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Transcript of DART 2040TransitPlan
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2040 Transit System Plan
March 2016 Public Meetings
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Agenda•
Welcome and Introductions• What is the Transit System Plan?• Phased Approach• Phase 1 - Comprehensive Operations
Analysis (COA) – Overview of Draft Bus Recommendations
• Phase 2 - 2040 Plan Development –
Status of 2030 Plan – Existing and Future Conditions – Alternatives to Consider
• How you can stay involved• Discussion
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Welcome & Introductions
• 2040 Team Members
• Key objectives for this meeting:
– Obtain your feedback on Phase 1 COA draft busrecommendations
– Present existing/future conditions information
–
Discuss needs and opportunities – Get your input on ideas/issues/alternatives
• What should we consider in the 2040 plan?
• What is most important to you?3
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DART Background•
Formed in 1983
• 13 cities today contributeone-cent sales tax
– Mesquite & Arlington
contract service
• Service Area 700 Sq-mi
• Population
– Service Area 2.3 Million – Region 6.6 Million
• Annual operating budget$495 million
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5
Current
System
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What is the Transit System Plan?
• Long-range element ofDART Service Plan
• Guide for future capitaland operating programs
• Programming tool thatfeeds into 20-YearFinancial Plan
• Policy guidance
• Vision for future – ourmessage to the region
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DART Transit System Plan
• Why plan 25 years into the future?
– To establish a vision based on future needs
– To identify and position DART for opportunities
– To determine phasing and budget needs
– To guide policy development
• Why update the plan periodically?
– Changes in travel, land use, and development patterns
– Changes in financial conditions and assumptions• DART sales tax projections
• Other local, regional or federal funds
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System Plan Relationships
8
NCTCOG
Metropolitan
Transportation Plan
DART Transit
System Plan
Project
StudiesDART Financial
Plan
L o c a t i o n
S p e c i f i c
DART Service
Plan
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FY16 Financial Plan Affordability
9
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
FY16 FY18 FY20 FY22 FY24 FY26 FY28 FY30 FY32 FY34 FY36 FY38 FY40
M i l l i o n s
Operating Exp. Capital P&D,SU,Non-Op System Expansion Other Capital Debt Service Total Available
Core Capacity Projects
• D2
• Platform Extensions
• Central Streetcar
Cotton Belt
Rail Project State of Good
Repair/Fleet
Replacements
State of Good
Repair/Fleet
Replacements
Financial
Capacity opens
up considerably
after 2035
End of FY16 Financial Plan
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Phase 1 FY15
Phase 2 FY16
10
Phased Approach
Needs/Evaluation
Criteria
AlternativesDevelopment
RegionalService
Opportunity
Evaluation/ Financial
Analysis
Draft
2040
Plan
Adopt2040 Plan
Key Issues/ GuidingPrinciples
DataCollection
TransitCompetitiveIndex (TCI)
Tool
Comp.Operations
Analysis(COA)
FutureConditions
10-YearBus
TransitPlan
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Phase 1
Comprehensive Operations Analysis(COA)
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What is a COA?
• Evaluates overall transit service
efficiency and effectiveness, system
route structure and delivery
methods• Results in a comprehensive review
of all transit service as a system
• Culminates in a set of service
recommendations, usually over a 5-
10 year period
12
COA GOALS• Increase route and
system efficiency
• Better serve
existing and
emerging transit
markets• Improve ridership
and productivity
• Ensure services are
equitable
• Develop support
through public and
stakeholder input
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Why do a COA as Phase 1?
