Crm - Pasco Case Study

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    Country Risk Management

    PASCOs Investment in India

    A case study

    By Porf:S.B. Choughule

    Project

    http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.maps-india.com/india/india-map/india-tourist-map.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.maps-india.com/india/india-tourist-map.html&h=651&w=598&sz=42&tbnid=ZzC1fZcBHFRYGM:&tbnh=138&tbnw=127&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dindia%2Bmap%26um%3D1&start=2&sa=X&oi=images&ct=image&cd=2http://www.pasco.com/home.htmlhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Near_by_han_river.jpg
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    PASCO

    I initiated the PASCO projects inShanghai. But here the problems are very

    complex. The social, Political and

    economic environment is very different.

    -----Soungsik Cho---------

    PASCO India Chairman and Managing Director

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    Highlight of Investment

    POSCO-Pohang Steel Company

    South Korea

    4th

    largest steel maker in the world 12 Billion USD=54,000crore investment

    Single Largest Investment in the Country

    Biggest green field project in the world

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    Highlight of Project -1

    Integrated steel plant in Orissa including

    Iron Ore Mines in Khandadher

    Steel plant in Jagatsinghpur Captive port near Paradip

    1500 MW power plant near steel factory

    12 billion $ investment in India 7% CAGR in domestic market

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    Mineral map of Orissa

    PASCO

    Plant

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    Highlight of project -2

    4000 acres land to be accquired for project Capacity-12 mtpa-millions tonnes per annum

    Location-Near Paradeep-Jagatsinghpur district

    2010-1st phase to be completed, capacity -4 mpta 2013-2nd phase to be completed, capacity -4mpta

    2016-3rd phase to be completed, capacity -4mpta

    Raw material

    600 million tonnes from Khandadher mines

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    Benefits from project

    Employment

    Direct -13,000 Indirect-35,000 total 48,000

    PASCO is required 18000 skilled workers within 8 years

    State taxes-

    89,000 crore- Excise, service tax, corporate tax

    22500 crore sales and other various taxes of state Power plant for electricity

    Captive port for EXIM trade

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    Development of project

    MOU signed by PASCO and OrissaGovernment in June 2005

    Out of 4000 acres 1135 acres paymenthas been made by company but still couldnot acquired land

    Licence for iron ore not yet obtained

    Port project workjust started

    1500MW Power plant on drawing board

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    Economics Risk

    India is fast growing emerging market inASIA

    Inflation in between -4 to 6 %

    GDP growth -9 %

    Sufficient Foreign exchange reserve

    INR is appreciate against USD Therefore minimum economic risk -C

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    Political Risk

    Sate Government is belong to Janata Dal

    Central Govt is belong to UPA Govt

    Clashes between two parties on project

    Exam-Central Coal & Mines Minister MrRam Vilas Paswan is against state on toomuch facilities to be given to PASCO

    CPI is opposing to this project on politicalground.

    Therefore medium political riskB

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    Legal Risk

    Kudramukh Iron Ore company went incourt against state govt

    KIOCL-Khandadher iron ore co also wentin court along with 250 applicants

    The orissa High court stayed away to stategovernment for granting the mines lease

    There is no provision in law to favourPASCO on 250 applicants

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    Legal battle in Govt

    The Ministry of Mines thinks that PASCOproposal falls under section 11(2) andsection 11(3) of the Mines & Material

    (Development & Regulation Act 1957 As per Orissa Govt opinion,Section 11(5)

    of the said act allows to grant a licence tolate applicant like PASCO

    Matter is under Department of Legal affairs

    This is a High Legal riskA

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    Social & cultural risk

    Over 20,000 people from 15 villages havebeen protesting saying it would take awaytheir homes and livelihoods

    They are protesting by establishingPASCO Pratirodh Sangram Samiti

    3 officers of PASCO were taken hostage

    in these villages District administration is conducting

    Socio-economic survey

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    Opposition from local

    We would not allow POSCO to set up itsplant here.

    Company cannot take away peoples land

    Abhya Sahu

    President PASCO Pratirodh Sangram Samiti

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    Social & Cultural Risk

    50 people were injured in a series of clashesbetween opponents and supporter of projectsLand acquisition process stopped

    PASCO cannot communicate with local peoplesdue to language barrier

    Entry of Red Radicals

    As per home ministry report Moist cadre hadalready entered into trouble area

    This is high riskA

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    Competitive Risk

    Over 250 steel companies are in India including

    Jindal steel-Essar Steel-SAIL-TATA steel-Bhushan Steel-Kudremukh Iron Ore-KIOCL

    KOCL has spend INR 2 crore for assessing thereserve at Khandadhar mines

    Kudramukh has also spend INR 2 crore LN Mittal is planning to set 20,000crore plant in Orissa

    TATAs 2nd plant would be in existance by 2010 250 steel companies are opposing to PASCO

    Therefore this is a high competitive riskA

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    Competition from Indian Co

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    Logistics Risk

    The iron ore mines and steel plant -300km

    Required dedicated freight corridor forcontinuous raw material flows from mines

    to factory Wagons are not available in India

    Paradip port has opposed to PASCO

    private port for captive cargo 1500MW power plant is coal based plant

    Therefore logistics risk isB

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    Analysis

    Economic Risk C

    Political Risk B

    Legal Risk A Social & Cultural Risk A

    Competitive Risk A

    Therefore this project is in high risk Investment in troubled waters

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    Thank you