Debs 2013 tutorial : Why is event-driven thinking different from traditional thinking

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Why is event-driven thinking different from traditional thinking about computing? Presenters: Opher Etzion and Jeffrey Adkins

Transcript of Debs 2013 tutorial : Why is event-driven thinking different from traditional thinking

Page 1: Debs 2013 tutorial : Why is event-driven thinking different from traditional thinking

Why is event-driven thinking different from traditional thinking

about computing?

Presenters: Opher Etzion and Jeffrey Adkins

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A year ago, Roy Schulte from Gartner published a personal blog entitled “does anybody care about event processing”

He admitted that his predictions about the actual size of the event processing market is smaller than predicted

His observation is that 95% of the event processing market is not visible since it is home-built and not labeled as EP

In this tutorial we will discuss what is event driven thinking and how it is possible to help organizations to help themselves in exploiting events

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© 2013, IBM Corporation

Agenda I

Introduction –Brief History of

Event Processing in practice

II

The major differentiation factor of event-based thinking

III

The Ontology of event and event

influence

IV

Anatomy of reactive systems

V

Pragmatics :A business oriented approach

VI

Summary

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Topic I – Introduction & a brief history of event processing in practice

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Event Processing History

First start-ups

Descendents

of academic projects

Apama acquisition

By Progress

Around

2000

2007

TIBCO and

Oracle announce

products

Streambase

Coral8

2005

EPTS

Established

Hitting

the analysts

hype…

2008

IBM

Joins2012

New players:SAS. Yahoo,

Twitter

2013

EP at the heightof BIG DATA hype

Cycle

M&A:TIBCO/Streambase

Software AG/Apama

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Events, as “data in motion” is one of the fundamental ingredients in big data:event -driven analytics

Event -driven services / making events part of SOA

Event-based decision making and event driven Optimization

Event -driven processing as a backboneof next generation systems: event-based robotic, autonomic vehicles, human enhancement technology…

Where are event used today? Virtually everywhere

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Event Processing in 2013

There is now an accelerated development of new event-based systems – many of the current trends in computing are event-driven

Internet of Things

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Relatively new players in event and stream processing

Storm

S4

Google

Intelligent events

IFTTT

ON {X}

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Big Data Hype Cycle 2012 Source: Gartner publication G00235042, July 31, 2012

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Event processingAgain in the hype Cycle – in different context

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I want to know about it

immediately and react in the

best possible way

Detect Derive DoDecide

Awareness ReactionSituation

Event Driven Applications follow the 4D paradigm

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This is how the event-driven application market looks

This is how the current event processing market looks like…

Source:

Event processing Manifesto

manual

Build yourOwn Use COTS

New segments

Source:

Event processing Manifesto

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EPMM – Event Processing Maturity Model

0: unused

2: implicit

3: islands

4: integrated

1: manual

5: strategic

No event

awareness

Subscription to

some events,

manual handling

Events are stored in

databases and are

processed as part of

process oriented

Explicit event processing for some applications as islands;

instrumentation and actions are hard coded and sporadic

Event processing is integrated

with main business processes;

instrumentation and actuators

are well established

Strategic view

of event processing

across the enterprise

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Lack of standards: SOA took off only when WS standards were accepted

Lack of sufficient awareness and good ROI understanding: Need entry points and methodology about benefits to

individuals, enterprises, packaged applications providers.

Luck of understanding of what is event-based thinking and how to translate it to implementation

Lack of skills – current tools requirehighly skilled developers to do tricky programming

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Barriers for Wider Adoption

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Major Gap: Products in this area are geared towards IT Developers

A comprehensive user survey showsthat 84% of the users wish that event rules could be defined by business users

There is a gap

Current models:Implementationoriented

Business analysts orientedModeling

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What makes it difficult to express requirements?

Develop correct application with the right semantics

Observation:A substantial amount of effort is invested today in manyof the tools to workaround the inability of the languageto easily create correct solutions

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Some Correctness Topics

The right interpretation of language constructs

The right order of events

The right classification of events to windows

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A simple scenario to demonstrate complexity –why “native implementation” does not work?

