Deal Capsule January 2015 - assets.kpmg · Deal Capsule Transactions in Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals...

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Deal Capsule Transactions in Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals January 2015 HIGHLIGHTS The total value of global chemicals and pharmaceuticals deals increased to $ 214 billion in 2014, driven by a number of large pharmaceuticals deals. Pharmaceuticals deal values were the highest in the last five years. Bids in excess of $ 50 billion each were made for 3 targets, two of which were withdrawn. Chemicals deals were driven by non-core disposals and the desire to acquire attractive assets further up the chemicals value chain. MARKET OUTLOOK (based on a survey conducted by KPMG in collaboration with Mergers & Acquisitions magazine) Healthcare, pharmaceuticals and life sciences are expected to be most active industries ahead of technology, media and telecom. Average deal value is expected to climb, with 50% of respondents anticipating an average deal value above $250 million. Most active markets will be US , Western Europe, North America and China. KPMG’s Deal Thermometer indicates that the environment for M&A activity will remain ‘Hot’ in pharmaceuticals and ‘Moderate’ in chemicals. DEAL THERMOMETER KPMG’s Deal Thermometer signals the environment for M&A deals in chemicals and pharmaceuticals. It combines the appetite for deals (changes in forward P/E ratios) with the capacity to fund deals (changes in Net Debt/ EBITDA multiples). ‘Hot’ signifies an environment conducive to deal-making. HOT MODERATE COOL DEAL APPETITE (Forward P/E ratio) DEAL APPETITE (Forward P/E ratio) Sources: Capital IQ, KPMG Analysis Sources: Capital IQ, KPMG Analysis PHARMACEUTICALS CHEMICALS DEAL CAPACITY (Net debt/EBITDA) DEAL CAPACITY (Net debt/EBITDA) FY 2013 17.2 18.2 FY 2014 6% FY 2013 14.0 13.8 FY 2014 2% 1.3x 1.2x 8% FY 2014 FY 2015 2014 marked the return of the big deal. The wave of consolidation is likely to continue well into 2015. VIR LAKSHMAN | HEAD OF CHEMICALS & PHARMACEUTICALS, KPMG IN GERMANY Sources: Thomas One, KPMG Analysis FIGURE 2: DEAL VALUE BY SECTOR 2010-2014 ($ Billion) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 64 53 117 98 81 179 79 32 111 72 51 123 162 52 214 PHARMACEUTICALS CHEMICALS FIGURE 1: NUMBER OF DEALS BY SECTOR 2010-2014 Sources: Thomas One, KPMG Analysis 722 796 1,518 2010 2011 680 814 1,494 2012 643 796 1,439 2013 602 703 1,305 2014 606 585 1,191 PHARMACEUTICALS CHEMICALS 0.1x FY 2014 0.4x FY 2015 69% © 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

Transcript of Deal Capsule January 2015 - assets.kpmg · Deal Capsule Transactions in Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals...

Page 1: Deal Capsule January 2015 - assets.kpmg · Deal Capsule Transactions in Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals January 2015 HIGHLIGHTS • The total value of global chemicals and pharmaceuticals

Deal CapsuleTransactions in Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals

January 2015

HIGHLIGHTS• The total value of global chemicals and pharmaceuticals deals

increased to $ 214 billion in 2014, driven by a number of large pharmaceuticals deals.

• Pharmaceuticals deal values were the highest in the last five years. Bids in excess of $ 50 billion each were made for 3 targets, two of which were withdrawn.

• Chemicals deals were driven by non-core disposals and the desire to acquire attractive assets further up the chemicals value chain.

MARKET OUTLOOK(based on a survey conducted by KPMG in collaboration with Mergers & Acquisitions magazine)

• Healthcare, pharmaceuticals and life sciences are expected to be most active industries ahead of technology, media and telecom.

• Average deal value is expected to climb, with 50% of respondents anticipating an average deal value above $250 million.

• Most active markets will be US , Western Europe, North America and China.

• KPMG’s Deal Thermometer indicates that the environment for M&A activity will remain ‘Hot’ in pharmaceuticals and ‘Moderate’ in chemicals.

DEAL THERMOMETERKPMG’s Deal Thermometer signals the environment for M&A deals in chemicals and pharmaceuticals. It combines the appetite for deals (changes in forward P/E ratios) with the capacity to fund deals (changes in Net Debt/ EBITDA multiples). ‘Hot’ signifies an environment conducive to deal-making.

