, apart

from the price differentials (capital gains) in the market. The return to the shareholders,

in the form of dividend, out of the company's profit is measured through the payout

ratio. The payout ratio is computed as follows:

Payout Ratio = (Dividend per share / Earnings per share) * 100

The percentage of payout ratio can also be used to compute the percentage of retained

earnings. The profits available for distribution are either paid as dividends or retained

internally for business growth opportunities. Hence, when dividends are not declared,

the entire profit is ploughed back into the business for its future investments.

g) Dividend Yield

Dividend yield is computed by relating the dividend per share to the market price of the

share. The market place provides opportunities for the investor to buy the company's

share at any point of time. The price at which the share has been bought from the

market is the actual cost of the investment to the shareholder. The market price is to be

taken as the cum-dividend price. Dividend yield relates the actual cost to the cash flows

received from the company. The computation of dividend yield is as follows

Dividend yield = (Dividend per share / Market price per share) * 100

High dividend yield ratios are usually interpreted as undervalued companies in the

market. The market price is a measure of future discounted values, while the dividend

per share is the present return from the investment. Hence, a high dividend yield

implies that the share has been under priced in the market. On the other hand a low

dividend yield need not be interpreted as overvaluation of shares. A company that does

not pay out dividends will not have a dividend yield and the real measure of the market

price will be in terms of earnings per share and not through the dividend payments.

h) Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E)

The P/E multiplier or the price earnings ratio relates the current market price of the

share to the earnings per share. This is computed as follows:

Price/earnings ratio = Current market price / Earnings per share

This ratio is calculated to make an estimate of appreciation in the value of a share of a

company and is widely used by investors to decide whether or not to buy shares in a

particular company. Many investors prefer to buy the company's shares at a low P/E

ratio since the general interpretation is that the market is undervaluing the share and

there will be a correction in the market price sooner or later. A very high P/E ratio on

the other hand implies that the company's shares are overvalued and the investor can

benefit by selling the shares at this high market price.

i) Debt-to-Equity Ratio

Debt-Equity ratio is used to measure the claims of outsiders and the owners against the

firm’s assets.

Debt-to-equity ratio = Outsiders Funds / Shareholders Funds

The debt-equity ratio is calculated to measure the extent to which debt financing has

been used in a business. It indicates the proportionate claims of owners and the

outsiders against the firm’s assets. The purpose is to get an idea of the cushion available

to outsiders on the liquidation of the firm.

CHAPTER III - COMPANY PROFILE

About the Company

India Infoline is a one-stop financial services shop, most respected for quality of its

information, personalized service and cutting-edge technology.

Vision

Our vision is to be the most respected company in the financial services space.

India Infoline Group

The India Infoline group, comprising the holding company, India Infoline Limited and

its wholly-owned subsidiaries, include the entire financial services space with offerings

ranging from Equity research, Equities and derivatives trading, Commodities trading,

Portfolio Management Services, Mutual Funds, Life Insurance, Fixed deposits, GoI

bonds and other small savings instruments to loan products and Investment banking.

India Infoline also owns and manages the websites www.indiainfoline.com and

www.5paisa.com. The company has a network of over 2100 business locations

(branches and sub-brokers) spread across more than 450 cities and towns. The group

caters to approximately a million customers.

Founded in 1995 by Mr. Nirmal Jain (Chairman and Managing Director) as an

independent business research and information provider, the company gradually

evolved into a one-stop financial services solutions provider.

India Infoline received registration for a housing finance company from the National

Housing Bank and received the ‘Fastest growing Equity Broking House - Large firms’

in India by Dun & Bradstreet in 2009. It also received the Insurance broking license

from IRDA; received the venture capital license; received in principle approval to

sponsor a mutual fund; received ‘Best broker- India’ award from Finance Asia; ‘Most

Improved Brokerage- India’ award from Asia money.

COMPANY STRUCTURE

India Infoline Limited is listed on both the leading stock exchanges in India, viz. the

Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and is also a

member of both the exchanges. It is engaged in the businesses of Equities broking,

Wealth Advisory Services and Portfolio Management Services. It offers broking

services in the Cash and Derivatives segments of the NSE as well as the Cash segment

of the BSE. It is registered with NSDL as well as CDSL as a depository participant,

providing a one-stop solution for clients trading in the equities market. It has recently

launched its Investment banking and Institutional Broking business.

A SEBI authorized Portfolio Manager; it offers Portfolio Management Services to

clients. These services are offered to clients as different schemes, which are based on

differing investment strategies made to reflect the varied risk-return preferences of

clients.

India Infoline Media and Research Services Limited

The services represent a strong support that drives the broking, commodities, mutual

fund and portfolio management services businesses. It undertakes equities research

which is acknowledged by none other than Forbes as 'Best of the Web' and '…a must

read for investors in Asia'. India Infoline's research is available not just over the internet

but also on international wire services like Bloomberg (Code: IILL), Thomson First

Call and Internet Securities where India Infoline is amongst the most read Indian

brokers.

India Infoline Commodities Limited.

India Infoline Commodities Pvt Limited is engaged in the business of commodities

broking. Their experience in securities broking empowered them with the requisite

skills and technologies to allow them to offer commodities broking as a contra-cyclical

alternative to equities broking. It enjoys memberships with the MCX and NCDEX, two

leading Indian commodities exchanges, and recently acquired membership of DGCX. It

has a multi-channel delivery model, making it among the select few to offer online as

well as offline trading facilities.

India Infoline Marketing & Services

India Infoline Marketing and Services Limited is the holding company of India Infoline

Insurance Services Limited and India Infoline Insurance Brokers Limited.

• India Infoline Insurance Services Limited is a registered Corporate Agent with

the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA). It is the largest

Corporate Agent for ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Co Limited, which is

India's largest private Life Insurance Company. India Infoline was the first

corporate agent to get licensed by IRDA in early 2001.

• India Infoline Insurance Brokers Limited India Infoline Insurance Brokers

Limited is a newly formed subsidiary which will carry out the business of

Insurance broking.

India Infoline Investment Services Limited

Consolidated shareholdings of all the subsidiary companies engaged in loans and

financing activities under one subsidiary. Recently, Orient Global, a Singapore-based

investment institution invested USD 76.7 million for a 22.5% stake in India Infoline

Investment Services. This will help focused expansion and capital raising in the said

subsidiaries for various lending businesses like loans against securities, SME financing,

distribution of retail loan products, consumer finance business and housing finance

business. India Infoline Investment Services Private Limited consists of the following

step-down subsidiaries.

• India Infoline Distribution Company Limited (distribution of retail loan

products)

• Moneyline Credit Limited (consumer finance)

• India Infoline Housing Finance Limited (housing finance)

IIFL (Asia) Private Limited

IIFL (Asia) Private Limited is wholly owned subsidiary which has been incorporated in

Singapore to pursue financial sector activities in other Asian markets. Further to

obtaining the necessary regulatory approvals, the company has been initially capitalized

at 1 million Singapore dollars.

IIFL MANAGEMENT

• THE MANAGEMENT TEAM

Mr. Nirmal Jain, Chairman & Managing Director

Nirmal Jain, MBA (IIM, Ahmadabad) and a Chartered and Cost Accountant, founded

India’s leading financial services company India Infoline Ltd. in 1995,

providing globally acclaimed financial services in equities and

commodities broking, life insurance and mutual funds distribution, among others.

Mr. R Venkataraman, Executive Director

R Venkataraman, co-promoter and Executive Director of India

Infoline Ltd., is a B. Tech (Electronics and Electrical Communications

Engineering, IIT Kharagpur) and an MBA (IIM Bangalore). He joined

the India Infoline board in July 1999.

• THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS

Apart from Nirmal Jain and R Venkataraman, the Board of Directors of India Infoline

Ltd. comprises:

Mr. Nilesh Vikamsey, Independent Director

Mr. Vikamsey, Board member since February 2005 - a practicing Chartered Accountant

and partner (Khimji Kunverji & Co., Chartered Accountants), a

member firm of HLB International, headed the audit department till

1990 and thereafter also handles financial services, consultancy, investigations, mergers

and acquisitions, valuations etc

Mr Sat Pal Khattar, Non Executive Director

Mr Sat Pal Khattar, - Board member since April 2001 - Presidential Council of

Minority Rights member, Chairman of the Board of Trustee of

Singapore Business Federation, is also a life trustee of SINDA, a non

profit body, helping the under-privileged Indians in Singapore. He joined the India

Infoline board in April 2001.

Mr Kranti Sinha, Independent Director

Mr. Kranti Sinha — Board member since January 2005 — completed

his masters from the Agra University and started his career as a Class I

officer with Life Insurance Corporation of India.

Mr Arun K. Purvar, Independent Director

Mr. A.K. Purvar – Board member since March 2008 – completed his

Masters degree in commerce from Allahabad University in 1966 and a

diploma in Business Administration in 1967.

PRODUCTS & SERVICES

Equities

India Infoline provided the prospect of researched investing to its clients, which was

hitherto restricted only to the institutions. Research for the retail investor did not exist

prior to India Infoline. India Infoline leveraged technology to bring the convenience of

trading to the investor’s location of preference (residence or office) through

computerized access. India Infoline made it possible for clients to view transaction

costs and ledger updates in real time. The Company is among the few financial

intermediaries in India to offer a complement of online and offline broking. The

Companies network of branches also allows customers to place orders on phone or visit

our branches for trading.

Commodities

India Infoline’s extension into commodities trading reconciles its strategic intent to

emerge as a one stop solutions financial intermediary. Its experience in securities

broking has empowered it with requisite skills and technologies. The Companies

commodities business provides a contra-cyclical alternative to equities broking. The

Company was among the first to offer the facility of commodities trading in India’s

young commodities market (the MCX commenced operations in 2003). Average

monthly turnover on the commodity exchanges increased from Rs 0.34 bn to Rs 20.02

bn.