Bid scenario- ground rules:1. All bidders that issued a bid within the validity interval participate in the bid.2. The highest bid wins. In the case of tie between bids, the first accepted bid wins the auction

Race conditions:

Between events;Between events andWindow start/end

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A simple scenario to demonstrate complexity –why “native implementation” does not work?

Bid scenario- ground rules:1. All bidders that issued a bid within the validity interval participate in the bid.2. The highest bid wins. In the case of tie between bids, the first accepted bid wins the auction

===Input Bids===

Bid Start 12:55:00credit bid id=2,occurrence time=12:55:32,price=4cash bid id=29,occurrence time=12:55:33,price=4cash bid id=33,occurrence time=12:55:34,price=3credit bid id=66,occurrence time=12:55:36,price=4credit bid id=56,occurrence time=12:55:59,price=5Bid End 12:56:00

===Winning Bid===cash bid id=29,occurrence time=12:55:33,price=4

Trace:

Race conditions:

Between events;Between events andWindow start/end

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Positively looking: what is the main challenge to resolve in order to accelerate the use of events?

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Advancing the technology is always helpful - it is happening, yet it is not the main challenge.

Organizations are not interested in technology for technology’s sake alone

The next frontier: change the thinking start with the business need and then get to the IT side.

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Summary of topic I:

In the business level – it is not well understood how tothink in events and how to utilize events

In the application level – the life-cycle of event-based systems require skilled IT developers

Next - we explain what is different about event-driven

thinking

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Topic II – the major differentiation of event-based thinking

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Deposit Transfer abroad

A simple example: event-based Anti money Laundering

Based on events:Identify suspicious

Accounts An account is suspicious if any of thefollowing patterns are satisfied:1. Frequent big cash deposit2. Frequent cases of a big cash deposit

followed by transfer abroad3. Lack of account activity4. Increasing amounts of deposits

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Compliance officer

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Characteristics of Event-Driven Scenarios

Events trigger action

Events influence logic for the results

There may be multiple events whose combined content influences the results

Temporal contexts (15 days) influence the results

I want to know about it

immediately and react in the

best possible way

A suspicious account is detected whenever there are at least three big cash deposits followed by transfers abroad in the last 15 days

The next section provides an

introduction to event processing

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Traditional Thinking

Insert the event into a database; use periodic or on-demand queries to process the events

The processing may notbe efficient – many of therequests will not yield results

The processing may notbe effective – the time to react may be missed

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Process Oriented Thinking (EPMM Level 2)

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Difficulties in expressing such scenario in traditional thinking

The event-driven vs. request-driven nature

Effectiveness andEfficiency issues

The temporal oriented behavior

The hidden statehandling

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Efficiency and effectiveness issues

The processing may notbe efficient – many of therequests will not yield results

The processing may notbe effective – the time to react may be missed

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Request driven vs. event driven thinking

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In daily life we often react to events..

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Traditionally programmers are trained to think in a request driven way

Searching the web, database queries, use of web services, use of mobile applications

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What are the differences in thinking?

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Question Response Driven Event Drive

Why is an action being taken? As a response to a specific request

Triggered by the fact of a specific situation

When is an action being taken? When the request is beingprocessed

Determined based on the context of the situation

What happens when the request / event occurs?

A response is always produced

The event can be ignored, increment the state, trigger an internal derive event, or trigger a situation

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Temporal consideration changes everything

The logic is sensitiveto timing of events

A delivery should be confirmed by the deadline

The logic is sensitiveto the order of events

The winner in the bid is the first one who made the highest bid

Determination by timingconsiderations

Driver ranking increase and decrease are determined every 20 assignments

What?Why? When?

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Temporal consideration changes everything

The logic is sensitiveto timing of events

A delivery should be confirmed by the deadline

The logic is sensitiveto the order of events

The winner in the bid is the first one who made the highest bid

Determination by timingconsiderations

Driver ranking increase and decrease are determined every 20 assignments

What?Why? When?

In traditional models temporal functions are hand-coded, adding complexity

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Events during rush hour are of interest, events outside rush hour are not

Events that occur or don’t occur relative to a deadline

Is the reported problem already solved, or is it still open?

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Logic sensitive to the timing of events’ occurrences

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Who arrived first?