HOT

MODERATE

COOL

DEAL APPETITE (Forward P/E ratio)

DEAL APPETITE (Forward P/E ratio)

Sources: Capital IQ, KPMG Analysis Sources: Capital IQ, KPMG Analysis

PHARMACEUTICALS CHEMICALSDEAL CAPACITY(Net debt/EBITDA)

DEAL CAPACITY(Net debt/EBITDA)

FY 2013

17.2

18.2

FY 2014

6%

FY 2013

14.0 13.8

FY 2014

2%

1.3x1.2x

8%

FY 2014

FY 2015

2014 marked the return of the big deal. The wave of consolidation is likely to continue well into 2015.

VIR LAKSHMAN | HEAD OF CHEMICALS & PHARMACEUTICALS, KPMG IN GERMANY

“ ”

Sources: Thomas One, KPMG Analysis

FIGURE 2: DEAL VALUE BY SECTOR 2010-2014 ($ Billion)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

64

53117

98

81179

7932111

72

51123 162

52214

PHARMACEUTICALS CHEMICALS

FIGURE 1: NUMBER OF DEALS BY SECTOR 2010-2014

Sources: Thomas One, KPMG Analysis

722

7961,518

2010 2011

680

8141,494

2012

643

7961,439

2013

602

7031,305

2014

606

5851,191

PHARMACEUTICALS CHEMICALS

0.1x

FY 2014

0.4x

FY 2015

69%

© 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

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PHARMACEUTICALS

Consolidation was underway in many subsectors in 2014 including oncology, animal health, consumer healthcare and generics. Due to the heightened competition for assets, global pharmaceuticals are using innovative deal structures to help gain strategic assets. US dominated the pharmaceuticals landscape.

DEAL FOCUS AREAS

Oncology

The oncology market is highly consolidated with the top five players accounting for over 60% of the market by sales in 2013. Market concentration further increased during 2014 with acquisitions focused on creating a more robust pipeline. Roche acquired US-based breast cancer specialist, Seragon, for $1.7 billion, gaining access to its oral drugs under development. Novartis announced the acquisition of GSK’s oncology division, in an asset swap transaction for $14.5 billion in cash and up to $1.5 billion in contingent payments for the company’s oncology R&D pipeline. Consolidation is expected to continue as market players face weaker pipelines and patent expirations, in view of expectations of doubling of cancer burdens by 2030.

Generics

The market share of the top 10 generic players was over 65% by sales in 2013. This trend will continue in 2015 as businesses continue to expand in emerging markets amidst increasing demand for cheaper medicines. Several deals in 2014 illustrate the ongoing consolidation including: Sun Pharmaceuticals’ acquisition of Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd for $3.2 billion, Mylan’s announcement of its $5.3 billion acquisition of Abbott Laboratories’ non-US generics business and Mallinckrodt’s purchase of the generics player, Cadence Pharmaceuticals for $1.5 billion.

Animal Health

The gap between the leading players and the rest has widened following Eli Lilly’s announced acquisition of Novartis’ animal health business. Further consolidation can be expected.

Consumer Healthcare

In 2014, major players sought to strengthen their consumer healthcare positioning. In April 2014, Novartis, as part of its announced three-way deal with GlaxoSmithKline PLC (GSK) and Eli Lilly & Co. entered into a JV with GSK to bring their complementary healthcare portfolios together. The JV will have leading category positions and brands in wellness, oral health, nutrition and skin health.

Bayer’s acquisition of Merck’s consumer care business enhances its market position in dermatology, gastrointestinal treatments, cold, allergy, sinus and flu categories. The deal makes Bayer the OTC leader in North and Latin America.

Both the above deals have something in common – assets were swapped as part of the overall transaction. This enabled the acquirer to increase the attractiveness of its bid while both parties could further develop their strategic growth areas.

FIGURE 3: TREND IN PHARMACEUTICAL M&A 2007-2014

DEA

L VA

LUE

(USD

BN

)

NU

MB

ER O

F D

EALS

Sources: Thomas One, KPMG Analysis

132

2007

50

0 0

200

600

400

800

1000

100

150

200

250

98

2011

199

2009

72

2013

83

2008

79

2012

64

2010

162

2014

NUMBER OF DEALSDEAL VALUE

813 797727 722

680 643 602 606

FIGURE 4: PHARMACEUTICAL SALES GROWTH RATES 2015-2018 (CAGR)

Sources: Oxford Economics, KPMG Analysis

2.5% 2.7%

4.7%4.1%

2.1%1.8%

6.1%

3.9%

6.0%

NORTH AMERICA

LATINAMERICA

WESTERN EUROPE

EASTERN EUROPE

ASIA/PACIFIC

AFRICA & MIDDLE

EAST

TOTAL WORLD

ADVANCED ECONOMIES

EMERGING MARKETS

1%

0%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

© 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

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January 2015 | Deal Capsule | 3

EMERGING MARKETSEmerging markets continued to witness strong M&A activity in 2014, with China, South Korea and India being the most active deal markets.