Insurance

An entry into this segment helped complete the client's product basket; concurrently, it

graduated the Company into a one stop retail financial solutions provider. To ensure

maximum reach to customers across India, it has employed a multi pronged approach

and reaches out to customers via our Network, Direct and Affiliate channels. India

Infoline was the first corporate in India to get the agency license in early 2001.

Invest Online

India Infoline has made investing in Mutual funds and primary market so effortless.

Only registration is needed. No paperwork no queues and No registration charges. India

Infoline offers a host of mutual fund choices under one roof, backed by in-depth

research and advice from research house and tools configured as investor friendly.

Wealth Management

The key to achieving a successful Investment Portfolio is to have a carefully planned

financial strategy based on a thorough understanding of the client's investment needs

and risk appetite. The IIFL Private Wealth Management Team of financial experts will

recommend an appropriate financial strategy to effectively meet customer’s investment

requirements.

Asset Management

India Infoline is a leading pan-India mutual fund distribution house associated with

leading asset management companies. It operates primarily in the retail segment

leveraging its existing distribution network to reach prospective clients. It has received

the in-principle approval to set up a mutual fund.

Portfolio Management

IIFL Portfolio Management Service is a product wherein an equity investment portfolio

is created to suit the investment objectives of a client. India Infoline invests the client’s

resources into stocks from different sectors, depending on client’s risk-return profile.

This service is particularly advisable for investors who cannot afford to give time or

don't have that expertise for day-to-day management of their equity portfolio.

Newsletters

As a subscriber to the Daily Market Strategy, client’s get research reports of India

Infoline research team on a priority basis. The Indiainfoline Weekly Newsletter is the

flashback for the week gone by. A weekly outlook coupled with the best of the web

stories from Indiainfoline and links to important investment ideas, Leader Speak and

features is delivered in the client’s inbox every Friday evening.

INDUSTRY PROFILE

FINANCIAL MARKETS

Finance is the pre-requisite for modern business and financial institutions play a vital

role in the economic system. It is through financial markets and institutions that the

financial system of an economy works. Financial markets refer to the institutional

arrangements for dealing in financial assets and credit instruments of different types

such as currency, cheques, bank deposits, bills, bonds, equities, etc.

Financial market is a broad term describing any marketplace where buyers and sellers

participate in the trade of assets such as equities, bonds, currencies and derivatives.

They are typically defined by having transparent pricing, basic regulations on trading,

costs and fees and market forces determining the prices of securities that trade.

Generally, there is no specific place or location to indicate a financial market. Wherever

a financial transaction takes place, it is deemed to have taken place in the financial

market. Hence financial markets are pervasive in nature since financial transactions are

themselves very pervasive throughout the economic system. For instance, issue of

equity shares, granting of loan by term lending institutions, deposit of money into a

bank, purchase of debentures, sale of shares and so on.

In a nutshell, financial markets are the credit markets catering to the various needs of

the individuals, firms and institutions by facilitating buying and selling of financial

assets, claims and services.

CLASSIFICATION OF FINANCIAL MARKETS

Financial markets

Organized markets Unorganized markets

Capital Markets Money Markets

Industrial Securities Market

Government Securities Market

Long-term loan market

Primary Market

Secondary market

Call Money Market

Commercial Bill Market

Treasury Bill Market

Money Lenders, Indigenuos Bankers

Capital Market

The capital market is a market for financial assets which have a long or indefinite

maturity. Generally, it deals with long term securities which have a period of above one

year. In the widest sense, it consists of a series of channels through which the savings

of the community are made available for industrial and commercial enterprises and

public authorities. As a whole, capital market facilitates raising of capital.

The major functions performed by a capital market are:

1. Mobilization of financial resources on a nation-wide scale.

2. Securing the foreign capital and know-how to fill up deficit in the required

resources for economic growth at a faster rate.

3. Effective allocation of the mobilized financial resources, by directing the same

to projects yielding highest yield or to the projects needed to promote balanced

economic development.

Capital market consists of primary market and secondary market.

Primary market: Primary market is a market for new issues or new financial claims.

Hence it is also called as New Issue Market. It basically deals with those securities

which are issued to the public for the first time. The market, therefore, makes available

a new block of securities for public subscription. In other words, it deals with raising of

fresh capital by companies either for cash or for consideration other than cash. The best

example could be Initial Public Offering (IPO) where a firm offers shares to the public

for the first time.

Secondary market: Secondary market is a market where existing securities are traded.

In other words, securities which have already passed through new issue market are

traded in this market. Generally, such securities are quoted in the stock exchange and it

provides a continuous and regular market for buying and selling of securities. This

market consists of all stock exchanges recognized by the government of India.

Money Market

Money markets are the markets for short-term, highly liquid debt securities. Money

market securities are generally very safe investments which return relatively low

interest rate that is most appropriate for temporary cash storage or short term time

needs. It consists of a number of sub-markets which collectively constitute the money

market namely call money market, commercial bills market, acceptance market, and

Treasury bill market.

Derivatives Market

The derivatives market is the financial market for derivatives, financial instruments like

futures contracts or options, which are derived from other forms of assets. A derivative

is a security whose price is dependent upon or derived from one or more underlying

assets. The derivative itself is merely a contract between two or more parties. Its value

is determined by fluctuations in the underlying asset. The most common underlying

assets include stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, interest rates and market

indexes. The important financial derivatives are the following:

• Forwards: Forwards are the oldest of all the derivatives. A forward contract

refers to an agreement between two parties to exchange an agreed quantity of an

asset for cash at a certain date in future at a predetermined price specified in that

agreement. The promised asset may be currency, commodity, instrument etc.

• Futures: Future contract is very similar to a forward contract in all respects

excepting the fact that it is completely a standardized one. It is nothing but a

standardized forward contract which is legally enforceable and always traded on

an organized exchange.

• Options: A financial derivative that represents a contract sold by one party

(option writer) to another party (option holder). The contract offers the buyer

the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call) or sell (put) a security or other

financial asset at an agreed-upon price (the strike price) during a certain period

of time or on a specific date (exercise date). Call options give the option to buy

at certain price, so the buyer would want the stock to go up. Put options give the

option to sell at a certain price, so the buyer would want the stock to go down.

• Swaps: It is yet another exciting trading instrument. Infact, it is the combination

of forwards by two counterparties. It is arranged to reap the benefits arising

from the fluctuations in the market – either currency market or interest rate

market or any other market for that matter.

Foreign Exchange Market

It is a market in which participants are able to buy, sell, exchange and speculate on

currencies. Foreign exchange markets are made up of banks, commercial companies,

central banks, investment management firms, hedge funds, and retail forex brokers and

investors. The forex market is considered to be the largest financial market in the

world. It is a worldwide decentralized over-the-counter financial market for the trading

of currencies. Because the currency markets are large and liquid, they are believed to be

the most efficient financial markets. It is important to realize that the foreign exchange

market is not a single exchange, but is constructed of a global network of computers

that connects participants from all parts of the world.

Commodities Market

It is a physical or virtual marketplace for buying, selling and trading raw or primary

products. For investors' purposes there are currently about 50 major commodity

markets worldwide that facilitate investment trade in nearly 100 primary

commodities. Commodities are split into two types: hard and soft commodities. Hard

commodities are typically natural resources that must be mined or extracted (gold,

rubber, oil, etc.), whereas soft commodities are agricultural products or livestock (corn,

wheat, coffee, sugar, soybeans, pork, etc.)

INDIAN FINANCIAL MARKETS

India Financial market is one of the oldest in the world and is considered to be the

fastest growing and best among all the markets of the emerging economies.

The history of Indian capital markets dates back 200 years toward the end of the 18th

century when India was under the rule of the East India Company. The development of

the capital market in India concentrated around Mumbai where no less than 200 to 250

securities brokers were active during the second half of the 19th century.

The financial market in India today is more developed than many other sectors because

it was organized long before with the securities exchanges of Mumbai, Ahmadabad and

Kolkata were established as early as the 19th century.

By the early 1960s the total number of securities exchanges in India rose to eight,

including Mumbai, Ahmadabad and Kolkata apart from Madras, Kanpur, Delhi,

Bangalore and Pune. Today there are 21 regional securities exchanges in India in

addition to the centralized NSE (National Stock Exchange) and OTCEI (Over the

Counter Exchange of India).

However the stock markets in India remained stagnant due to stringent controls on the

market economy that allowed only a handful of monopolies to dominate their

respective sectors. The corporate sector wasn't allowed into many industry segments,

which were dominated by the state controlled public sector resulting in stagnation of

the economy right up to the early 1990s. Thereafter when the Indian economy began

liberalizing and the controls began to be dismantled or eased out; the securities markets

witnessed a flurry of IPO’s that were launched. This resulted in many new companies

across different industry segments to come up with newer products and services.

A remarkable feature of the growth of the Indian economy in recent years has been the

role played by its securities markets in assisting and fuelling that growth with money

rose within the economy. This was in marked contrast to the initial phase of growth in

many of the fast growing economies of East Asia that witnessed huge doses of FDI

(Foreign Direct Investment) spurring growth in their initial days of market decontrol.

During this phase in India much of the organized sector has been affected by high

growth as the financial markets played an all-inclusive role in sustaining financial

resource mobilization. Many PSUs (Public Sector Undertakings) that decided to offload

part of their equity were also helped by the well-organized securities market in India.

The launch of the NSE (National Stock Exchange) and the OTCEI (Over the Counter

Exchange of India) during the mid 1990s by the government of India was meant to

usher in an easier and more transparent form of trading in securities. The NSE was

conceived as the market for trading in the securities of companies from the large-scale

sector and the OTCEI for those from the small-scale sector. While the NSE has not just

done well to grow and evolve into the virtual backbone of capital markets in India the

OTCEI struggled and is yet to show any sign of growth and development. The

integration of IT into the capital market infrastructure has been particularly smooth in

India due to the country’s world class IT industry. This has pushed up the operational

efficiency of the Indian stock market to global standards and as a result the country has

been able to capitalize on its high growth and attract foreign capital like never before.

