Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P)
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Transcript of Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P)
Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P) Model mean gradients, precip v soil moisture*, CMIP5 models, historical run
(1/1/1990-31/12/2005)
* Known as soil moisture, volumetric soil water layer 1, moisture in upper portion of soil column, moisture in upper 0.1m of soil column, depending on model
Colours show model mean gradientsStippling shows where all models agree on sign (+ve or -ve) of gradient
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MAM
JJA
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Colours show model mean gradientsStippling shows where 5 out of 11 models agree that gradients lie between the upper and lower
confidence intervals (sigma*3) from the GPCP precipitation – ERA SM gradients
DJF
MAM
JJA
SON
Colours show model mean gradientsStippling shows where 5 out of 11 models agree that gradients lie between the upper and lower
confidence intervals (sigma*3) from the ERA precipitation – ERA SM gradients
DJF
MAM
JJA
SON
Colours show model mean gradientsStipping shows where 8 out of 11 models agree that gradients > 1 mm/day per kg/m2
DJF
JJA SON
MAM