DAILY REPORT - Banca Intesa Beograd · ENERGOPROJEKT HOLDING AD BEO 13,205,000,736 Din. P/BV P/E...
Transcript of DAILY REPORT - Banca Intesa Beograd · ENERGOPROJEKT HOLDING AD BEO 13,205,000,736 Din. P/BV P/E...
Source: Daily FX
Value Previous Change YTD Value Previous Change YTD
119.8180 120.1784 -0.30% -2.96% 1.1772 1.1759 0.11% 11.93%
101.7303 102.3753 -0.63% -13.15% 1.1332 1.1332 0.00% 5.70%
105.9586 106.0803 -0.11% -7.74% 0.9072 0.9043 0.32% 5.16%
132.1328 132.9554 -0.62% -8.12% 1.2977 1.3004 -0.21% -6.63%Source: NBS 109.2000 110.0700 -0.79% 6.28%
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Value Next decision Value
4.00% 7.9.2017 0.00%
Deposit facility 2.50% 1.25%
Lending facility 5.50% 0.25%
Repo operations (one week) 2.96% -0.75%
Source: NBS Source: Bloomberg
10.8.2017 9.8.2017 Change (bps) 10.8.2017 9.8.2017 Change(bps)
2.62% 2.61% 0.01 -0.353% -0.354% 0.001
3.31% 3.31% 0.00 -0.373% -0.374% 0.001
3.54% 3.54% 0.00 -0.329% -0.328% -0.001
3.76% 3.76% 0.00 -0.271% -0.271% 0.000
Source: Reuters Source: Bloomberg, EBF
Note: Values are with 1 day delay Note: Values are with 1 day delay
Value Previous Change (bps) Value Previous Change(bps)
1.229% 1.229% 0.000 -0.041% -0.049% 0.008
1.309% 1.309% 0.000 0.235% 0.221% 0.014
1.453% 1.452% 0.001 0.878% 0.861% 0.017
-0.783% -0.783% 0.000 1.727% 1.722% 0.005
-0.726% -0.726% 0.000 1.869% 1.907% -0.038
-0.653% -0.653% 0.000 2.192% 2.237% -0.045
Sources: ICE, Bloomberg Sources: IBA, Bloomberg
Libor 3M (CHF) USD ISDA 5Y FIXING
Libor 6M (CHF) USD ISDA 10Y FIXING
Libor 3M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 5Y FIXING
Libor 6M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 10Y FIXING
Libor 1M (CHF) USD ISDA 3Y FIXING
BELIBOR 6M EURIBOR6M
Libor interest rates Interest rate Swap
Libor 1M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 3Y FIXING
BEONIA EONIA
BELIBOR1M EURIBOR1M
BELIBOR3M EURIBOR3M
United Kingdom (BOE) 14.9.2017
Switzerland (SNB) 14.9.2017
Serbia - Interbank interest rates Serbia Europe - Interbank interest rates - Europe
Next decision
Key policy rate Eurozone (ECB) 7.9.2017
US (FED) 20.9.2017
GBP/RSD GBP/USD
USD/JPY
National Bank of Serbia Interest rates Major interest rates
EUR/RSD EUR/USD
USD/RSD EUR/CHF
CHF/RSD EUR/GBP
FX rates and money market
FX rates on domestic market International markets
Currency Currency
CPI (YoY) Jul 1.70% 1.70%
14:30 CPI (YoY) Jul 1.60% 1.80%
Key events
TimeCountry/
RegionEvent Period Previous Forecast
The market pays attention to today’s announcement of july’s CPI data in
US since it is one of the most important data for future interest rate hike
by FED. CPI is expected to increase compared to previously published
data. Deviation to estimates may influence USD; if it is lower than
expected, USD could weaken and vica versa.
08:00 Germany
USA
National bank of Serbia decided to keep the key policy rate at 4% due to inflation factors and the new medium-term inflation projection, which are within the
target.
The Belgrade Stock Exchange’s overall trading totaled RSD 96.4 million (0,8 mln €). Dinar bond (with maturity in march 2018) recorded turnover RSD 59,9
mln.
Euro added 0.11% against dollar.
European equities fell for a second day to close at the lowest level since March as geopolitical tensions. Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1%.
U.S. shares posted the worst day in three months amid escalating geopolitical tension. S&P 500 down 1.45%, NASDAQ lower by 2.13%
Oil investors are back to being skeptical over whether OPEC-led production cuts are draining a global glut fast enough, keeping prices below $49 a barrel and
driving crude toward a second weekly loss.