Has the bid arrived while the auction was still open?

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Logic sensitive to the order of events’ occurrences

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Determine the status of a patient based on blood pressure measurements:

Every 8 measurements

Every 5 hours

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The nature of situation is determined by timing considerations

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EventPatterns

Pattern “event1 occurs after event2” requires keeping state of all unmatched instances of event1

Handling Hidden State

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Summary of topic II:

In many cases – event driven functionality is expressed using the traditional request-response fashion

Fundamental differences exist between the two paradigms, and benefits exist in using event-driven modeling and implementation for certain applications

Next – drilling down to the essence of event driven

thinking

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Topic III – The ontology of events and event influence

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What is an event – three views

An event is anything that happens, or is contemplated as happening.

The happening view

The state change view

An event is a state of change of anything

The detectable condition view

An event is a detectable condition that can trigger a notification

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Events in Linguistics thinking

“Friends, you and me... you brought another friend... and then there were three...”

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Events that we want to know, can, and should, be first worked through as done as a sentence.

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Events in Linguistics thinking

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Consider the story and write it down. This captures the essence of the event.

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Ancient Criterion of Change

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An Object, x, changes if and only if

i. 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑦, 𝑃,

ii. 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝑎𝑛 𝑜𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡, 𝑥,

iii. 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑡 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠, 𝑡 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑡’ 𝑡 ≠ 𝑡’ , 𝑎𝑛𝑑

iv. that 𝑥 ℎ𝑎𝑠 𝑃 𝑎𝑡 𝑡 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑓𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑠 𝑡𝑜 ℎ𝑎𝑣𝑒 𝑃 𝑎𝑡 𝑡’

(Lombard)

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Quality Space

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Quality Spaces are sets (S) of simple, static properties {P1, P2, … Pn} which meet conditions:

(i) If at any time, t, any object, x, has 𝑃𝑖 ∈ 𝑆 then

(ii) If at any time, t’, x doesn’t have 𝑃𝑖 , 𝑖𝑡 𝑤𝑖𝑙𝑙 ℎ𝑎𝑣𝑒 𝑃𝑗∈ 𝑆 𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖 ≠ 𝑗

We call this a Dimension. An object can have multiple dimensions. Could be represented by an ERD, enumeration

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The Goal

It is the MOVEMENT along this quality space that constitutes an event.

The Goal:

To become aware of these events,

so that we may react to them.

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Awareness Boundary

What knowledge

is accessible

AwarenessBoundary

The Awareness boundary represents the boundary of an ecosystem’s knowledge of events / situations. This is the knowledge that an ecosystem uses to understand situations, decide on a course of action and perform that course of action.

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Awareness Boundary

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur outside of awareness

There are situations that occur outside of an ecosystem’s awareness boundary to which a reaction inside the ecosystem is warranted.

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Awareness Boundary

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur outside of awareness

Sensors

Some situations’ occurrences can be directly detected by sensors or come into an ecosystem through data feeds or some other instrumentation.

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Awareness Boundary

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur outside of awareness

Sensors

System is now aware.

Once detected, a virtual representation of the situation, called an event, exists within the ecosystem. These event can be used as part of the work of the ecosystem.

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Awareness Boundary

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur outside of awareness

Sensors

Because we can’t directly

detect it

we must derive it

Other situations that occur outside our awareness boundary can’t be directly detected, so we have to derive that it occurred.

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Awareness Boundary

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur outside of awareness

Because we can’t directly

detect it

we derive it

These two situations are indicators that the third situation has occurred and since we have knowledge of their occurrence, we can use it to derive the third, non-detectable situation.

IndicatorsIndicators

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Indicated

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Awareness Boundary

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur outside of awareness

Derive Mechanism

Der

iveBecause we

can’t directly detect it

we derive it

Propose calling relationship between real world event and derived awareness of event a

Luckham Relationship

There is a relationship between the real world situation’s occurrence and the virtual representation. We propose calling it “a Luckham relationship”.

IndicatorsIndicators

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Indicated

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Awareness Boundary

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur outside of awareness

Derive Mechanism

Der

ive

There are still other situations that cannot be directly detected nor derived. These situations require a human to observe it and enter it in the system.

