Debiasing 89

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DEBIASING Presented by: Mahsa Karimpour Amirhosein Semsarzade Fateme Askarzadeh 1

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Transcript of Debiasing 89

Page 1: Debiasing 89

DEBIASING

Presented by:

Mahsa KarimpourAmirhosein SemsarzadeFateme Askarzadeh

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Bridge The Gap

Descriptive

Behavior

Normative

Behavior

Debiasing

Strategies

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Debiasinghttp://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-

bin/summary/117866045/SUMMARY?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0

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accountability

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

incentive

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption

& Diffusion

INCENTIVES

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TEST

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INCENTIVES

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption

& Diffusion

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

Advantages

Greater effort

Accuracy

Better performance

Need to look consistent

to others

Preventing biases

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

Potential Problems

Give the people what

they wants

Justification-base

Decision Bias

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COGNITIVE STRATEGY

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

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CONSIDER THE OPPOSITE

What are some reasons that my initial judgment

might be wrong?

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.سال سن داشت.... و .... مارتین لوترکینگ در چه سنی از دنیا رفت؟ فکر می کنم بین-

.پیامبر.... و حداکثر .... کتاب آسمانی چند پیامبر در عهد عتیق جمع آوری شده؟ حداقل -

.کیلومتر...... و حداکثر ..... فاصله هوایی بین لندن و توکیو چقدر است؟ حداقل -

.ماه... ماه و حداکثر... جنین فیل، قبل از تولد چند ماه در شکم مادر می ماند؟ حداقل -

درصد 90برای هر سوال بازه مورد را بگونه ای انتخاب کنید که با احتمال

.پاسخ شما صحیح باشد

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Martin Luther died at 39.

17 books

9585 kilometers

22 monthes

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion 15

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• Training in rulesExperience

Training

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• Training in Biases

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• Training in representation

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption

& Diffusion

• Training in Represantation

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TECHNOLOGICAL

STRATEGIES

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

Error-checking system

Synergy

Reducing errors in prediction and estimation

Increase sample size of experience

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Social Influence processes

undermine groups effectiveness

o Free riding

o Withhold private judgments

oAnchoring

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion 21

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Experts can be replaced by models based on their judgments

Theses models can make better prediction than experts .

Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

LINEAR MODELS

& STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES

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Motivational

Strategies

Cognitive

Strategies

Technological

Strategies

Adoption &

Diffusion

Compliance

Induced by reward and coercion

Internalization

Understanding of a practice and intrinsic motivation to use it

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The higher you are, the

harder you fall !f

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RESOLUTIONS FOR 1989 01-03-89 # J -89 Re.li.Jteme.m ......07-03-89 #42-89 07-17-89 #43-89 08-74-89 #44-89 08-14-89 #45-89 08-14-89 O!tdvi 08-21-89 #46-89 09-05-89 Oitdvi 09-05-89 #47-89

RESOLUTIONS FOR 1989 01-03-89 # J -89 Re.li.Jteme.m ......07-03-89 #42-89 07-17-89 #43-89 08-74-89 #44-89 08-14-89 #45-89 08-14-89 O!tdvi 08-21-89 #46-89 09-05-89 Oitdvi 09-05-89 #47-89

Debiasing the Supplier Selection Decision: a Taxonomy and Conceptualization

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Recommendations as Treatments: Debiasing Learning and Evaluation

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Title 89 RCW - Washingtonleg.wa.gov › CodeReviser › RCWArchive › Documents › 2016... · (2016 Ed.) [Title 89 RCW—page 1] Title 89 Title 89 89 RECLAMATION, SOIL CONSERVATION,

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Biases and debiasing Pat Croskerry MD, PhD

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OFFICE OF CIVILIAN RADIOACTIVE WASTE MANAGEMENT …10/23/89 0 03/27/89 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09/11/89 09/11/89 09/11/89 03/27/89 07/17/89 03/27/89 03/27/89 03/27/89 /6f2'. '7 r-- 9003290235

OFFICE OF CIVILIAN RADIOACTIVE WASTE MANAGEMENT …10/23/89 0 03/27/89 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 09/11/89 09/11/89 09/11/89 03/27/89 07/17/89 03/27/89 03/27/89 03/27/89 /6f2'. '7 r-- 9003290235

89 BRIAN'S Buy of the Week 89

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