CubeSat Or Microsat Probabilistic + Analogies Cost Tool ...

17
CubeSat Or Microsat Probabilistic + Analogies Cost Tool (COMPACT) Joe Mrozinski & Michael Saing Copyright 2018 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.

Transcript of CubeSat Or Microsat Probabilistic + Analogies Cost Tool ...

CubeSat Or Microsat Probabilistic + Analogies Cost Tool (COMPACT) Joe Mrozinski & Michael Saing

Copyright 2018 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged.

What is a CubeSat?CubeSat = Extremely small (i.e. Nanosat scale 1-10kg) spacecraft of standard dimensions that hitchhikes to space with a traditional spacecraft.

• Standard Form Factors: how many “U’s” is your Cubesat? 1 to 6 U’s:

A “1U” Cubesat is roughly 10x10x10 cm

A “2U” Cubesat is twice as big

3U:

6U!

5/29/19 COMPACT 2 j p l . n a s a . g o v

5/29/19 COMPACT

What is a Microsat?

A Microsat is simply a satellite with mass between 10 kg and 100 kg.

Most 1-3U CubeSats are 1 - 10 kg, and fall into the “Nanosat” range. But a 6U Cubesat likely has a mass >10 kg and thus would be a microsat.

CubeSat Or Microsat Probabilistic + Analogies Cost Tool (COMPACT) COMPACT is

exploring CubeSats first.

3 j p l . n a s a . g o v

5/29/19 COMPACT

NASA does not have a CubeSat Cost Estimating Capability…

Graphic from: “CubeSat Technology and Systems,” Janson, S., Presentation to USGIF Small Satellite Working Group, 27 May 2015

…But NASA clearly needs one -- ASAP!

Most of these

“Nanosats” are

Cubesats

4 j p l . n a s a . g o v

CubeSat Mission Funding Opportunities

NASA Funded Opportunities for Cubesat MissionsAO Cost Cap (FY18$M)

EV Suborbital $33EVM $166

EV Instrument $35 Cubesat, or $96 Instr.INVEST (ESTO) ~$3 - $7

SIMPLEx $15 - $55

5/29/19 COMPACT

NASA needs a CubeSat Cost Estimating Capability

5 j p l . n a s a . g o v

5/29/19 COMPACT

COMPACT has collected and normalized data for

25 CubeSats

6 j p l . n a s a . g o v

CINEMA EDSN GRIFEX LMRST

5/29/19 COMPACT

O_OREOS KickSat

Firefly

ASTERIA

CSUNSAT-1ISARA

NEA Scout

RainCube

IPEX

TEMPEST-D

M-Cubed 2SkyCube

SporeSat-1 MarCOPSSC-2

NanoSail-DM-Cubed PharmaSat

RACE RAX 17 j p l . n a s a . g o v

Current Key CubeSat Data

5/29/19 COMPACT

i.e. parameters likely to drive cost

CubeSatLaunch Date

(Actual or Planned)

Mission Type Developer Type # U's Mass (kg) Power (W)

Development Schedule (B/C/D)

Design Life (months)

ASTERIA 8/14/2017 Science JPL 6 11 20 28 3CINEMA (1) 9/13/2012 Science University 3 3.15 2.9 44 12CSUNSat-1 4/18/2017 Educational University 2 2 4DHFR 8/26/2017 Tech Demo JPL 3 5.03 10 3EDSN 11/3/2015 Tech Demo Civil 1.5 2 1 10 24Firefly (1) 11/20/2013 Science Civil 3 3.51 3.62 36 3GRIFEX 1/31/2015 Tech Demo JPL 3 4ISARA 11/10/2017 Tech Demo JPL 3 5 56 48 5KickSat (1) 4/18/2014 Tech Demo University 3 6 4 24LMRST 10/8/2015 Tech Demo JPL 3 4.6 8MarCO 5/5/2018 Tech Demo JPL 6 12.7 64 21 6.5M-Cubed 10/28/2011 Tech Demo University 1 1 1.2 30M-Cubed2 12/5/2013 Tech Demo University 1 1 1.2NanoSail-D (2) 11/20/2010 Tech Demo Civil 3 4 4NEA Scout 7/1/2018 Tech Demo JPL and MSFC 6 12.3 50O/OREOS 5/19/2009 Science Civil 3 5.2 12 18PharmaSat (1) 5/19/2009 Science Civil 3 5PolySat (CP8) "IPEX" 12/5/2013 Tech Demo University 1 1 1.5 24 6PSSC-2 7/10/2011 Tech Demo Civil 2 3.7 5 6RACE 10/28/2014 Tech Demo JPL 3 5 1.5RainCube 5/20/2018 Tech Demo JPL 6 12 35 17 2RAX 1 (USA 218) 11/20/2010 Science University 3 3 8 12SkyCube 1/9/2014 Educational Commercial 1 1.3 4 24 3SporeSat-1 4/18/2014 Tech Demo Civil 3 5.2 36 2Tempest-D 2/1/2018 Tech Demo JPL 6 14 21 21 3

8 j p l . n a s a . g o v

Lessons Learned so far

• Two classes identified1. Student built (pizza money or course credit)2. Non-student (paycheck and a 401K please).