IndicatorsIndicators

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Indicated

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Awareness Boundary

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur out side

awareness

Situation occur outside of awareness

Derive Mechanism

Der

ive

This is actually the most common way situations become known. These too should generate an event inside the ecosystem to separate out awareness from reaction.

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Luckham Relationship

These two situations, when occurred together in a pattern, indicated that the situation on top has occurred.

Situation of Concern

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Luckham Relationship

There are different criteria of change that may play a part in this pattern indicating the situation on top occurred.

Situation of Concern

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Luckham Relationship

This pattern also has a probability associated with it which indicates the confidence that the situation on top occurred.

Situation of Concern

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Luckham Relationship Situation of Concern

, ,

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A particular situation may have more than one pattern that indicates to a certain level of confidence that it has occurred.

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Object – Nouns of our story

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Nouns

The things we manipulate, collect, buy, sell, talk with…. It has state and dimensions

It has relations with other THINGS

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All participates in the process.

• Actor (hero) is the one who performs the change

• Helper assists “hero”

• Obstacle inhibits the process.

These can help tell about what is happening.

Actors – The Hero, The Helper, and The Obstacle

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Observer – Reports what is seen

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Observer is not part of the process

There are potentially multiple observers of the same events

Observer might have a subjective inaccurate perspective

Observers may not be familiar with the context

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Processes

Some Noun of

Importance

This noun is something

we care about

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We have some noun / thing that is important to the business and we want to know when it changes.

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Processes

Some Noun of

Importance but different

A process is needed to alter

the noun

The noun is altered

Process

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Some Noun of

Importance

This noun is something

we care about

A process consumes that noun and transforms it into something more useful.

Transforms

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Processes

Some Noun of

Importance but different

A process is needed to alter

the noun

The noun is altered

Process

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Some Noun of

Importance

This noun is something

we care about

When a noun is changed, it gives of indicators that can be sensed.

Transforms

Gives off indicators of the change

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Processes

Some Noun of

Importance but different

A process is needed to alter

the noun

The altered noun.

Process

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Some Noun of

Importance

This noun is something

we care about

An event is created inside the ecosystem that is the logical representation of indicators

Transforms

Gives off indicators of the change Event

“noun has changed”

The event is a logical representation of the

indicators

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Process Ownership

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Nature

•Seemly Random but patterns emerge

• Impact small to momentous/ catastrophic

Regulatory

•Due Process

•Rules by Law & Procedure

• Impact significant

Competitor

•Little visibility until in open market

•Actively hiding info

•Share Market Space

Supply Chain

Partner

•Visibility to a point

•Vested interest in mutual success

•Other Customers

Self

•Own Process

•Easy instrumentation

•Have Understanding

Processes understoodAnd available indicators

Processes hiddenAnd opaque indicators

Process can be owned by one of the five group below. Which have several characteristics. The spectrum of each shows how much of the process and indicators are available or obscured.

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Data POV vs. Process POV

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Nature Regulatory CompetitorSupply Chain

PartnerOwn

Processes UnderstoodAnd Available indicators

Processes hiddenAnd opaque indicates

Instrumentation Sensors, Market Intelligence Collectors, Industry

Process, Object self-publish, transactions, feeds

Tooling Streaming, Big Data, Master data management

Processing / Transaction flow

D

a

t

a

P

O

V

P

r

o

c

e

s

s

P

O

V

When processes and indicators are understood and available, we take a Process POV approach. When they are hidden and opaque, we take a data oriented approach.

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Awareness Engineer

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Nature Regulatory CompetitorSupply Chain

PartnerOwn

Starting Point 1. Identifying situations, streams / datasets available

2. Determine patterns that indicate situation

3. Iterate over intermediate patterns until you get to raw data/events

1. Identifying process triggers in terms of situation

2. Identify significant nouns, its states and properties

3. Map situation to noun-state change4. Instrument in processes code

significant state changes (detect)5. For all situations that does not

directly map, iterate top-down or bottoms-up until you connect (derive)

Data POV Process POV

The Awareness Engineer job is to figure out how we become aware. Below are starting points for the awareness engineer based on the Point of View.

