CURRENT STATE OF ELECTIONS IN PENNSYLVANIA Policy Summit... · CURRENT STATE OF ELECTIONS IN...

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PENNSYLVANIA DEPARTMENT OF STATE ELECTION POLICY SUMMIT APRIL 19, 2017 Marian K. Schneider, Deputy Secretary for Elections and Administration CURRENT STATE OF ELECTIONS IN PENNSYLVANIA

Transcript of CURRENT STATE OF ELECTIONS IN PENNSYLVANIA Policy Summit... · CURRENT STATE OF ELECTIONS IN...

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PENNSYLVANIA DEPARTMENT OF STATE

ELECTION POLICY SUMMIT

APRIL 19, 2017Marian K. Schneider, Deputy Secretary for Elections

and Administration

CURRENT STATE OF ELECTIONS IN PENNSYLVANIA

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4,048,391

3,230,038

707,826 454,887

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

PA Voter Registration Party Snapshot - 4.3.2017

Democratic Republican No Affiliation Other Minor Parties

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764,394

1,430,325

1,263,289

1,464,614 1,564,937

1,953,562

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

PA Voter Registration Age Snapshot - 4.3.2017

18 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65+

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4,217,456

3,301,182

1,204,339

8,722,977

Democratic Republican Other Total

Voter Registration 2016

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6,071,357

5,783,621

6,223,150

5,500,000

5,600,000

5,700,000

5,800,000

5,900,000

6,000,000

6,100,000

6,200,000

6,300,000

PA Voter Participation in 2008-2012-2016

2008 Participation 2012 Participation 2016 Participation

69.34%

67.98%

71.34%

Source: PA EAVS Survey ('08, '12, '16)

Voter participation:total turnout

and percentageof registered

voters

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356,469

312,367 310,272 311,744

268,594 266,428

322,375

288,996 285,204

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

Total Transmitted Total Returned Total Counted

Total Absentees Transmitted, Returned and Counted

2008 2012 2016

Sources: PA EAVS Survey ('08, '12, '16)

*Total returned number reflects ballots returned on time as requested by the EAVS survey

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312,367 310,272

31,818

278,454 268,594 266,428

19,712

246,716

288,996 285,204

22,327

262,877

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Total Returned Total Counted UOCAVA Counted Civilian Counted

Total Absentees Counted

2008 2012 2016 Sources: PA EAVS Survey ('08, '12, '16)

*Total returned number reflects ballots returned on time as requested by the EAVS survey

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87.63%

86.16%

89.65%

99.33% 99.19%98.69%

75.00%

80.00%

85.00%

90.00%

95.00%

100.00%

2008 2012 2016

Percent Absentees Returned and Counted

Total Returned % Total Counted %Sources: PA EAVS Survey ('08, '12, '16)

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PROVISIONAL BALLOTS

32,875

48,711

23,426

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2008 2012 2016

2008 2012 2016

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10,968

7,380

14,527

17,167

11,501

20,043

7,994

6,040

9,392

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Full Count Partial Count Rejected

PA Provisional Ballot Snapshot

2008 2012 2016

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4,843

3,559

4,207

12,726

6,864 7,363

4,881

3,568 3,998

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Full Count Partial Count Rejected

Provisional History in Philadelphia County

2008 2012 2016

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10,922

2,288

211

1,135

3 122

14,913

3,660

743 639 22

441

9,268

2,274

222 275 10 381

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Not Registered In State Wrong Jurisdiction Wrong Precinct Incomplete/IllegibleBallot

Non-matching Signature Already Voted

Provisional Ballot Rejection Snapshot

2008 2012 2016

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Online Voter Registration Applications

(8.27.15 – 4.13.17)

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TOTAL 933,660 %

NEW 588,340 63%

CHANGE 345,320 37%

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Online Voter Registration Applications

(2016 Summary)

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TOTAL 858,984 %

NEW 548,418 64%

CHANGE 310,566 36%

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OVR Apps Total 17-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

NEW 548,418 208,211 149,880 68,520 54,354 41,214 25,922

CHANGE 310,566 35,475 105,877 61,119 44,167 37,064 26,721

Total(s) 858,984 243,686 255,757 129,639 98,521 78,278 52,643

Date OVR Apps Paper Apps PennDOT Apps Total Apps

2016 Summary 858,984 818,838 969,781 2,647,603

% of Total 32.44% 30.93% 36.63%

OVR vs. Paper 1.52%

16

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0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

17-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

NEW AND CHANGE OVR APPLICATIONS BY AGE 2016

NEW CHANGE

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858,984

818,838

969,781

700,000

750,000

800,000

850,000

900,000

950,000

1,000,000

OVR Paper PennDOT

Total Voter Applications by Source(2016 Summary)

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548,418

415,293

290,428

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

OVR Paper PennDOT

Total NEW Applications by Source(2016 Summary)

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310,566

403,545

679,353

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

OVR Paper PennDOT

Total CHANGE Applications by Source(2016 Summary)

