Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
-
Upload
vozdraokano -
Category
Documents
-
view
221 -
download
0
Transcript of Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
1/184
LRK\\RKMD\LRK\\RKMD\ Toe Fmledkjhmj Akrehgj kchlx @kurjmc
\ik~`e# M~rhc&Kltkber 2>>? Qkc* H# Jk*4
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
2/184
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
3/184
& &
Hdejthtx
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer \dthrkc /\kuto tXrkc(&Mctk Mdhge0 deqeck~fejtk M \fMcc Mutkjkfku\ ~rkqhjle hj jkrtoerj htMcX ***********************
A Gc toe hdejthtX k lpelo\ Mjd \ckqMi\hj toe eurk~eMj lkjtext ***********************************************
F terphkq\Ih c ~ \tmjIkq\Ih toe lrhthlMc rkce ktoe fMledkjhMj dhM\~krM hj fMledkjhM\ hjtegrMthkjhj toe eurk~eMj ujhkj Mjd toe gckbMc elkjkfX *************************
q kbuhjm jMthkj \tMte Mjd eurk~eMj hdejthtX ***************************
m bmxIkq Mlet\ k hjtegrMthkj0 toe rkce k hdeM\ hj \oM~hjgeurk~eMj Mjd eM\t M\hMj ujhthe\ *****************************************
^kchthl|
e | reoj toe hf~Mlt k uj \elurhtX lkujlhcre\kcuthkj =>>***************************************************
e rmFm re&hjqejthjg toe Woeeclhthpej\ rhejdcX lhthe\ ***********************************************
o g Ikjrmd kj toe rkMd tk gejder defklrMlX ******************************
\ g IerhF dke\ gckbMchpMthkj feMj toMt jMthkjMc\kqerehgjtX h\ kj toe delchje; ******************************************
e mjdreeq\Im e f mphrh toe uj M\ M dh\~ute \ettcefejt\X\tef0 toe rkce k toe \elurhtX lkujlhc ********************************
m | o* bm`reItmreqhl qerthlMchpMthkj k oh\tkrhlMc ex~erhejle\0
eurk~e\ Mjd M\hM\ \elurhtX \trulture\ \trulturMc \hfhcMrhthe\ Mjd dh erejle\ *********************************
k j t e j t |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
4/184
& 4 &
c teqdkq\Ih lucture M\ qeohlce k gckbMc dhMckg ****************************
\kqerehgjtx
G \teAmjkq\Ih lohje\e Woh\~er\ *********************************************
F i om`dhj`mI drhqhjg hj toe Wrkjg dhrelthkj0~MrMdkxe\ k toe \ckqejhMj lkjle~t k lhthpej\oh~hj toe chgot k toe eurk~eMj qMcue\ ***************************************
W ag g ^etrht\lo \kqerehgjtX# \tMte Mhcure Mjd oufMjhtMrhMj
hjterqejthkj toe hjterjMthkjMc lkffujhtX hj toe ~k\t&Xugk\cMq \~Mle ************************************************
e i d* \trmtej\loucte jeW \trulture\ kr eurk~e; toe eu Mt toehjter Mle k ht\ exterjMc Mjd hjterjMc dhfej\hkj\ *************************
F Frdmc` toe ~erle~thkj\ k oh\tkrX# greMt ~kWer\ Mjd toe bMciMj\ *********************************************************
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
5/184
& 5 &
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
6/184
& 1 &
\dthrkc & Mctk Mdhge0dhe Ejtwhlicujg ehje| icehjej mutkjkfej
Cmjde| hj Jkrdhtmchej
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer
\d kc C d f d \~ og ~~ f \ o ~ i d g f od kf o \~ o& d I c w c # d f f M k kf # d k
c Qk b cd o k~kc o Ik i c g o g cc w d* W i f d p d w c o M o o d M k kf ; Wk b
d k g \d kc~ i d w d f b cc ; W q c~kc o E w ic g \d kc Mcc g;
m w m # m M w
Mbtrejjujg \dthrkc| qkj |terrehlo \ M b | p f ej | e |t j W ti | &u m f m wm i
b m ~ \ b w m
m m \ m m 55 % mm # w b
wm m f m wm m m m # w m m
m \ m mO t m \ m \
2>>= \ m m 4 % m m \ #
b +M M # ~ m # m 4 7 4>> } m
( +\f u A j|q t m | \m mjmlo f
ej | e |t j W ti |/=> 8 =8=8( w \
\ i m m f m ~m m / +M
d e j t h t x
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
7/184
& 7 &
\dthrkc /\kutO tXrkc(&Mctk Mdhge0Deqeck~fejt k m |fmcc mutkjkfku| ~rkqhjle
hj Jkrtoerj Htmc
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer
\k o Tx kc ~ kq k o c g g g k ~ # d k o bb w o G f d Rkf wk cd k o c g g d c d o
k kfk o fk cx k d d dq g wo kf k o o k ~kc c k *
Okw d d o o ~~ d wo i d k ~ ~ q dk o k kfx o Wox d okw w o \d kc~ i ## k f d ; Wo i d k q x d x ~kcc dk \k o Tx kc o q ;
T m m } m w w
\e~mrmthkj k \kuto rkc rkf Mu|trhm \ m M m
M &o m m m wm m w m m } m m M m
w m m =5% m m m # m 45% m m m m
m m m m m # m m wm m
# m m wm m m m m
m m m \ m m 2>>=0
& 18% m m m & 21% m m m m & 4% m m m
m \ / \ ( m b m m m 48> >>> m m m
\ i m m m ~m m / +M
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
8/184
& ? &
m m m m m im m
Dhe Peht de| Am|loh|fu| b m M m m m
M m m m b m Fmlot j Am|lo |t j f @mo
=822w M w m w m # \ m
W wm 4 % b w ~ b +\ m f m # 4> @mpw W wm
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
9/184
& 8 &
7 4>> 2 w /~ m ( +\
b m m \m m /m W Wm /=> 8 =8=8( \ m
w m w m
^erhkd k toe Am|oh|fm m a m m # a
m m M m m m m M m
wm m m m mm w m m m m m m
W Wm m m bm m m m # m 4> m m
W Wm &
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
10/184
& => &
f M m M im w m a
m &M m m m 0 M m
b m \ mm m m m p ( m iwm m M 0 m m
m \ m ~m m m m m \
& f f m m \ m m
m w m m w m m m W &
@m m w wm M p w ~ m m
w w ~ b w m w
M m & wm m # m @m m w
m M \ mm m # # =8 Mb m \ m m= =< M
\ m /m \ m=
d | m | M ~ml | m m \ m | # ` i | # u m f \ m h m m 6 j m| | *
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
11/184
& == &
w w m # M m w m m m m
m Tm m m Mm m m m m
M # ~m m wm m m m m m m m mm m } m m m m m m m
b m wm mm m m m m w
} m wm m w m wm m
m # b m m m mw m m
m m m w m w m M m m m
M m m m \ /\ =84? m m ~m m m w a m
~m m =841 T \ m w m m m m w
T m w m \ m m \ /
m m m m m m m T m wm +M
m m T b m +b m M \ m =84?