Financial Market Analysis
Treausury and ALM department
DAILY REPORT
Flash
Dinar stronger for 0,3% against euro (119,8180).
Bank of the Group
August 11, 2017
1.08
1.1
1.12
1.14
1.16
1.18
1.2EUR/USD
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125EUR mio EUR/RSD
Turnover on FX market (right axis)
Date Currency
Source: Public Debt Management Agency
Moody's S&P Fitch
Ba3 BB- BB-
Outlook Stable Positive Stable
Date 17.3.2017 16.6.2017 16.6.2017 Sources: Bloomberg, JPMorgan
Source: Bloomberg
Date Value Previous Date Value Previous
04.02.2016 2.75% 2.79% 26.06.2017 0.55% 0.70%
02.03.2017 2.64% 2.65% 12.07.2017 1.04% 1.04%
07.02.2017 3.48% 3.49% 21.06.2017 1.87% 1.89%
13.06.2017 4.65% 4.65% 20.07.2017 2.60% 2.69%
02.08.2017 4.90% 5.00% 13.07.2017 4.00% 4.00%
20.10.2015 6.50% 10.80% 19.10.2016 4.20%
25.07.2017 5.60% 5.60% Source: Public Debt Management Agency
21.10.2014 12.99%
23.06.2016NBS key rate +
0.25%
NBS key rate +
0.25%
Source: Public Debt Management Agency
Source: Public Debt Management Agency Source: Public debt Management Agency
Sources: Ministry of finance, Banca Intesa Sources: Ministry of finance, Banca Intesa
Vrednost Prethodna UST spred
Serbia 5y 2017 1.502% 1.626% 1.502%
Serbia 5y 2018 2.166% 2.190% 0.897%
Serbia 7y 2020 2.713% 2.701% 1.325%
Serbia 10y 2021 3.007% 2.998% 3.007%
Serbia 20y 2024 6.230% 6.215%Source: Bloomberg
Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
7 years
10 years
24 month amortizing
Serbian Eurobonds yields (USD)
2 years 5 years
3 years 10 years
5 years 15 years
Maturity
3 months 53 weeks
6 months 2 years
53 weeks 3 years
Maturity
RSD Government securities EUR Government securities
Instrument Value
No scheduled auctions for today
Serbia Credit rating
Fixed income
Scheduled auctions
110
160
210
260
310
360bps JP Morgan EMBI Srbija
2.8
3.3
3.8
4.3
4.8
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
Serbian 10y Eurobond 2021
Price Yield (right axis)
1.52.53.54.55.56.57.58.59.5
10.511.512.513.514.5
Yields on RSD government securities primary auctions
3m 6m 53w 2y 3y NBS key rate 5y 10y
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.0
Yields on EUR government securities primary auctions
53w 2y 3y 5y 10y 15y
2
Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
Sourc: Bloomberg
KMBN 1,900 13,360,800 0.00% 0.00% 0.46 7.67 6.61
NIIS 700 12,801,600 1.74% 0.57% #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
ENHL 1,208 3,314,752 -0.25% -0.33% 1.57 318.36 0.53
MTLC 1,898 3,126,006 2.15% 4.29% 1.29 16.07 7.98
IMPL 4,049 1,210,651 1.17% 1.30% 1.40 14.38 10.27
SJPT 314 769,614 0.00% -15.36% #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
EPIN 2,510 609,930 0.12% 0.40% 1.60 40.63 2.68
TGAS 12,001 540,045 0.01% 5.98% 1.03 23.65 4.23
AERO 1,331 208,967 0.00% -1.41% 1.83 13.35 14.52
BNDS 2,800 168,000 0.00% 0.00% 1.97 128.80 1.56
VDPC 4,000 104,000 0.00% 0.00% 0.57 1.30 47.46
HAJD 1,000 100,000 -4.67% -4.67% 0.94 204.70 0.45
Sources: Belgrade Stock Exchange; Bloombeg
-0.31%
0.85%
0.30%
-0.76%
-0.13%
Source: Bloomberg
crobex sbi20
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
sofix bet-c
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
dj balkan
Source: Bloomberg
DJ Stoxx Balkan 50 Balkan 485.18 485.79 16.73%
SOFIX Bugarska 729.22 727.06 24.35%
BET Rumunija 8,331.22 8,395.13 17.59%
Crobex Hrvatska 1,886.39 1,892.34 -5.44%
SBITOP Slovenija 808.68 801.90 12.69%
Regional stock exchanges
Index Country/Region ValueValue from the previous
dayChange YTD
BANATSKI DESPOTOVAC AD BANAT 323,075,200 Din.