GSK increased its stakes in its Indian and Indonesian subsidiaries, with an investment of about $1.1 billion, to strengthen market presence.

Both Sanofi and GSK have announced plans to invest in Africa. In addition to continuing investment in China, GSK plans an investment up to £130 million in Africa within the next five years, with the aim of expanding manufacturing in Nigeria and Kenya, while entering new markets such as Ethiopia, Rwanda and Ghana.

In addition to the acquisition of Russian pharmaceutical manufacturer, GardenHills, Abbott Laboratories also acquired Chile’s CFR Pharmaceutical in a $3.3 billion deal, which was the largest completed deal in emerging markets. Among other prominent deals was Bayer’s acquisition of Dihon Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd in China.

Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) – a local remedy

TCM was identified as one of China‘s seven strategic industries under the 12th Five-Year Plan. TCM offers potential as it is viewed as a Chinese heritage and regarded as effective in certain areas such as chronic diseases. TCM remedies now account for 203 of 502 drugs on the government‘s essential drug list. In 2014, Bayer bought Dihon Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd, an OTC and TCM manufacturer based in Yunnan province further strengthening its OTC position in China in dermatology and TCM for women’s health.

CAPITAL INDEXThe pharma indices continue to outperform the market, granting pharmaceutical companies the fire power to execute more transactions.

TAX CLAMPDOWNNational tax policy has a major impact on competitiveness and market valuation of life sciences businesses. To avoid relatively high corporate tax rates, many pharmaceutical companies have carried out tax inversion acquisitions relocating their headquarters to lower taxed jurisdictions.

The U.S. Treasury Department issued in September 2014 a notice of intent to issue regulations limiting tax inversion focused deals. At an international level, the OECD, tasked by the G20, is considering the issue of Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) and has developed a 15 point action plan and will issue their final recommendations by the end of 2015.

OUTLOOKSector outlook remains positive due to the following factors in the:

short term: Strong growth in emerging markets driven by shifting economic power and growing affluent middle classes in the BRICs, Africa and Latin America

medium term: Ageing and growing global population is increasing the burden of disease and demand for innovative medicines.

long term: Scientific revolution with genomics, cell therapies, immunotherapies, will advance our understanding of disease pathology and potential treatments.

FIGURE 6: TOP COUNTRIES IN PHARMACEUTICAL M&A 2014

Sources: Thomas One, KPMG Analysis

FIGURE 5: DEVELOPMENT OF PHARMA SHARE PRICES 2014

Sources: Bloomberg, KPMG Analysis

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP NOVOCT DEC

MSCI WORLD INDEXS&P 500 PHARMA INDEX

BLOOMBERG EUROPE 500 PHARMA INDEXBLOOMBERG ASIA PACIFIC PHARMA INDEX

90

100

115

110

120

125

105

95

TARGET NATIONSACQUIRER NATIONS162173

63 64

31 3624 19 19 18

3644 38

2821 19 20 18

US CHINA FRANCE CANADA UK SPAIN JAPAN S. KOREA GERMANY INDIA

16 19

© 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

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BIDDER TARGET THERAPY AREA DEAL STATUSTOTAL

VALUE1

Pfizer Inc. AstraZeneca PLC Biopharmaceuticals Withdrawn 117.1

Actavis PLC Allergan Inc. Eye care, neurosciences, dermatology, urologies Pending 68.4

Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. Allergan Inc. Eye care, neurosciences,

dermatology, urologies Withdrawn 57.6

AbbVie Inc. Shire PLC Neuroscience, gastrointestinal, internal medicine Withdrawn 54.8

Novartis AG GlaxoSmithKline PLC – Oncology Business Oncology Pending shareholder and antitrust

approval 16.0

Merck & Co., Inc. Cubist Pharmaceuticals Inc. Antibiotics Antitrust approval, pending second-step merger 9.5

Mylan Inc. Meda AB Respiratory, dermatology, OTC Withdrawn 9.0

GlaxoSmithKline PLC Novartis AG – Vaccine Business Vaccines Pending shareholder and antitrust approval 7.1

Eli Lilly & Co. Novartis AG – Animal Health Division Animal health Antitrust approval, merger pending 5.4

Mylan Inc. Abbott Laboratories – Non-US generics business

Cardio/metabolic, gastrointestinal medicine etc.