m m m m w m m m
b # m m m m =# =< m m m / w m ~
# \ ~( T m m m m wm w b m m m m m m } m m
T m w m m m ~m m
T m m m \ m m m \ m m w
w m m m m m
=
T | h m m m | w m md m m l | m m m \ m | | m \ m | | m\ m | m h m m w m| | | *
\ /\ t (&m m g
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
12/184
& =2 &
@m m p m m m m m
fm m /~ m m m
m wm # m m m om p wm # m ~
~m m m M w wm m m \
wm m w p m ~m m m
# wm ~ \ ~ m =854 m b w
m \ m # w m m m W m M & m
Ck| qkj rhejt- p m m m @m=857 m
b 5 >>> W m m p wmm # w m m
\ m im \m W m m m
M \ m ~m\ q |Fm jm m \ =857 >> \\lo || \ f j |i j b B p j ~ \ wm ~ #
b \ m m wm \ m w \ f W 0 fm m M \
=858 m b m 0 \m m M om w m w
b b W m m m M
m m \ b m \ Q jt j Jmt j j m \ m m u & m
=81> # m m ~ b
m a @m w
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
13/184
& = &
\ \ ~ =854 ~ ~m \ m M m m w m m
Cemqe rejtk =857 m m T
5#>>> w b m m m m m w
M ~ ~m \ \ m =857# >> m m \
wm \ m m m m m m
Tm w wm w fm m m m m m \
=858 m m m T ~ ~m T m m wm m
m m } M m m \
M m# M m m u m m w m m wm m m
=81> m m u m m m w M m m m a m
~m m wm a
Xemr| k Bkfb| T m m m w
m m T m \ T a m m m =851 m =857 m
\ =81= M m m
@ m o &@ &\ m /w m m m \ ( T m 47
w T m w m m \
T m \ m m m w
m m m T wm m m\ T w m w m m m
w # m } \ m m m m
\ /\ t (&m m g
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
14/184
& =4 &
Dhe Bkfbej`more @m f =81> wm m
m # m b `m M m =85
M m w \ M M =2 @ # o &@ &\ m # `
w m \ # m m m m m m w m 47 o m m
\ m w m w # w m \\ m m \ m
\ m p m m w \ m
b m wm m m \ m
wm # M m m W \ & m f p m m
m # m m fm m m
M m ~m m ~ m m
=81= m m # w ~ m m m M m m ~m i m m m # m
m =814 i M m m m w mm m
m & m w =81< m f & &m f M M f wm # i m m m ~ w
Dm| ^miet =811 wm m w m m w
m m t j f ~ t |lo | Fmjmof jbj \ b # m m^mi t
\ m m ~m fm m \ ~ m
m # m m m m ~m
m w m m m p m w M w m # m u
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
15/184
& =5 &
m m m m # w mm m m m m m
=81= m m m m m m m m m ~m w == m m # 7 m m m =814 m T
m m m w M m M m mm m w m
T m m m m m m wm m # # m
m m M f
^mlimge T m =811 wm M m m
m m m m \ # m ~m m T M m
m ~ ~m \ m w ~m T m m a m }m m m m m ~m m
m m m / m m m (# m m w
m ~m m T ~m m m m m wT ~m m m =% ~ ~m \ # \ ~# w m m m w ~m m m
m f m # 5
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
16/184
& =1 &
m ~m m m wm =818 = % m\ wm m p ~m =818 m m m f
5 % |\t m i ff j| j j ^ q jp j w
m m b \ M m M
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
17/184
& =7 &
T wm m m w m m w
m m } m wm m wm # m m m m m
m m m m M # mm m wm m m T m wm
m M m m m m m `
m \ =817 w m m m m wm
m wm m m w m m
m m M m m 8>% m m ~m m m m m m \m m m T
m m T w m m w m
m m m m m m T m m m m w m m m
b m / m m| g ( m m m
m m m m m m =882# m 2> m m \ m m m = m
Te Mutkjkf h| Jkt \tmthl m =882 \ m m
m m m m m m M M m =885 ` m u m =8
M m # a m T b m m m m
m m M m m
2>>= m &\ wm
m m mw m m m m m m m m m m m
\ /\ t (&m m g
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
18/184
& =? &
\ m m m m ~ w m pw m
~ w m \ \ m M
M m M w wm m mm ujb om j / |m ( jt tm j |lo|~ mlo jB q i j ?>& @m
m m \=882 m 2> @m m m pw M
w m = M m
Dhe Mutkjkfhe h|t iehje |tmth|loe Mjgecegejoeht* M m =882 m \ p
M w m m # b b\ m wm
M =885 |t lo e ~ |lo j uj j m =88? m \ M i m m # w w Wmb # m w m # m b
m p m m wm m # m ~
b m 2>>= w m \ m &\
m m @m m m m # |mft|tmmt lo j A m | j
b m wm \ b
E| wmr ehj cmjger Weg pu hffer feor Mutkjkfhe*\ b|tb |t ff j # w w w # m
m m m m w b m m ~m w o
w m / m m/M wm o m m \ m &
# w f w \ m \ b o w
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
19/184
& =8 &
w m w m m m m m m m m
Te Rkmd tk m Gremter Mutkjkf Belmfe Ckjger mjd Ckjger T m } m &m m wm
M m m m m w o m f m
m /w m m m m \ m m m m m m m( m m`
wm m w \ wm wm m # m w } m
2 m m # m m m m m u
wm m m m m wT m m m m w
m M m m m m m m m m
w m T m m m m w
m m w m m m m b m \ m T m \
m m m m m m m m # ~ ~m
m m m m m
m w # m m w m m m w m m #
w # m m m m w m m
\ m m # m m mm m a m m m m T m m
m m m m m m 1> m
2
r m m| | m m } | |* T | m w m m m | | | g
\ /\ t (&m m g
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
20/184
& 2> &
f \ # \ i mm w
e| wm w o lot W p# i m r j p m \ m2 Mbbm g jp j# m M w \ mm m b u
o m w # m m m m\~mjj j j pw |lo jj toj |lo j g ~~ j w w #
w \ m # m b m
\ m m m \ mi m \ m m w M
M m # mm |lo q |tmj j ^mt t |f |` \ m i w
m i &@ mw b wm b& m m \
m m m ~m # \ m w u w Mb|lo tt j m
m m \ M M m # m b w w
w m m\ M m
~m m # M m # w \ w pw b w \ m w w
bm om m wm M m M m \ w
w m a m &w m om M w # b m & ~m
m f m m m m
2 h | M |m w m o m | m
M | h m m * d j eu b | | m | cm * \ w w # cm m m m \ m m # m
\ ~~ Iu\\tmt\loer
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
21/184
& 2= &
\ /\ t (&m m g
T r A f o | # k # r ~ F
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
22/184
& 22 &
h f I i q g # r ~ F
A | 2>
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
23/184
& 2 &
tOe hdeJthtX kA LPeLO\ MJd \ckQMi\hJ tOe eurk^eMJ LkJtext
A Gc
m m \ m # m m w # m m m m # m # #
m m M m m m m m m w # w m m
# m m w &m
T m m m w w m \ m # # ~ # o m m # m #
@ w # # m # m # & \ m m # #
m # m m m mm m m m m m
} m m m \ m m m m # m mm # m m m m ]
# m m m ~ m m m m m
T m m w w w m m # w
m m w m T m m m 0
= \ m m m m w m } m m m m o w # m m m & a
2 m m w m T w
m m # m m m
gm | d e \ # \ c \ | q ` | | q~j ~=8?8 m m m m r l q~j*
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
24/184
& 24 &
< m # m m # m m w m m m o w # }
m m
m w m m m m m # m w
4 ~m m m m m m m m m
m m m m m m
5 T m m a m m & m m m
a m m m # m m
w m m m m m m
f m m m m \ m m T w m m m #
m m m T m m m m 0 T \ m m m # w
m m T m m m m m m m T m m m # w \
m m m \ m # m m @m # w m m
m im m# ~ m m T \ m m m m # m m w
m M m m m w
m } # \ m # @ w m
w # w m m w m T/ wm m \ m # m wm m mm m m \ m m o w # w
& m m m m m
m m w m m &m m m m
m m w m # m m 0 w m wm m \ m m w m wm @ w ;# m
w m m m \ m m m m m &\m # m m m m m T w m m f m
A Gc
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
25/184
& 25 &
\ m m # m m m @ w # b
m ;m m m w w m
\ m m u m m b m m m w m m m m m m # m m
m m m m m m w m m
m m m b m m m m# m m
/ & ( m w m m m T m m
\ m m m m Wm m T m m m m w w m m / m pm m m( T m m
m m w w m m o wm w a m m m m m
m # m # w mm m # m m m m T m
# m m m m m m a m m
w m w & a m m m m m m
m m b m m w a w m m m
m m b m m W m m# m m m m
m m`m m m \ m m m w w m m m m m
# m # # m b m# # m # m m m m w & m
` m m b ~m m m # w # m m m m w
m w m m m m m m m m w m &M
m m m m m # m m # m
w m m m w
m # m m m
T h a l | \ i| e ~ l
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
26/184
& 21 &
M w 0 w m # m @ ~ #
`m # m ~m m m ~m T m w m w
m
\ ~~ f =
Te text h| oemdhjg hj toe dhrelthkj H mgree whto* M m w m a # 0 o w
m a m m ; m ~ m M w ~m # m
f m m # m m m m # m
m m m m m
m m # m m m m \ m m m m
m m m m T w w m fm # m m
m m T m m # m
m m m m wm m m m
# m m m ` # ` # m # m # m m m
M m m m w m m m ~ m W m m m m }
m # m m m # m m m m # m wm m m m m m m m m m m m m m m
m m m m m m # m w # m
m m m m m m w m m m m m
m m w m mm m o m m m
m m m # w m M m m m M m m # m w m m # M m m m M m m m
A Gc
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
27/184
& 27 &
m m m m m T bm m w m m m m m m # i m m
m a m w m m m w m m m w m T m m
m m m # m m m a m w m m m m w m
m m w m # w m wm m T m # w
m w m m a # w m
m m m T # m m # m m
w m m # m m # w m M m # m # m WmT m m
m # m wm m# # m
b # m m # m f w w m & m m
m T m m m
m m m m ~ m / m ~ m ( m # wm } m m
m # m m # m m # m
m m m # m m # m m m T m w #
m m # m # m m m w wm
w m # m m m m # wm T w a a m # m w
` o i
\ ~~ f 2
# m m m m T \ m
m w m m o m T m m m m m
T h a l | \ i| e ~ l
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
28/184
& 2? &
# } m w m w w m m m m # m w m w m a # m m
m # w # m #
m wm m w ` m a m m m m
w w w m mm & m m
m w m m m & # w m m w m o w
m w m # m m m m m
m } w m m m w m a
M 0 w m T m m a
m w m mm m m ( m m m
m m m # w w w mwm m m m m m m # w m m w # w T
m m m m m m wm # w m m m
wm m M m &T m m m m m # mm m m m T m
m m m # m m wm m m m m M m X m
m # m m m T m m m m
m m m w m m m # m m m m m ` /~ M m #
\ m m( m m m m w
m wm m m # w # w m m m
\ m m m # m
^ A
A Gc
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
29/184
& 28 &
tOe LrhthLMc rkce kA tOe FMLedkJhMJdhM\^krM hJ FMLedkJhM\ hJtegrMthkJ
hJ tOe eurk^eMJ uJhkJ MJd tOe gckBMc eLkJkFX
F terphkq\Ih c ~ \tmjIkq\Ih
Hjtrkdulthkj fm m m m m m =?
