Daily commodity market report 07-march-2014 by epic research
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Transcript of Daily commodity market report 07-march-2014 by epic research
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
7th MARCH 2014
DAILY COMMODITY REPORT
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7th MARCH 2014
COMMODITY CONTRACT OPEN PRICE HIGH LOW CLOSE PRICE %CHANGE OI (in lots)
GOLD 05-APR-14 30082.00 30226.00 29900.00 30158.00 0.16 12691
SILVER 05-MAR-14 46953.00 47360.00 46436.00 47048.00 0.51 10233
CRUDEOIL 19-MAR-14 6263.00 6263.00 6142.00 6274.00 -1.99 13302
COPPER 26-MAR-14 280.50 287.00 276.70 280.00 1.29 13097
LEAD 30-APR-14 438.20 438.90 435.60 438.90 -0.63 15563
NICKEL 31-MAR-14 932.40 952.40 927.10 934.00 1.21 9740
ZINC 31-MAR-14 130.00 130.65 128.90 130.20 -0.35 3825
NATURALGAS 31-MAR-14 130.00 130.00 128.60 130.35 -1.27 3262
ALUMINIUM 31-MAR- 14 107.10 108.10 106.35 107.40 0.28 2695
DAILY MARKET WRAPUP
METAL TONNES IN STORAGE
ALUMINIUM -6900
COPPER -1500
LEAD 1325
NICKEL -996
ZINC 8150
LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (06-MAR- 2014)
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7th MARCH 2014
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT
CRUDE OIL (WTI) USD/BBL. 101.70 +0.25 +0.25% APR 14
CRUDE OIL (BRENT) USD/BBL. 108.20 +0.10 +0.09% APR 14
RBOB GASOLINE USD/GAL. 294.59 +0.56 +0.19% APR 14
NYMEX NATURAL GAS USD/MMBTU 4.64 -0.02 -0.43% APR 14
NYMEX HEATING OIL USD/GAL. 298.32 -0.90 -0.30% APR 14
COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT
COMEX GOLD USD/T OZ. 1,350.50 +10.20 +0.76% APR 14
GOLD SPOT USD/T OZ. 1,350.58 -0.24 -0.02% N/A
COMEX SILVER USD/T OZ. 21.55 -0.03 -0.13% MAY 14
COMEX COPPER USD/LB. 321.75 +1.50 +0.47% MAY 14
PLATINUM SPOT USD/T OZ. 1,484.63 -1.06 -0.07% N/A
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
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7th MARCH 2014
COMMODITY EXPIRY SUP.3 SUP.2 SUP.1 PIVOT RES.1
ALUMINIUM 31-MAR 105.63 106.67 107.38 108.42 109.13
COPPER 30-APR 433.73 435.17 437.03 438.47 440.33
CRUDEOIL 19-MAR 6011 6064 6164 6217 6317
GOLD 5-APR 29780 29994 30115 30329 30450
LEAD 31-MAR 128.08 129.02 129.83 130.77 131.58
NATURALGAS 26-MAR 271.80 277.20 282.10 287.50 292.40
NICKEL 31-MAR 916.9 931.9 942.2 957.2 967.5
SILVER 5-MAY 46073 46633 46997 47557 47921
ZINC 31-MAR 127.73 128.27 129.13 129.67 130.53
INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
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7th MARCH 2014
MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS
Symbol Expiry Date LTP Value (In Lacs) Volume (In Lots)
NATURAL GAS 26-03-2014 283.60 2,38,48,207.60 84,091
SILVERMICRO 30-04-2014 47300.00 3,89,34,99,500.00 82,315
CRUDE OIL 19-03-2014 6149.00 42,09,54,391.00 68,459
SILVER M 30-04-2014 47306.00 2,02,65,89,040.00 42,840
NICKEL 31-03-2014 945.30 2,61,81,974.10 27,697
NICKELMINI 31-03-2014 945.30 2,19,35,686.50 23,205
SILVER 05-05-2014 47290.00 97,69,64,110.00 20,659
COPPER 30-04-2014 436.15 89,96,029.90 20,626
GOLD M 04-04-2014 30415.00 62,25,95,050.00 20,470
LEADMINI 31-03-2014 129.80 25,64,588.40 19,758
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7th MARCH 2014
TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Silver futures marginally up on global cues
Silver imports set to fall as govt may ease curbs on gold
Silver down 0.3% on profit-booking
Aluminium down 0.3% on global cues
Zinc down by 0.4% on global cues
Lead down by 0.5% on subdued spot demand
Coffee output dips 12% in 2013-14
Australia cautions India over processed food exports
Stable maize prices to aid starch makers
Oil prices mixed, eyes on Ukraine crisis
Oil prices surge as Ukraine mobilises army
Weak rupee and demand slump pull down India's coal import growth
Crude oil down 0.8% on weak Asian cues
Govt push for plastic packing of foodgrains to hit jute mills
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7th MARCH 2014
SPECIAL NEWS
The purchasing managers' index for China's non-
manufacturing sector rose to 55 percent in February,
from 53.4 percent in January. This marks the first re-
bound after a three-month decline. The sub-index for
the service sector went up 2.3 percentage points to
53.8 percent. Construction edged down 1.1 percentage
points to 59.9 percent. The index for the business out-
look picked up 1.8 percentage points to just under 60.
