Current Coping Strategies and Adaptation to Climate Change Dr. Barry Smit Professor of Geography...
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Current Coping Strategies and Adaptation to Climate Change Dr. Barry Smit Professor of Geography Canada Research Chair in Global Environmental Change University of Guelph UNFCCC Expert Workshop on Local Coping Strategies New Delhi, 12-13 November 2003
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Transcript of Current Coping Strategies and Adaptation to Climate Change Dr. Barry Smit Professor of Geography...
Current Coping Strategiesand
Adaptation to Climate Change
Dr. Barry SmitProfessor of Geography
Canada Research Chair in Global Environmental ChangeUniversity of Guelph
UNFCCC Expert Workshop on Local Coping StrategiesNew Delhi, 12-13 November 2003
Existing Coping Strategies to CurrentClimate-Related Risks
how related to
Adaptation to Climate Change
Climate-Related Risks are Part of Climate Change
Drought
Years
• more hot days and heat waves• fewer cold days, frost days• more intense precipitation events• increased risk of drought• increased tropical cyclone peak wind intensities
• intensified droughts and floods
• increased Asian summer Monsoon precipitation• increased intensity of mid-latitude storms
Climatic Conditions as Part of Climate Change (IPCC TAR 2001)
Scenario-Based Approach
Climate ChangeScenario
BiophysicalImpacts
Socio-EconomicImpacts
Adaptationsto Impacts
Residual orNet Impacts
Net Impacts = Impact - Adaptation
Vulnerability = Impact - Adaptation
V = I - A
CurrentAdaptiveCapacity
CurrentExposure
FutureExposure
ClimateScience
SocialScience
CurrentVulnerability
FutureVulnerability
Vulnerability Approach
FutureAdaptive Capacity
CurrentVulnerability
• Current climate risks are part of climate change
• Local coping strategies are the basis for adaptation to climate change
• Technologies are just part of adaptive capacity• Promotion of Adaptation (as committed to in UNFCCC) requires local level initiatives