VODOPRIVREDNO PREDUZEE 155,700,000 Din.
HAJDUCICA AD HAJDUCICA 308,488,000 Din.
ENERGOPROJEKT INDUSTRIJA 495,248,100 Din.
MESSER TEHNOGAS AD 12,440,932,658 Din.
AERODROM NIKOLA TESLA AD BEO 45,639,124,850 Din.
METALAC AD GORNJI MILANOVAC 3,871,920,000 Din.
IMPOL SEVAL AD SEVOJNO 3,815,320,063 Din.
SOJAPROTEIN AD 4,677,194,536 Din.
KOMERCIJALNA BANKA AD BEOGRA 31,954,116,400 Din.
NIS AD NOVI SAD 114,142,280,000 Din.
ENERGOPROJEKT HOLDING AD BEO 13,205,000,736 Din.
P/BV P/E ROE Market capitalization
The most traded stocks on Belgrade Stock Exchange from the previous day
Company Ticker Price RSDTurnovor
RSD
Daily
change
Weekly
change
Ratios P / B P / EBelex15 0,79 12,67
Turnover 96,359,494 RSD 10,422,559 RSD 824.53%Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
801,804 € 86,884 € 822.84%
Belex 15 723.12 719.94 0.44% 0.80%
Belex line 1,556.07 1,549.80 0.40% -0.85%
Belgrade Stock Exchange
Value Value from the previous day Change YTD
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
CROBEX
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
SOFIX
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
9,000
BET
300
400
500
600DJ Stoxx Balkan 50
500
550
600
650
700
750
800 Belex 15
-0.25%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01%
1.74%
2.15%
ENHL KMBN SJPT AERO FITO JESV ALFA TGAS NIIS MTLC
Daily change of Belex 15 members
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800Belex line
600
650
700
750
800
850
SBITOP
3
Source: Bloomberg
dow jones s&p
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
nasdaq dax
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
nikkei dj stoxx
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Snežana Topalović 201-1400 Snežana Spasojević 201-3621Vladimir Gavović 201-1263 Dragomir Milin 201-3622Dušan Mojsilović 201-3613 Biljana Radosavljević [email protected] [email protected]
Darko Karanović 201-3624 Vitomir Marić 201-1315Boban Todorović 201-3627 Olivera Glišić 201-1314Dragan Ignja 201-3626 [email protected]
ContactFinancial Market analysis Customer execution office (fixed income)
Dealing Custody
Disclaimer
This overview is written to inform and does not represent a call for making business decisions and buying or selling mentioned financial instruments. Banca Intesa ad Beograd does not guarantee exactness of summoned data.
Information, opinions and commentaries in this overview are given with the best intention according to available data provided from relevant sources and as a result of professional attitudes and orientations of analytical team working in
Banca Intesa ad Beograd. Banca Intesa ad Beograd does not assume responsibility for possible loss and damage caused by business activities according to any element and contents of the overview. This document may only be
reproduced in whole or in part together with the name of Banca Intesa Beograd.
Nikkei 225 Japan 19,729.74 19,738.71 -0.05% 3.22%
Dow Jones Stoxx 600 EU 376.05 379.84 -1.00% 4.05%
FTSE UK 7,389.94 7,498.06 -1.44% 3.46%
DAX Germany 12,014.30 12,154.00 -1.15% 4.64%
NASDAQ US 6,216.87 6,352.33 -2.13% 15.49%
S&P 500 US 2,438.21 2,474.02 -1.45% 8.91%
Dow Jones Industrial US 21,844.01 22,048.70 -0.93% 10.53%
Index Country/Region ValueValue from the
previous dayChange YTD
World stock exchanges
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
20,000
21,000
22,000
23,000Dow Jones Industrial
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
2,400
2,500
2,600
S&P 500
4,000
4,200
4,400
4,600
4,800
5,000
5,200
5,400
5,600
5,800
6,000
6,200
6,400
6,600NASDAQ Composite
260
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
420DJ Stoxx 600
9,000
11,000
13,000
15,000
17,000
19,000
21,000
23,000
Nikkei 225
\
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000DAX
35
40
45
50
55
60Cena nafte Brent (USD/bbl)
1,050
1,100
1,150
1,200
1,250
1,300
1,350
1,400Zlato
\
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
Vix Index
4