The regulating authority for capital markets in India is the SEBI (Securities and

Exchange Board of India). SEBI came into prominence in the 1990s after the capital

markets experienced some turbulence. It had to take drastic measures to plug many

loopholes that were exploited by certain market forces to advance their vested interests.

After this initial phase of struggle SEBI has grown in strength as the regulator of

India’s capital markets and as one of the country’s most important institutions.

FINANCIAL MARKET REGULATIONS

Regulations are an absolute necessity in the face of the growing importance of capital

markets throughout the world. The development of a market economy is dependent on

the development of the capital market. The regulation of a capital market involves the

regulation of securities; these rules enable the capital market to function more

efficiently and impartially.

A well regulated market has the potential to encourage additional investors to partake,

and contribute in, furthering the development of the economy. The chief capital market

regulatory authority is Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).

SEBI is the regulator for the securities market in India. It is the apex body to develop

and regulate the stock market in India It was formed officially by the Government of

India in 1992 with SEBI Act 1992 being passed by the Indian Parliament. Chaired by C

B Bhave, SEBI is headquartered in the popular business district of Bandra-Kurla

complex in Mumbai, and has Northern, Eastern, Southern and Western regional offices

in New Delhi, Kolkata, Chennai and Ahmedabad. In place of Government Control, a

statutory and autonomous regulatory board with defined responsibilities, to cover both

development & regulation of the market, and independent powers has been set up.

The basic objectives of the Board were identified as:

• to protect the interests of investors in securities;

• to promote the development of Securities Market;

• to regulate the securities market and

• For matters connected therewith or incidental thereto.

Since its inception SEBI has been working targeting the securities and is attending to

the fulfillment of its objectives with commendable zeal and dexterity. The

improvements in the securities markets like capitalization requirements, margining,

establishment of clearing corporations etc. reduced the risk of credit and also reduced

the market.

SEBI has introduced the comprehensive regulatory measures, prescribed registration

norms, the eligibility criteria, the code of obligations and the code of conduct for

different intermediaries like, bankers to issue, merchant bankers, brokers and sub-

brokers, registrars, portfolio managers, credit rating agencies, underwriters and others.

It has framed bye-laws, risk identification and risk management systems for Clearing

houses of stock exchanges, surveillance system etc. which has made dealing in

securities both safe and transparent to the end investor.

Another significant event is the approval of trading in stock indices (like S&P CNX

Nifty & Sensex) in 2000. A market Index is a convenient and effective product because

of the following reasons:

• It acts as a barometer for market behavior;

• It is used to benchmark portfolio performance;

• It is used in derivative instruments like index futures and index options;

• It can be used for passive fund management as in case of Index Funds.

Two broad approaches of SEBI is to integrate the securities market at the national level,

and also to diversify the trading products, so that there is an increase in number of

traders including banks, financial institutions, insurance companies, mutual funds,

primary dealers etc. to transact through the Exchanges. In this context the introduction

of derivatives trading through Indian Stock Exchanges permitted by SEBI in 2000 AD

is a real landmark.

SEBI has enjoyed success as a regulator by pushing systemic reforms aggressively and

successively (e.g. the quick movement towards making the markets electronic and

paperless rolling settlement on T+2 bases). SEBI has been active in setting up the

regulations as required under law.

STOCK EXCHANGES IN INDIA

Stock Exchanges are an organized marketplace, either corporation or mutual

organization, where members of the organization gather to trade company stocks or

other securities. The members may act either as agents for their customers, or as

principals for their own accounts.

As per the Securities Contracts Regulation Act, 1956 a stock exchange is an

association, organization or body of individuals whether incorporated or not,

established for the purpose of assisting, regulating and controlling business in buying,

selling and dealing in securities.

Stock exchanges facilitate for the issue and redemption of securities and other financial

instruments including the payment of income and dividends. The record keeping is

central but trade is linked to such physical place because modern markets are

computerized. The trade on an exchange is only by members and stock broker do have

a seat on the exchange.

List of Stock Exchanges in India

Bombay Stock Exchange

National Stock Exchange

OTC Exchange of India

Regional Stock Exchanges

1. Ahmedabad

2. Bangalore

3. Bhubaneswar

4. Calcutta

5. Cochin

6. Coimbatore

7. Delhi

8. Guwahati

9. Hyderabad

10. Jaipur

11. Ludhiana

12. Madhya Pradesh

13. Madras

14. Magadh

15. Mangalore

16. Meerut

17. Pune

18. Saurashtra Kutch

19. Uttar Pradesh

20. Vadodara

BOMBAY STOCK EXCHANGE

A very common name for all traders in the stock market, BSE, stands for Bombay

Stock Exchange. It is the oldest market not only in the country, but also in Asia. In

the early days, BSE was known as "The Native Share & Stock Brokers Association."

It was established in the year 1875 and became the first stock exchange in the country

to be recognized by the government. In 1956, BSE obtained a permanent recognition

from the Government of India under the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956.

In the past and even now, it plays a pivotal role in the development of the country's

capital market. This is recognized worldwide and its index, SENSEX, is also tracked

worldwide. Earlier it was an Association of Persons (AOP), but now it is a

demutualised and corporatised entity incorporated under the provisions of the

Companies Act, 1956, pursuant to the BSE (Corporatisation and Demutualization)

Scheme, 2005 notified by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).

BSE Vision

The vision of the Bombay Stock Exchange is to "Emerge as the premier Indian stock

exchange by establishing global benchmarks."

BSE Management

Bombay Stock Exchange is managed professionally by Board of Directors. It

comprises of eminent professionals, representatives of Trading Members and the

Managing Director. The Board is an inclusive one and is shaped to benefit from the

market intermediaries participation.

The Board exercises complete control and formulates larger policy issues. The day-

to-day operations of BSE are managed by the Managing Director and its school of

professional as a management team.

BSE Network

The Exchange reaches physically to 417 cities and towns in the country. The

framework of it has been designed to safeguard market integrity and to operate with

transparency. It provides an efficient market for the trading in equity, debt

instruments and derivatives. Its online trading system, popularly known as BOLT, is a

proprietary system and it is BS 7799-2-2002 certified. The BOLT network was

expanded, nationwide, in 1997. The surveillance and clearing & settlement functions

of the Exchange are ISO 9001:2000 certified.

BSE Facts

BSE as a brand is synonymous with capital markets in India. The BSE SENSEX is

the benchmark equity index that reflects the robustness of the economy and finance. It

was the –

• First in India to introduce Equity Derivatives

• First in India to launch a Free Float Index

• First in India to launch US$ version of BSE Sensex

• First in India to launch Exchange Enabled Internet Trading Platform

• First in India to obtain ISO certification for Surveillance, Clearing &

Settlement

• 'BSE On-Line Trading System’ (BOLT) has been awarded the globally

recognized the Information Security Management System standard

BS7799-2:2002.

• First to have an exclusive facility for financial training

• Moved from Open Outcry to Electronic Trading within just 50 days

BSE with its long history of capital market development is fully geared to continue

its contributions to further the growth of the securities markets of the country, thus

helping India increases its sphere of influence in international financial markets.

NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE OF INDIA LIMITED

The National Stock Exchange of India Limited has genesis in the report of the High

Powered Study Group on Establishment of New Stock Exchanges, which

recommended promotion of a National Stock Exchange by financial institutions (FI’s)

to provide access to investors from all across the country on an equal footing. Based

on the recommendations, NSE was promoted by leading Financial Institutions at the

behest of the Government of India and was incorporated in November 1992 as a tax-

paying company unlike other stock Exchange in the country.

On its recognition as a stock exchange under the Securities Contracts (Regulation)

Act, 1956 in April 1993, NSE commenced operations in the Wholesale Debt Market

(WDM) segment in June 1994. The Capital Market (Equities) segment commenced

operations in November 1994 and operations in Derivatives segment commenced in

June 2000.

NSE GROUP

National Securities Clearing Corporation Ltd. (NSCCL)

It is a wholly owned subsidiary, which was incorporated in August 1995 and

commenced clearing operations in April 1996. It was formed to build confidence in

clearing and settlement of securities, to promote and maintain the short and consistent

settlement cycles, to provide a counter-party risk guarantee and to operate a tight risk

containment system.

NSE.IT Ltd.

It is also a wholly owned subsidiary of NSE and is its IT arm. This arm of the NSE is

uniquely positioned to provide products, services and solutions for the securities

industry. NSE.IT primarily focuses on in the area of trading, broker front-end and

back-office, clearing and settlement, web-based, insurance, etc. Along with this, it

also provides consultancy and implementation services in Data Warehousing,

Business Continuity Plans, Site Maintenance and Backups, Stratus Mainframe

Facility Management, Real Time Market Analysis & Financial News.

India Index Services & Products Ltd. (IISL)

It is a joint venture between NSE and CRISIL Ltd. to provide a variety of indices and

index related services and products for the Indian Capital markets. It was set up in

May 1998. IISL has a consulting and licensing agreement with the Standard and

Poor's (S&P), world's leading provider of investible equity indices, for co-branding

equity indices.

National Securities Depository Ltd. (NSDL)

NSE joined hands with IDBI and UTI to promote dematerialization of securities. This

step was taken to solve problems related to trading in physical securities. It

commenced operations in November 1996.

NSE Facts

• It uses satellite communication technology to energize participation from

around 400 cities in India.

• NSE can handle up to 1 million trades per day.

• It is one of the largest interactive VSAT based stock exchanges in the world.

• The NSE- network is the largest private wide area network in India and the

first extended C- Band VSAT network in the world.

• Presently more than 9000 users are trading on the real time-online NSE

application.

Today, NSE is one of the largest exchanges in the world and still forging ahead. At

NSE, we are constantly working towards creating a more transparent, vibrant and

innovative capital market.

