Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
Transcript of Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
1/30
Green Built Environment
Evolution to Revolution
David Fullbrook
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
2/30
Baby Boomers Legacy
1957-Born
1973-Started Work
1995-Moved to NZ
1962-Silent Spring
1975-Global Warming
1989- Montreal Protocol
2020?- Retirement
2037?-Death
1992-Rio Earth Summit
1973-Oil Crisis
2012-Rio+20 2nd
Earth Summit
1979-2ndOil Crisis
2020?-Peak oil and
irreversible climate
change
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
3/30
Weve become lazy,
We live in high energy use homes,
We drive to work in air-conditioned carsWe work in sealed office buildings,
All of which respond to our most slovenly instincts
And disconnect us from the environment.
Its time to reconnect and re-engage.
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
4/30
Short History of Sustainable
Design
Low Energy Design
Passive Design
Sustainable Design
Green Rated Design
Regenerative Design
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
5/30
Current Level of Environmental
Sustainability for the Built Environment
Environmental
SocialEconomic
Cultural
Equitable
Viable
Livable
CivilisedSustainable
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
6/30
Future Level of Environmental
Sustainability for the Built Environment
EnvironmentCulturalSocialEconomic
Resilient CivilisedEquitable Livable
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
7/30
Baby Boomer at the crossroads
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
8/30
At the current rate of emissions we
only have 3 decades of available
carbon budget left.(IPCC 2013)
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
9/30
Revolution not Evolution
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
10/30
19 C Industrial revolution.
20 C Technological and consumer revolution
21 C Environmental revolution
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
11/30
Our current approach of
concentrating on flash new
buildings will not get us thereLevel of
Sustainability
%New
Build to
Existingpa.
%of new
build to
thisstandard
Saving
on GHGs
by thisstandard
% of GHG
Emissions
attributableto Buildings
Cumulative
effect on NZ
GreenhouseGas
emissions pa
Green Star 3% 10% 50% 20% 0.03%
Living Building
Challenge
3% 0.01% 100% 20% 0.006%
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
12/30
Fit
Out
Fit
Out
Fit
Out
Fit
Out
Fit
Out
MainServices
Upgrade
WholeBuilding
Upgrade
10 Yrs. 20 Yrs. 30 Yrs. 40 Yrs. 50 Yrs.
T i m e l i n e
We need to incentivize major upgrading ofthe great unwashed existing building
stock over 30 years
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
13/30
Design
Controls
Commissioning
and Fine
Tuning
Behaviors and
Aftercare
Third Third Third
Relative impact on sustainability
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
14/30
Scale Jumping
Think Big / Not Small
Neighbourhoods
Districts
Campuses
Portfolios
Production processes
Cities
Regions
NZ Inc
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
15/30
People - The catalyst for change
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
16/30
People not buildings
control climate change
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
17/30
Lifestyle and ecological footprint
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
NumberofEarthsR
equired
Lifestyles and Ecological Footprint
8 Tribes Lifestyles
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
18/30
Changing patterns of consumption
Economic Human
Self Interested, Price Driven
Price Signals
Predictably Irrational
Bias, Self Image, Status,
Emotional
Target better alternatives,
Make sustainability more sexy
Locked in
Socio Economic Barriers,No choice, Technological
Construct environments that
support sustainable living
Socially Organised
Way of Life, ValuesSustainable/Green Lifestyles
Grassroots activation
After Paul C Stern
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
19/30
What will the future look like?
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
20/30
Bullitt Centre
Highly efficient faade
Shallow floor plan and
high floor to floor height.
High levels of natural light
and mixed mode
ventilation
Heavy timberConstruction
Irresistible stair
No Red List Materials
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
21/30
Bullitt Centre
Net Zero energy
Rooftop PV
Ground source heat pump
heating and cooling Mixed mode ventilation
Net Zero Water
composting toilets,
greywater treatment and
rainwater
harvesting/treatment.
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
22/30
Wynyard Quarter
New sustainabledevelopment framework
High Density Mixed Use
5 Star/7Star with hurdles80/30kWh/m
Exemplars 6
star/8star/Living Building
Challenge
Ground Lease/Sky Lease
$6m PV array across
innovation Precinct
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
23/30
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
24/30
What will it cost and whats the
value?
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
25/30
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
26/30
Potential economic impacts of
climate change Stern report predicted loss in Global GDP of 5-20% every year
due to future climate change effects.
Global costs of natural disasters aggravated by climate
change could double to 150 billion euros per year in ten
years. Insurance cost equivalent to a World Trade Centreattack every year. (Source Swiss Re.)
In New Zealand the flooding and storms of 2004 cost over
$400m.
The 2007-2008 Draught - $2.3 bn.
The 2012-2013 Draught - $3bn. 0.51.0% GDP
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
27/30
What do we invest in?
$120-150bn of largelypublically owned
infrastructure assets
although reducing by
asset sales
$15bn of infrastructureinvestment in 3 year
cycles.
$6.2bn of roading
investment
$0.3bn of public
transport andcycling/walking
infrastructure
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
28/30
The value case for different levels
of sustainability
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
29/30
Individual
Global
Consensus
Climatechange
agreements
Buildings
Infrastructure
Land use
/planning
Energy security of
supply
Local
Government
Regional
Government
National
Government
Kyoto 2
Sustainability
Frameworks
Personal
choice
Climate Changecommitments
and policies
Environment
Regulation
Infrastructure
Land use
/planning
Sustainability
Frameworks
Personal
actions
Taxation
Rates
Rates
Community
commitment
Environmental
movement
Joining the dots
-
8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution
30/30
Getting Involved
Environmentally Significant Behaviour
Environmental Activism
Support for
environmentalmovement.
Household behaviour
Workplace andprofessional behaviour
Community Action