fm m m m m fm m mfm m m m w m m m m m m w m u\M# m m m m M
u T fm m m m fm m wm } m
w X m m o w #
=88=# fm m m m m w fm m m w m fm m m m T m m } 0
W | F d |~ F e ~ u g ff ; W m m & m w m m
m m # a m m m m # m m m m bm m m Q | j Fml j m 2>2># m & m W
m w m m m m
fm m w w m # a mm m w ` w m w m m m m
T fm m m m m m m m m w m m m m m
m m
d f t | | e d m M|| * ~ || m l
e | # m e | m l m d de r | m l # d m ~ m \ m u\ m | | l e k m l e M | m m
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
30/184
& > &
fm m m m fm m m # w m m m u m m
w m m fm m m m fm m m m w w
fm m m m m m w m # ww m m fm m w # w m m fm
m m m w m # a m m m m m fm m m
Gckbmch|mthkj
M \ /2>>7# 4(G | f~ || | f g|0 w | i w g # | g |# g f f f f g |
g | w g | ~ * T g ~ g | | w
g w 0 g ~ | || | | f i g |# w g | f w f i w ~
~ | | ~ ~ #g| ~ f | w | || |*
T fm m m m m m 9 m m m wm
m m m fm m # m m m m w
m # fm m fm fm m m wm m
m m m m m T m w # w w
m m m fm m m w m m m # m m m m m m m m m
w m m m m m & m fmm m m m # a m m
m fm m m m w m fm m m u m m
Hjtecceltumc Lm~htmc A w | i w g
T fm m m m m m m w T m m fm m
F terphkq\Ih c ~ \tmjIkq\Ih
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
31/184
& = &
m m m m m fm m m m m
m o w # m m m m ~
fm m m w m m fm m m m fm m m m m m m w
m fm m m m m m # a m m m m m m T w
w m fmm w m 0
d ~f h W | W F h T m w } f
a m M m m /fM M( m m m fm m m m# w m m
fm m f m m m m m # a m mm ~ fm m# f b
m M &fm `m m \ M
^ hf~ f F 2>2> q | l T ~ f == fm m m fm m/ M m fm m# ~ fm m# m fm w m m m \ m a2>2> mT == \ w m m m m m T m
m m m m m m w
m m w m m m
T 2>2> fm m w m m m fm m m fm m m m /
~ fm m# m fm m ~ m( m m w w T fm m m fm m
m w w m m w
fm m m m # m m m fm m wm m
T l r a F d |~ F | h g
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
32/184
& 2 &
` m m m m /w ( m fm m m
\omrhjg k lucture| m fm m m fm
w wm m fm m m =8>< / m m m ( m 0
h g | w | f~T fm m m m m m a m
m m T fm m m w fm m m m m w
m # # m m T m w fm m m fm m m
# a m fmm m
o w # m Tm m w
T m w m m # w m m
T fm m m m m w fm m m m m m
m mT m m w fm m
m m m \ # /2>>7# 4( m m w m fm
m m w T fm m m m m m
fm m m fm m m m fm m m m m T fm m
Ahjmjlhmc Lm~htmc T F d |~
fm m m m m m m m mm m 75>#>>> fm m m m m =+<
m $5>#>>>Mu m # fm m m m $=2 5 m m fm fm m
m m bm &b m m wm m m T bm &b m w =841 m =814 m m m m / m
m fm m m m( m m m m m m m m
F terphkq\Ih c ~ \tmjIkq\Ih
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
33/184
& &
fm m m m m m fm m
m # fm m m m m m fm m m o w # fm m
\ =88=# fm m M m m m w m fm m wm m f m
/ ( fm m m m a m m m w
fm m m m
A g h | f \ T fm m m m m & m
fm m m m m w m =7 m m 0 m fm m
M m m m ~ M \ m & fm m
i & M~ m m w ~ b m`T m w m m m M
m` # fm m m m m wm m m m
m w m m m m m 7 # m M
fm m m w m w fm m m m o w #
m m T fm m m m m m m
m m m # M m m
M m m& m m /M m m m m M w m =#>>> M m m m m m m
m T M m m ~m m M m
# T fm m m m m m fm m # } m
w m M m m m m M m m w
T l r a F d |~ F | h g
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
34/184
& 4 &
^kchthlmc Lm~htmc T fm m m m m a m
m m T fm m m m m m m fm m m fm m m
=884# fm m f m m a m m m ~
&fm m m / m m m 55#>>>(m wm m m M m m m
m fm m \ m fm m \ m m fm m m m
T m a m m T m m w m m a
M m m m m m m m fm m m m m =885 T o M m m m w m a m
m m w m m m fm m
G | || w f r ~ F m m m m W r ~ F
| g | | f ; T m m T fm w m m
m w m m m fm m m m # w a m m
MT fm m m m m m
fm m m m m T m fm m W m m / bm m m m
m ( fm m =8=2 m w bm m Wm # wm 5 fm m m m m
# w m m fm m /m w ( m
M m m # m m w mwm w m a m M & m Wm =84?&48# 5>#>>> fm
w m m mm w M w
w w X m MT m` m m m w
m o w # # m m m u m
m m m w w m m m m m W
F terphkq\Ih c ~ \tmjIkq\Ih
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
35/184
& 5 &
m # w m w m T m w m M m
m wm m m fm m # m M m
& m \ m w m \ m w m M mi m M m m M w M m m w m \
m m m w m a m m w w & m
m m m m
m m m m w
mT fm m m m# m m # m m fm m
fm m m fm m m m m m w# m wm # w w
m u m M m m m m` m m
T fm m m m a m m m m m M T fm
m fm m m m fm m m m M m m m m m u\M m m
m m m w fm m T fm m m fm m m m
M m m w m m =5> fm m m m 2 M
Lkjlcu|hkj
W w m ~ ~ m u ~ w w fm m m m fm m m
u w m m 0= m fm m m m M
m ~ f w m2 fm m 0 2>2> ~ m
== \ fm m m T m m / M
~ fm m m fm m ~ m(< m u fm m m
T l r a F d |~ F | h g
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
36/184
& 1 &
4 m +bb m fm m o m fm
5 m m =>> u m
f m m m m M m1 m m m m m m fm m W W 7 ~ m m m m
? m m fm m m 8 m m w fm m=> m m M m m m m
T fm m m m m fm m m m m m w w
w m m m / m M m m m m w m
m } m # w m m m m m m m # fm m m m m # # m # w m m
m m / M (# w m m fm m
Reaerejle|0
\ # @ # fm m m W # W W m mm # # fm m# b m # T ~ } ~ u\M /2>>1(
F terphkq\Ih c ~ \tmjIkq\Ih
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
37/184
& 7 &
JMthkJ \tMte MJd eurk^eMJ hdeJthtX
q kbu hjm
=*Hjtrkdulthkj m m m } m m
w m m w w # w m m m` 0 # # m m m m m T
m a b w m \
m m m w m m w w w }
m m m m m w
m m m m m m M \ am m m m m m
m m o m /=( m m /2( m m m m m m
a # /
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
38/184
& ? &
m T W m \ # m w m m m m
m m m m m \ m m m m m
m m m m m u m m w w w w m m m m m w m m m
m m m m o w m w a m# m a m M \ mm m m # m
m # # m m m /\ # =88=0 =4( m m m
m m m m # w w m m m wm m m m # m m
m ~ m w m o w
m m m m T mm m # m # # m # m
f m m m 9 m # m m # m m
2>> m w m mm m a m 9 m # m M \ # m mw m m
T m /Wm # =88
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
39/184
& 8 &
m # m m m m m =# m m m # a m #
# m # m m m m m m # } m
m m & m M m m m m m w m m m m m m # m m m
m m m m # m m w m & m m X m m
m m m m m m m u # fmm m # w m
m m m w m~ m m m m a m & m m
w# m m m m m W m m & m u m m & m M a m m m m #
& m m u m m & m m m m m #
m m & m m m mm # w m m # m # m u #
\ m b m m m mm m m m m m m
m m m w m m & m m ` m m w T m m
m m m m o w # m m m
m a # # m m m m # w m
m m m m m m ; fm} m ; M w w# u m m m m
m & m m ` u \ m m m m m m ;
>4(
= b | || | w h| m | m | m e m w w m m | # w m |m m | e
* b w m | e m | m ; h | # | h| m w | a | | | m | m | # m w |mT m| | h| m | d m m e m f | | |
j \ e ~ h
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
40/184
& 4> &
m w m w m m # m #
m m m m m w m m m m
m m w m M # w m m m w mm m m
m m m m m T m a m m
\ # m m m m mm m & m m m a m
# # + w m
m u m m a o w # m m m w m
m m T w a m
m m m m & m M
w m m m m m m
m m m m m m m # m
m m m# w mm # m m m m m m m m
m m m m w m m m m
m m m m m m m m
m m # w w m m m # # m m m
w m m m u m w M # m m m m m m