OVER THE COUNTER EXCHANGE OF INDIA

OTCEI was incorporated in 1990 as a section 25 company under the companies Act

1956 and is recognized as a stock exchange under section 4 of the securities Contracts

Regulation Act, 1956. The exchange was set up to aid enterprising promotes in

raising finance for new projects in a cost effective manner and to provide investors

with a transparent and efficient mode of trading Modeled along the lines of the

NASDAQ market of USA, OTCEI introduced many novel concepts to the Indian

capital markets such as screen-based nationwide trading, sponsorship of companies,

market making and scrip less trading. As a measure of success of these efforts, the

Exchange today has 115 listings and has assisted in providing capital for enterprises

that have gone on to build successful brands for themselves like VIP Advanta, Sonora

Tiles & Brilliant mineral water, etc.

Need for OTCEI:

Studies by NASSCOM, software technology parks of India, the venture capitals funds

and the government’s IT tasks Force, as well as rising interest in IT, Pharmaceutical,

Biotechnology and Media shares have repeatedly emphasized the need for a national

stock market for innovation and high growth companies.

Innovative companies are critical to developing economics like India, which is

undergoing a major technological revolution. With their abilities to generate

employment opportunities and contribute to the economy, it is essential that these

companies not only expand existing operations but also set up new units. The key

issue for these companies is raising timely, cost effective and long term capital to

sustain their operations and enhance growth. Such companies, particularly those that

have been in operation for a short time, are unable to raise funds through the

traditional financing methods, because they have not yet been evaluated by the

financial world.

CHAPTER V

DATA ANALYSIS & INTERPRETATIONS

1. ECONOMY ANALYSIS

Economic analysis is the analysis of forces operating the overall economy a country.

Economic analysis is a process whereby strengths and weaknesses of an economy are

analyzed. Economic analysis is important in order to understand exact condition of an

economy.

The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has estimated India’s gross

domestic product (GDP) to expand at 9.2 per cent in 2010-11 as compared to the

growth of 7.4 per cent in 2009-10. Overall growth in industrial output was 10.8 per

cent year-on-year (y-o-y) in October 2010. The growth in the industrial sector is

expected to increase at 9.4 per cent in 2010-11, as compared to 9.2 per cent in 2009-

10. According to a survey by the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and ASCON,

around 50 segments (out of 127) in the manufacturing sector grew by 39 per cent,

entering the 'excellent growth' category, during April-December 2010-11 compared to

29 sectors (22.9 per cent) in April-December 2009 which shows a marked

improvement. Also, services sector is projected to expand by 10 per cent as compared

to 8.6 per cent last year, led by the trade and transport segment. The major turnaround

is expected from the agriculture and allied sector, which is being projected to grow by

5.7 per cent in 2010-11. As per Use-based classification, the Sectoral growth rates in

October 2010 over October 2009 are 7.7 per cent in Basic goods, 22 per cent in

Capital goods and 9.5 per cent in Intermediate goods. The Consumer durables and

Consumer non-durables have expanded by 31 per cent and 0.1 per cent respectively in

the reported month.

The industrial output registered a robust growth of 10.8 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y)

in October 2010. Among the three major constituents of the IIP, manufacturing and

electricity recorded higher growth rates of 11.3 per cent and 8.8 per cent in October

as against their corresponding levels of 10.8 per cent and 4 per cent for the

corresponding month in 2009. The third constituent mining index registered 6.5 per

cent in October 2010.

The Economic scenario

Foreign injections amounted to US$ 6.4 billion in October 2010, which was almost

25 per cent of the total inflows in the stock market registered so far in 2010. The net

foreign fund investment crossed the US$ 100 billion mark on November 8 2010,

since the liberalization policy was implemented in 1992. As per the data given by

SEBI, the total figure stood at US$100.9 billion, wherein US$ 4.78 billion were

infused in November itself. The humungous increase in investment mirrors the

foreign investors’ faith in the Indian markets. FIIs have made investments worth US$

4.11 billion in equities and poured US$ 667.71 million into the debt market.

Data sourced from SEBI shows that the number of registered FIIs stood at 1,738 and

number of registered sub-accounts rose to 5,592 as of November 10, 2010.

As on December 17, 2010, India's foreign exchange reserves totalled US$ 294.60

billion, an increase of US$ 11.13 billion over the same period last year, according to

the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Weekly Statistical Supplement.

Moreover, India received foreign direct investment (FDI) equity worth US$ 12.39

billion during April-October, 2010-11, taking the cumulative amount of FDI inflows

during April 2000 - October 2010 to US$ 179.45 billion, according to the Department

of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP).

The services sector comprising financial and non-financial services attracted 21 per

cent of the total FDI equity inflow into India, with FDI worth US$ 2,163 million

during April-October 2010, while telecommunications including radio paging,

cellular mobile and basic telephone services attracted second largest amount of FDI

worth US$ 1,062 million during the same period. Metallurgical industries were the

third highest sector attracting FDI worth US$ 920 million followed by power sector

which garnered US$ 729 million during the financial year April-October 2010.

• Exports from India have increased by 26.8 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y) to

touch US$ 18.9 billion in November 2010, urging the Government to exude

confidence that overall shipments in 2010-11 may touch US$ 215 billion. For

the April-November 2010 period, exports have grown by 26.7 per cent to US$

140.3 billion, while imports totaled up to US$ 222 billion, expanding 24 per

cent.

• India's logistics sector is witnessing increased activity. According to the

Indian Shipping ministry, the country's major ports handled 44.4 million tones

of cargo during September 2010, 4.5 per cent higher as compared to 5.9 per

cent growth in September 2009. Leading consultants Frost&Sullivan, as cited

by The Economic Times, are expecting traffic to boost at Indian ports from

814.1 million tones (MT) to 1,373.1 MT from 2010 to 2015 at a CAGR of 11

per cent. The study group has underlined three key trends in the sector,

namely, increase in containerized cargo, increased private sector participation

and traffic diversion toward minor ports.

• Foreign Tourist Arrivals (FTA) in India during the period of January-

November 2010 were 4.93 million as compared to the FTAs of 4.46 million

during the same period of 2009, showing a growth of 10.4 per cent. The

Foreign Exchange Earnings (FEE) during the period of January-November

2010 were US$ 12.88 billion as compared to US$ 10.67 billion during the

same period of 2009, registering a growth rate of 20.7 per cent, according to

data released by the Ministry of Tourism.

• The total telephone subscriber base in the country reached 742.12 million as

on October 31, 2010, taking the overall tele-density to 62.51, according to the

figures released by the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI). Also

the wireless subscriber base increased to 706.69 million.

• The average assets under management of the mutual fund industry stood at

US$ 160.44 billion for the month of September 2010, according to the data

released by Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI).

• As per NASSCOM’s Strategic Review 2010, the Indian IT-BPO sector

continues to be the fastest growing segment of the industry and is estimated to

aggregate revenues of USD 73.1 billion in FY2010, with the IT software and

services industry accounting for USD 63.7 billion of revenues.

• The cumulative production of vehicles in India grew by 32.4 per cent upto

August 2010 as compared to the same period in 2009, Mr B S Meena,

Secretary, Ministry of Heavy Industry, reported. Passenger vehicles,

commercial vehicles and two-wheeler segments had all recorded impressive

growth rates of 32 per cent, 49 per cent and 31 per cent, respectively during

the period upto August 2010.

• According to the Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council, jewellery

shipments were worth US$ 23.57 billion in April-November 2010, registering

a rise of 38.25 per cent as compared to US$ 17.05 billion in the corresponding

period of 2009.

• According to the Ministry of Civil Aviation, passengers carried by domestic

airlines from January-November, 2010 were 46.81 million as against 39.35

million in the corresponding period of year 2009, thereby registering a growth

of 18.9 per cent.

• According to Ernst & Young (E&Y), a global consultancy firm, India is

expected to receive more than US$ 7 billion in private equity (PE)

investments in 2010, on the back of robust economic growth. According to

research firm VCCEdge, mergers and acquisition (M&A) deals worth US$

54.6 billion have been signed till December 15, 2010, significantly more than

the previous high of US$ 42 billion achieved in 2007.

• The HSBC Market Business Activity Index, which measures business activity

among Indian services companies, based on a survey of 400 firms, rose to

60.1 in November 2010 from 56.2 in October 2010.

Agriculture

Agriculture is one of the strongholds of the Indian economy and accounts for 14.6 per

cent of the country's gross domestic product (GDP) in 2009-10, and 10.23 per cent

(provisional) of the total exports. Furthermore, the sector provided employment to 55

per cent of the work force.

India's agriculture and allied sector grew by 3.8 per cent in the first six months of the

current fiscal (2010-11). Capital investment in agriculture has increased from US$ 1.2

billion in 2007-08 to US$ 3.26 billion in 2010-11 (inclusive of State Plan Scheme

Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana), as per a Ministry of Agriculture press release dated

August 3, 2010.

In the Union Budget 2010-11, the Finance Minister, Mr Pranab Mukherjee made the

following announcements for the agriculture sector.

• US$ 86.89 million is provided to increase the Green Revolution to the eastern

region of the country comprising Bihar, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Eastern up,

West Bengal and Orissa.

• US$ 65.17 million has been provided to organise 60,000 pulses and oil-seed

villages in rain-fed areas in 2010-11 and provide an integrated intervention for

water harvesting, watershed management and soil health to improve

productivitiy of the dry land farming areas.

• Banks have been consistently meeting the targets set for agricultural credit

flow in the past few years. For the year 2010-11, the target has been set at

US$ 81.47 billion.

• In addition to the 10 mega food park projects already being set up, the

government has decided to set up five more such parks.

• External commercial borrowings are available for cold storage for

preservation or storage of agricultural and allied products, marine products

and meat.

Growth potential story

• The data centre services market in the country is forecast to grow at a

compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.7 per cent between 2009 and

2011, to touch close to US$ 2.2 billion by the end of 2011, according to

research firm IDC India’s report published in March 2010. The report further

stated that the overall India data centre services market in 2009 was estimated

at US$ 1.39 billion.

• According to a report by research and advisory firm Gartner published in

March 2010, the domestic BPO market is expected to grow at 25 per cent in

2010 to touch US$ 1.2 billion by 2011. Further, the BPO market in India is

estimated to grow 19 per cent through 2013 and grow to US$ 1.8 billion by

2013. According to the report, the domestic India BPO services market grew

by 7.3 per cent year-on-year in 2009.

