Damodaran Online_ Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
-
Upload
leekiangyen -
Category
Documents
-
view
171 -
download
16
Transcript of Damodaran Online_ Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
10/17/13 Damodaran Online: Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/ 1/7
Spreadsheet ProgramsHi! With time, the number of spreadsheets on this page has also increased. To help you in finding the
spreadsheet that you might want, I have categorized the spreadsheets into the following groups:
1. Corporate finance spreadsheets: These spreadsheets are most useful if you are interested in conventional
corporate financial analysis. It includes spreadsheets to analyze a project's cashflows and viability, a company's
risk profile, its optimal capital structure and debt type, andwhether it is paying out what it can afford to in
dividends.
2. Valuation Inputs Spreadsheets: In this section, you will find spreadsheets that allow you toa. Estimate the right discount rate to use for your firm, starting with the risk premium in your cost of equity and
concluding with the cost of capital for your firm.
b. Convert R&D and operating leases into capitalized assets
c. estimate the right capital expenditures and diagnose the terminal value assumptions to see if they are
reasonable.3. Valuation Model Reconciliation: In this section, you will find spreadsheets that reconcile different DCF
approaches - FCFE versus Dividend Discount Model, FCFE versus FCFF model, EVA versus Cost of capital
and Net Debt versus Gross Debt Approaches.
4 . Big-picture valuation spreadsheets: If you are looking for one spreadsheet to help you in valuing a company, I
would recommend one of these 'ginzu' spreadsheets. While they require a large number of inputs, they areflexible enough to allow you to value just about any company. You do have to decide whether you want to use a
dividend, FCFE or FCFF model spreadsheet. If you have no idea which one will work for you, I would suggestthat you try the "right model" spreadsheet first.
5 . Focused valuation spreadsheets: If you have a clear choice in terms of models - stable growth dividenddiscount, 2-stage FCFE etc. - you can download a spreadsheet for the specific model in this section.
6. Valuation of specific types of companies: Valuation is all about exceptions, and these spreadsheets are
designed to help value specific types of companies including:
a. Financial Service firms: While dividend discount models tend to be the weapon of choice for many, you will
find an excess equity return model here.
b. Troubled firms: You will find an earnings normalizer spreadsheet, a generic valuation model for valuing a firm
as a going concern and a spreadsheet that allows you to estimate the probability that a troubled firm will not
survive.
c. Private companies: You will find spreadsheets for adjusting discount rates and estimating illiquidity discountsfor private companies.
d. Young and high-growth firms: You will find a revenue growth estimator as well as a generic valuation model
for high growth firms in this section.
7 . Multiples: You can estimate equity as well as firm value multiples, based upon fundamentals.
8 . Valuation in Acquisitions: You can value synergy in an acquiisition and analyze a leveraged buyout.
10/17/13 Damodaran Online: Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/ 2/7
9 . Valuation of other assets: In this section, you will find a model for valuing income-generating real estate.10 . Value Enhancement Spreadsheets: In this section, you will find a spreadsheet that reconciles EVA and DCF
valuation, a model for estimating CFROI and a DCF version of a value enhancement spreadsheet.11. Basic option pricing models: In this seciton, you will find Black-Scholes models for valuing short term
options, long term options and options that result in dilution of stock (such as warrants). In addition, you will find
spreadsheets that convert Black-Scholes inputs into Binomial model inputs and use the binomial model to value
options.12. Real option models in corporate finance: In this section, you will find three basic real option models - the
option to delay, the option to expand and the option to abandon. In addition, the value of financial flexibility is
considered as an option.13. Real option models in valuation: In this section, you will find models to value both a patent (and a firm owning
a patent) as an option, natural resource firms and equity in deeply troubled firms.These spreadsheet programs are written in Excel and are not copy protected. Download them and feel free to
modify them to your own specifications. I do have video guides available for some of the most accessedspreadsheets. I hope they are useful.
One more point. I am not an expert on Microsoft Excel and am frankly mystified by some of the quirky
differences between the Mac version (which I use) and the PC version (which you probably have). If you want
to refine your spreadsheet skills, you can of course by a book on Excel. However, a reader of this website, AlexPalfi of Tykoh Training, has been kind enough to offer this guide to using and building spreadsheets. Please feel
free to download it and use it and to then convey your appreciation to him.
Program Video guide Description
CorporateFinance
capbudg.xls This spreadsheet allows you to do a basic capital budgetinganalysis for a project, and compute NPV, IRR and ROI.
risk.xls
This spreadsheet allows you to use past returns on a stockand a market index to analyse its price performance
(Jensen's Alpha), its sensitivity to market movements (Beta)and the proportion of its risk that can be attributed to the
market.
riskchecker.xls WebcastThis spreadsheet allows you to check your computations ofJensen's alpha, range on beta and expected return, given
the output from a return regression (risk.xls above).
levbeta.xls
This spreadsheet allows you to enter the current beta, tax
rate and the debt equity ratio for your stock, and obtain atable of betas at different debt ratios.
oplease.xls WebcastThis spreadsheet allows you to convert lease commitments
to debt.
ratings.xls
This spreadsheet allows you to estimate a rating and a cost
of debt for your company from the firm's interext coverageratio.
apv.xls
This program allows you to estimate an "optimal" Capital
Structure for a company using the Adjusted Present ValueApproach.
