Currency Swaps. © 1999-2003 1 Overview of the Lecture 1. Definitions 2. Motivation 3. A simple...
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Transcript of Currency Swaps. © 1999-2003 1 Overview of the Lecture 1. Definitions 2. Motivation 3. A simple...
Currency Swaps
© 1999-2003
2
Overview of the Lecture
1. Definitions
2. Motivation
3. A simple example
4. A real world example
1. Definitions
© 1999-2003
4
Presentation
• There are two main kinds of swaps (currency and interest rate) but many different variations exist.
• As a whole, the swaps market is by far the largest financial derivative market in the world.
• Currency swap is a long-term financing/hedging technique. It helps manage both interest and exchange rate risk.
• It can be viewed as a series of forward contracts.
© 1999-2003
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Currency swap
• A currency swap is an agreement to exchange principal and fixed interest in one currency for principal and fixed interest in another currency.
• The initial value of the contract is usual chosen to be zero.
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Properties• A currency swap gives the parties to the
contract the right of offset, that is the right to offset any nonpayment of principal or interest with a comparative nonpayment.
• A currency swap is not a loan and therefore does not change the liability structure of the parties’ balance sheets.
• There is an exchange of principal (unlike for interest rate swaps).
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A bit of history
• Before 1981 companies were involved in back-to-back loans where they agreed to borrow in their domestic currency and lend to each other these currencies.
• The long-term currency swap transactions started in August, 1981.
• The World Bank issued $290mln in bonds and used the dollar proceeds in currency swaps with IBM for German marks and Swiss francs.
2. Motivation: Cross-currency comparative
advantage
© 1999-2003
9Usual conditions for a currency swap
• In general, currency swap assumes that one counterparty borrows under specific terms and conditions in one currency, while the other counterparty borrows under different terms and conditions in a second currency.
• The two counterparties exchange the net receipts from their respective issues and agree to service each other’s debt.
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Example 1
Suppose two firms, A and B, can borrow at the fixed rates of interest as follows:
$ €
Firm A 10.0% 12.2%
Firm B 12.8% 11.0%
© 1999-2003
11An absolute borrowing advantage
• Observe:– Firm A can pay 2.8% less than firm B on the debt
denominated in U.S. dollars. – Firm A must pay 1.2% more than firm B on the debt
denominated in euros.
• Therefore:– Firm A has an absolute advantage in borrowing in the
U.S. dollar market.– Firm B has an absolute advantage in borrowing in the
euro market.
• The minimum rate in each market could be reached.
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Example 2
Suppose two firms, A and B, can borrow at the fixed rates of interest as follows:
$ €Firm A 10.0%12.2%
Firm B 11.0%12.8%
© 1999-2003
13A comparative borrowing advantage
• Observe:– Firm A can pay full 1.0% less than firm B on the debt
denominated in U.S. dollars. – Firm A can pay only 0.6% less than firm B on the debt
denominated in euros.
• Therefore:– Firm A has a comparative advantage in borrowing in
the U.S. dollar market.– Firm B has a comparative advantage in borrowing in
the euro market.
• The total cost of borrowing could be decreased.
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How does it happen?
• Firm A may be an American company and/or known better to American investors and financial institutions.
• Firm B may be a German company and/or known better to German or European investors and financial institutions.
3. A Simple Example
© 1999-2003
16Firms need financing in a foreign currency
• Suppose firm A wants to borrow €30M to finance its new production line in Germany.
• Suppose firm B wants to borrow $20M to raise capital for its subsidiary in the U.S.
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Scenario 1: direct borrowing
• Firm A borrows € at 12.2%.
• Firm B borrows $ at 11.0%.
• The combined cost of borrowing for two firms is 12.2+11.0 = 23.2%.
© 1999-2003
18Scenario 1: initial cash flow diagram
German Bank
€30M12.2%
U.S. Bank$20M11.0%
Firm A Firm B
GermanBranch
U.S. Subsidiary
€30M
€30M
$20M
$20M
© 1999-2003
19Scenario 2: indirect borrowing (with a currency
swap)• Firm A borrows $ at 10.0%.• Firm B borrows € at 12.8%.• Firms swap currencies at the beginning and at
the maturity of the contract.• Firms pay each other’s interest payments.