• The BMI India Retail Report Quarter 3, 2010 released in May 2010, forecasts

that total retail sales will grow from US$ 353 billion in 2010 to US$ 543.2

billion by 2014.

• According to a report titled 'India 2020: Seeing, Beyond', published by

domestic broking major, Edelweiss Capital in March 2010, stated that India's

GDP is set to quadruple over the next ten years and the country is likely to

become an over US$ 4 trillion economy by 2020.

• India will overtake China to become the world's fastest growing economy by

2018, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), the research arm of

London-based Economist magazine.

Economic Survey 2009-10 Highlights

According to the Economic Survey 2009-10, tabled in Parliament on February 25,

2010 by the Union Finance Minister, Mr Pranab Mukherjee, the economy is expected

to grow at 7.2 per cent in 2009-10. The expected growth comes on the back of the

growth momentum witnessed in Q2 2009-10 estimates, when the economy recorded a

GDP growth of 7.9 per cent as against 7.5 per cent in the corresponding quarter of

2008-09. The industrial and the service sectors are growing at 8.2 and 8.7 per cent

respectively, as per the advance estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) for 2009-

10, released by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO).

The Economic Survey estimates:

• Growth rate of GDP at factor cost expected to be 7.2 per cent.

• Growth in the manufacturing sector has more than doubled from 3.2 per cent

in 2008-09 to 8.9 per cent in 2009-10.

• Growth of private investment demand picked up in 2009-10.

• Savings rate as a percentage of GDP in 2008-09 stood at 32.5 per cent.

• Growth rate of capital formation as a percentage of GDP in 2008-09 stood at

34.9 per cent.

• Foreign Exchange Reserves in 2009-10 as of December 31, 2009 stood at US$

283.5 billion.

• Financing, insurance, real estate and business services have retained their

growth momentum at around 10 per cent in 2009-10.

The main highlights of the survey are:

• The recovery in GDP growth for 2009-10, as indicated in the advance

estimates, is broad based. Seven out of eight sectors/sub-sectors show a

growth rate of 6.5 per cent or higher. Sectors including mining and quarrying;

manufacturing; and electricity, gas and water supply have significantly

improved their growth rates at over 8 per cent in comparison with 2008-09.

The construction sector and trade, hotels, transport and communication have

also improved their growth rates over the preceding year.

• Strong growth in automobiles, rubber and plastic products, wool and silk

textiles, wood products, chemicals and miscellaneous manufacturing; modest

growth in nonmetallic mineral products.

• The opening of the telecom sector led to rapid growth in subscriber base.

From only 54.6 million telephone subscribers in 2003, the number increased

to 429.7 million at the end of March 2009 and further to 562 million as of

October 31, 2009 showing an addition of 96 million subscribers during the

period from March to December 2009.

• There has been improvement in the balance of payments (BoP) situation

during H1 of 2009-10 over H1 of 2008-09, reflected in higher net capital

inflows and lower trade deficit.

• Net capital flows to India at US$ 29.6 billion in April-September 2009

remained higher as compared to US$ 12 billion in April-September 2008.

• During fiscal 2009-10, foreign exchange reserves increased by US$ 31.5

billion from US$ 252 billion in end March 2009 to US$ 283.5 billion in end

December 2009.

• Growth rate of gross fixed capital formation in 2009-10 has recovered, as per

the revised National Accounts Statistics (NAS).

• Turnaround in merchandise export growth witnessed in November 2009,

which has been sustained in December 2009.

ANALYSIS OF BANKING SECTOR

The rise of retail lending in emerging economies like India has been of recent origin.

Asia Pacific’s vast population, combined with high savings rates, explosive economic

growth, and underdeveloped retail banking services, provide the most significant

growth opportunities for banks. Banks will have to serve the retail banking segment

effectively in order to utilize the growth opportunity.

Banking strategies are presently undergoing various transformations, as the overall

scenario has changed over the last couple of years. Till the recent past, most of the

banks had adopted fierce cost cutting measures to sustain their competitiveness. This

strategy however has become obsolete in the new light of immense growth

opportunities for banking industry. Most bankers are now confident about their high

performance in terms of organic growth and in realising high returns. Nowadays, the

growth strategies of banks revolve around customer satisfaction. Improved customer

relationship management can only lead to fulfilment of long-term, as well as, short-

term objectives of the bankers. This requires, efficient and accurate customer

database management and development of well-trained sales force to develop and

sustain long-term profitable customer relationship.

The banking system in India is significantly different from that of the other Asian

nations, because of the country’s unique geographic, social, and economic

characteristics. Though the sector opened up quite late in India compared to other

developed nations, like the US and the UK, the profitability of Indian banking sector

is at par with that of the developed countries and at times even better on some

parameters. For instance, return on equity and assets of the Indian banks are on par

with Asian banks, and higher when compared to that of the US and the UK.

Banks in India are mainly classified into Scheduled Banks and Non-Scheduled Banks.

Scheduled Banks are the ones, which are included in the second schedule of the RBI

Act 1934 and they comply with the minimum statutory requirements. Non-Scheduled

Banks are joint stock banks, which are not included in the second Schedule of the

RBI Act 134, on account of the failure to comply with the minimum requirements for

being scheduled.

STRENGTHS • Indian banks have compared favourably on growth, asset quality and

profitability with other regional banks over the last few years. The banking

index has grown at a compounded annual rate of over 51 per cent since April

2001 as compared to a 27 per cent growth in the market index for the same

period.

• Policy makers have made some notable changes in policy and regulation to

help strengthen the sector. These changes include strengthening prudential

norms, enhancing the payments system and integrating regulations between

commercial and co-operative banks.

• Bank lending has been a significant driver of GDP growth and employment.

• Extensive reach: the vast networking & growing number of branches &

ATMs. Indian banking system has reached even to the remote corners of the

country.

• The government's regular policy for Indian bank since 1969 has paid rich

dividends with the nationalisation of 14 major private banks of India.

• In terms of quality of assets and capital adequacy, Indian banks are considered

to have clean, strong and transparent balance sheets relative to other banks in

comparable economies in its region.

• India has 88 scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) - 27 public sector banks

(that is with the Government of India holding a stake)after merger of New

Bank of India in Punjab National Bank in 1993, 29 private banks (these do not

have government stake; they may be publicly listed and traded on stock

exchanges) and 31 foreign banks. They have a combined network of over

53,000 branches and 17,000 ATMs. According to a report by ICRA Limited, a

rating agency, the public sector banks hold over 75 percent of total assets of

the banking industry, with the private and foreign banks holding 18.2% and

6.5% respectively.

• Foreign banks will have the opportunity to own up to 74 per cent of Indian

private sector banks and 20 per cent of government owned banks.

WEAKNESSES

• PSBs need to fundamentally strengthen institutional skill levels especially in

sales and marketing, service operations, risk management and the overall

organisational performance ethic & strengthen human capital.

• Old private sector banks also have the need to fundamentally strengthen skill

levels.

• The cost of intermediation remains high and bank penetration is limited to

only a few customer segments and geographies.

• Structural weaknesses such as a fragmented industry structure, restrictions on

capital availability and deployment, lack of institutional support infrastructure,

restrictive labour laws, weak corporate governance and ineffective regulations

beyond Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs), unless industry utilities and

service bureaus.

• Refusal to dilute stake in PSU banks: The government has refused to dilute its

stake in PSU banks below 51% thus choking the headroom available to these

banks for raining equity capital.

• Impediments in sectoral reforms: Opposition from Left and resultant

cautious approach from the North Block in terms of approving merger of PSU

banks may hamper their growth prospects in the medium term.

OPPORTUNITY

• The market is seeing discontinuous growth driven by new products and

services that include opportunities in credit cards, consumer finance and

wealth management on the retail side, and in fee-based income and investment

banking on the wholesale banking side. These require new skills in sales &

marketing, credit and operations.

• \banks will no longer enjoy windfall treasury gains that the decade-long

secular decline in interest rates provided. This will expose the weaker banks.

• With increased interest in India, competition from foreign banks will only

intensify.

• Given the demographic shifts resulting from changes in age profile and

household income, consumers will increasingly demand enhanced institutional

capabilities and service levels from banks.

• New private banks could reach the next level of their growth in the Indian

banking sector by continuing to innovate and develop differentiated business

models to profitably serve segments like the rural/low income and

affluent/HNI segments; actively adopting acquisitions as a means to grow and

reaching the next level of performance in their service platforms. Attracting,

developing and retaining more leadership capacity

• Foreign banks committed to making a play in India will need to adopt

alternative approaches to win the “race for the customer” and build a value-

creating customer franchise in advance of regulations potentially opening up

post 2009. At the same time, they should stay in the game for potential

acquisition opportunities as and when they appear in the near term.

Maintaining a fundamentally long-term value-creation mindset.

• reach in rural India for the private sector and foreign banks.

• With the growth in the Indian economy expected to be strong for quite some

time-especially in its services sector-the demand for banking services,

especially retail banking, mortgages and investment services are expected to

be strong.

• the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has approved a proposal from the

government to amend the Banking Regulation Act to permit banks to trade in

commodities and commodity derivatives.

• Liberalisation of ECB norms: The government also liberalised the ECB

norms to permit financial sector entities engaged in infrastructure funding to

raise ECBs. This enabled banks and financial institutions, which were earlier

not permitted to raise such funds, explore this route for raising cheaper funds

in the overseas markets.

• Hybrid capital: In an attempt to relieve banks of their capital crunch, the RBI

has allowed them to raise perpetual bonds and other hybrid capital securities

to shore up their capital. If the new instruments find takers, it would help PSU

banks, left with little headroom for raising equity. Significantly, FII and NRI

investment limits in these securities have been fixed at 49%, compared to 20%

foreign equity holding allowed in PSU banks.

THREATS

• Threat of stability of the system: failure of some weak banks has often

threatened the stability of the system.