Pending shareholder and antitrust approval 5.3

PHARMACEUTICALS

TABLE 1: GLOBAL TOP DEALS COMPLETED IN 2014

TABLE 2: GLOBAL TOP DEALS ANNOUNCED IN 2014 , YET TO CLOSE

BIDDER TARGET THERAPY AREA VALUE1CONTINGENT

PAYMENTS1TOTAL

VALUE1

Actavis PLC Forest Laboratories LLC CNS, gastroenterology, women’s health, urology, etc. 28.0

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc Life Technologies Corp. Consumables, instruments, diagnostic tests 15.1

Bayer AG Merck & Co. Inc. – Consumer Care Business Consumer healthcare 14.2

Roche Holding AG InterMune Inc. Pulmonology and orphan fibrotic diseases 8.3

McKesson Corp. Celesio AG Wholesaler of pharmaceutical and healthcare products and services 6.8

Mallinckrodt PLC Questcor Pharmaceuticals Inc. Autoimmune and inflammatory disorders 5.6

AstraZeneca PLC Diabetes business unit from Bristol-Myers Squibb Diabetes 2.7 1.6 4.3

Shire PLC ViroPharma Inc. Viral diseases 4.2

The Carlyle Group LLC2 Johnson & Johnson – Ortho-Clinical Diagnostics unit

Transfusion medicine including donor screening and blood typing products 4.2

Merck & Co. Inc. Idenix Pharmaceuticals Inc. Human viral diseases 3.8

$94.5 billion

$350.2 billion

The deal value of the global top 10 completed deals in 2014 was

The deal value of the global top 10 announced deals in 2014 was

1 All numbers are in US$ billion 2 Financial investor Figures in blue are estimated values

Sources: Thomson One, KPMG Analysis

© 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

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January 2015 | Deal Capsule | 5

BIDDER TARGET BUSINESS AREA DEAL STATUSTOTAL

VALUE1

Merck KGaA Sigma-Aldrich Co. LLC Biochemicals, organic chemicals and lab equipment Pending antitrust approval 17.0

Albemarle Corp. Rockwood Holdings, Inc. Lithium production, products and services for metal processing

Pending shareholder and antitrust approval 6.2

Platform Specialty Products Corp. Arysta LifeScience Ltd. Agrochemical and biological products Pending antitrust approval 3.5

Cie de Saint-Gobain SA Sika AG (52.4% of stock voting rights through Schenker-Winkler Holding AG) Construction chemicals Pending antitrust approval 2.8

Arkema SA Bostik SA (a part of Total S.A.) Adhesives Pending shareholder and antitrust approval 2.2

FMC Corporation Cheminova A/S (a part of Auriga Industries A/S) Crop protein products Pending antitrust approval 1.8

Jinguyuan Holding Co., Ltd. Golmud Possession Grid Potash Co., Ltd. Potash Pending 1.6

Golden Gate Capital2 ANGUS Chemical Company (part of Dow Chemical) Nitroalkanes and their derivatives Pending antitrust approval 1.2

Hanwha Group Samsung General Chemicals Co., Ltd. (56%) Polyethylene and polypropylene Pending 1.0

Meihua Holdings Group Co., Ltd. Ningxia Eppen Biotech Co., Ltd. Amino acids, monosodium glutamate, corn by-products and fertilizers Pending 0.7

TABLE 3: GLOBAL TOP DEALS COMPLETED IN 2014

TABLE 4: GLOBAL TOP DEALS ANNOUNCED IN 2014, YET TO CLOSE

BIDDER TARGET BUSINESS AREATOTAL

VALUE1

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd Cheil Industries Inc. Scratch resistant resins, semiconductor materials 3.5

Eastman Chemical Company Taminco Corporation Alkylamines, acids and derivatives 2.8

Merck KGaA AZ Electronic Materials S.A. Premium segment high-tech materials, functional specialty chemicals 2.5

PPG Industries Inc. Consorcio Comex, S.A. de C.V. Coatings and related products 2.3

Darling International Inc. VION Ingredients Nederland BV Gelatine, proteins and fats 2.2

Koch Industries Inc. PetroLogistics LP and PetroLogistics GP LLC Propane dehydrogenation 2.1

Clayton Dubilier & Rice LLC2 Ashland Inc. – Water Treatment Business Specialty chemicals for water treatment 1.8