• Current rail build-out is nearly complete• Bus routes have been reorganized around
phased rail openings
•At the same time, levels of bus service havebeen reduced significantly
• Current emphasis is on coverage throughout
the Service Area• Use 2014 on-board survey data
• Solid foundation for 2040 Transit System Plan
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Common Themes Heard during COA
• Bus Network Design (simplify routes)
• Increase Frequency
•
Late Night / Weekend Service• Express Service (Bus and Rail)
• Crosstown Service (Bus, Cotton Belt)
• Specific Bus Route Ideas
• Service Area Expansion
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Draft Service Plan Key Elements
• Core Frequent Route network – To strengthen local and crosstown routes
• High-frequency Rapid Ride network
• Crosstown / Airport Express network
• Other bus service improvements: – More consistent service headways (bus-rail connections)
– Improved weekend service – More direct routing
– Improved Uptown service
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Core Frequent Route NetworkWeekday Peak Service (15 minute or less)
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Core Frequent Route NetworkWeekday Midday Service (20 minute or less)
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Core Frequent Route NetworkSaturday Midday Service (30 minute or less)
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Core Frequent Route NetworkSunday Midday Service (30 minute or less)
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Rapid Ride
Element
20
• Seven (7) corridors
• Frequent, limitedstop layered over
local routes
• Fills the crosstownservice gap notmet by rail
• 20,000 daily ridersprojected in 2028
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Crosstown/Airport Express Element
21
•
Four (4)corridors
• Fills gap forkey crosstowntravel marketsand airportaccess
• May bepreliminary
step to longer-term railimprovements
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Downtown
Express Element
22
• Similar to today’sexpress routes
• Modifies
downtownrouting to providedirect links togrowingemploymentcenters (Uptownand MedicalDistrict)
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On-Call Zones
23
• Expand from 8 to 14 zones
• New on-call zonesproposed for:
– Northwest Carrollton
– Northeast Carrollton
– Rylie
– Kleberg
– Far North Plano
– Red Bird
• Other potential changes:
– Far North Plano (andpotentially other areas)as demonstration projectfor taxis and private autoride services such as Uberand Lyft.
– Sunday only on-callservice in North Garland.
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Benefits of Draft Service Plan
• Responds to key comments received duringoutreach
• Targets new/growing travel markets
• Increases ridership and adds service toaccommodate population growth
•Increases DART coverage foremployment/population within ½ mile of keycorridors
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Next COA Steps
• Public and stakeholder feedback on draft
recommendations
•
Complete phasing plan
• Cost associated capital improvements –
mainly buses and bus facilities
• Integrate recommendations into 2040 Plan
Phase 2 work
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Phase 2 - 2040
• Plan Development Process
• 2030 Plan status
• Existing & Future Conditions
• Potential Alternatives to consider
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Plan Development Process
Alternatives
Short List
Integrate COARecommendations
Integrate Policy &
Programs
Draft 2040
2040
Demographics
Land Use Travel Patterns
Congestion
New or Changed
Best Practices
Funding
Opportunities
2030 Rail/Bus
2030 Vision
New 2040 Ideas
STOPS Model
TCI Tool
NCTCOG Model Cost/Benefit
Needs &
Opportunities
Policy &
Program Review
Alternatives
Development
Screening
Evaluation
Service Area Focus
Regional
Opportunities
2040 Plan
Scenarios
System-Level
Financially
Constrained
Evaluation &
Trade-Offs
Financial Capacity
Public/Stakeholder Input
Final 2040DART Board Action
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What’s Changed since 2006?
• Economic recession – All new 2030 bus/rail
corridors deferred to after
2030, including D2
•
By 2015, some projectsadded to Financial Plan – Program of Projects (D2,
Red/Blue Platforms,
Streetcar)
– Cotton Belt Corridor
• 2040 Plan will re-evaluate
remaining corridors
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Program of Interrelated Projects
Red and Blue Line Platform
Extensions
• 28 LRT Stations
Downtown Second Light RailAlignment (D2)
• Victory Station to
Green Line
Dallas Central Streetcar Link• Omni Hotel to
St. Paul LRT Station
3
1
2
30
D2 (with tunnel spur)
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Platform
Extensions
1
• All DART Stations constructedsince 2004 can accommodate3-car trains
• CBD stations modified in 2008
-2009
• 28 Red & Blue stations canonly accommodate 2-cartrains
• $120 M Project Cost
– $60 M Texas Mobility Funds
– $58 M FTA Grant budgeted
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D2 Project
32
• Locally Preferred Alternative decision included tunnel
spur to HSR/Convention Center area
•
Tunnel spur is not in current Financial Plan
FY16 Financial Plan Assumptions• 2021 Service Date
• $650 M Project Cost (YOE)
• 50% FTA Grant
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Dallas Streetcar Central Link
• ProposedLocallyPreferredAlternative
• DART FY16Financial Planincludes $80Mfor project
– $40M externalfunds
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FY16 Financial Plan Affordability
35
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
FY16 FY18 FY20 FY22 FY24 FY26 FY28 FY30 FY32 FY34 FY36 FY38 FY40
M i l l i o n s
Operating Exp. Capital P&D,SU,Non-Op System Expansion Other Capital Debt Service Total Available
Core Capacity Projects
• D2• Platform Extensions
• Central Streetcar
Cotton Belt
Rail Project State of Good
Repair/Fleet
Replacements
State of Good
Repair/Fleet
Replacements
Financial
Capacity opens
up considerably
after 2035
End of FY16 Financial Plan
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Existing and Future Conditions
• 2040 Demographics Analysis
• Policy/program review
• Land Use changes
Legacy West Plano
West Dallas
Midtown/Valley View Dallas
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Population Growth
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2014 Population
Density
• Darker areasindicate higherresidential density
• Higher densityareas are suitablefor higher level of
transit investment
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2040 Population
Density
• By 2040,population densityincreases in
several areaswithin DARTService Area
• Many areas
outside of DARTstart to see higherdensity.