• Rise in inflation figures which would lead to increase in interest rates.

• Increase in the number of foreign players would pose a threat to the PSB as

well as the private players.

ROAD AHEAD

• Liquidity significantly tightened during the quarter with banks’ daily average

borrowing from RBI under LAF increasing to Rs1.2tn in December as

compared to Rs250bn in September. The short-term rates (call rates and

3m/6m CPs) spiked by +200bps between September-December 2010.

• In its second quarter monetary policy review in November, RBI raised key

policy rates by 25bps to anchor inflationary expectations while in the latest

mid-quarter review in December, the central bank kept rates unchanged and

focused more on increasing liquidity in the system.

• System credit growth has improved significantly on revival in private

investments - Qoq loan growth in Q3 at 6.4% v/s 3.4 in Q2. Yoy credit growth

momentum has increased to 23.7% and Ytd credit expansion stands at 12.3%.

To achieve RBI’s full-year credit growth target of 20% yoy, the system

requires Rs2.5tn credit expansion in Q4 (6.8% qoq growth). We expect FY11

credit growth target to be achieved driven by further acceleration in corporate

credit demand and banks rushing to meet their PSL target (a seasonal

tailwind).

• On the flipside, deposits have been growing at muted pace. In Q3, it grew by

just 2% qoq. Both, yoy growth momentum and YTD accretion in deposits

have been significantly behind advances at 14.7% and 7% respectively. To

achieve RBI’s full-year deposit growth target of 18% yoy, the system requires

Rs5tn mobilization in Q4 (10.3% qoq growth). Though banks are raising

deposit rates quickly to capitalize on the improving credit demand, we think

annual deposit growth would be lower at near 15%. Due to high inflation,

retail customers have been preferring higher return yielding assets over

deposits.

• We expect 4-7% qoq loan growth for the banks under our coverage. In-line

with the system, deposit growth could be lower than advances thereby

improving the C/D ratio on sequential basis. In Q4, the C/D ratio is likely to

come-off though.

• With more frequent and significant deposit rate hikes than lending rate hikes

during the past five months, we expect NIMs (currently at multi-quarter high

for many banks) to contract by 10-30bps qoq in Q3. A probable decline in

CASA due to substantial increase in term deposit rates (as witnessed during

Q2 FY09-Q1 FY10) would also increase cost of deposits on sequential basis.

We expect NII growth to be in the range of 25-30% yoy.

• The 25-30bps increase in the G-Sec yields could mean sequentially lower

treasury income. However, the growth in the core fee income is likely to be

strong driven by robust loan growth. The C/I ratio could deteriorate qoq on

account of continued investments in network expansion and flattish NII

growth.

• Asset quality of PSU banks may further show some strain while that of private

banks would remain stable. Loan-loss provisioning by SBI and PNB is

expected to be significantly higher thereby depressing profit growth.

3. COMPANY ANALYSIS

The company analysis shows the long-term strenght of the company that what is the

financial position of the company in the market, where it stands among its

competitors and who are the key drivers of the company, what are the future plans of

the company, what are the policies of government towards the company and how the

stake of the company divested among different groups of people.

Here, I have taken three banks namely ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Axis Bank for

the Fundamental Analysis:

ICICI BANK

ICICI Bank Limited provides banking products and financial services in the areas of

investment banking, life and non-life insurance, venture capital, and asset

management to corporate and retail customers. It offers savings accounts, fixed

deposits, recurring deposits, and salary accounts; and consumer and commercial

cards. The company also provides home loans, commercial vehicle loans, personal

loans, car loans, and loans against securities. In addition, it offers tax saving bonds,

government of India bonds, mutual funds, initial public offers, foreign exchange

services, and senior citizens savings schemes; and health, overseas travel, student

medical, motor, and home, insurance products, as well as invests in gold.

Further, it provides cash management services and global trade services; mergers and

acquisitions advisory services and private equity syndication services; financial

institution, capital market, and custodial services; and structured and project finance

products. Additionally, the company offers business advantage loans, vendor/dealer

finance, and industry specific loans; transaction banking and CMS services; trade

services; and private equity placement services.

It also provides NRI banking, international banking, rural and agri banking, Internet

banking, mobile banking, and phone banking services, as well as dematerialization

services. ICICI Bank Limited was founded in 1955 and is based in Mumbai, India.

HDFC BANK

HDFC Bank Limited provides commercial banking products and services in India. It

operates in three segments: Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Treasury. The

Retail Banking segment offers various deposit products, including savings accounts,

current accounts, fixed deposits, recurring deposits, and demat accounts. It also

provides auto, personal, commercial vehicle, home, gold, and educational loans; loans

against gold, securities, property, and rental receivables; and health care finance,

retail agri and tractor loans, working capital finance, construction equipment finance,

and warehouse receipt loans, as well as credit cards, debit cards, depository,

investment advisory, bill payments, and transactional services; and distributes life,

health, and general insurance, and mutual fund products.

In addition, this segment offers wealth advisory, tax planning, bonds, forex and trade

services, and private banking services. The Wholesale Banking segment provides

loans, non-fund facilities, and transaction services to large corporate, emerging

corporate, small and medium enterprise, public sector units, government bodies,

financial institutions, and medium scale enterprises. It offers commercial and

transactional banking services, including working capital finance, trade services,

transactional services, cash management, and structured solutions to corporate

customers, mutual funds, stock exchange members, and banks. The Treasury segment

offers products in the areas of foreign exchange and derivatives, money market and

debt securities, and equities.

The company also offers NRI banking services. The company was founded in 1994

and is based in Mumbai, India.

AXIS BANK

Axis Bank Limited provides corporate, retail, and business banking products and

services in India. The company’s deposit products include demand, savings bank,

current account, and term deposits. The company also provides home loans, car loans,

personal loans, loan against shares and security, loan against property, education and

consumer loans, structured finance and microfinance products, short-term loans, loans

for small and medium enterprises, agriculture loans, as well as credit and debit cards,

and insurance services.

In addition, it engages in investing in sovereign and corporate debt, equity, and

mutual funds; trading operations; derivative trading and foreign exchange operations;

and central funding operations. Further, the company offers corporate advisory,

placements and syndication, public issue management, project appraisal, capital

market related, card, Internet banking, ATM, depository, financial advisory, NRI,

international banking, cash management, and other services, as well as liability

products and government services.

Further, the company provides mergers and acquisitions, private equity syndication,

and transaction and merchant banking services, as well as involves in equity capital

markets business. It also has branches in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Dubai. The

company was formerly known as UTI Bank Limited and changed its name to Axis

Bank Limited in July 2007. Axis Bank Limited was founded in 1993 and is based in

Mumbai, India.

ICICI Bank – Comparative Balance Sheets (Rs. in Crores) Particulars Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-10 SOURCES OF FUNDS Capital 1,151.82 1,114.89 1,113.29 1,462.68 1,249.34

Reserves Total 54,150.38 50,181.61 45,664.24 43,609.55 23,058.32

Minority Interest 1,358.22 1,270.40 910.51 731.19 509.57 Deposits 259,106.00 241,572.30 261,855.75 276,983.23 248,613.63

Borrowings 125,838.86 115,698.32 116,066.35 84,566.05 61,659.54

Other Liabilities & Provisions 92,618.27 79,989.68 57,641.23 78,895.39 59,894.44

TOTAL LIABILITIES 534,223.55 489,827.20 483,251.37 486,248.09 394,984.84

APPLICATION OF FUNDS :

Cash & Balances with RBI 21,234.00 27,850.28 17,875.44 29,800.75 19,241.04

Balances with Banks & money at Call 18,151.26 19,293.84 17,185.94 15,527.93 20,448.09

Investments 209,652.78 186,319.78 148,107.00 160,046.76 120,616.69

Advances 256,019.31 225,778.13 266,130.47 251,401.67 211,399.44 Fixed Assets 5,489.55 3,862.29 4,497.46 4,678.35 4,402.55

Other Assets 23,676.94 26,722.88 29,455.06 24,792.63 18,877.03

Miscellaneous Expenditure not written off

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TOTAL ASSETS 534,223.84 489,827.20 483,251.37 486,248.09 394,984.84

Contingent Liability 1,022,599.66 820,519.93 867,788.40 1,310,328.54 673,611.69

Bills for collection 8,530.40 6,718.86 6,002.66 4,290.81 4,055.39

ICICI Bank – Comparative Profit & Loss Accounts

(Rs. in Crores)

Particulars Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-10

INCOME :

Interest Earned 30,081.40 30,153.71 36,250.71 34,094.96 24,002.55

Other Income 31,513.30 29,446.06 28,375.94 26,436.88 17,540.24

Total 61,594.70 59,599.77 64,626.65 60,531.84 41,542.79

Total 55,276.51 54,756.36 61,247.23 57,416.58 38,909.39

II. Expenditure

Interest expended 19,342.57 20,729.19 26,487.25 25,766.98 17,675.72

Payments to/Provisions for Employees 4,392.60 3,678.43 3,904.30 3,969.80 2,636.50