Huafang Textile Co., Ltd. Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Sulfuric and fatty acids, chlor-alkalis 1.6

Ineos Industries Holdings Ltd. Styrolution Group GmbH (50%) Styrenics 1.5

Minerals Technologies Inc. Amcol International Corp. Specialty materials with a core expertise in minerals and polymer science 1.5

$21.8 billion

$38 billion

The deal value of the global top 10 completed deals in 2014 was

The deal value of the global top 10 announced deals in 2014 was

CHEMICALS

1 All numbers are in US$ billion 2 Financial investor Figures in blue are estimated values

Sources: Thomson One, KPMG Analysis

© 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

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6 | Deal Capsule | January 2015

Transactions have been influenced by a low interest rate environment and the chemical industry adjusting structurally to new regional and raw material dynamics. The US has been the most active country in chemical M&A activity in 2014. Shale gas has moved the US from a high-cost petrochemicals and resins producer to among the lowest-cost producers. Transaction volumes have continued at a high level with companies optimizing their portfolios and their supply chains, as well as expanding geographically to sustain competitiveness.

DEAL FOCUS AREASThe largest completed deal in 2014 was Samsung SDI Co., Ltd.’s acquisition of Cheil Industries Inc. for $3.5 billion which will leverage complementary supply chains and lead to market synergies in the automotive and lighting sectors. Similarly, the largest announced deal in 2014, Merck KGaA’s acquisition of Sigma-Aldrich Co. LLC for $17 billion expects to generate synergies of approximately $340 million based on broader but complementary products and services and an improved supply chain.

Merck KGaA’s acquisition of AZ Electronic Materials S.A. for $2.5 billion aimed to foster geographic expansion, particularly in Asia. Similarly, PPG Industries Inc.’s $2.3 billion acquisition of Consorcio Comex, S.A. de C.V. aimed to enlarge the acquirer’s geographic presence, particularly in Mexico and Latin America.

EMERGING MARKETSWith increasing living standards and the relentless push of urbanization, China is a rapidly expanding market for chemical products.

The Chinese market is highly complex with unique local features and makes M&A an efficient means of accessing the local market. Examples include investments by Croda International (UK) in Sichuan Sipo Chemical for $58.6 million and a $22.1 million investment by Koninklijke DSM (Netherlands) in Yantai Andre Pectin Co., Ltd..

Outbound deals are mainly driven by large state-owned companies. One recent deal is the acquisition of Norway’s REC Solar by Bluestar, a subsidiary of the ChemChina group. Some private companies have also resorted to outbound M&A, e.g. Zhejiang Longsheng ‘s successful acquisition of Dystar’s dyestuff business.

CHEMICALS

FIGURE 7: TREND IN CHEMICAL M&A 2007-2014

Sources: Thomas One, KPMG Analysis

NUMBER OF DEALSDEAL VALUE

DEA

L VA

LUE

(USD

BN

)

NU

MB

ER O

F D

EALS

76

2007

20

0

200

0

600

400

800

1000

40

60

80

100

81

2011

40

2009

51

2013

60

2008

32

2012

53

2010

52

2014

934 947

733796 814 796

703

585

FIGURE 8: CHEMICAL SALES GROWTH RATES 2015-2018 (CAGR)

Sources: Oxford Economics, KPMG Analysis

3.3%

2.6%

4.4%4.7%

2.0%

1.4%

4.8%

3.8%

4.9%

NORTH AMERICA

LATINAMERICA

WESTERN EUROPE

EASTERN EUROPE

ASIA/PACIFIC

AFRICA & MIDDLE

EAST

TOTAL WORLD

ADVANCED ECONOMIES

EMERGING MARKETS

1%

0%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

FIGURE 9: TOP COUNTRIES IN CHEMICAL M&A 2014

Sources: Thomas One, KPMG Analysis

TARGET NATIONSACQUIRER NATIONS163

144

6369

28 3421 25 28 2328

37 32 28 32 24 2618

US CHINA CANADA S. KOREA FRANCE GERMANY UK INDIA JAPAN BRAZIL

197

© 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

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January 2015 | Deal Capsule | 7

CAPITAL INDEXShare prices of chemical firms listed in the S&P 500 improved by 8.4% and beat the MSCI World Index by 5.4% in 2014. European and Asian chemical companies underperformed the global market.

