CSP Potential for Europa until 2030 - BINE · Today: Remove Technical Barriers to Increase...
Transcript of CSP Potential for Europa until 2030 - BINE · Today: Remove Technical Barriers to Increase...
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Dr. Nikolaus BenzDr. Ing. Luis Crespo
CSP Potential
for Europa until
2030
European Solar Thermal Electricity Association
Energy Forum DESERTECApril 2008 Hannover Messe
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A European Association built on the basis of the former European Solar Thermal Power Industry Association, « ESTIA »Constituted in June 2007Created to support the emerging European industry for the construction of solar thermoelectric power plants in Europe and abroad, mainly in the Mediterranean region (MENA)Involves all main actors in EuropeIs based in Brussels in EREC house
What’s
ESTELA ?
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Industry
Members
of ESTELA
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CSP Technologies
Dish Stirling: - Size 25 kW (modular) - few installations operating - applications competing
with PV
Parabolic Trough
Linear Fresnel
Solar Tower
Dish Stirling
Parabolic Trough:- Size: 50 - 200 MW - proven utility scale technology - commercial operation since 1984- preferred technology for new plants in USA/Spain/MENA
Linear Fresnel: - Size 50 - 200 MW - in development
Dish Stirling: - Size 10 - 25 kW (modular) - few installations operating - applications competing
with PV
Solar Tower:- Size: 50 - 100 MW - Demo plants built in 80‘s
- First commercial 10 MW plantin operation in Spain
- New 20 MW almost completed- Larger projects announced
in USA
Provide sustainable, clean and reliable Power from 10 kW to 200 MW
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Current and Future Markets
excellent good suitable not suitable
Sour
ce: S
olar
Mill
enni
um A
G, E
rlang
en
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Renewable Energy goals in Europe
DRAFT DIRECTIVE 2008
Renewable Energy 2020:
20% of final energy
34% of electricity (2005: 15%; 2020: 1200 TWh)
MaltaLuxembourg
United KingdomBelgium
NetherlandsCyprusIreland
HungaryItaly
GermanyCzech Republic
Slovak RepublicGreecePolandSpain
BulgariaFrance
LithuaniaSloveniaDenmarkRomania
EstoniaPortugal
AustriaFinlandLatvia
Sweden
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%Share of energy from renewable sources in final consumption
Target 2020Actual 2005
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Roadmap for CSP Plants(installed Power)
Potential of CSP in Europe: installed capacity and annual energy production
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
2012 2020 20300
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
TWh/
a
60 GW / 170 TWh
30 GW / 85 TWh
4 GW / 11 TWh
GW
inst
alle
d Spain Portugal Italy Greece Cyprus+Malta
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Spain: feed-in law is the driver
10 Plants inConstruction(470 MW)
About 60 projectscurrently under development
Today:
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Remove Technical Barriers to Increase Competitiveness
Remove Capacity Limits Allow for full flexibility in Hybridization with other Renewables and Conventional Power Systems to maximize Efficiency and DispatchabilityExpand the European Grid to harvest the renewable power resource and distribute it to where it is needed
Some
Ideas to
make
this
happen
(i)
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Ensure stable and bankable Financing Instruments
Longterm and stable Feed-In-Tariffs have proven as the most efficient instrument for sustainable renewable market penetrationEnsure that the Kyoto instruments such as CDM and JI are applicable to CSP and mechanisms are bankable and sufficient.Establish loan guarantee programs via existing windows at multilateral banks,Use of existing mechanisms (national, global environmentaland development programs)
Some
Ideas to
make
this
happen
(ii)
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Open Transnational Renewable Energy Market Inside and Outside EU
Let renewable electricity cross Intra-European borders (Schengen for Green Electrons)Let renewable electricity enter the European Union from outsideEstablish bankable transnational renewable transfer tariffs for such interchange
Some
Ideas to
make
this
happen
(iii)
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world
EU25
Europe Electricity demand can be covered in MENA
Electricity import from Northern Africa is viable option 0.4% of Sahara area covers Europs electricity demand (world: 2%)HVDC technology provides efficient transmission (~10% losses)
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150 MW ISCCS at Hassi R’Mel
244 MW ISCCS at Ain Beni Mathar
146 MW ISCCS at Kuraymat
100 MW in Abu Dhabi
ISCCS Plants in Morocco, Egypt and Algeria with small solar shareMorocco and Egypt funded by GEFProject in Abu Dhabi in development
MENA First Projects in a Promising Future Market
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Shake Hands with Northern Africa
Tap Africa’s unlimited solar resourceShare the technology, know-how and employmentBuild up an industrial and human resource base for the implementation of CSPDevelop economic relationships and create an investment framework by supporting electricity market liberalization in North AfricaSuch CSP employment opportunities will offer alternatives to emigration
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Roadmap for CSP Plants(Cost reduction)
2005 2010 2015 2020 20250
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2600 kWh/m² DNI (MENA)3%/a cost reduction
2100 kWh/m² DNI (Spain) 3%/a cost reduction
Range between 2% and 5% cost reduction per year
Wind, Spain
PV, Spain
Year
Sal
e Pr
ice
(ct/
kWh)
What brings the cost down?
Innovation in systems and components
Improving production technology
Increasing the overall efficiency
Enlarging the number of operation hours
Bigger power blocks
Reducing the O & M costs
Learning curve in construction
Economies of scale
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Grant the Future for the Next Generation
Next generation technologies will significantly drive down costsPre-commercial demonstration plants allow next generation technologies to enter the marketDemonstration plants need loan guarantees from the EU to cover the technology innovation risk
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The Role of the EU
Push technology, pull demand, push generation
Market development and penetration:Install demand pull instruments, promote feed-in-laws as most powerful instrument to push generationOpen the European transmission grid for solar power from North Africa and secure this power import by implementing demand pull instruments
Technology:R&D-funding for material, component and system development (e.g. coatings, storage, direct steam/molten salt systems, beam down, ...)Fund demonstration plants to push new technologies
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Key Success Factors to make this vision comes true
Technical and economical success of the first projectsStable green pricing or subsidies to bridge the initial gap in LECs (e.g. feed-in tariffs)Successful cost reductionStrong R&D to leverage the potential of technical improvementNew markets and market opportunities (Power from North Africa to Europe)Strong CSP industry
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www.estelasolar.eu
European Solar ThermalElectricity
Association