Operating Expenses & Administrative Expenses

2,777.37 2,991.89 3,128.16 3,271.68 2,414.01

Depreciation 739.68 762.87 806.69 679.42 615.50

Other Expenses, Provisions & Contingencies

25,955.80 24,861.80 25,334.91 22,622.02 14,806.59

Provision for Tax 1,624.33 1,497.20 2,138.85 1,962.82 1,201.34

Fringe Benefit Tax 0.00 0.00 65.92 78.00 58.72

Deferred Tax 444.16 234.98 -618.85 -934.14 -498.99

Total 61,594.70 59,599.77 64,626.65 60,531.84 41,542.79

Total 55,276.51 54,756.36 61,247.23 57,416.58 38,909.39

III. Profit & Loss

Net Profit before Minority Interest 6,318.19 4,843.41 3,379.42 3,115.26 2,633.40

Minority Interest 224.92 173.12 -197.53 -282.97 -127.23

Net Profit after Minority Interest 6,093.27 4,670.29 3,576.95 3,398.23 2,760.63

Extraordinary Items 21.01 57.58 0.83 32.82 22.69

Adjusted Net Profit 6,072.26 4,612.71 3,576.12 3,365.41 2,737.94

Profit brought forward 1,688.64 537.17 549.68 -7.37 -243.56

IV. Appropriations

Transfer to Statutory Reserve 1,288.00 1,007.00 940.00 1,040.00 780.00

Transfer to Other Reserves 607.23 945.40 1,215.93 365.68 648.17

Trans. to Government /Proposed Dividend

1,878.92 1,566.42 1,433.53 1,435.50 1,096.27

Balance carried forward to Balance Sheet

4,007.76 1,688.64 537.17 549.68 -7.37

Equity Dividend (%) 140.00 120.00 110.00 110.00 101.00

EPS before Minority Interest 52.56 41.39 28.48 26.14 27.19

EPS after Minority Interest 52.56 41.39 28.48 26.14 27.19

Book Value (Unit Curr.) 480.13 460.10 420.17 401.93 266.39

HDFC Bank – Comparative Balance Sheets

(Rs. in Crores) Particulars Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-10 SOURCES OF FUNDS : Capital 465.23 457.74 425.38 354.43 319.39 Reserves Total 25,117.91 21,158.15 14,262.74 11,180.72 6,150.98 Minority Interest 121.66 75.89 43.35 36.92 28.61 Deposits 208,287.21 167,297.78 142,644.80 100,631.38 68,264.27 Borrowings 14,650.44 13,171.80 9,253.64 4,594.92 2,815.39 Other Liabilities & Provisions 29,393.44 20,881.46 16,455.40 16,470.97 13,815.91 TOTAL LIABILITIES 278,035.89 223,042.82 183,085.31 133,269.34 91,394.55 APPLICATION OF FUNDS : Cash & Balances with RBI 25,100.89 15,483.31 13,527.21 12,553.18 5,075.25

Balances with Banks & money at Call 4,737.39 14,594.88 4,009.94 2,274.80 3,998.18

Investments 70,276.67 58,508.28 58,715.15 49,288.01 30,567.04 Advances 160,831.41 126,162.73 99,027.37 63,426.90 46,944.78 Fixed Assets 2,200.94 2,149.06 1,732.28 1,196.24 987.53 Other Assets 14,891.50 6,147.47 6,479.77 4,530.21 3,821.77

Miscellaneous Expenditure not written off 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TOTAL ASSETS 278,038.80 223,045.73 183,491.72 133,269.34 91,394.55 Contingent Liability 575,159.47 479,125.00 406,027.36 593,112.33 328,196.07 Bills for collection 13,428.49 8,124.86 8,552.24 6,920.71 4,606.83

HDFC Bank – Comparative Profit & Loss Accounts

(Rs. in Crores)

Particulars Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-10

INCOME :

Interest Earned 19,928.21 16,172.72 16,332.26 10,115.00 6,647.93

Other Income 4,335.15 3,983.11 3,470.64 2,283.15 1,594.59

Total I 24,263.36 20,155.83 19,802.90 12,398.15 8,242.52

II. Expenditure

Interest expended 9,385.08 7,786.30 8,911.10 4,887.11 3,179.45

Payments to/Provisions for Employees 2,836.04 2,289.18 2,238.20 1,301.35 776.86

Operating Expenses & Administrative Expenses

2,048.46 1,783.23 1,580.24 1,135.40 856.26

Depreciation 497.40 394.39 359.91 271.71 219.60

Other Expenses, Provisions & Contingencies 3,677.72 3,613.59 3,414.20 2,521.93 1,571.60

Provision for Tax 2,237.46 1,365.67 1,054.31 866.25 581.88

Fringe Benefit tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.78 12.00

Deferred Tax -345.20 -25.23 0.00 -192.58 -96.58

Total II 20,336.96 17,207.13 17,557.96 10,807.95 7,101.07

III. Profit & Loss

Reported Net Profit 3,926.40 2,948.70 2,244.94 1,590.20 1,141.45

Extraordinary Items -0.50 2.74 2.85 0.43 -0.68

Adjusted Net Profit 3,926.90 2,945.96 2,242.09 1,589.77 1,142.13

Prior Year Adjustments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Profit brought forward 4,532.79 3,455.57 2,574.63 1,932.03 1,455.02

IV. Appropriations

Transfer to Statutory Reserve 981.60 737.18 561.23 397.55 285.36

Transfer to Other Reserves 408.55 492.84 304.51 197.52 117.16

Trans. to Government /Proposed Dividend 894.80 641.46 498.26 352.53 261.92

Balance carried forward to Balance Sheet 6,174.24 4,532.79 3,455.57 2,574.63 1,932.03

Equity Dividend % 165.00 120.00 100.00 85.00 70.00

Earnings Per Share-Unit Curr 81.72 62.43 51.08 43.42 34.55

Earnings Per Share(Adj)-Unit Curr 81.72 62.43 51.08 43.42 34.55

Book Value-Unit Curr 545.46 470.13 344.31 324.39 201.42

AXIS Bank – Comparative Balance Sheets

(Rs. in Crores) Particulars Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-10 SOURCES OF FUNDS : Capital 410.55 405.17 359.01 357.71 281.63 Reserves Total 18,484.06 15,583.93 9,836.70 8,394.13 3,106.82 Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Deposits 189,166.43 141,278.66 117,357.66 87,619.34 58,785.02 Borrowings 26,267.88 17,169.55 15,519.87 5,624.04 5,195.60 Other Liabilities & Provisions 8,270.39 6,181.98 4,660.74 7,618.98 5,939.41 TOTAL LIABILITIES 242,599.31 180,619.29 147,733.98 109,614.20 73,308.48 APPLICATION OF FUNDS : Cash & Balances with RBI 13,886.16 9,482.05 9,419.21 7,305.66 4,661.03 Balances with Banks & money at Call 7,522.49 5,723.84 5,600.19 5,199.86 2,257.27 Investments 71,787.55 55,876.54 46,271.75 33,865.10 26,887.16 Advances 142,407.83 104,340.95 81,556.77 59,475.99 36,876.46 Fixed Assets 2,292.92 1,235.99 1,082.39 932.47 677.84 Other Assets 4,702.36 3,959.92 3,803.67 2,835.12 1,948.72 Miscellaneous Expenditure not written off 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 TOTAL ASSETS 242,599.31 180,619.29 147,733.98 109,614.20 73,308.48 Contingent Liability 453,998.76 318,281.38 209,259.83 258,895.66 184,165.35 Bills for collection 32,473.11 19,292.87 13,957.31 8,323.39 6,274.63

AXIS Bank – – Comparative Profit & Loss Accounts

(Rs. in Crores) Particulars Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12 Mar-11 Mar-10

INCOME :

Interest Earned 15,154.86 11,639.05 10,829.11 7,005.08 4,461.65

Other Income 4,671.45 3,964.21 2,996.74 1,811.21 1,012.82

Total 19,826.31 15,603.26 13,825.85 8,816.29 5,474.47

Total 16,481.63 13,125.12 12,012.92 7,757.15 4,820.22

II. Expenditure

Interest expended 8,588.61 6,632.63 7,148.92 4,419.84 2,993.18

Payments to/Provisions for Employees 1,745.80 1,359.79 1,067.76 752.10 391.18

Operating Expenses & Administrative Expenses 1,674.58 1,276.76 1,002.47 766.12 488.58

Depreciation 293.69 237.87 190.22 159.30 112.01

Other Expenses, Provisions & Contingencies 2,426.43 2,277.16 1,633.84 1,084.12 498.11

Provision for Tax 1,958.34 1,495.27 1,096.01 725.59 412.60

Fringe Benefit Tax -0.34 0.00 11.68 9.33 6.05

Deferred Tax -205.48 -154.36 -137.98 -159.25 -81.49

Total 19,826.31 15,603.26 13,825.85 8,816.29 5,474.47

Total 16,481.63 13,125.12 12,012.92 7,757.15 4,820.22

III. Profit & Loss

Net Profit before Minority Interest 3,344.68 2,478.14 1,812.93 1,059.14 654.25

Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Net Profit after Minority Interest 3,339.91 2,478.14 1,812.93 1,059.14 654.25

Extraordinary Items -4.40 -2.73 -4.97 -8.44 -1.70

Adjusted Net Profit 3,344.31 2,480.87 1,817.90 1,067.58 655.95

Prior Year Adjustments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -31.81

Profit brought forward 3,371.63 2,328.95 1,537.20 1,024.29 731.04

IV. Appropriations

Transfer to Statutory Reserve 847.12 628.63 453.84 267.75 164.76

Transfer to Other Reserves 329.49 239.38 146.82 26.84 15.64

Trans. to Government /Proposed Dividend 670.48 567.45 420.52 251.64 148.79

Balance carried forward to Balance Sheet 4,864.45 3,371.63 2,328.95 1,537.20 1,024.29

Equity Dividend (%) 140.00 120.00 100.00 60.00 45.00

EPS before Minority Interest (Unit Curr.) 79.14 59.16 48.78 28.57 22.45

EPS after Minority Interest (Unit Curr.) 79.14 59.16 48.78 28.57 22.45

Book Value (Unit Curr.) 460.23 394.63 284.00 244.66 120.32

COMPARITIVE ANALYSIS OF ICICI, HDFC AND AXIS BANKS

TOTAL INCOME

Total Income In Rs Crores 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 ICICI Bank 55,276.51 54,756.36 61,247.23 57,416.58 38,909.39 HDFC Bank 24,263.36 20,155.83 19,802.90 12,398.15 8,242.52

AXIS Bank 16,481.63 13,125.12 12,012.92 7,757.15 4,820.22

Interpretations

ICICI Bank has shown a marginal increase in the total income, while HDFC and Axis

Banks have maintained a good growth in their total income in 2011 compared to

2010. The total income of ICICI Bank has remained stable in the last three years

while HDFC and AXIS banks are improving their positions quite rapidly.