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85.08%

67.62%

78.71%

69.81%

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

Approval Rate by Application Type (2016 Calendar Year)

OVR(+Web API) Web API Paper PennDOT

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11.62%

25.61%

19.71%

30.04%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

Declination Rate by Application Type (2016 Calendar Year)

OVR(+Web API) Web API Paper PennDOT

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-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

260,000

280,000

300,000

320,000

340,000

360,000

380,000

400,000

420,000

440,000

460,000

480,000

500,000

January February March April May June July August September October November December

Paper Voter Registration Comparison (2008, 2012, 2016)

2008 Paper

2012 Paper

2016 Paper

2016 OVR

2016 O+P

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Year January February March April May June July August September October November December Total

2008 Paper 41,877 71,484 381,343 23,787 76,826 87,603 92,800 110,186 284,236 310,286 16,316 21,089 1,517,833

2012 Paper 19,915 25,356 48,649 5,081 37,336 34,080 48,145 65,698 186,449 259,937 14,434 27,177 772,257

2016 Paper 26,072 32,608 73,423 16,823 30,512 63,565 72,103 96,356 152,912 210,662 16,398 19,980 811,414

2016 OVR 18,387 41,616 246,243 26,703 11,990 11,982 28,888 29,818 172,256 262,105 7,323 1,709 859,020

2016 OVR + Paper 44,459 74,224 319,666 43,526 42,502 75,547 100,991 126,174 325,168 472,767 23,721 21,689 1,670,434

HISTORICAL PAPER REGISTRATION PATTERNS 2008, 2012 AND 2016

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Missing Signature Correspondence (8.27.15 – 3.21.17)Voter requested (Checkbox) 36,424 4% of Total OVR

Print Sign & Mail 14-days 75,838 8% of Total OVR

TOTAL letters sent 112,262 12% of Total OVR

Signatures returned & approved ( Check box) 9,428 33% of returned

Signatures returned 14-day letters & approved 19,098 67% of returned

Total percentage of signatures returned & approved 28,526 25% return rate

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34,26376%

11,00324%

Signature Upload Attempts(3.7.2016 - 3.21.2017)

Successful Uploads Failed Uploads

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Approved86%

Declined11%

Pending1%

Not Yet Processed2%

Signature Upload Statuses of Successful Attempts(3.7.2016 - 3.21.2017)

Approved Declined Pending Not Yet Processed

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Online Apps853,368

92%

Web API75,647

8%

Online Applications Total(8.27.2015 - 3.21.2017)

Online Apps Web API

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Pennsylvania Precincts: 9,156

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800

Adams

Armstrong

Bedford

Blair

Bucks

Cambria

Carbon

Chester

Clearfield

Columbia

Cumberland

Delaware

Erie

Forest

Fulton

Huntingdon

Jefferson

Lackawanna

Lawrence

Lehigh

Lycoming

Mercer

Monroe

Montour

Northumberland

Philadelphia

Potter

Snyder

Sullivan

Tioga

Venango

Washington

Westmoreland

York

Number of Precincts

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0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Average Number of Poll Workers Per Precinct

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Erie

Warren McKean Potter Tioga BradfordSusquehanna

Wayne

Pike

Monroe

Carbon

Bucks

Montgomery

Delaware

Chester

Berks

Lancaster

YorkAdamsFranklinFultonBedfordSomersetFayette

Greene

Washington

Beaver

Allegheny

Butler

Lawrence

Mercer

Crawford

Venango

Forest

Clarion

Armstrong

Westmoreland

Indiana

Jefferson

Clearfield

Huntingdon

Centre

Mifflin

Juniata

Perry

Cumberland

DauphinLebanon

Schuylkill

Snyder

Union

Lycoming

SullivanWyoming

Luzerne

Columbia

Lehigh

Clinton

Cameron

Northampton

CambriaBlair

Elk

Northumberland

Electronic Voting Systems for PA Counties

Updated 1/31/2017

Direct Recording Electronic (DRE) = 50 Counties Optical Scan = 13 Counties DRE & Optical Scan = 4

Danaher ELECTronic 1242 (6) ES&S M100/iVotronic (1) Hart eScan/eSlate (3) Sequoia Edge

II (1)

ES&S M650/AutoMark (2) ES&S iVotronic (24) Premier TSX (16)

ES&S M 100/AutoMark (11) Hart eSlate (1) Sequoia Advantage (2)

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System Number of Machines Statewide

Danaher 1242 6,139

ES&S iVotronic 1,1116

Hart eSlate 592

AccuVote TSX 3,799

Sequoia Advantage 1,409

Sequoia Edge II 624

ES&S Model 100

(w/AutoMark)

1,315

ES&S Model 650

(w/AutoMark)

11

Hart eScan 410

TOTAL: 25,361

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0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Average voting machine Per Precinct DRE Counties

Average Per Precinct

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0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

AVERAGE NUMBER OF SCANNER/ ACCESSIBLE MACHINE PER PRECINCT

Average Per Precinct

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