De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions...

24
De Bei Claudia Comparative Politics – EPS

Transcript of De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions...

Page 1: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

De Bei Claudia Comparative Politics – EPS

Page 2: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

The origins and change of

Electoral Institutions

Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours the two

party system”

Two forces working together:

“Mechanical and psychological factor” “Cox’s M + 1 rule”

Page 3: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Endogenous Electoral System

“The changes in the number of political parties usually preceded changes in electoral rules”

“Electoral system designers lack complete information at the design stage”

Page 4: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Who or What affects Change in the Electoral System?

Political partiesNon party political actorsExternal actorsNon political expertsHistorySocietyEconomyChance

Page 5: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

What Makes Politics Choose in Favour of a system or another?

• Office seeking• Policy seeking• Balancing representation with governability• Social and political engineering• Maximizing legitimacy and fairness• Other general motivations

Page 6: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

What rules Governments change?

Electoral rules governed by institutional rules

Electoral system constitutionally entrenched

Page 7: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Exception and Special Circumstances

• Transitional contexts

• Electoral system stability and institutional equilibrium in long standing democracies

Page 8: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Three General Tendencies about The Electoral System

Electoral system will remain unchanged if no party or coalition will try to change the rules even if they can

Electoral system will remain unchanged when it will be too costly or practically impossible for interested parties to change the rule

Electoral change may occur due to unexpected political events (regime changes, popular movements or externally driven events)

Page 9: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Pasquini Valentina Comparative Politics – EPS

Page 10: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

What CSES is about?

Comparative Study of Electoral Systems

• Collaborative program of research• Election studies• Survey questions• More than 50 countries

Page 11: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

How does the study work?

Three linked parts

• “micro” level data• discrit level data• “macro” level data

Page 12: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Results

The aim of CSES is adressing the effects of electoral institutions on citizens, social and political cleavages and democratization among all different political regimes.

Page 13: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Variables avalaible

Three modules

• Full release of CSES module 1• Advance release of CSES module 2• Advance release of CSES module 3

Page 14: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

• CSES module 1 : 1996-2001

survey, demographic,district level and macro data.

• CSES module 2 : 2001-2006

representation and accountability.• CSES module 3 : 2006-2011

voteres perceptions of assessment and responses to the variety and quality of political choices in an election.

Page 15: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Sections of variables

Sources of variables are divided in 5 sectors

• Administrative• Social demographic• Survey model• Discrict level• Macro level

Page 16: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Example

Page 17: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Example of questionnaire

• Example of Survey of Module 1

Page 18: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Viganò Sara Comparative Politics – EPS

Page 19: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

EESEuropean Election Studies

What EES are about?

• They study electoral participation and voting behaviour in European Parliament elections

•They are concerned with the evolution of an EU political Community and a European public sphere, with citizens' perceptions of and preferences about the EU political regime, and with their evaluations of EU political performance

Page 20: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

Content of the web site

Elections to the European Parliament are held every five years, and theyare conducted in a co-ordinated fashion by universal suffrage throughout the countries of the European Union.

At each of these elections, the academic community has fielded surveys ofvoters in all the countries that took part.

This web site gives access to materials describing these surveys, from 1979to 2009, the studies of which they formed part, and the findings of these studies.

European Election Study 1979 European Election Study 1984 European Election Study 1989 European Election Study 1994 European Election Study 1999 European Election Study 2004 European Election Study 2009

Scholars involved (from 1979 on) Useful tools for the Voter Studies

Integrated Data

Page 21: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

EES European Election Study 1989

• Study Design: Is a survey study of the electorates of the member states of the European Community:

Belgium Germany Greece Ireland Denmark Italy Luxemburg the Netherlands France Portugal Spain United Kingdom

This study consist on three surveys: 1-2 waves took place before the election in October-November1988 and March-April 1989 3 wave was conducted after the elections in June 1989 The data of the study have been organized in a set of interconnected data files, one of each wave and one of each different political system

Page 22: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

• Variables:

A description list of variables has been created, listing for all the 315 variables its name, its presence (x), absence (-) in each of the three waves A documentation variable presents information on the variables as for example: - variable name - label of the variable in the dataset - full text of the questionnaire - a list of the precode response options presented to the respondent

Page 23: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

VOTE INTENTIONAL/RECALL, EUROPEAN AND NATIONAL

1 2 3VAR017 X X - Intended electoral participation

VAR018 X X - Intended party choice

VAR019 - - X Electoral participation

VAR020 - - X Recall party choice

VAR021 - - X Reason for non-voting

VAR022 - - X National vs. European reason party choice

VAR023 - - X Expressed attitude to national government

VAR024 X X X Intended electoral participation in NE

VAR025 X X X Intended party choice in NE

VAR026 X X X Electoral Participation in last NE

VAR027 X X X Party choice in last NE

VAR028 X X X EP party group (84) of party choice in 89

VAR029 - - X EP party group (89) of party choice in 89

Page 24: De Bei ClaudiaComparative Politics – EPS. The origins and change of Electoral Institutions Duverger’s law: “The simple-majority single ballot system favours.

POLITICAL INTEREST AND COMMUNICATION

1 2 3VAR213 X X X Interested in politics

VAR214 X X X Interested in EC politics

VAR215 X X X Frequency of political discussion

VAR216 X X X Political interest scale

VAR217 X X X Frequency trying to persuade others

VAR218 - X - Frequency of watching TV news

VAR219 - X - Frequency of reading newspapers

VAR220 - X - Frequency of listening news on radio