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Awareness of events – what are the main reasons?

Business

IT

Consumers

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Reaction types

Decision first: A decision is needed in order to make reaction; the decision can be simple,or complex (requiring OR methods)

Actuators: Automatic activation of actuator

Notification in various ways:

Activation of process/workflow/task – manual or automatic

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By 2015, 80% of all available data will be uncertain

Glo

bal

Dat

a V

olu

me

in E

xab

yte

s

Multiple sources: IDC,Cisco

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

Agg

rega

te U

nce

rtai

nty

%

9000

8000

7000

6000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

2005 2010 2015

Data quality solutions exist for enterprise data like customer,

product, and address data, but this is only a fraction of the total

enterprise data.

By 2015 the number of networked devices will be double the entire global population. All sensor data

has uncertainty.

The total number of social media accounts exceeds the entire global population. This data is highly uncertain in both its expression and

content.

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Representative sources of uncertainty

Uncertaininput data/

Events

SourceMalfunction

Thermometer

Human error

MaliciousSource

Fake tweet

Sensor disrupter

Projectionof temporalanomalies

Wrong hourly sales summary

SourceInaccuracy

Samplingor

approximation

Propagationof

uncertainty

Visual data

Rumor

Wrong trend

Inference based on uncertain value

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Types of uncertainty in event processing

Runtime Engine

Definitions

DetectedSituations

EventSources

Run Time

Build Time

Events

Rules / Patterns

Situation Detection

Authoring Tool

Actions

incomplete event streams

insufficient event dictionary

erroneous event recognition

inconsistent event annotation

imprecise event patterns

Uncertainty in the event input, in the composite event pattern, in both

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Uncertainty handling

Two main handling methods:

Uncertainty propagation The uncertainty of input events is propagated to the derived events

Uncertainty flatteningUncertain values are replaced with deterministic equivalents; events may be ignored.

Traditional event processing needs to be enhanced to account for uncertain events

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Pattern matching: Sequence (1/3)

Crime report matching

Pattern: Sequence [Suspicious observation, Crime report]

Context: Location, Crime type

Certainty 0.8Occurrence time Uni(9:45AM,10:05AM)Id ‘John Doe’

…........

Suspicious Observation

Certainty 0.9Occurrence time 10:02AMId NA

…........

Crime report

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Crime report matching

Pattern: SequenceContext: Location, Crime type

Certainty 0.8Occurrence time Uni(9:45AM,10:05AM)Id ‘John Doe’

…........

Suspicious Observation

Certainty 0.9Occurrence time 10:02AMId NA

…........

Crime report

Certainty 0.612Occurrence time Uni(9:45AM,10:02AM)Id ‘John Doe’

…........

Matched crime

obs.certainty * crime.certainty * Prob{obs.time<crime.time}

obs.time | obs.time<crime.time

The ‘uncertainty propagation’ approach

Pattern matching: Sequence (2/3)

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Crime report matching

Pattern: SequenceContext: Location, Crime type

Certainty 0.8Occurrence time Uni(9:45AM,10:05AM)Id ‘John Doe’

…........

Suspicious Observation

Certainty 0.9Occurrence time 10:02AMId NA

…........

Crime report

Certainty 0.72Occurrence time 9:55AMId ‘John Doe’

…........

Matched crime

Occurrence time → percentile(occurrence time, 0.5)

The ‘uncertainty flattening’ approach

Pattern matching: Sequence (3/3)

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Summary of topic III:

The ontology of event-based systems is based on awareness of events – either directly or by derivationfrom other events

The awareness is enabler for reactions

Next - we describe the anatomy of event-based systems

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Topic IV – Anatomy of reactive systems

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Two separate but connected goals: Awareness and Reaction

Awareness Reaction

Event

Detect Derive Decide Do

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Reactions are Events too

Becoming aware of an event and then doing something about it.

DeriveMechanisms

Single Event

Multiple Events

Ancillary Info

May need multiple iterations

May require addition reference / state information

Something we want to react

toA Situation

DetectMechanism

FeedbackEvents

DecideMechanism

DoMechanism

Event of

Interest

Order

Should be indicating

Entity State Change

Should be indicating Decisions

Derived Event Trigger

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Detect

Some Noun of

Importance but different

The act of bringing into a system’s sphere of understanding knowledge about an event.