m m # w m # m m b # m m ;
m m M w w ; T w m m
m m m m 9 m m w m m # m m m m m &
/ # # =88?0 22
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
41/184
& 4= &
m m=88?# m m m m m mT a m m # m # m
m m ~ m # m m
w m m m w m mm m m m m m & m m
u T m wm m m # w w m
u m m # m m mm m # m m m
\ m Xm \ m m u 9 m m m m
m m m m m m m m m / # # 2>>4( W
m m m m # m m M m b w m
m w m m` mm m m m
~ m m /2 m m m m
u T m m m /7= %(# \ m
%(# b /57 %(# m /55 %(# M m /5> %( m u w w wm` b # ~ m /52 %( m m /5< %( m`m m ui /17 %(# \w /1= %(# m
/1> %( m m /51 %( m m m m m m m
m & m m m m mu # w m m m
b m # m & M u m m m m m m mm m m m m b
/48 %( m ~ m /47 %(# w m m m /58 % (
m m m m # w m # m m
a m m m m # m m # m M m m m m m w 2>>5 M w
m 4 % u m m # m 4? %m m m # m 2>>a => % u w m m
m m m m m m 52%
j \ e ~ h
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
42/184
& 42 &
w m m a 42% u25 m m m m m
m u \ m w mm & m a m m #
m m m /42%( m # & m m m m /5%( 2>% m M
m m m m m m m m m m # w m m #
w m` m m m m m m
m m # m m m m 9
m m m m m # m m m m # m # m m u
m m ` \ a m m m m # m m m # m
\ W Wm w # # m m m
M # m m + w m m m T m
w m m m m m w m m m # w m
w m m / W m m m m ; ~
m m m \ m # u ~m m m # w m m m
m m \ wm wm m m m m M #
m m m m m m m m w m w m m a # m
4* Eurk~e whtokut Jmthkj; m m w m #
m m ; m # m m m
w m w m m m w m
m m m m m u m m w w m m m m
m } w # m m
q kbuhjm
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
43/184
& 4 &
# m m m m m # m
m m ` m m } m m m m m
w & m m m m m mm m w m
m m m b # m m & m
m m m imm # a m m m # m m
m m m # # m m m m m m m m m m
m m m m m m W mm m w m & m m
m w m m # ~ m m m m m u
m m m # w m m a a m # m
m m m m m m w m m m m w m
w m m wm # m m m m w m w m
w m # w m m m m m m # # m m m m m m m m
m / m # =884(# m m m # m w
m m m m m m m m m m a m ` # `
M m m m m im o m m m m m m m m m m b # m m
m w m m m # m u b w m m 9 m m m m
w m m m m T m m
m m m u m m & m T m m
m wm m m m @T m m m w m
j \ e ~ h
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
44/184
& 44 &
m w m m a m w m # m m M
m m m m m # w m u
5*Lkjlcu|hkjm m m m m # ~ \ /
=7( m w / w m m m
m W m # w m m w # =882# m m m m
m w m m m m u m w#
m # m # # m m m f m b m
m # m m m m m w w m m m m m # m m # m mm m m# w wm m m m m
# m m # w m m m # m m u #
m m m w m m m w m # m m m m
m w m m m M m m m
m m m m m m w m m m # m m m m om m mwm m a am m m # mm M \ m m m # w w m w b # m
9 w m m w o w # m m m m m #
q kbuhjm
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
45/184
& 45 &
Chtermture0
b # u # m 9 /2>>4(d | i |f ~ | e ~# \ m mb # f 9 /=885(b j |f# # \m
# p m @ /2>>4(j | \ g | e ~ h g ^ |~ | # u ~m /2>>>(o w e ~ | | f| | # m m
@ # M # m # @ # i # M # i # ~ # im m f 9 /2>>4e ~ j h | eu| k j w F f \ |0 e # l # h
\ f l f~ | # m m ~mm # f /=884(^ |f l |f ~ |f# b w =805# /=884(
\ # ~ 9 /=882(e ~ m j w l b ;#m # 5# \ # M 9 /=88=(j h # om w # ~\ # M 9 /=88?(j |f F |f* m |
|f# ! w X # Wm # /=88
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
46/184
& 41 &
l mf f /k t i | (# \i ~ # =1
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
47/184
& 47 &
AMLet\ kA hJtegrMthkJ0Te Rkce k Hdem| hj \om~hjg Eurk~emj
mjd Em|t M|hmj Ujhthe|
m bmxIkq
m m m m } m a mm m m w m & & m m # m
m & m m f m mw m m
f m w m m m `
m m m w m u m \ M m# m m \ M m# m w m
m T m m m m # #
# # m m W m m m # m m m a m m m m
m T m m m
m } u& m # m m m m w u&
M m m m w m m m m m M m # m m m
a m m m m m w m # # m m m
a m T m m m m m m m m m # m
M w m m m m m w
M bm # c m d m M r | m hu | 9 o | m ~ d lm m # fghfk u | # | m 0 g mr m | m g m d *o | m | e A g ^ # T r || m cm m
| m h t | # r || m ~ r w hr m g m ~ |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
48/184
& 4? &
m m m m m m a ` m m
T m m m m m m m
M m m m m m m m m m & m m
m m m u m # w m & m w # m m }
m b m # m m T m
m m m m m & m m
~ m m w T m m m m / m M m m M m
m m m M m m ` a m m m m
wm w m a m m m w m m m m m
m` m m m m mm & m m # m M m m m
m m m m m w m m m m m w ` m W m m M m
=T m m m m m m w m
m m m = T m m m m
m m T m 0 m m m 9 m m m 0 m w
m m m m m w m & m
m m m m
= T e m h m T * M ` W ! T m| d |* * k2>>5* ~*54 1=*
m bmxIkq
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
49/184
& 48 &
T w m m w m m m mm m m b m m
& m m
w w m m m m T m wm m u m M m m m m w m
m M m / M (2 m w m m u m m m m<
m m m m 4# m m m m m
# m m M m m m m
u m m m 5
# a m m w\ / 2>>2(# # m T }
m m mT u & m m m m m
& m T u m m m } m a m` m
m # ?>% m m # w m m m m M m m m # m
m m1
2 T em| M| m l | M\eM\ |# M |p m m # @m m m \ i m* T a | eMl | wm| dc *
< T | m | m | m m | w m | m m m m |#
m | * h | w m4 \ f*q* T e m u m lh\0 m m m | m
=888* ~* == =8*5 T ~~ m m m m | m |
m w | m m m m m m m m | m | | m
w | |* T m | m wm| m| | m m |# w | | | m # w | | m m m wm| m |
| m # m m # m m m m m | m m| | m m |
1 T | | e~= m m | e~2 m w # m | m | m m m m |
m m |# m| w m| | m m | m
m m m m m |* e~2 | m m | mm m |# | m || |# ~m m | m f*q* T e m u m lh\0 m m m | m m m
A | a h g 0 T r a h | \ ~ g e ~ e | m
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
50/184
& 5> &
} m w & w m m m u w m m m m
M m m m m m m m m m
~ | *T m m m m m m m m m m m m m # m m w m m m
m a # # m # m & m m W m =81>&7> m & m m m
w m M mm m m m m # # m # m
m m m @ m # m M m m / (# m T
m m m M m m m m m m wm W
m } m m m m m &
m # u m M /m w m m M m( m m
/ m m m m ( T m m` m m m
w m m m m m m # w wm
m m m m &WW W w m & m m | || } ||#
g | | | ~ f g ~~ #w m W m m u&
w m # m m m w # m m m m
m m m w wm mm a m m u
m m m m w M\ M7 m M~? mm m m m w m m m M m m m m m m m m m m 7 M\eMj M|| m \ em| M| m jm | | m m
m =817 bm * M | | blm m# cm |# fm m | m# f m m # \ m # Tm m # ~
? M~el M| m ~m a e l m | w | m |
=8?8 lm m* h w | | 2= | M | m m# b # h | m# lm m m# l m# fm m | m# f # j w p m m # ~m m j w g\ m # u\M# Tm m # tm wm # ~ |# l # \ i
m bmxIkq
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
51/184
& 5= &
m m m w m m m m m m m m
m m m m m m m m m m m m m 8
T m m u# M\ M &M~ # m m & m m m # m m m m & m
w m # m m m m m m a m
m T # m m m m m
m m # m # m m m #
m # # m wm m m m m f | g | | w m m m m m m
W m } # m u # m m
m w w m } u m
m m # m w m m #W |
mT m m m m
m m m m m 0 m m m m a m
m fm m m m m m m m & m w# a m m
m m m m m=> m m m m # \ m
m # m m m M \ W Wm W m
m a m` wm m& m m M m mm m / &=81>
m m m m ~ | # w m m m
W m M m a m
8 \ m m | m | | m m m
| } m a m` m m | |# m m | m m| *=> F i b |* r m | m g m m em| M| m* ~m m fm