The steep fall in the country’s current account deficit
(CAD) is being seen as a big relief and the equity and
currency markets have responded positively. The cor-
rection was triggered by a sharp fall in gold import;
these are likely to be half of what it was in 2012-13.
The gold import bill was only $21 billion in the first
three quarters of this year, Asia Economist
of Nomura Financial Services.“The curbs, along with
lower gold prices, may lower imports to around $25
billion in FY14 from $53.8 billion in FY13 .
COMMODITY BUZZ
Gold traded down for third day as investors shifted to
equities on easing Ukraine crisis, meanwhile investors
were looking for the policy decision by BOE, ECB and
US Job data scheduled to release later yesterday Euro-
pean Union leaders are meeting in Brussels for a sum-
mit Thursday to discuss the Ukraine crisis and poten-
tial action the EU can take against Russia over its
military actions in Crimea. Asian indices ended
mostly higher on Thursday and European stocks were
higher,
The COMEX gold April delivery quotes at $1,335.30,
down $5 a troy ounce and May Silver quotes at
$21.163 an ounce, down $0.108. Local Gold futures
fell for third day tracking the weak global cues amid
strong Indian rupee against greenback. Indian rupee
appreciated to nearly two months high against the US
dollar with the counter quotes at Rs 61.24, 0.86% ap-
preciated over last close.MCX Gold April quotes at Rs
29,997, down Rs 165 per 10 grams
COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS
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7th MARCH 2014
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
SILVER
SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 46200Immediate Resistance @ 48400 SILVER MCX Closed
@47048.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 924. Open Interest was UP +0.34%, Volumes were 21475 lots.
For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.
BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47500 TGTS 47700/48000 SL 47140
SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 46900 TGTS 46700/46400 SL 47250
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7th MARCH 2014
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
GOLD
GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 29700Immediate Resistance @ 30500
GOLD MCX Closed @ 30158.00. Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 335. Open Interest was UP +3.97%,
Volumes were 18580 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to US-
DINR Movements.
BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30270 TGTS 30350/30450 SL 30150
SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30120 TGTS 30040/29940 SL 30240
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7th MARCH 2014
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
GUARSEED
Guarseed daily chart shows sideways to bearishness will continue in upcoming trading session
RSI & MACD is in below mid range that shows price may go down, recommending sell on high.
Immediate support @ 4705 and immediate resistance @ 4790.
BUY GUARSEED ABOVE 4790 TGTS 4820,4870 SL 4740
SELL GUARSEED BELOW 4705 TGTS 4675,4625 SL 4755
RESISTANCE 2 4780
RESISTANCE 1 4815
PIVOT 4845
SUPPORT 1 4710
SUPPORT 2 4675
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7th MARCH 2014
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
DHANIYA
Dhaniya daily chart, price chart bullish and will go up in future trading session ,expecting from new high again from
here onwards. trend is bullish and fundamentally also its bullish, momentum indicator RSI is near to overbought zone
Immediate support @ 9505 and immediate resistance @ 9585
BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 9585 TGTS 9615,9665 SL 9535
SELL DHANIYA BELOW 9505 TGTS 9475,9425 SL 9555
RESISTANCE 2 9662.7
RESISTANCE 1 9771.3
PIVOT 9491.3
SUPPORT 1 9382.7
SUPPORT 2 9211.3
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7th MARCH 2014
TIME COUNTRY EVENT ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
FRIDAY, MARCH 7
04:00 AUD RBA GOVERNOR STEVENS SPEAKS
12:15 CHF UNEMPLOYMENT RATE N.S.A. 3.5% 3.5%
12:15 CHF UNEMPLOYMENT RATE S.A. 3.2% 3.2%
13:45 CHF SWISS CPI (MOM) 0.2% -0.3%
16:30 EUR GERMAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM) 0.7% -0.6%
19:00 CAD EMPLOYMENT CHANGE 15.0K 29.4K
19:00 CAD EXPORTS 40.00B 39.72B
19:00 CAD LABOR PRODUCTIVITY (QOQ) 0.6% 0.2%
19:00 CAD TRADE BALANCE -1.60B -1.66B
19:00 CAD UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 7.0% 7.0%
19:00 USD AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS (MOM) 0.2% 0.2%
19:00 USD NONFARM PAYROLLS 149K 113K
19:00 USD PRIVATE NONFARM PAYROLLS 154K 142K
19:00 USD TRADE BALANCE -39.00B -38.70B
19:00 USD UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 6.6% 6.6%
19:30 MXN MEXICAN CPI (YOY) 4.20% 4.48%
22:30 USD FOMC MEMBER DUDLEY SPEAKS
TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
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7th MARCH 2014
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