Daily commodity report 17 01-2014 by epic research
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Transcript of Daily commodity report 17 01-2014 by epic research
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
17th JANUARY 2014
DAILY COMMODITY REPORT
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17th JANUARY 2014
COMMODITY CONTRACT OPEN PRICE HIGH LOW CLOSE PRICE %CHANGE OI (in lots)
GOLD 05 FEB 2014 29049.00 29141.00 28953.00 29019.00 0.12 8406
SILVER 05 MAR 2014 44801.00 44931.00 44402.00 44785.00 -0.38 10,801
CRUDE 20 JAN 2014 5803.00 5827.00 5757.00 5823.00 -0.64 10,518
NATURAL GAS 28 JAN 2014 270.00 276.70 267.80 270.50 1.40 16,175
COPPER 28 FEB 2014 459.95 460.75 454.85 459.85 -0.95 12,568
NICKEL 31 JAN 2014 896.90 903.80 887.00 893.20 0.58 6,912
LEAD 31 JAN 2014 135.70 136.50 133.20 135.75 -1.68 3,161
ZINC 31 JAN 2014 128.65 129.30 127.15 128.60 -0.86 2,744
ALUMINIUM 31 JAN 2014 108.05 109.30 107.80 107.80 0.46 2,497
DAILY MARKET WRAPUP
METAL TONNES IN STORAGE
ALUMINIUM 38800
COPPER 575
LEAD -500
NICKEL -500
ZINC -4250
LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (16– JAN- 2014)
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17th JANUARY 2014
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT
CRUDE OIL (WTI) USD/BBL. 94.04 +0.08 +0.09% FEB 14
CRUDE OIL (BRENT) USD/BBL. 105.54 -0.21 -0.20% MAR 14
RBOB GASOLINE USD/GAL. 259.22 -3.42 -1.30% FEB 14
NYMEX NATURAL GAS USD/MMBTU 4.37 -0.01 -0.23% FEB 14
NYMEX HEATING OIL USD/GAL. 298.87 +0.42 +0.14% FEB 14
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT
COMEX GOLD USD/T OZ. 1,243.10 +2.90 +0.23% FEB 14
GOLD SPOT USD/T OZ. 1,243.46 +1.07 +0.09% N/A
COMEX SILVER USD/T OZ. 20.14 +0.09 +0.43% MAR 14
COMEX COPPER USD/LB. 333.85 -0.40 -0.12% MAR 14
PLATINUM SPOT USD/T OZ. 1,437.06 +4.18 +0.29% N/A
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
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17th JANUARY 2014
COMMODITY EXPIRY SUP.3 SUP.2 SUP.1 PIVOT RES.1
ALUMINIUM 31-JAN 105.10 106.45 107.40 108.75 109.70
COPPER 28-FEB 449.52 454.68 457.47 462.63 465.42
CRUDEOIL 20-JAN 5639 5731 5780 5872 5921
GOLD 5-FEB 28777 28898 28986 29107 29195
LEAD 31-JAN 130.65 133.20 134.70 137.25 138.75
NATURALGAS 28-JAN 265.23 267.87 270.43 273.07 275.63
NICKEL 31-JAN 863.5 878.3 888.2 903.0 912.9
SILVER 5-MAR 44088 44436 44663 45011 45238
ZINC 31-JAN 125.20 126.90 127.90 129.60 130.60
INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
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17th JANUARY 2014
MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS
Symbol Expiry Date LTP Value (In Lacs) Volume (In Lots)
NATURAL GAS 28-01-2014 274.30 2,44,71,948.80 89,216
SILVERMICRO 28-02-2014 44637.00 2,77,99,92,360.00 62,280
CRUDE OIL 20-01-2014 5786.00 29,09,08,508.00 50,278
SILVER M 28-02-2014 44630.00 1,49,39,44,620.00 33,474
LEADMINI 31-01-2014 133.55 39,16,754.40 29,328
COPPER 28-02-2014 455.50 1,20,41,598.00 26,436
COPPERMINI 28-02-2014 455.40 96,27,156.00 21,140
NICKEL 31-01-2014 898.40 1,69,70,776.00 18,890
LEAD 31-01-2014 133.55 23,71,447.35 17,757
SILVER 05-03-2014 44616.00 78,84,09,336.00 17,671
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17th JANUARY 2014
SPECIAL NEWS :
Profit booking was creeping into non ferrous met-
als on MCX and is spoiling any prospects of rally in
the prices. The metal tried and move past Rs 461
per kg, which is the short term resistance zone but
failed as bears gripped the metal. LME Copper was
mildly higher while premiums on spot remained
between $ 25-30 range. LME three month prices
were quoting at $ 7316 per tonne. The prices have
been in a backwardation mode from almost a
month now.
