Custom Target Date: Maximizing Retirement Readiness · TDFs can play an essential role in ensuring...
Transcript of Custom Target Date: Maximizing Retirement Readiness · TDFs can play an essential role in ensuring...
For financial professional use only. Not for inspection by, distribution or quotation to, the general public.
ING U.S. Investment Management will become Voya TM Investment Management in May 2014
Custom Target Date:
Maximizing Retirement
Readiness
ING U.S. Investment Management will become
Voya TM Investment Management in May 2014
Multi Asset Strategy and Solutions
ING U.S. Investment Management
For financial professional use only. Not for inspection by, distribution or quotation to, the general public.
ING U.S. Investment Management will become Voya TM Investment Management in May 2014
Custom Target Date:
Maximizing Retirement Readiness
ING U.S. IM Multi-Asset Strategies & Solutions
Presented by:
Pierre Couture, A.S.A., E.A., M.A.A.A. – SVP, Senior PM and Head of Customized Solutions
Paula Smith – Head of DCIO
Hugh Boyle – Institutional Sales and Relationship Management
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ING U.S. Investment Management will become VoyaTM Investment
Management in May 2014
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Agenda
1. Target Date Funds in a Retirement Plan
2. Bridging the Plan Sponsor Objective and Participant Demographics Gap
3. Designing the Glide Path with Participants in Mind
4. Conclusion
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1. Target Date Funds in a Retirement Plan
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Trends in the Target Date Industry
DOL guidance on Target Date Funds (TDFs) and greater fiduciary oversight has led to:
► Review of the plan’s QDIA
► Move to open architecture
► Increased interest in custom target date funds/glide paths
Downward pressure on fees has resulted in:
► Greater adoption of collective investment trusts
► Move from fully active to a blended active/passive approach
Rapid TDF growth within DC lineups due to:
► Overwhelming popularity as a QDIA
► Choice among investors who prefer TDF’s inherent simplicity
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The “Mainstreaming” of Target Date Funds
The comprehensive aspect of TDFs have a big impact on participant perception and
behavior:
TDF investors:
► Are significantly more confident about investing and in meeting their retirement goals
► Report higher contributions levels than non-TDF investors
– Greater confidence most likely leads to higher contribution percentages (>2% vs. non-TDF investors)
– More TDF investors contributed 10%+ of income than non-TDF investors (42% vs. 23%)
► Consider the convenience and built-in diversification benefits over performance
Based on ING U.S. Investment Management’s own research: “Participant Preferences in Target Date Funds: An Update: Examining
Perceptions and Expectations among Target Date Investors and Non-Investors” – an online survey of 1,017 employer-sponsored
participants from plans of all sizes in September 2013.
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The “Mainstreaming” of Target Date Funds
TDFs can play an essential role in ensuring retirement readiness. Sponsors should
consider TDFs that take into account the investment preferences of participants.
Participants prefer:
Wealth preservation rather than wealth growth, especially at or near retirement
Broad diversification among assets classes and investment manager
“To retirement” glide path
Based on ING U.S. Investment Management’s own research: “Participant Preferences in Target Date Funds: An Update:
Examining Perceptions and Expectations among Target Date Investors and Non-Investors” – an online survey of 1,017
employer-sponsored participants from plans of all sizes in September 2013.
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2. Bridging the Plan Sponsor Objective and
Participant Demographics Gap
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Bridging the Plan Sponsor Objective and Participant Demographics Gap
TDFs can reflect participant characteristics (and preferences) within the Plan
Sponsor’s objectives
Most plans can utilize an off-the-shelf Target Date product
Reasons Plan Sponsors prefer a Custom Target Date offering:
► Utilize the plan’s current investment lineup
– Lower fees
– Greater transparency
– Greater control over underlying managers
– Leverage due diligence work utilized for current lineup
► Increase diversity of asset classes
► Participant base is drastically different from the that of the average plan
► Distinct population bases within the same company plan
► Fiduciary concerns over off-the-shelf offerings
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Bridging the Plan Sponsor Objective and Participant Demographics Gap
Plan Sponsors should align their objectives and philosophy with their TD manager:
Experience
– Investment
– Operational – capability to work with various recordkeepers and custodians
Independence and Focus
– Indifferent to proprietary fund managers
Research and Processes
– Defined and repeatable
Personnel and Support
– Depth in senior investment and operational staff
– Breadth of investment offerings (e.g., manager research/monitoring, active allocation, etc.)