A person recognizes the change and enters it into some system. This is the classic case! This is the most flexible because humans are ingenious.

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Detect

Some Noun of

Importance but different

The act of bringing into a system’s sphere of understanding knowledge about an event.

A sensor senses the indicators and creates the corresponding event in the system.

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Detect

Some Noun of

Importance but different

The act of bringing into a system’s sphere of understanding knowledge about an event.

A data feed or systemic interface allows events to be published into the system.

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Detect

Some Noun of

Importance but different

The act of bringing into a system’s sphere of understanding knowledge about an event.

Sw

im L

an

e

Trigger Event

Activity

StateChange

When the processes under the system’s control makes changes to nouns it should published these changes as events.

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Detect

Some Noun of

Importance but different

The act of bringing into a system’s sphere of understanding knowledge about an event.

Sw

im L

an

e

Trigger Event

Activity

StateChange

As connected things are becoming more self-aware of their inner-workings, they can publish their own state changes.

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Derive

The act of becoming aware of events that are not directly detectable by bringing together events with other events, data, patterns and publishing the observation as a derived event.

Raw events

Raw events

Raw events

A Person recognizes the pattern and enters the derived event or just reacts to it directly. Shown a lot of time by dashboards and analysis.

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Derive

The act of becoming aware of events that are not directly detectable by bringing together events with other events, data, patterns and publishing the observation as a derived event.

Raw events

Raw events

Raw events

A Neural network processes the various inputs and determines a new situation expressed by a derived event.

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Derive

The act of becoming aware of events that are not directly detectable by bringing together events with other events, data, patterns and publishing the observation as a derived event.

Raw events

Raw events

Raw events

A software applies pattern matching over multiple events and data to find derived events.

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Derive

The act of becoming aware of events that are not directly detectable by bringing together events with other events, data, patterns and publishing the observation as a derived event.

Raw events

Raw events

Raw events

The most common place is hidden inside of every day system’s code.

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Decide The act of determining the course of action to do in response to the situation. This includes the background information needed to be collected to make the decision.

Pass through: Sometimes there is no decision. There is only one course of action.

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Decide The act of determining the course of action to do in response to the situation. This includes the background information needed to be collected to make the decision.

Manual Decision: Many times the ecosystem asks a person to decide the course of take.

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Decide The act of determining the course of action to do in response to the situation. This includes the background information needed to be collected to make the decision.

Automated Decision: Algorithmic decision via a decision management system.

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Decide The act of determining the course of action to do in response to the situation. This includes the background information needed to be collected to make the decision.

Automated Goal Oriented: Algorithmic decision via a decision management system that seeks a optimizing quantitative goals.

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DoThe act of performing the course of action that was decided upon.

Notification: Sending a signal of sort to either a person or system. This would include calling a web-service or subscription to alerts.

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DoThe act of performing the course of action that was decided upon.

Manual Action: This is an order for a human to go do an action.

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DoThe act of performing the course of action that was decided upon.

Applying Actuator: cause a action or setting change on an actuator.

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DoThe act of performing the course of action that was decided upon.

Trigger process: Execute a process or potential a single action.

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Richard Hackathorn’s Response Time Latency

Value in terms of Competitiveness decreases6/30/2013 99

Source: Richard Hackathorn – Active data warehouse, from nice to necessary, Teradata Magazine, 2006

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4D Version of Response Time Latency

Business Event

Detected

Derived

Decide Started

Decide Completed

Do Started

Do Completed

Val

ue

Time

DetectLatency

DeriveLatency Decide latency Do latency

Queue ActQueue Act

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Converting Richard Hackathorn’s flow to the 4D Prospective.

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Detect Latency

Business Event

Detected

Derived

Decide Started

Decide Completed

Do Started

Do Completed

Val

ue

Time

DetectLatency

DeriveLatency Decide latency Do latency

Queue ActQueue Act

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The time it takes for a ecosystem to detect either the business event or indicators that can be used derive the event.