5/29/19 COMPACT

Likely to require 2 separate cost modelsNeed more data to support multiple CERs.

9 j p l . n a s a . g o v

Lessons Learned so far• “Older” CubeSats had to design and build their own

buses, avionics, power subsystem, etc.

“Newer” CubeSats can purchase cheap COTS parts – and just focus on the payload

5/29/19 COMPACT

Models may need to weigh newer CubeSats more heavily

10 j p l . n a s a . g o v

Lessons Learned so far• “Older” CubeSats were smaller, aka, less U’s

“Newer” CubeSats will be bigger, aka, will use more U’s (many 12 U studies recently). Also, CubeSatsparts are being considered for “larger” microsats.

5/29/19 COMPACT

Will the models be able to extrapolate to larger designs?

11 j p l . n a s a . g o v

51 COMPACT Targets for Data Collection and Normalization

5/29/19 COMPACT

Launch Date Mission Project ManagedApr-17 CXBN-2 Morehead State University

Aug-17 Dellingr NASA - GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

Aug-17 OSIRUS 3U Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pa.

Nov-17 EcAMSat NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, California

Nov-17 RadFxSAT Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tenn.

Nov-17 EagleSat Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Prescott, Ariz.

Nov-17 MiRaTA Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Mass.

Nov-17 MakerSat Northwest Nazarene University, Nampa, Idaho

May-18 EQUiSat Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island

May-18 CubeRTT Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio

May-18 HaloSat Univeristy of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa

May-18 MemSat Rowan University, Glassboro, New Jersey

May-18 RadSat-G Montana State University, Bozeman Montana

12 j p l . n a s a . g o v

5/29/19 COMPACT

51 COMPACT Targets for Data Collection and Normalization

Launch Date Mission Project ManagedAug-18 ALBUS NASA GRC, Cleavland, OH

Aug-18 CeREs NASA - GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

Aug-18 CHOMPTT University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida

Aug-18 CubeSail University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, Illinois

Aug-18 DaVinci North Idaho STEM Charter Academy, Rathdrum, Idaho

Aug-18 ISX SRI International/ California Polytechnic University, Menlo Park, California

Aug-18 NMTSat New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, New Mexico

Aug-18 Rsat United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, Maryland

Aug-18 Shields-1 NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, Virginia

Aug-18 STF-1 West Virginia University / NASA IV&V, Morgantown, West Virginia

Dec-18 DAVE California Polytechnic University, San Luis Obispo, California

Dec-18 ELFIN University of California, Los Angeles, California

13 j p l . n a s a . g o v

5/29/19 COMPACT

51 COMPACT Targets for Data Collection and Normalization

Launch Date Mission Project ManagedDec-18 SurfSat University of Central Florida, Orlando, Florida

Oct-18 CACTUS-1 Capitol Technology University, Laurel, Maryland

Oct-18 CAPE-3 University of Louisiana Lafayette, Louisiana

Oct-18 EXOCUBE-2 California Polytechnic University, San Louis Obispo, California

Oct-18 INCA New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, New Mexico

Oct-18 MicroMas-2b Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Lexington, Massachusetts

Oct-18 MiTEE University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan

Oct-18 PICS Brigham Young University, Provo, Utah

Oct-18 PolarCube University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado

Oct-18 Q-PACE University of Central Florida, Orlando, Florida

Oct-18 RadFXSat-2 Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee

Oct-18 TechEdSat-7 NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett, California

Oct-18 IRVINE02 University High School, Irvine, California

14 j p l . n a s a . g o v

51 COMPACT Targets for Data Collection and Normalization

Launch Date Mission Project ManagedOct-18 WeissSat-1 Weiss School, Palm Beach Gardens, Florida

Nov-18 ARMADILLO University of Texas at Austin, Texas

Nov-18 LEO (CP9) California Polytechnic University, San Louis Obispo, California

Nov-18 StangSat Merritt Island High School, Merritt Island, Florida

Nov-18 CAPSat University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois

Nov-18 CySat-1 Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa

Nov-18 HARP University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Maryland

Nov-18 KickSat-2 NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett, California

Nov-18 SPACE HAUC University of Massachusetts, Lowell

Nov-18 TechEdSat-8 NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett, California

Nov-18 TJREVERB Thomas Jefferson High School, Alexandria, Virginia

Nov-18 UNITE Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana

Nov-18Virginia CubeSat

ConstellationOld Dominion Research Foundation, Norfolk, Virginia

5/29/19 COMPACT 15 j p l . n a s a . g o v

Stay Tuned!

Questions?

5/29/19 COMPACT 16 j p l . n a s a . g o v

jp l .nasa.gov