A | a h g 0 T r a h | \ ~ g e ~ e | m
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
52/184
& 52 &
w & m m w / m Wm =87
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
53/184
& 5 &
m m # m # m m m & # m m m m T m m
w # m m m m &
m m m m m f m m m m M m w m m & m
m m m m m m w m m
w # m m w m # m & m
m m m M m # m u # m m
m =2 b m m w m w m u
m m m m m mT / ;( m m m m m m m m T m m m m
m &2> M m ` m w w W Wm
m m m # m m m } m M m m m m
m m # m & m m # m
m m m m M m m m=<
M m m m M m m # m m m
a mm # m m m m
m m m # m m # W m
2 T m m wm m
m u m m M m m m m m m } m
m m m w 0 =2
h *# ~*2=?*=< m d* o* ^ * l m l 0 T e M\eMj j |* b | l m Xlh\\ W ~m * j 44* @m m 2>>7* ~*5*
A | a h g 0 T r a h | \ ~ g e ~ e | m
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
54/184
& 54 &
m m # # m # m ( }
fm m m m m mm m } m m m m m
T m w } m w w W M m M # m m m m # m m mm m T a
b m m m M m ~ m m m m u m
m M M\ M wm m m w a m m m m m m m m m M \ m m m m m
m =8?> m m m m=4 M m m
M\ M m m \ m } m \ i m m m wm m m m m ~ m m m m
m m b m m m m m u m M m
m m m m m wm m m m m m
m w m m m m w m W m
m m m m m m m & m m m b m
& m m m` m m m m m m 0 w m m
m m mm u# m } m
M m m } m m m M m T m & m
m # m fm m m m m T m # w # m m m
m m m # T m` m
m # # m m mm m m m m
m M m m wm mm m u
=4 T m m | m m pm m
w | * X # => m | m md b # d b w # I | i | # d F ` | * t wm | h m d m ~m a M|=88
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
55/184
& 55 &
m m w m w m m
m # m m m mm ; ~ m # m w b
w m m /m m m ( T }
m m w m m M M m /m e | M m ( m &
m m m m & m m m / m m # #
m m m m m
m m mm m m m # m m m
u m m m m m m m m
/w ( m m /w m u ( f # u m m m
m m u # m m # m
m m # m m m # m m u ( w m
w u m m m u m a
m m m a m m M m m
a m m m w M\ M m # m w ~m a
a m M m wm u m m m m m m m M m
m m m # # m m m m w
m m m m m m mm # m m w & m
m m & m m m m a m M m# m W * T e ~
g w | w f | f g |f* w | f | | | g |f # & gg || T } w W m m
m & m w m m
A | a h g 0 T r a h | \ ~ g e ~ e | m
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
56/184
& 51 &
* * *T m m # m mm m m m T w `
w # m # m m m
m m m / m ( b m m M m m wm m m & =5T m m m w
w mwm m m w m w # m m
m m m M m m m w u\M# m
T m M m m # m # m ` m m m w m m m
m m m m m T & m m M m m # m m m m # m` wm m m m
m m # m mm m m m m & m
=5 F l f i# * T e m u 0 ~ | m ~ | * l m 0 W |
m bmxIkq
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
57/184
& 57 &
tOe hF^MLt kA uJ \eLurhtX LkuJLhc re\kcuthkJ =>>
e | reoj
W u m \ 2>>> m=>2 W Wm ~ m m m m m \ w m m m m m m w
m @ &\ m w m m w m
m m # m m
e |m r | f | d m m f~uj u \ m g m m m| \ m rm o mo m*
~ k c h t h l |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
58/184
& 5? &
w m m mm wm m w m m m w } m # 5>&5>%#
b # u m m# m & # M m m m m m m m m m m w
m m m m m w m 2= m m w m
=7 m } m / w # m # M m w m
W wm m =88> m a m m m m w w w m m
# m # M m# m m T mm w m m w m m 0
\ w w m m m m m m m
=88? m m \ m m \ m o m# wm w m m m m
u m u m m m w m
e | reoj
T I || \i ~ # r ~ F #
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
59/184
& 58 &
& m # M m# w m m m m
~ # m & m m w m m ~ m m m \ M
w m ~ m m wm m m m m T w wm
m m # m m m m m m m # m m m m w m m #
M m w u & m m m # w m m
m m m w u fm w wm m m a m w m b o# w m \m m` m
~ m m m m w m m w -
W m m w; b m m m m m m m m w m m ] m
T hf~ a uj \ l r | = 25+2>>>
T I || \i ~ # r ~ F # 2
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
60/184
& 1> &
m # m m a m u m w a m m
m w # m w # m m m m w m
W m w m m m w m } m m # m w m m wm # T w m m
m # m
e | reoj
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
61/184
& 1= &
re hJQeJthJg tOe WOeec Lhthpej| rhejdc lhthe|
e rmFm
W w m m w m 0
h 0 ( | f g w9 ( w M w m m m mm 0 | g # wm m m w 0
\ f | g | | f | ~T | g |# w | i w
w | |~ | * d | | f | ~ ~ ~ w f
M m 2>>># m m m m m m M m m
m # m mm m m m m m m M
m m m m m m m m # m
o w # wm m m m m # w w m m m m
M w m # w m wm # m } m m m # w
T wm a m # m m m w m m m m
w m m m m m } m m m m # m
m m m m w M w m # m m m m
f * e rm m | m fm t m m* o w W fm Mwm 2>>4* || M | M m m M m M |* o m| | m| M X m \ | =88? 2>>>*
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
62/184
& 12 &
w m # m m m m a m
wm m m m m # m m m m m m mm m / m m m
w T m m # m m m m m # wm m m m
m m mo w # m m M m
m | f g w# w f o m w w m w / m m ( w m m m
# w m m mm ; W # m m m a
m m m m 0 \ f | g | | f | | * W m w m m m m m
m m m m M m m wm
wm m m m + m ~ m m m m
T w m m m # w m m m
e rmFm
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
63/184
& 1 &
T m m m wm m m m m m a M m a m m
m m \ w m wm m # m m m m
# fm m m w w# m w m m f m
r &h g W 0 l | A l |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
64/184
& 14 &
a wm m m m m m m
b m m m # wm w # m m wm m m
`m m # w m #
e rmFm
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
65/184
& 15 &
w m m m m m m m
a m # M m mm m m
m m m wm m m m m m
Fhrrkrhjg toe Lomjge
m g f | f ~ * e g ~ || | m |* T g
f g g ff g | | e ~ | mm m f m# m m #
W w | f | ~~ =888# t i i| w | f | & f~ g f g| t
i | || f f g c } m | |* T | | t | f ~ ~ ~ | T | | g | | w | | f
|w f h m 2> =88>* b =887# ~| * \ | # t |w | f~ ~ ~ w | h f
r &h g W 0 l | A l |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
66/184
& 11 &
| f g w # | ~ | # w | i f | k # hf g g i m * k f w * k
M w f # m m 2>>>5# m m 2>>> m m m } # ` M # m 2>>>&2>>5 m m m
m m m m m M m m w m a m m m a m m `
m m m # mw m w m # m m
m m m # m
m m m m # m m m # m m b 7>>#>>> m m w m
m m # m m m mm m m m
m m m m
\ f | g | | f | ~d | | f | 9 | ~
w f |
U& k~k| mjd hrmjm Bhejjmce
T i ~ | w |# f g| g|# ~ g w ~ ~ 9 w g
~ ~ f | M \m m w w om u
m m m m b m 2
M w # m m m m m # m m m m
m m 2>> m m
m m w m m m m w w m m m m
b m # m om u m M m mm m mm m `
r &h g W 0 l | A l |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
68/184
& 1? &
m m ` m m m m m
m m m m m m M m m oT
~ f~ | ~ | | | g | | f # | f g | | | gg g * M m ` # m m m wm m } w m m T
m m m m m Mw m m m m m m
m m m M T w m `
m m M m M m m m m m m m w w wm w m m
m m m m m # m w m m # m m m w
M wm wm #m m m m #
wm m
wm m # m m om m w m a M w m m 75 m m T
m w m w m m m m f m
} m m m M m # m m m
+ m m m # m m m m m
m m m m m fm m m m ~ w m m m m #
m m # m m m m m fm wm m m m w w m m
T wm m m m m a m m m a m m m
m wm m fm a # m M m m m wm m
m m m M a m M m m a m m m # w
m m m m m m m m m
e rmFm
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