Cardamom futures ended the Thursday's session
with nominal losses on long liquidations trigged by
strong availability. The MCX cardamom for Febru-
ary delivery ended the session at Rs 703.30, down
Rs 1.80 or 0.26%. ounce on the day. The harvesting
of the new crop had just started in Guatemala.
Crop size is similar to last year. The prices of the
greens had been reduced somewhat, as it is now
peak harvesting season of the green cardamoms.
COMMODITY BUZZ :
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI
-U) increased 0.3 percent in December on a seasonally ad-
justed basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported
today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index in-
creased 1.5 percent before seasonal adjustment. Advances
in energy and shelter indexes were major factors in the
increase in the seasonally adjusted all items index. The
gasoline index rose 3.1 percent, and the fuel oil and elec-
tricity indexes also increased, resulting in a 2.1 percent
increase in the energy index. The shelter index rose 0.2
percent in December. The indexes for apparel, tobacco
Euro zone inflation has stayed below the European Cen-
tral Bank's target of 'below, but close to 2 percent' for the
eleventh consecutive month. Inflation eased to 0.8 per-
cent as initially estimated in December, according to final
data from Eurostat, released Thursday. The rate was down
from 0.9 percent in November. Monthly inflation was 0.3
percent in December. Excluding energy, food, alcohol and
tobacco, core inflation eased to 0.7 percent from 0.9 per-
cent in November.
COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS
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17th JANUARY 2014
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
SILVER MCX:
MCX SILVER march contract was closed at Rs 4478 DOWN Rs 16, or-0.38 percent.
The SILVER rate have touched an intraday high of Rs 44931 and an intraday low of Rs 44402. So far 17660 contracts have been
traded. Silver opened at morning with gap UP and made day high. In day session silver trade in range-bound and made night high
44931.After evening Have seen more buying in silver and it will helpful to break the nearest resistance 44800 further silver will
touch level 45200 next trading session.
BUY SILVER ABOVE 44950 TGTS 45150/45450 SL 44600
SELL SILVER BELOW 44600 TGTS 44400/44100 SL 44950
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17th JANUARY 2014
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
GOLD MCX:
MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 28019 UP Rs 30 , or 0.12 percent.
The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 29141 and an intraday low of Rs 28953. So far 11640 contracts have been
traded. Gold Price is taking support at 28840 trade in range bound all day.
In evening session gold price have cracked the nearest resistance 29040 and made high of 29141
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29190 TGTS 29270/29370 SL 29070
SELL GOLD BELOW 29000 TGTS 28920/28820 SL 29120
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17th JANUARY 2014
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
CASTORSEED
CASTORSEED is in sideways these days in daily chart. MACD & RSI shows down trend but when price trend will break its
consolidation trend then only it will clear the trend. Immediate support @ 4370 and immediate resistance @ 4445. 4300 is
also a strong support level and if it sustain below it, may signing of continue the down trend.
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4445 TGTS 4475 / 4505 SL 4395
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4370 TGTS 4340 / 4290 SL 4420
RESISTANCE 1 4587.30
RESISTANCE 2 4541.70
PIVOT 4415.70
SUPPORT 1 4361.30
SUPPORT 2 4289.70
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17th JANUARY 2014
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
DHANIYA
DHANIYA Feb. taken support of 7870 and get bounce up from yesterday. but seems look weak, immediate support @ 8070
and immediate resistance @ 8250.fresh short position can be initiated below 7750 level. daily chart RSI is below 50,
also support bearish trend in Dhaniya.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8250 TGTS 8280 / 8330 SL 8200
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8070 TGTS 8040 / 7990 SL 8120
RESISTANCE 1 8175.30
RESISTANCE 2 8277.70
PIVOT 8012.70
SUPPORT 1 7910.30
SUPPORT 2 7747.70
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17th JANUARY 2014
TIME COUNTRY EVENT ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
FRIDAY 17 JANUARY 2014
03:15 BRL BRAZILIAN INTEREST RATE DECISION 10.25% 10.00%
13:45 CHF SWISS PPI (MOM) 0.1% -0.1%
15:00 GBP CORE RETAIL SALES (MOM) 0.3% 0.4%
15:00 GBP CORE RETAIL SALES (YOY) 3.2% 2.3%
15:00 GBP RETAIL SALES (MOM) 0.4% 0.3%
15:00 GBP RETAIL SALES (YOY) 2.6% 2.0%
19:00 USD BUILDING PERMITS 1.015M 1.017M
19:00 USD BUILDING PERMITS (MOM) 0.3% -2.1%
19:00 USD HOUSING STARTS 0.990M 1.091M
19:00 USD HOUSING STARTS (MOM) -8.3% 22.7%
19:45 USD INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM) 0.3% 1.1%
20:25 USD MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT 83.5 82.5
TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
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17th JANUARY 2014
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