Data and Mapping Tools for Anticipating Neighborhood Change€¦ · Plan (2014-2015) Developed the...
Transcript of Data and Mapping Tools for Anticipating Neighborhood Change€¦ · Plan (2014-2015) Developed the...
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2019 NALCAB National Training
Data and Mapping Tools for Anticipating Neighborhood Change
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Download the
Crowd Compass App
• Download Crowd Compass Attendee Hub from your app store
• Search “NALCAB” to find and access the event
• Login with your first and last name; verify your account
• Create your profile to connect with other attendees and to browse speakers, agenda and more!
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Program Development
Neighborhood Stabilization Program 2:
2010-2016 $220 Million Deployed
San Francisco Mission Promise
Neighborhood Housing Assessment (March
2015)
HUD Technical Assistance Provider
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https://www.nalcab.org/equitable-neighborhood-development/
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In what ways is your community changing?
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Anticipating Neighborhood Change
Identify the Factors 01
02
03
Understanding Market Changes
Anticipating Market Activity
& Real Estate Price Appreciation
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Identify the Factors
01 ➢ Drawing on local knowledge about how
politics, economics, history, and culture
shape development and population
movements in a community, and
➢ Collecting, analyzing, and mapping
socioeconomic, demographic, housing,
and investment data.
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• Median Rent or Median Home Value
• Median Household Income
• Population 25 years+ with a Bachelor’s Degree or higher
• Race/Ethnicity: Non-Hispanic White population
Neighborhood Trend Analysis
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$47,937 21.6%
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Neighborhood
Trend Analysis
City of San Antonio
2000-2010
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What is driving change in your community?
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Understanding Market Changes
02 ➢ Analyze the factors causing change to
understand where development and
real estate price appreciation are likely
to occur in the future.
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Catalysts for Neighborhood Change
Proximity to Changing Neighborhoods
Public & Private Investment
Housing Affordability
Accessibility to Assets
Availability of Property
Other
Factors Driving Change
How has the community changed demographically and economically
over time?
How have public/ private actions and investment decisions
contributed to changes in the community?
Questions to Address
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Housing Construction and
Rehabilitation Activity
Source: City of San Antonio
City of San Antonio
2011-2016
Value of Building Permits
Low High
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Public Investment Activity
Source: City of San Antonio
City of San Antonio
2011-2018
Bond 2012, Bond 2017, CCDO 2011-
2017, HOME 2011-2016
Value of Investments
Low High
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Total Home Value
Appraisal Changes
Source: BCAD
City of San Antonio
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What challenges and/or opportunities does
neighborhood change present?
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Anticipating Activity & Appreciation
➢ Anticipate the impact and
implications of real estate market
changes for low- and moderate-
income households.
03
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Impact and Implications
for Low- and Moderate-Income Households
Income-based
Physical/mental health-related
Social vulnerability
Vulnerability related to discrimination
Others?
Vulnerable Households
Subsidized rental units with expiring affordability
“Naturally-occurring” affordable rental housing in appreciating areas
Homeownership housing and rising property taxes
Mobile home communities
Environmental hazards
Housing in disrepair
Vulnerable Housing Stock
Neighborhood improvements
New housing/commercial
More family-friendly entertainment events
Healthier food options
A more diverse community
Increase in home values
Decrease in crime
Increase customer base for community businesses
Benefits of Revitalization
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Vulnerable Households
Source: ACS, HouseCanary
City of Houston
2011 - 2017
* Average Appreciation Rate was 84.4%
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Vulnerable Housing Stock
Source: PolicyMap
City of Los Angeles
2017
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Data & Resources
FactFinder/American Community Survey (ACS)
Brown University Longitudinal Tract Database (LTDB)
HUD CPD Maps/HUD AFFH Data and Mapping Tool
Community Analyst
HMDA Data
Demographic Data
Open Records Request (e.g. building permits, capital projects, etc.)
Neighborhood/City/ County Plans
Tax Appraisal
Local Board of Realtors
Community Stakeholders (schools, nonprofits, businesses, residents, etc.)
Local Data
Affordability - Paycheck to Paycheck Tool
Existing Resources - Housing and Economic Development Funding/ Finance/Programs
Review of Public Investments/Policies/ Community Development Programs
CoStar – comprehensive real estate data
Other Resources
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Networking Break
30 Minute
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Current Work
With support from JPMorgan Chase
Foundation and W. K. Kellogg
Foundation – NALCAB is providing
grants, technical assistance, and
training to 17 non-profit
organizations, in 15 different
markets, to develop and implement
place-based, data- and community-
driven action plans for equitable
development.
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A data-driven plan to analyze and
anticipate the impact of neighborhood
change on low- and moderate-income
communities and to inform the
implementation of place-based strategies
for equitable development.
Equitable Neighborhood Development
Action Plan
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Goals, Strategies, and
Actions
Metrics of Success
Key Resources
Defining Equitable
Development
Telling the story of your
community
Data/Market Observations
Equitable Neighborhood Development
Action Plan
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What are actions we can take to foster equitable development in our cities and neighborhoods?
Goal
Strategy
Action step(s)
Group Activity
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Large Group Report Out
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Lessons Learned
Example: City of San Antonio
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Supported and facilitated
the strategic planning
efforts of the San
Antonio Mayor’s
Housing Policy Task
Force (2018)
Assisted COSA to assess
City housing programs
and develop the 5-Year
HUD Consolidated
Plan (2014-2015)
Developed the City’s first
Housing Vulnerability
Analysis (2017-2018)
Assessed the Eastside
Promise
Neighborhood
Initiative and developed
a Strategic Plan for
Sustainability (2016-
2018)
Assisted COSA and
SAHA to jointly develop
an Analysis of
Impediments to Fair
Housing (2018-2019)
City of San Antonio
Provided an
organizational
assessment and strategic
recommendations for
San Antonio Housing
Trust (2018-2019)
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Strategies
Mayor’s Housing Policy Task Force (MHPTF)
• Develop a coordinated housing system
• Increase city investment in housing
• Increase affordable housing production,
rehabilitation, and preservation
• Protect and promote neighborhoods
• Ensure accountability to the public
https://www.sanantonio.gov/Portals/0/Files/HousingPolicy/Resources/SA-HousingPolicyFramework.pdf
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Avanzando Comunidades: People, Places, and Policy Tour
Journey to the heart of San Antonio’s established and historic downtown communities to explore investment patterns and understand local policies that are shaping neighborhoods. Get a first-hand look at the dynamics of development and its impact on inner city residents.
• Present Ticket to board bus
• Location – Main Lobby
• Departure Time – 1:45pm
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THANK YOU!
Jake WhiteSr. Program Manager
Melissa MedinaProgram Manager
Marcella ReyesProgram [email protected]
George SanchezGIS Analyst