69/184
& 18 &
m m m T m m w m m w m
m X # a w m w m
m m m T m m m m m m` m X # m m m m` m m m
T m m m m w m } # w m m w
m wm m mm w & m w m w m m m
m m wm m m ` w m m m w M m m m m
m w m m m w m m w #
m + # m m m m m m m T m wm
wm wm a & m m m m m m # m w m #
m m m
r &h g W 0 l | A l |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
70/184
& 7> &
Bmli tk toe Jemr Auture w / m m ( w
m m w m m m m m } m m # m w m
m m w m # X \9 w w m m m m a
m #
e rmFm
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
71/184
& 7= &
kJ tOe rkMdtk geJder deFkLrMLX
o g Ikjrmd
Ht om| tmiej fmjihjd twk toku|mjd xemr| tk get m qmgue hdem ka womt toe fe||mge mcc fej mre e}umc mltumccx femj|* Mjd# akr jk fkre tomj m fkfejt ka oh|tkrx# ~ek~ce omqe belkfe dhfcx mwmre ka toe dh|m|trku| truto tomt mcc wkfejmre e}umc tkk*
} w# m m m } m & & m M # w m
9 m m m m m m m w m m
m m m m m m m m m m W # w m w
m m # m m m m m T m m w m w
m m m m # m m m w m w w
m m m w m & m w mT # w m m w m m # m m #
m w m m w
m m m\ # m
} m w w m m m m m` m mw
m m W m m m m mm m } m m m
m & m } m w w W m m m m
d * o m i m | l | m l m t m o m b |9 \f | W M m | m f ~m m M |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
72/184
& 72 &
m m m m m m m m m m\ # w m m m m &4> m ; om
m w m m ; w m m w # m mw m m # m # a m # m a m m m m w m mm m # m w m # m
T m m } m m m 9 m m m w m m m w de ure } m
m } m m m m w w m m m m m
T m m m # m # m m m w # m
m w & T m m m m m m m m T mwm w # m # m m m
# m m mwm m T mwm m m`
m m m m m mm m T m m m
T m m m # m m m m w m m m
w m m m m m m & w m m m m m m m m m w
w m m m m
m T m # m m m m m
} # m m m m o # m m m
m m w m m mT w m W m m m w
w ; m m mm m m m m m
m w m m X m m w m
m m T m m m m m m m # m m w w
m w m T w m m M w m m
m # m
o g Ikjrmd
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
73/184
& 7 &
T m m m m m m m m } m
o w m ; # } mm m # m w 0 m # w m
m m w M m m # } m m w m m W m m # # m
m & m w # m m m m m m m } w T m
w m w m m & m w w
m m w a T # m a w w
m m m m m m m m T m m w
a & w m m m T w m m m T m m m
w
# w & m m # m m m m m m
\ # m m a w m # w m m m m
m W m m m m de ure } m w m m # } m
m m m m m w m m m m m m m m # } m w m
m m m m &m w w m wm T m
m m m m m T } m m o # wm } m m `
W m m m m m m # w m m m de amltk } m m &
m m m m m M m w m w m m # # m
m T a w m m m w
k r G d f
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
74/184
& 74 &
W m } m m w m m M w m m fm m
m # m # m
m fm w m w m m m m m wm w w m m w m m wm m m w m m m w m m m m m
m # m m # m w m
T m m m w # w w m m m m m
w m m m m m m m w m# m m m m w mm m w # m m m m
m m m m m m m m m
m w m m m m m m T } m
m a # m m m m
m m m m m wm ` m m m m
m m wT # w m
m # m m m m m # toe # w m m # m m
m m m m m m # m m m m m
w w W w w m & m m
w m m m w m # m
m m m W m # m # m w m m m m m m m
m m m m m mm m m w
bm m m w # m m wm m m m w m m m # m m mwm m m W & m
o g Ikjrmd
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
75/184
& 75 &
m m m T m m m m wm m w
w# m m m m m m m w wm } m T a m
m w m m m # & m m m # m m m
m m m w # w m m m
m m m m m m m m m # m
m m m m w m m m m m m m m
m # m m m & m m m m # m } m m m m T m #
w m m m m m W m &m
w m T } m m m W m
R eaeRejle| 0
W # m m # m m | A W f | m | A l #m+M m# =8849
M m #A ~ | |~ i W i\ m # bm =# o o m i m # W =8819
b b ` #A ~ | ^ |~ i W i\ m # bm 2# o o m i m # W =8819
m o m 0 | | } a i g w f# o m \ m m
m m # M m 2>>?9T u m m M m W =845&=8819T u m & W m # 2>>>9T m M m m m
w X =87890++www +w wm + mw+ mw+ +
k r G d f
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
76/184
& 71 &
G f |i# g t |
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
77/184
& 77 &
dke\ gckBMchPMthkJ FeMJ tOMtJMthkJMc \kQerehgJtX
h\ kJ tOe deLchJe;
\ g IerhF
m m m m m m w m m m m m m
b m m m m X m m m mw
T u m m m m m m m m m m m w m m m m m m m m
W ~m W bm /h # l u |=887( m w 0 T m #
m T u m m m w m
m m m m u m #
m w m m m m m a m
f m m m m m # m u m m
T u m wm m wm w mm w m m
m m wT w w w w
m m T m m m w wm m m m m
m m m m w m m w m m w w w
o*e* d * \ `m i | ~ | uj g m M|| m M m | r fm m* d | m m~ m r | m r fm m ufm m M m||m m r g m # \w m
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
78/184
& 7? &
W \ W Wm m m mm m m # m m # m
m } mT m m m
m m m } m m T &wm m m m
m m M m w } m
m m m m w T m m m m #
w wb # m m
m m # m & m m
\ m m m # m mwm m w m m m m
w # m m # # m m m m
M # & m w m m m m m
b m # m m m w m m
m m m m w W m m m m
m w ` m m \m o /t | k g | h W | ( m #
m m m m m m m m m m m m m & m -
m # m m # @ m i m/^ w h T G h f mg (m 0 m
m m w # m f m & m & m
m M m m m m w m m m m
m m m m m m m m m M m m m m m m w m
m # m # m m # m # m m
\ g IerhF
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
79/184
& 78 &
m m w w m\ m /m j w W k ( w m m m
m m m # m m mT m m M f \ m m m m w w
w 0 m m m # m m m w m m m m m m = m m } m 92 m 9< ~ 94 m m m m # m5 \ m
M # w m m w# i m /m b G (# m m u m # m w# w 0 w m m m m
m m & m w m m m
T m m m m m m m m m m m m
w\ wm w m m m m
\ m & m # ~ m wm m i a M m # m m m m m m w
m m m m m w
\ m w m m wm m X m m w
2>>5# m f \ m m 0 m } m m M 12 m M
m a m m w 0m m 9
a m 9 f m 9
9 m # u m m m
d | G F j \ g | d
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
80/184
& ?> &
m m m m m m m # m m
m m m m m m M ~ m M m
m m 0 m m M m\ m && m m m m # m # m m m # m
# \ m m m
m m m m m m u m m m m
mb m m m m #
T # m m m u m m m m wm m m m m
W m # m m m m m m
m m m m m m m m
m mT m m m m a
m m m m m m m w m mm m m w w
w m w m m m m m
m m mm m w } m m m m # m m m
m m m m m m m m u m m m m
w m w T m w m w m m
M m m m mm m m m m m
m m m m m w m wm m m m m m
m # w m m # m T m w m
m # m # m
\ g IerhF
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
81/184
& ?= &
b m w w m m m m m mm m m # m m m m
m m # w m mm # m m m
m m m m m m # w m mm m m w m
m m # m m m T m a m m m
m # m m m w m m
a w m m
m m a m m m a T m m m m m a m
m # w m m m w m m m m m m
m m m # m m m w w o w #
m o w # w m m m m m w # w w m m mm # } m m m wT w m u m bW m m
m m m 9 Tm m m a m m
T m w m wm m m u\ m fm m ~ m m \ W Wm
m & m m m m T m m m m
m m m m m M m m m m m m m w
w m om m b \ \ m m m m &
m m w m m m m mm m w m m
mT m w m a m `
m m w m m m
d | G F j \ g | d
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
82/184
& ?2 &
T m m m m m m m a m m a
m MT om m b \ m m m
m m m m# m m m m m m m m a m m a
T m w m m m m m w w
m m m m m
# 7< m m m m u m m
m m m mm m m m m m m wm m m m