10/17/13 Damodaran Online: Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/ 3/7
capstru.xls
This program allows you to estimate an "optimal" Capital
structure for a company using the cost of capital approach.An option in the model also allows you to build in indirect
bankruptcy cost by letting your operating income vary withyour bond rating.
returncalculator.xls Webcast
The return on invested capital and return on equity are
accounting measures but useful measures, nevertheless, ofthe quality of existing projects.
macrodur.xls This program allows you to estimate the duration of a firm'sassets and its sensitivity to other macro economic variables.
It may be useful in the design of debt.
dividends.xls
This program compares the dividends paid to what a firmcould have paid, by estimating the free cash flow to equity
(the cash flow left over after net debt payments, net capitalexpenditures and working capital investments.
dcfval.xls
This program computes the value of equity in a firm using a
two-stage dividend discount and FCFE model. (For moreextensive choices on valuation, look at the programs under
the valuation section below.)
Valuation:Inputs
readme1s.xls This file describes the programs in this section and providessome insights into their usage.
impliedROC&ROE.xls This spreadsheet allows you to compute the ROC or ROE
implied in your terminal value calculation.
wacccalc.xls This spreadsheet allows you to estimate the cost of capital
for your firm.
cpxest.xls This program summarizes the three approaches that can beused to estimate the net capital expenditures for a firm,
when it reaches stable growth.
oplease.xls Webcast
This program converts operating lease expenses into
financing expenses and restates operating income and debtoutstanding.
R&DConv.xls WebcastThis program converts R& D expenses from operating tocapital expenses, estimates a value for the research asset
and restates operating income.
implprem.xls
This spreadsheet calculates the implied risk premium in a
market. This can be used in discounted cashflow valuationto do market neutral valuation.
Valuation
ModelReconciliation
fcfevsddm.xls
This spreadsheet allows you to reconcile the differences
between the FCFE and the dividend discount models forestimating equity value.
fcffvsfcfe.xls This spreadsheet allows you to reconcile the differences
10/17/13 Damodaran Online: Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/ 4/7
between the FCFF and the FCFE approaches to valuation.
fcffeva.xls This spreadsheet reconciles a cost of capital DCF valuation
with an EVA valuation of the same company
GrossvsNet.xls
This spreadsheet allows you to reconcile the differences
between the Gross debt and Net debt approaches to
valuation.
All-in-one
Valuation
Models
model.xls This program provides a rough guide to which discounted
cash flow model may be best suited to your firm.
higrowth.xls
This spreadsheet can be used to value tough-to-value firms,
with negative earnings, high growth in revenues and fewcomparables. If you have a dot.com firm, this is your best
choice.
divginzu.xls A complete dividend discount model that can do stablegrowth, 2-stage or 3-stage valuation. This is your best
choice if you are analyzing financial service firms.
fcfeginzu.xls A complete FCFE valuation model that allows you tocapital R&D and deal with options in the context of a
valuation model.
growthbreakdown.xls A model to value the premium you should pay for growth in
either an intrinsic valuation or a relative valuation.
fcffsimpleginzu.xls
A complete FCFF model that allows for changing margins
and has default assumptions built in (to protect you from
inconsistent assumptions). If you want a quick, all-in-onemodel to value a company with relatively few inputs, try
this.
fcffginzu.xlsVideo
Presentation
This model tries to do it all, with all of the associated risks
and rewards. I hate having to work with a dozenspreadsheets to value a firm, and I have tried to put them all
into one spreadsheet - a ratings estimator, an earnings
normalizer, an R&D converter, an operating leaseconverter, a bottom-up beta estimator and industry
averages. Try it out and make your own additions.
fcffginzulambda.xls
This model is very similar to the fcffginzu model, but it
allows the user to enter a measure of company exposure tocountry risk (that is different from beta).
Loose Ends
in Valuation
controlvalue.xls This model analyzes the value of control in a firm.
synergyvaluation.xls This program estimates the value of synergy in a merger.
brandnamevalue.xls
This spreadsheet provides different ways of estimating the
value of a brand name, although each comes with some
baggage.
complscore.xls This spreadsheet allows you to measure the complexity in a
company and give it a score.
10/17/13 Damodaran Online: Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/ 5/7
employeeoption.xls This spreadsheet allows you to value employee options and
incorporate them into value.
GrossvsNet.xls
This spreadsheet allows you to understand why the gross
and net debt approaches give you different estimates of
value for a firm.
liqdisc.xls
Estimates the illiquidity discount that should be applied to a
private firm as a function of the firm's size and financial
health. Uses both restricted stock approach and bid-askspread regression.
distress.xls This spreadsheet allows you to estimate the probability of
distress from the bond price of a company.