Communications
– Capacity to educate and support participant base
Modeling methodology and flexibility
– Ability to capture participant demographics and plan assumptions
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2. Designing the Glide Path with Participants in Mind
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Designing a Custom Glide Path with Participants in Mind
Running the model based on plan sponsor objectives and participant characteristics, a
range of optimal glide paths and associated Income Replacement Ratio (IRR) results
IRR Efficient Frontier FrameworkGlide Path Framework
Worst IRR Outcomes
Expected
IRR
Higher Risk
Tolerance
Lower Risk
Tolerance
% Equity
Allocation
Higher Risk
Tolerance
Lower Risk
Tolerance
Age
Optimal
range
Optimal range
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Designing a Custom Glide Path with Participants in Mind
Glide Paths 40-Year IRR Efficient Frontier
The presence of a DB or Account Balance Plan impacts both the glide path and
IRR-EF outcomes
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100%
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Eq
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Age
DC-Only
DC + Account Balance Plan
DC + Traditional DB Plan
DC-Only
DC + Account Balance Plan
DC + Traditional DB
55%
65%
75%
85%
95%
105%
115%
125%
10%20%30%40%50%60%
Ex
pe
cte
d IR
R
Worst IRR Outcomes
DC-OnlyDC + Account Balance PlanDC + Traditional DB
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Designing a Custom Glide Path with Participants in Mind
0%
10%
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30%
40%
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60%
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100%
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Eq
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y A
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Age
Contribution Rate = 9%
Contribution Rate = 12%
Contribution Rate=9%
Contribution Rate=12%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
110%
15%16%17%18%19%20%21%22%23%
Ex
pe
cte
d IR
R
Worst IRR Outcomes
Contribution Rate=9%
Contribution Rate=12%
Glide Paths 40-Year IRR Efficient Frontier
Slight differences in contribution rates impact the IRR-EF outcome, but not
necessarily the Glide Paths
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Designing a Custom Glide Path with Participants in Mind
Glide Paths 40-Year IRR Efficient Frontier
The uncertainty surrounding salary levels and growth expectations impact both
glide path and IRR-EF outcomes
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70%
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Eq
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Age
1/2 Typical Volatility
Typical Volatility50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
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80%
85%
15%16%17%18%19%20%21%22%23%
Ex
pe
cte
d IR
R
Worst IRR Outcomes
1/2 Typical Volatility
Typical Volatility
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Eq
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Age
7%
9%
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15%
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21%
23%
25%
-9%-7%-5%-3%-1%1%
Co
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o E
xp
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ted
IR
R
Worst IRR Outcome
Designing a Custom Glide Path with Participants in Mind
Glide Paths 5-Year IRR Efficient Frontier
Viewing the glide path range in a shorter time frame on the IRR-EF
Ages 60-64
Ages 55-59
Ages 50-54
Ages 45-49
Customized
Optimal Range
Higher Risk
Tolerance
Lower Risk
Tolerance
Higher Risk
Tolerance
Lower Risk
Tolerance
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Conclusion
Target Date funds can play an essential role in ensuring retirement readiness for
plan participants, but not all Target Date Funds are appropriate
■ Optimal glide path design follows from Plan Sponsor’s preferences and objectives
■ Optimal glide path design incorporates input assumptions
■ An evaluation framework which balances risk and IRR is necessary to ensure optimal
glide paths
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Thank you
Hugh Boyle – Institutional Sales and Relationship Management
ING U.S. Investment Management
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This information is proprietary and cannot be reproduced or distributed. Certain information may be
received from sources ING Investment Management U.S. (“ING U.S. IM”) considers reliable; ING U.S.
IM does not represent that such information is accurate or complete. Certain statements contained
herein may constitute "projections," "forecasts" and other "forward-looking statements" which do
not reflect actual results and are based primarily upon applying retroactively a hypothetical set of
assumptions to certain historical financial data. Actual results, performance or events may differ
materially from those in such statements. Any opinions, projections, forecasts and forward looking
statements presented herein are valid only as of the date of this document and are subject to
change. Nothing contained herein should be construed as (i) an offer to buy any security or (ii) a
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IM assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking information.
©2014 ING Investments Distributor, LLC, 230 Park Avenue, New York, NY 10169
Compliance Approval # 9003
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Designing a Custom Glide Path with Participants in Mind
Numerous factors affect the outcome of a target date glide
path, however we believe the most important drivers are:
1. Plan Specific Assumptions
► Labor Income Profile(s) of Participants
► Defined Contribution Plan Details
► Pension Plan Details
2. Capital Market Assumptions
Defining the Inputs
Modeling Analysis Selection
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Plan Specific Assumptions Drive Glide Path Outcomes
■ Labor Income Profile of Participants:
1. Average real income adjusted to reflect inflation forecasts
2. Temporary shocks and permanent changes
3. Correlation to equities
■ DC Assumptions
■ Pension Plan Details
* Source: ABC Corp.; ING U.S. IM; Cocco, J. F., Gomes, F. J., & Maenhout, P. J. (2005). Consumption and portfolio choice over the life cycle. Review of
financial studies, 18(2), 491-533.
Designing a Custom Glide Path with Participants in Mind
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Participant risk tolerance must also be reflected within the glide path design
Participants display an asymmetric utility for Income Replacement Ratio (IRR) as shown
below – there is diminishing marginal utility with increasing IRR
Thus, solely maximizing IRR can have an oversized effect on increasing risk relative to a
marginal gain in expected IRR
Instead, glide path design should focus on maximizing the participants’ expected utility
0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
Uti
lity
IRR
IRR Experiences Diminishing Marginal Utility
Designing a Custom Glide Path with Participants in Mind