m m M # m m m m m
f \ m u m m m m m mm m m m
m m m m m T w m m m m mw# m # m m m
m w m m m m m
m w w m w m m m m w
m m m m m fu M M \f# m m u m
m m & m w m mT u w m m m
w m m m m m w m w m
m wm m m m
m ` m } 0 m m} m m w # m m w
T m m m w m m
\ g IerhF
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
83/184
& ? &
M m m m Mf \ m m m
m # m m # # m w
m m m T u m w
| m m m m m m m m w w m m
m ~ m # m #
m m m m w m w m m m #
m m m m m m m f m m m w m
M # m m a m m # ` m m
# w m w wm m w m w m m ` m m m m m m m
m m m m w w m m w m m
m m w m m m m m m
m w m m w m m
W m m m m m m m m
d | G F j \ g | d
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
84/184
& ?4 &
I
m | w f pf q g # r ~ F # F
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
85/184
& ?5 &
tOe uJ M\ M dh\^ute \ettceFeJt \X\teF0Te Rkce k toe \elurht Lkujlhc
e mjdreeq\Im e f mphrh
HjtrkdulthkjT m m m
m m m m m w m m m mm m m m m m
w # m ~=8=8 m m m w m w
m T m m m M &\m m W Wm m m m # m
m m= m w m w m m
u m m ~ m m wu m m w m m 0 & m m m # m m
m m m w # m m w mm m m wm m 2
M m m =84< m b mu # m m m m m m m \
m m mm m m m m m <
W m m m # ~ m m m m m m m
m m m # m m a m u m 0
= o wm # f*# u jm | d W # T o | m dh m m \ l m ~ ||# =881 # * 1
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
86/184
& ?1 &
T m m m m m m # m mm m m m m # m m m m # m m # m w ` m
m ` m m mm m m m M = m m
m m m # m # m m # m m m m4
T u m m m m m m m m m
M # m m m m m m w
m M =2 m m m m w wm m w wm 0 m
} m M wm m }
wm m m m m m w m ` m m T
m # wm m m m wm w m m w w
wm m m` # m m m m m m m m ` w # m
m wm W wm m m # m m
=1 m # m w m w m m m m wm m
m m 5
Te UJ \ |tefT u m m m w m m
m m m # m m m ` m m m
4 T | wm| | 0 | m | wm| || m| | m m
| *5 \m | w m | m m | h m =8
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
87/184
& ?7 &
T \ wm m m M m m m m b m
m m m m m \ m
m m m m # w m m m b m m m m m M m m m
m m m u wm m m m m \ u m
Wm1 m mg ^ #7 \ m & m # w m
m m m m m m #? m m m m
m m m m w m m m T m m m m^ d ~ f wm m
m w m # m m m w 8 ^ f i g m
m m # mm m=> & g m m m w m m== ^ e f m & m # w w
m=2
# m # m a 0 =( m w & m m m 9 2( m
m * \ m |
g m h m r m =882 r? h *# * 8*8 T | | | m| m a # | m w => h *# * 2?*== h *# *
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
88/184
& ?? &
T m m # w # m m M u mT m m m w m w T # m #
w m m m m =4
# m m m m m m m # m m m u w w & m m m # m m
W Wm m b m m w m m m
m m T m wm m m w mm mw ~ # m & m m \ mm & m M m \ m m
\ m m m @ T w m # m w m M
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
89/184
& ?8 &
m # m m m m 0 u m m m w
m m m m m m=7T m m m M 2/7( m # m m mm w u m #
m wm m m m mm m m m m &
m m m m m m =? T } m m m m m
wm m m M 2/7(=8
M 2/7(# u m
w m m f mm m m& m 2>f m mm w \ m m m
m w m # m # w m m # M 2/7( m m m u m m
m m \ m m m m # m m w
# m ~m m m m m 2=M 2/7( m 0 m
m m m u m w ` m m m }
m m 9 m m m m
| | wm | | m * h *# * =1*
=7 M # m m | | m | | m m # | m w m m w | m |* h
| | Wm | m M # w | m m || w m * \ Wm | # ~*# m M # i*# l
l Wm # =8?8 8
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
90/184
& 8> &
M m m # m # m m # m& m m m m w m & T wm
m m \ m m T # m m m m
m m m m m m m w m m 22o w # u m m
M = m 0 m m m m m # m # m # m m m m
m m m m m m m m # # m m #
T m m m a m m m
m m mw m m m wm # m m m m m m m& mm m m m m # m
w m m m& m \ m m # # m m m m
m \ m # m } w m m m 9 } w
m w mm m m & m m m f
m # m m m m2 m # w ` m m m m m m m 27 T m m # m mm m m m m m # m m m
w m m m m m m M 4=# m
m m m # m m m m m m m m m m # m \
w m 9 w w m m m m m m
m m m m m m2?
u a m m a w mm m28 m # f m m m m ` m T \ m m =882 m f
\ m m W m w m
m m # m m
21 \ c m| # hl@ r |# =882# *
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
92/184
& 82 &
m w m f \ m
T m m & m m m m mw m W
# m m m fm f m m # # m m f # m m ~ w
m w m m m
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
93/184
& 8 &
m m m @ &w m m m m m w m
# m m m m m m m m w m # m
w w m m m m m w b m m m m w w w m
w m m m m w # m w m m
m w Wm w m m u a m 9
# m m m w m wm m m m
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
94/184
& 84 &
h f| i f*l i q g # r ~ F *\
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
95/184
& 85 &
QerthLMchPMthkJ kA Oh\tkrhLMc ex^erheJLe\0
Eurk~e| mjd M|hm| \elurht \trulture| \trulturmc \hfhcmrhthe| mjd Dh erejle|
m | o* bm`reItmreqhl
T &f ` @m m m m mm m m m m M m Xm m w T a m #
m (# m & m # m & w a m # m # m
m m / m w m ( m m fm # m m m
m mT m w w w m
m m w m m f m mm m / & m ( \ ~
m & w m m M m m b & m
m m m m m m m w m & \ m m m
m m m # a m m m m m m \
m m m m WW m mm m m m m W m ` m m m m \ mm m /m # w m
T a m m w m m Wm b / m m m m ( wf m b ` w m / m im m m
q # = `uj 2>>? ~rk * / o( dr* Mj | bm`re tmreq # ~rk e||kr mj l m r er|kj# hjterjmt kjm cmw+g k m ~khfl uj qer| t x k M e \ ej e| ire |# M |tr m* kr er f M ka m mj mreer k mt
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
96/184
& 81 &
HjtrkdulthkjT m m w m
m m m m w m m # m m w
T m m o m m m \ \ m m m m m m
m m m mm (9
m m m m m w m m m m
m m # m m m m m T m # m
m m m m m m w wm # m wm m m m m m m
M m m m m m m m
\elurht |trulture| mjd Gek~kchthl| m m m m w m m m m m m
m m m m / m # # (# & m / m m # # & / m # m # m
m m / m # m m m mf # m m a m m m
m w om w m m m m # m m m m # w m m m m T w
m # m m m
m m m m m m# w m m m # m m
w m m m m m M m m @m m m m m m m
w m W m w m m m m m w m w ma m` w w m m m w m
\ m # w m m m o w m M m m M m m m
m m &M m m m # / ( m &\
m | o* bm`reItmreqhl
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
97/184
& 87 &
m u& # m w # m mm m m m m w # m m mm m m ui m m u \
m m m m m w u&
m w m w # m w m m m m m M # m =8 & # m m
m w M m m m m m # M m m w m m m m
m m w m m\ m T u \ m m w
m M m m # m mm m m m m M m
m m m m m m m m # M m m m m
m # m m m m m / m
Qerthlmchpmthkj k oh|tkrhlmc ex~erhejle| hj Eurk~e m # m
m m m m # m w # w m m &
M a m m m m wm a w m m w m m m
& m m m W a mm m ~m m m o m (#
m w mm m w # w m m T
w m m m m /m ` a m m m m m
T m m w m m w m m m m w m
T ~ m W m m m T X m W m m ( m w
m m m m m T m
# b m m m m m m m
m m 2>
q a o | e ~ |0 e ~ | m| | \
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
98/184
& 8? &
Te Lkjle~t k Bmcmjle k ^kwer T m m m m
wm m m w m m m m m m m m }
m m w m wm w m m m m m m m m / m
m m ( =? m w } m
m m w wm m m m m m wm m Wm \ m \ wm m
` m m m mm b m m m m m / m
w m m ui( mm m m m w m m m m m w wm w m m
m m m m T m # m wm m m m 0