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Derive Latency

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Business Event

Detected

Derived

Decide Started

Decide Completed

Do Started

Do Completed

Val

ue

Time

DetectLatency

DeriveLatency Decide latency Do latency

Queue ActQueue Act

The time necessary to combine the indicators, events, ancillary data or human analysis to derive situations that can’t be directly detected.

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Decide Queue Latency

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Business Event

Detected

Derived

Decide Started

Decide Completed

Do Started

Do Completed

Val

ue

Time

DetectLatency

DeriveLatency Decide latency Do latency

Queue ActQueue Act

The time waiting for someone (manual decisions) or something (automated decisions) to make a decision.

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Decide Act Latency

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Business Event

Detected

Derived

Decide Started

Decide Completed

Do Started

Do Completed

Val

ue

Time

DetectLatency

DeriveLatency Decide latency Do latency

Queue ActQueue Act

The time it takes to decide the course of action in reaction to the situation.

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Do Queue Latency

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Business Event

Detected

Derived

Decide Started

Decide Completed

Do Started

Do Completed

Val

ue

Time

DetectLatency

DeriveLatency Decide latency Do latency

Queue ActQueue Act

The time waiting for someone (human actor) or something (machine actor) to start executing or orchestrating the course of action.

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Business Event

Detected

Derived

Decide Started

Decide Completed

Do Started

Do Completed

Val

ue

Time

DetectLatency

DeriveLatency Decide latency Do latency

Queue ActQueue Act

Do Act latency

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The time it takes to execute the course of action.

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4D Version of Response Time Latency

ValueInvestment

ValueRealization

6/30/2013 107

Until the course of action is completed, everything is a value investment. After the course of action is completed, value can be realized.

Business Event

Detected

Derived

Decide Started

Decide Completed

Do Started

Do Completed

Val

ue

Time

DetectLatency

DeriveLatency Decide latency Do latency

Queue ActQueue Act

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Business velocity – a key competitive edge

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Summary of topic IV:

An event-driven system consists of the 4D architecture

Latency reduction is the key to business velocity

Next we’ll present basic ideas about the business oriented

approach

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Topic V – pragmatics – a computational independent model for

event-based systems

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ROI

Business

Goals

Application

characteristics

Current state in the maturity model

Approaching Event Processing in an Enterprise

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Business Predictability

Enable the support of event-driven adaptive business processes

Business Agility

Business Optimization

Make faster and better (manual or autonomic) decisions based on timely multi-source information;

ROI

Business

Goals

Application

characteristics

operational support

proactively seeking and adapting to patterns that might indicate an emerging event (threats and opportunities)

Increasing level of automation and thus increase productivity (e.g. of back office) and reduce cost

Continuous audit ensures timely handling of violations.

Quantify the impact of:

Compliance withRegulation

Business Velocity

Increase business velocity by faster response to

opportunities and early detection of threats

Calculating the benefits of event processing

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Situation awareness

Enables the business logic to be context sensitive

Context sensitive

Real-time dissemination

Taking advantage of information whose value decreases in time.

ROI

Business

Goals

Application

characteristics

Fast change

The application includes sense and respond to events, and situation awareness is key requirement

Enables fast deployment of new versions when the business logic dynamically changes

Situation determination

complexity

Complexity stems from one or more of: event rate, quantity of event sources, state and context handling, event order sensitivity..

Quantify the level of relevance to each candidate application:

Return on Investment

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EPMM: Event Processing Maturity Model (IT View)

0: unused

3: islands

4: integrated

1: manual

5: strategic

No event

awareness

Subscription to

some events,

manual handling

Events are stored in databases and

are processed as part of process

oriented

Explicit event processing for some applications as islands ;

instrumentation and actions are hard coded and sporadic

Event processing is integrated with main

business processes; instrumentation and

actuators are well established

Strategic view

of event processing

cross the enterprise

2: implicit

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Next Step: Develop Multi-Step Method to Select Entry Points

Improve Business

Agility

Improve Business

Optimization

Select Goals Prioritize Goals

1 Improve Business

Agility

2 Improve Business

Optimization

Analyze the possible entry point Applications based on their characteristics

Select applications that best fit these goals

Produce plan of actionBased on the maturity model

By entry point, map both

satisfaction of business

goals and fitness

characteristics for best

ROI.