Total Income

0.00 10,000.00 20,000.00 30,000.00 40,000.00 50,000.00 60,000.00 70,000.00

2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Year

Income ICICI Bank HDFC Bank AXIS Bank

NET PROFIT

Net Profit for the Year In Rs Crores

2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 ICICI Bank 6,072.26 4,612.71 3,576.12 3,365.41 2,737.94 HDFC Bank 3,926.90 2,945.96 2,242.09 1,589.77 1,142.13

AXIS Bank 3,344.31 2,480.87 1,817.90 1,067.58 655.95

Interpretations

All the banks showed a positive trend in net profits over the last few years. Although

the net profits of all the banks have increased sharply in 2011, AXIS Bank stands on

the top increasing its net profit by nearly 35%. Therefore AXIS Bank would be the

best option for an investor to expect good growth.

Net Profit

0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 7,000.00

2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Year

Net Profit ICICI Bank HDFC Bank AXIS Bank

EARNINGS PER SHARE

EPS In Rs 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 ICICI Bank 43.0 34.6 32.4 36.0 32.9

HDFC Bank 81.7 62.4 51.1 43.4 34.6

AXIS Bank 80.2 60.1 48.9 28.9 22.6

Interpretations

EPS measures the profit available to the equity shareholders per share, that is, the

amount that they can get on every share held. Although, all the three banks have

declared an increase in their Earnings Per Share, HDFC Bank stood on top of the

three players with AXIS Bank following closely. HDFC and AXIS Banks have good

potential and shareholders can expect better returns in the future.

Earnings per Share

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Year

EPS (in Rs) ICICI Bank HDFC Bank AXIS Bank

P/E Ratio

P/E Ratio In Rs 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 ICICI Bank 25.9 27.5 10.3 21.4 26.0 HDFC Bank 28.7 31.0 19.0 30.4 27.5

AXIS Bank 17.5 19.5 8.5 27.0 21.7

Interpretations

The P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of a stock (also called its "P/E", or simply

"multiple") is a measure of the price paid for a share relative to the annual net income

or profit earned by the firm per share. a higher P/E ratio means that investors are

paying more for each unit of net income, so the stock is more expensive compared to

one with a lower P/E ratio. HDFC Bank has the highest P/E ratio of 28.7 times while

AXIS Bank has the lowest P/E ratio of 17.5 times.

P/E Ratio

0 5

10 15 20 25 30 35

2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Year

P/E Ratio ICICI Bank HDFC Bank AXIS Bank

PRICE/BOOK VALUE

Book Value In Rs Per Share 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 ICICI Bank 2.3 2.1 0.8 1.8 3.2 HDFC Bank 4.3 4.1 2.8 4.1 4.7 AXIS Bank 3.0 3.0 1.5 3.2 4.1

Interpretations

Book value is the company's common stock equity as it appears on a balance sheet,

equal to total assets minus liabilities, preferred stock, and intangible assets such as

goodwill. This is how much the company would have left over in assets if it went out

of business immediately. HDFC is valued at 4.3 times its Book Value while ICICI

Bank is valued at only 2.3 times its Book Value.

Price/Book Value Ratio

0

1

2

3

4

5

2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Year

PBV ICICI Bank HDFC Bank AXIS Bank

RETURN ON NET WORTH

Return on Net Worth % Years 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 ICICI Bank 9.7 8.0 7.8 11.8 13.4 HDFC Bank 16.7 16.1 16.9 17.7 19.5 AXIS Bank 19.3 19.2 19.1 17.6 21.0

Interpretations

Return on Net Worth is one of the most important ratios used for measuring the

overall efficiency of a firm and determines whether the investments in the firms are

attractive or not. According the graph, Return on Net worth of ICICI has registered a

marginal growth, while HDFC and AXIS Banks have maintained a stable ROI. As the

investors would like to invest only where the return is higher, AXIS Bank would be

again attractive for investment as it still has the highest Return on Net worth.

Return on Net Worth

0

5

10

15

20

25

2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Year

RONW (%) ICICI Bank HDFC Bank AXIS Bank

CHAPTER VI

FINDINGS, SUGGESTIONS & CONCLUSION

FINDINGS

From the data analysis and interpretations of the ratios of three banks’ viz. ICICI

Bank, HDFC and AXIS Banks, the following findings have been given:

• The three banks have been performing well in the wake of growing Indian

economy. ICICI Bank appears to have reached its saturation point as it is

maintaining stable ratios in the last five years. AXIS bank has been showing

good growth in all the aspects over the last few years.

• ICICI Bank has shown a marginal increase in the total income, while HDFC

and Axis Banks have maintained a good growth in their total income in 2014

compared to 2013. The total income of ICICI Bank has remained stable in the

last three years while HDFC and AXIS banks are improving their positions

quite rapidly.

• All the banks showed a positive trend in net profits over the last few years.

Although the net profits of all the banks have increased sharply in 2014, AXIS

Bank stands on the top increasing its net profit by nearly 35%. Therefore

AXIS Bank would be the best option for an investor to expect good growth.

• Although, all the three banks have declared an increase in their Earnings Per

Share, HDFC Bank stood on top of the three players with AXIS Bank

following closely. HDFC and AXIS Banks have good potential and

shareholders can expect better returns in the future.

• HDFC Bank has the highest P/E ratio of 28.7 times while AXIS Bank has the

lowest P/E ratio of 17.5 times.

• HDFC is valued at 4.3 times its Book Value while ICICI Bank is valued at

only 2.3 times its Book Value.

• Return on Net worth of ICICI has registered a marginal growth, while HDFC

and AXIS Banks have maintained a stable ROI. As the investors would like to

invest only where the return is higher, AXIS Bank would be again attractive

for investment as it still has the highest Return on Net worth.

By analyzing the current trend of Indian Economy and Banking Sector it is found that

being a developing economy there is lot of scope for growth and this sector still has to

cross many levels so there are huge opportunities to invest in.

Increase in income level, increase in consumer demand, technology development,

globalization, foreign investments are few of the opportunities which the sector has to

explore for developing the economy.

SUGGESTIONS

By analyzing the banking sector with the help of fundamental analysis, it has been

revealed that this sector has a lot of potential to grow. So recommending investing in

banking sector with no doubt is going to be a good and smart option because this

industry is booming like never before.

The three giants of Indian Banking Sector viz. ICICI, HDFC and AXIS Banks have

outperformed in the industry.

• ICICI Bank, the largest private sector bank in India seems to have reached its

saturation point after a very good growth over the years.

• HDFC Bank has been performing consistently and stands in between ICICI

and AXIS Banks in terms of increase in its growth.

• AXIS Bank seems to be the best bet for the investors from Fundamental

Analysis as it has registered very good growth in the recent years. All its

ratios have out performed over ICICI and HDFC Banks.

Few Suggestions for “Right Stock Selection”

There are three factors which an investor must consider for selecting the right stocks.

• Business: An investor must look into what kind of business the company is

doing, visibility of the business, its past track record, capital needs of the

company for expansion etc.

• Balance Sheet: The investor must focus on its key financial ratios such as

earnings per share, price-earning ratio; debt-equity ratio, dividends per share

etc and he must also check whether the company is generating cash flows.

• Bargaining: This is the most important factor which shows the true worth of

the company. An investor needs to choose valuation parameters which suit its

business.

Investment rules

• Invest for long term in equity markets

• Align your thought process with the business cycle of the company.

• Set the purpose for investment.

• Long term goals should be the objective of equity investment.

• Disciplined investment during market volatility helps attains profits.

• Planning, Knowledge and Discipline are very crucial for investment.

CONCLUSION

Indian banks have fared well on growth, asset quality and profitability with other

regional banks over the last few years. The banking index has grown at a

compounded annual rate of over 51 per cent since April 2001 as compared to a 27 per

cent growth in the market index for the same period. Policy makers have made some

notable changes in policy and regulation to help strengthen the sector. These changes

include strengthening prudential norms, enhancing the payments system and

integrating regulations between commercial and co-operative banks.

However, the cost of intermediation remains high and bank penetration is limited to

only a few customer segments and geographies. While bank lending has been a

significant driver of GDP growth and employment, periodic instances of the “failure”

of some weak banks have often threatened the stability of the system.

Structural weaknesses such as a fragmented industry structure, restrictions on capital

availability and deployment, lack of institutional support infrastructure, restrictive

labour laws, weak corporate governance and ineffective regulations beyond

Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs), unless addressed, could seriously weaken the

health of the sector.

Further, the inability of bank managements (with some notable exceptions) to

improve capital allocation, increase the productivity of their service platforms and

improve the performance ethic in their organisations could seriously affect future

performance.

The bar for what it means to be a successful player in the sector has been raised. Four

challenges must be addressed before success can be achieved. First, the market is

seeing discontinuous growth driven by new products and services that include

opportunities in credit cards, consumer finance and wealth management on the retail

side, and in fee-based income and investment banking on the wholesale banking side.

These require new skills in sales & marketing, credit and operations. Second, banks

will no longer enjoy windfall treasury gains that the decade-long secular decline in

interest rates provided. This will expose the weaker banks. Third, with increased

interest in India, competition from foreign banks will only intensify. Fourth, given the

demographic shifts resulting from changes in age profile and household income,

consumers will increasingly demand enhanced institutional capabilities and service

levels from banks.

The analysis gives an optimistic view about the industry and its growth which

recommends the investors to keep a good watch on the major players to benefit in

terms of returns on their investments.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Text Books

♦ Security Analysis and Portfolio Management by Punithavathy Pandian, Vikas

Publications.

♦ Security analysis and portfolio management by V.A. Avadhani

♦ Financial Markets and Services by Gordon and Natarajan, Himalaya

Publications.

♦ Financial Management by Shashi K Gupta and R. K Sharma, Kalyani

Publications.

Newspapers

♦ Economic times

♦ Business line

Websites

♦ www.nseindia.com

♦ www.bseindia.com ♦ www.investopedia.com ♦ www.moneycontrol.com ♦ www.angelbroking.com ♦ www.sebi.gov.in