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP NOVOCT DEC85

95

90

110

105

115

100

FIGURE 11: CHEMICAL DEALS ALONG THE VALUE CHAIN (COMPLETED OR ANNOUNCED IN 2014 AND GREATER THAN $1 BILLION)

SIZE OF THE GREEN BOXES APPROXIMATES THE MARKET SIZE.Sources: Stratley, KPMG Analysis

Consumer care

B2B oriented

B2C oriented

Adhesives & sealants

Paints & coatings

Construction chemicals

BiocidesLubes/MWF

Inks

Natural rubber

Crop protection & seeds

Fertilizers

Pharma

Salt

Industrial gases

Refining

Polymer processing

& packaging

Primary chemicals

Additives

Leather, textile, paper

Custom manuf. & fine chemistry

Food & feed

OleochemicalsSurfactants

Semi-conductor

Other speciality

Flavor & Fragrances

B2B service industries

Specialty inorganicsBasic inorganics

Personal care ingredients

Pigments & dyes

CatalystsInte

rmed

iate

s

Synthetic rubber

Standard plastics

Engineering & high-performance polymers

Master batch &

compound-ing

OUTLOOK - ACQUIRING HIGHER UP THE VALUE CHAINContinued M&A activity in the chemical sector in 2015 will be driven by the following factors:

• structural changes taking place• expanding middle class in emerging markets spurring demand for chemical products• record low interest rates and availability of cash reservesThe trend to acquire further up the value chain as witnessed in 2014 will continue in 2015. More deals will continue to fall higher up the value chain towards later stage chemical processing and application.

FIGURE 10: DEVELOPMENT OF CHEMICAL SHARE PRICES 2014

Sources: Bloomberg, KPMG Analysis

MSCI WORLD INDEXS&P 500 CHEMICALS INDEX

BLOOMBERG EUROPE 500 CHEM INDEXBLOOMBERG ASIA PACIFIC CHEM INDEX

RAW MATERIALS

FIRST PROCESSING APPLICATIONCHEMICAL PROCESSING

REPRESENTS A TRANSACTION > $ 1 BILLION

© 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

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www.kpmg.de

The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation. Our services are provided subject to our verification whether a provision of the specific services is permissible in the individual case.

© 2015 KPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks of KPMG International.

Imprint

PublisherKPMG AG Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft Tersteegenstrasse 19 - 31 40474 Dusseldorf Germany

ContactVir Lakshman * Partner, Transaction Services Head of Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals, Germany T +49 211 475 6666 [email protected]

Christian Klingbeil Partner, Valuations T +49 89 9282 1284 [email protected]

Christian Specht Partner, M&A T +49 69 9587 2240 [email protected] AuthorsRita Duran Senior Manager, Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals, KPMG in GermanyHelen Christmann Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals, KPMG in GermanySebastian Heinisch Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals, KPMG in Germany ContributorsHenry Zhang Senior Manager, KPMG in ChinaJudith Schulze-Schlarmann Manager, KPMG in GermanyDr Lizzie Tuckey Chief Operating Officer Life Sciences & Healthcare, KPMG in the UK * Responsible according to German Law (§ 7 (2) Berliner PresseG)

BASIS OF DATA PREPARATIONValues and volumes used throughout the report are based on completion date as provided by Thomson Reuters’ database Thomson One as of 5 January 2015, and supplemented by additional independent research. This report includes disclosed and undisclosed values for M&A transactions including minority stake purchases, acquisitions of remaining interest, and recapitalizations and it explicitly excludes self-tenders and spinoffs. The published numbers of deals and deal values are based on the analysis of target companies which operate in the following subsectors:

Pharmaceuticals

• Medicinal chemicals & botanical products

• Pharmaceutical preparations

• In vivo and in vivo diagnostic substances

• Biotechnology – biological products, except diagnostic substances

• Pharmaceutical wholesale (added starting in Q2 2014)

Chemicals

• Clay, kaolin, ceramic & refractory minerals

• Chemical and non-metallic mineral mining, except fuels

• Fertilizers and agricultural chemicals

• Industrial gases

• Specialty chemicals

• Chemical wholesale

• Plastics and rubber components

KPMG’s Deal Thermometer is based on financial data as provided by S&P Capital IQ of public companies in the same sector as noted above with a market capitalization at quarter end of at least a $1 billion. For the pharmaceutical sector, this comprises 174 public companies. For the chemical sector, this comprises 180 public companies.

All figures in this report are shown in US Dollars ($).

Sources

Online databases:

• Thomson One (Thomson Reuters)

• Mergermarket

• S&P Capital IQ

• Bloomberg

Publications

• Various companies’ press releases