Liquidity Management

Anti Money Laundering

. . .

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Vision: Shift Governance from Programmer to Knowledge Worker

Governance occurs through developmentand maintenance of

program code.

Governance occurs through developmentand maintenance of

event models.

TODAY TOMORROW

CODE LEVEL

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Process Oriented View

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Next step – event processing language (ESPER)

// Big cash deposit

insert into BigCashDeposit

select * from Transaction where amount > 100,000 and

transaction_cash_deposit_indicator =’Y’

// Frequent (At least three) big cash deposits

create context AccountID partition by accountId on Transaction;

Context AccountID

Insert into FrequentBigCashDeposits select count(*) from

BigCashDeposit having count(*)>3;

// Transfer abroad

insert into TransferAbroad select * from Transaction where

transferabroad_indicator =’Y’

// Frequent cash deposits followed by transfer abroad

Context AccountID

insert into SuspiciousAccount select * from pattern [

every f=FrequentCashDeposit -> t=TransferAbroad where timer.within(15

days)]

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Modeling according to the concept computing principles

The application logic should be expressedby a semantically declarative, directly executable, implementation independent, and rigorously structured knowledge model

KnowledgeModel

Automatic translation to code in regular or specific engine language

Free of implementation assumptions

Rigorous verifiable structure with all connections

Represented as

a collection of tables

The term was coined by Mills Davis in 2012

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TEM Logic Specification

Frequent big cash deposits

Row # Context Event Logic

When Partition By Regular Multiple events Conclusion

Conditions Conditions

Expression Start End Account ID Count(Big cash deposit)

Frequent big cash deposits

1 last 15 days same > 3 is Derived

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Lack of account activity

Row # Context Event Logic

When Partition By Regular Multiple events Conclusion

Conditions Conditions

Expression Start End Account ID Transaction Lack of account activity

1 last 10 days same is Absent is Derived

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Next step – model view

Big cash deposit

______________________________________

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

transaction cash deposit indicator

transaction amount

(customer threshold)

______________________________________

Always Customer ID

Frequent big cash deposits

______________________________________

Big cash deposit

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

______________________________________

Last 10 days Account ID

Frequent deposits followed by transfers abroad ______________________________________________

Deposit followed by transfer abroad

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

_________________________________________

Last 30 days Account ID

Lack of account activity ___________________________________________

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - Transaction is absent

___________________________________________

Last 10 days Account ID

Suspicious account ________________________________________________

Frequent big cash depositsFrequent deposits followed by transfers abroad

Lack of account activity- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

________________________________________________

Always Account ID

Derive Suspicious

account

Deposit followed by transfer abroad

______________________________________

Big cash deposit

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Transfer abroad

___________________________________________

deposit

occurrence Account ID

Bank

transaction

system

Transaction

Transfer

abroad

Transaction

Compliance

officer

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Concepts of

Facts

Actors

EventsStates

Event DerivationLogic Transitions

Goals IT elements

Glossary Logic

ComputationLogic

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Summary of topic V:

Systematic approach in an enterprise based on ROI and maturity models -the business world is not interested in technology but in business outcomes

Business user oriented modeling as a key solution point

Next we’ll present basic ideas about computing

independent model

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Topic VI – Summary

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What is the main take away from this tutorial – 1/3?

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The exploitation of events is a game changer in the universe

In the business level – it is not well understood how tothink in events and how to utilize events

In the IT level – most of what can be functionally thought as event processing is implemented using the traditional thinking within application code

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An event-driven system consists of the 4D architecture

Latency reduction is the key to business velocity

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What is the main take away from this tutorial – 2/3?

The ontology of event-based systems is based on awareness to events – either directly or by derivationfrom another events

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Systematic approach in an enterprise based on ROI and maturity models -the business world is not interested in technology but in business outcomes

Business user oriented modeling as a key solution point

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What is the main take away from this tutorial – 3/3?

Next step: help the organizations help themselves with realizing the benefits of events

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Presenters

Opher Etzion Jeff Adkins

IBM Research

Haifa, Israel

[email protected]

IBM GBS

Washington, DC

[email protected]

Thanks for listening