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Employment Growth
40
2014
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41
2014
Employment
Density• Darker areas
indicate higherconcentrationsof jobs
• DART Rail servesmany high
densityemploymentcorridors today
2040
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42
2040
Employment
Density• Employment
density increasessignificantly by
2040, especially tothe north
• New potentialcorridors that
could support atransit investmentbecome visible
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43
Combined 2014
Population and
Employment
Density
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44
Combined 2040
Population and
Employment
Density
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1950-2040 Growth Animation
45
1950
Before 1955
1956-1965
1966-1975
1976-1985
1986-1995
1996-Present
2040 Forecast
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1950-2040 Growth Animation
46
1960
Before 1955
1956-1965
1966-1975
1976-1985
1986-1995
1996-Present
2040 Forecast
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1950-2040 Growth Animation
47
1970
Before 1955
1956-1965
1966-1975
1976-1985
1986-1995
1996-Present
2040 Forecast
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1950-2040 Growth Animation
48
1980
Before 1955
1956-1965
1966-1975
1976-1985
1986-1995
1996-Present
2040 Forecast
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1950-2040 Growth Animation
49
1990
Before 1955
1956-1965
1966-1975
1976-1985
1986-1995
1996-Present
2040 Forecast
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1950-2040 Growth Animation
50
2000
Before 1955
1956-1965
1966-1975
1976-1985
1986-1995
1996-Present
2040 Forecast
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1950-2040 Growth Animation
51
2010
Before 1955
1956-1965
1966-1975
1976-1985
1986-1995
1996-Present
2040 Forecast
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1950-2040 Growth Animation
52
2040
Before 1955
1956-1965
1966-1975
1976-1985
1986-1995
1996-Present
2040 Forecast
F t C ti
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Future Congestion
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Initial Alternatives
•Several initial alternatives to consider arebased on prior DART plan and NCTCOG plan
– DART 2030 Transit System Plan
– DART 2030 Vision Element – NCTCOG 2040 Recommendations
I iti l
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Initial
Alternatives
• Deferred 2030
Transit System Plan
Corridors
West Dallas East/Scyene
Southport
WOC/
Red LineExtension
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Initial
Alternatives
• Deferred 2030Transit System Plan
Corridors
• 2030 Vision
Corridors
Irving-Frisco
Southeast
Extension
Firewheel
LBJ/Inwood
Initial
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Initial
Alternatives
• Deferred 2030Transit System PlanCorridors
• 2030 VisionCorridors
• NCTCOG 2040 Plan
Rail and BusCorridors
Irving-Frisco
Southeast
Extension
Rail or Express
Bus to McKinneySpring
Creek
Express
IH 30 East
Express
ScyeneExtension
Midlothian
Rail
Waxahachie
Rail
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Financial Capacity
• There are many potential projects to consider
– but there is limited financial capacity.
•
2040 Plan will be closely tied to the DART 20-Year Financial Plan :
– What level of COA/Bus Service Plan changes DART
can afford over the next 10-15 years?
– What additional Bus Service Plan and longer-range
projects or programs can we afford through 2040?
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Additional Ideas to Consider?• Other rail corridors? New or extensions?
– Dallas North Tollway Corridor
– TRE Extension south to HSR station area
• Streetcar system expansion?
–
North to Knox-Henderson area, other
• Infill LRT Stations?
– Knox-Henderson Station
• New programs or policies?
– Last mile connections/partnerships
• Operational improvements to the current system?
• Other?
P blic and Agenc In ol ement
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Public and Agency Involvement
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7
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How to Stay Involved
•Visit www.DART.org/2040 for progress
• Participate via the DART MySidewalk page
www.DART.org/Talk2040
• Email comments/input to [email protected]
• Attend meetings
• Request a briefing
http://www.dart.org/2040http://www.dart.org/Talk2040mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.dart.org/Talk2040http://www.dart.org/2040
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