– Firm A pays firm B 12.8% on €30M, €3.84M.– Firm B pays firm A 10.0% on $20M, $2M.
• Firm A compensates firm B for borrowing € at 12.8% rather than $ at 11.0%.
© 1999-2003
20Scenario 2: initial cash flow diagram
U.S. Bank
$20M10.0%
German Bank€30M12.8%
Firm A Firm B
GermanBranch
U.S.Subsidiary
€30M
€30M
$20M
$20M
€30M $20M
© 1999-2003
21Scenario 2: interest flow diagram
U.S. Bank
$20M10.0%
German Bank€30M12.8%
Firm A Firm B
GermanBranch
U.S.Subsidiary
€3.84M
€3.84M
$2M
$2M
€3.84M $2M
© 1999-2003
22Scenario 3: final cash flow diagram
U.S. Bank
$20M10.0%
German Bank€30M12.8%
Firm A Firm B
GermanBranch
U.S.Subsidiary
€30M
€30M
$20M
$20M
€30M $20M
4. A Real World Example:Kodak’s Zero-Coupon Australian Dollar Swapthrough Merrill Lynch
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Kodak’s financial needs
• It needs at least $75M for 5 years.
• In the U.S. market it can borrow at 7.5% (50 basis points above U.S. Treasuries).
• Outside the U.S. it can borrow at 7.35% (35 basis points above U.S. Treasuries).
© 1999-2003
25Merrill Lynch’s market analysis
• Investor interest in non-dollar issues is much stronger in Europe than in the U.S.
• Kodak should issue a Eurobond debt dominated in a currency different from the U.S. dollar.
• Australian zero-coupon issue is selling very well in Europe.
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The beginning
• Kodak issues a A$200M zero-coupon, 5-year Eurobond.
• Net proceeds to Kodak were A$106M or 53% of A$200M.
• What is the Kodak’s cost of the Eurobond issue?
5$Ar1
A$200A$106
13.5%r$A
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27What can Kodak do? - alternative 1
• Kodak can obtain its desired $75M by converting A$106M at the $/A$ = 0.7059.
• Kodak is exposed to fluctuations in the value of the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar.
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28What can Kodak do? - alternative 2
• Kodak enters into a 5-year swap contract with Merrill Lynch.
• At the beginning of the contract, Kodak swaps A$106M for $75M.
• Over the life of the contract, Kodak pays 7.35% of $75M ($2,756,250 semiannually) to Merrill Lynch.
• At the maturity of the contract, Kodak swaps $75M back for A$106M.
• Kodak’s currency risk exposure is eliminated.
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The position of Merrill Lynch
• The currency risk is fully transferred from Kodak to Merrill Lynch.
• Is Merrill Lynch happy with that? No.
• What can Merrill Lynch do? It can enter into a currency swap with a party that is willing to pay $ in exchange for A$.
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Merrill Lynch’s currency swap conditions
• Merrill Lynch enters into a swap contract with an Australian Bank agreeing to make semiannual payments of LIBOR less 40 basis points.
• The Australian bank cannot swap A$200M. It can only swap A$130M and pay Merrill Lunch 13.39% semiannually.
• Merrill Lynch still has currency exposure because it is left with A$70M (A$200M-A$130M).
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Merrill Lynch’s next step• Merrill Lynch exchanges the remaining A$38M
(A$106M-A$68M) for $27M in the spot market.
• Merrill Lynch enters into a forward contract with the Australian bank to exchange $37M for A$70M in five years at the rate $/A$ = 0.5286.
• Now Merrill Lynch is no longer exposed to currency risk.
© 1999-2003
32Merrill Lynch’s last risk exposure
• Merrill Lunch is exposed to interest rate risk.
• Where does this risk come from? From Merrill Lynch’s floating rate obligations on the A$68M for $48M swap with the Australian bank.
• What can Merrill Lynch do? It can enter into an interest rate swap with a party that is willing to pay a floating rate and receive a fixed rate.
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Conclusions• Currency swaps provide real benefits to both
parties.
• Currency swaps are beneficial when there exist cross-country barriers to full arbitrage.
• Currency swaps are useful when long-term capital is needed and the forward foreign exchange markets are not well developed.