Focused
Valuation
Modelsddmst.xls
Stable growth, dividend discount model; best suited for
firms growing at the same rate as the economy and paying
residual cash as dividends.
ddm2st.xlsTwo-stage DDM; best suited for firms paying residual cash
in dividends while having moderate growth.
ddm3st.xlsThree-stage DDM; best suited for firms paying residual
cash in dividends, while having high growth.
fcfest.xls
Stable growth, FCFE discount model; best suited for firmsin stable leverage and growing at the same rate as the
economy.
fcfe2st.xlsTwo-stage FCFE discount model; best suited for firms withstable leverage and having moderate growth.
fcfe3st.xlsThree-stage FCFE discount model; best suited for firms
with stable leverage and having high growth.
fcffst.xls
Stable growth FCFF discount model; best suited for firmsgrowing at the same rate as the economy.
fcff2st.xlsTwo-stage FCFF discount model; best suited for firms with
shifting leverage and growing at a moderate rate.
fcff3st.xlsThree-stage FCFF discount model; best suited for firms
with shifting leverage and high growth.
evavaln.xls Three-stage FCFF valuation model, also presented in termsof projected EVA.
fcffgen.xls
A generalised FCFF model, where the operating margins
are allowed to change each year; best suited for firms in
transition.
Financial
Service firms eqexret.xls
Estimates the value of equity in a bank by discounting
expected excess returns to equity investors over time and
adding them to book value of equity.
Troubled
firmsnormearn.xls
Normalizes the earnings for a troubled firm, uising historical
or industry averages.
10/17/13 Damodaran Online: Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/ 6/7
distress.xls Estimates the likelihood that a troubled firm will not survive,
based upon bond ratings as well as bond prices.
fcffneg.xls Generalized FCFF model that allows you to value negative
earnings firms as going concerns.
Private firms
pvtdiscrate.xls
Adjusts the discount rate (cost of equity) for a private firm
to reflect the lack of diversification on the part of the owner
(or potential buyer)
minoritydiscount.xls Estimates the discount for a minority stake in a privatebusiness, based on the value of control.
liqdisc.xls
Estimates the illiquidity discount that should be applied to a
private firm as a function of the firm's size and financialhealth. Uses both restricted stock approach and bid-ask
spread regression.
High Growth
Firmsrevgrowth.xls
Estimates compounded revenue growth rate for a firm,
based upon market share and market size assumptions.
higrowth.xls
This spreadsheet can be used to value tough-to-value firms,
with negative earnings, high growth in revenues and few
comparables. If you have a young or start-up firm, this isyour best choice.
Multiples
eqmult.xls
This is a model that uses a two-stage dividend discount
model to estimate the appropriate equity multiples for yourfirm. It will give you identical answers (in terms of value) as
the 2-stage DDM model.
firmmult.xls
This model uses a 2-stage FCFF model to estimate the
appropriate firm value multiples for your firm. It will give
you identical answers (in terms of value) as the 2-stage
FCFF model.
Acquisitionslboval.xls
This program analyzes the value of equity and the firm in a
leveraged buyout.
controlvalue.xls This model analyzes the value of control in a firm.
synergyvaluation.xls This program estimates the value of synergy in a merger.
Other Assetsreval.xls
This spreadsheet allows you to value an income-generating
property as well as just the equity stake in the property.
Value
Enhancement valenh.xls
This spreadsheet allows you to make a quick (and dirty)
estimate of the effect of restructuring a firm in a discounted
cashflow framework.
fcffeva.xls This spreadsheet shows the equivalence of the DCF and
EVA approaches to valuation.
cfroi.xls This spreadsheet allows you to estimate the current CFROI
for a firm.
Basic Option
Pricing bstobin.xls
This spreadsheet converts the standard deviation input in
the Black-Scholes model to up and down movemenents in
10/17/13 Damodaran Online: Home Page for Aswath Damodaran
people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/ 7/7
Models the binomial tree.
optst.xls
This is a dividend-adjusted model for valuing short-term
options. It considers the present value of expected
dividends during the option life.
optlt.xls
Tnis is a dividend-adjusted model for valuing long term
options. It considers the expected dividend yield on theunderlying asset.
warrant.xls
This is a model for valuing options that result in dilution of
the underlying stock. Consequently, it is useful in valuingwarrants and management options.
Real Option
Models inCorporate
Finance
expand.xls
This model estimates the value of the option to expand in an
investment project. Modified, it can also be used to assessthe value of strategic options.
delay.xls This model estimates the value of the option to delay an
investment project.
flexval.xls This model estimates the value of financial flexibility, i.e, the
maintenance of excess debt capacity or back-up financing.
abandon.xls This model estimates the value of the option to abandon a
project or investment.
Real Option
Models in
Valuation
equity.xls A model that uses option pricing to value the equity in a
firm; best suited for highly levered firms in trouble.
natres.xls A model that uses option pricing to value a natural resource
company; useful for valuing oil or mining companies.
project.xls
A model that uses option pricing to value a product patent
or option; useful for valuing the patents that a companymight hold.