w / m m ( m # m m m w m o M m # m m m m m
m ( w m m w u m # m wm m
m ~ w m m } # w m m m m / &=?4? m &
( T m m =?7= wm m m mm m # m m / }
m m m m m m m m ~ m m m
m + m m w m m T m m # m m
W +fm ~ w # w # m Tm # w m m m m m &
m m # m wm m m / u\ m 8+== M m m ( 2> m m m w wm m m
m m` m w m w m m # m m m m
m f o w # w & m m m w wm m m m m m
Te Lkjle~t k Lkccelthqe \elurht mjd toe ^k|t&Qer|mhcce| Krder =8=?+=8=8# T u \ m m m w
m m m m a m m f /m m m
m | o* bm`reItmreqhl
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
99/184
& 88 &
wm m m m m m m
wm a m m m wm m &w m
m m wm m # m m m m m m m mm o w # w m
m m m m /m u\ w 4 m m w
m m + m + m \ m +m m m m w
m } / (# m
m =8 T m m wmm m m W Wm / w
&WW w wm b W m & m b W ( \ # m m m m m w m
m m m m mm m # w m
m m m m } m
m m m m m m m m m m W m # m
} m # &} m m m m m
m m m # m m m } m m m
m m m m m } mm w m m m m
wm a m + m w
m m o w # w m/ m m m (# w=8
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
100/184
& =>> &
m m & m m m a m wm m m m M m m wm m
# m # m m u \ m #m \ # u m m m mm m m m w m` m w m } m m m T
m } m u m m M# m m u \ a m w
m W Wm /m m 4 m m ui(
Te ^k|t&Wkrcd Wmr HH Hjterjmthkjmc Krder om m m # w
mw m m m / m m u m # m m m
m m b W # m m w m w m
m m f m / f (# W bm m (# m } m M m m m m m
u\ m m } m w mm 52% m w ( b m m u\ fm m m
0 / m m m m
Te Lkjle~t k Lkccelthqe De ejle T m m m m m
m m & m ( m m & m m M m
m w m # m + m m
m m m m m # m m w m m w m
m w m m T M m m wm m
\ u m m m m m m m w /m
W m m /W m ( # u\\ Wm mw ~m # w # w # wm u m m =88> \ Wm
m | o* bm`reItmreqhl
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
101/184
& =>= &
m m m # m m m m # m m mm m m m
Te Lkk~ermthqe Eurk~emj \elurht m| toe Lkccelthqe Lkjle~t b w m m w wm
m (# m m m m # m a m m # / m m m
m m # ( m m w wm m
m m m m - Tm m m m m m wm m # m m m
# m m m M m ` /m m m ( m
m # m } m
Te Lkujlhc k Eurk~e /LkE(T # m m &
w ` m m m w mwm m m
m m a m# m m # & m # m
m # # m m m m m m m
Krgmjh|mthkj kr \elurht mjd Lkk~ermthkj /K\LE(T & m m m m =875
m & m m m m m m
&o m \ m b
m # \ + \ m m m m m m + m m m
m m # # m =# w ( m m m m m #
# m & m # m m m m m o w # m
m /T u m M\ # m m w \ m m m w f m m m
m m m u& u f
q a o | e ~ |0 e ~ | m| | \
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
102/184
& =>2 &
&f m m m # \ m } M m M m /\ m m
m m m M m m w (
Te Eurk~emj Ujhkj /EU(\ =857 m # m m
T m / ( m / (# w m m
m m / M m m m m m u M f# w m & m m
\ m u M f m m m m a + m m ( # m
/ o M m m # m
m m \ ~ / \~(# w u /fmm # m ~ m m f m / ~ ( w
wm m m & m m m m o w # m m
m m # w fmm wm m # ~ u\ m
m # w @ o M mm & m o w # \~
m m m w M m /& M ( m m m \ T
m m u m m m W
m m \ w w ~ / ~+ ~( m /` ( m m
m | o* bm`reItmreqhl
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
103/184
& => &
u f m0 ~ m m
+ m (
JM K WMR\MW ^mlt9 LH\ ^mrtjer|oh~ kr ^emle m m + m m
m m } f m M Wm mw ~m w m
m wm m 9 m Wm mw m m wm mm wm m M m m / m ( / m w
( M m M m Wm mw m m w m \ m ] # \ m ~ ~
\ m ] w m m m m w # m w m
m # m m mm + wm a m
m m /u\( m /u\\ ( m w m m & m m
m # m u m 0 \ M ~m \ m m
m m w m w M
/m m ( w m /u\( m & M & m # \ M ~
/ m m M ( # \ m m m m m m w m w
\ m m m m & m &m m m M m m m m m b
m m m m# m /m m ( & m M m
wm m w m m w m m m m ma m wm m m
m / & m m wm m \ &~m m (
Te ^k|t&Lkcd Wmr Hjterjmthkjmc Krder & w # w
m m m m m m m m m m m
m & m # m T m m
q a o | e ~ |0 e ~ | m| | \
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
104/184
& =>4 &
m m w m M wm ` / m
m m (# a m & m m # m
m m # m # m m m m Wm m m m u# M m \ / m ~ & \
& m m m =884 b m ( m m w m \
wm m m m m & m m &
T # M # u m \ /m w ( m m m m } w m
Te Lkjtef~krmr Hjterjmthkjmc Krder m m m m m m m
m m w & m m w m m
T m m m m m m # m m M m # m
m w } m # w m } Wf /m m (# m m m
/m m m w m ( mm b m m m wm m m w m
m w
Qerthlmchpmthkj k oh|tkrhlmc ex~erhejle| hj M|hm T m M m m m
m m & m m m m M m m m m m m
w W m M m# m m & m m m w
m m m m W # \ # \ wm m m m =?
# w m m / m ( m\ m M m m / w o m m m
m m # b m m mm & \ M(# wm m m m
/m w m( # M m m m m } m m m
m | o* bm`reItmreqhl
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
105/184
& =>5 &
m w o w # m m m # m m / m m m (
W m m m # Mm m wm m m w o w #
m WW # m M m wm m m m w uu ~ &WW M m m m m
m m w w m w m w m m
\ M m f # m m m w # M /4(# m m m m m w
# m &m m m m M M m# m \ i m# m # m m fm m m# @m m m m m m m m m m m w ( M m m m w a m m m m W =8>4+>5 wm # @m m m m u\# ui m m # i m m mm m m m u\# M m m m \ # m m
Deqeck~fejt k toe Bhcmtermc \elurht \trulture m &WW # m m
m m m m
\ u w m m M m m / u\&@m mm # &~m m # &\ m 9 \u& m# & m # & i m#m w m # & m 9 ~ m w fm m 9 ui w
( f m m # m \ m M m m m M m m m m / M ( w
m w m m m m Wm M m m m
m m m 9 + m @m m /~ m \ &\
m m @m m M m( T \ wm m m m w m# w m # w
/ m m m m w b m# w ~m mm @m m m m m m \ i m# fm m m m
Deqeck~fejt k toe Fucthcmtermc \elurht \trulture f m m m m m m m m m
m m # & m m T
\ M m \MM # w # m M M m m /M\ M ( w ` wm w
q a o | e ~ |0 e ~ | m| | \
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
106/184
& =>1 &
m w m m m w # m =882 wm # m m m m
m m m # m M M m M\ M m /M ( m M\ M ~ T /M~ ( m
W M wm m m / w \MM ( & m m M m
/ ( M m m ~ m m m w & & m m \ m m
/\ (# w wm m m 2>>= w m ` m m w m
Te =855 Bmjdujg Lkj erejle Mj mttef~t tk fucthcmtermchpe M|hm m 85> # b ` m m m m mm w m m
& m M m m M m( m m m m m m m w m m
/m m m M m&M m ( m m m m / + &77 m =81= b m
m m(# m m m m m m m m m m m m w
w m m M m m m
m o \
Te Lkjle~t k Lkk~ermthqe \elurht \ m # m
m m T M # M\ M # \MM # M~m i # w # m m m # m
m m # m m m m # w
m m m m m m m m
M^EL# M\EMJ&bm|ed Hj|thtuthkj|# \LK# IEDK mjd GLL =8?8# M~ wm # m
w m M M~ w m m m m # m
m m m m M m&~m a bm +M\ M m m wm m #
m m # m m m m m` # m m m # m m
m | o* bm`reItmreqhl
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
107/184
& =>7 &
m m m m m # m m a m wm
m m M m ~m a o w # mm & m w
M m & # M m a m m w m m m m m m
2>>=# o m \ m m a & m 9 m# imm` m m i m # m w m ~
m m m \ m m m m m m #
m m m # m m m m m m W m m m m m M m m m m m m /m wm m m & m m m &w
m / &m& m m ( #m ( m} m &M m m m w
m m m ` m m m m ~ m
T i /1& m m ( m m m u M f m m m# m
m m m M m 9 m m m m m m
m +
Lkf~mrh|kj0 Te Hf~krtmjle k Lkk~ermthqe \elurht hj Eurk~e w u m # m m m & m
m f\ m m T # m m
u m m m # m m# b wm W bm m
T wm + m u w & a m m
m + & m W u w m m m m m m X m ( m m m
q a o | e ~ |0 e ~ | m| | \
-
8/3/2019 Crossroads Mac Foreign Policy Journal 2008
108/184
& =>? &
m T W bm