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    Success Factors

    of

    Project Managem ent: The Critical Few

    - An Empirical Investigation -

    Prof. Dr. Hans Georg Gemuenden

    Dr. Thomas Lechler

    I. INTRODUCTION projects (about 1,800 successful, 1,200 unsuccessful and

    - -

    about 276 0 unclassified projects). The basic structure of this

    conceptual research frame differentiates between four classes

    of variables: Peo ple, Activities, Barriers and Success.

    During recent years, project management has been firmly

    established as a co ncept for organ izing extraordinary,

    innovative as well as strategic endeavors. However, still

    many of these projects fail. What are the recommendations

    that research can provide to practicing managers?

    The following contribution aims at providing general

    recomm endations regarding project manag ement. This effort

    is based on the assumption, that the project success depends

    on a relatively small number of variables, the so-called

    success factors. For the purpose of this study, success factors

    of project managem ent be defined after BOYNT ONnd ZMUD:

    ,,Critical success factors are those few things that must go

    well to ensure success for a m anager or

    an

    organization .. [or

    a project]. l

    11.

    THECONCEPTUAL

    FRAMEWORK

    In order to select the most relevant variables for testing, a

    comprehen sive review o f the em pirical research on su ccess

    factors of project management was conducted. This review

    included

    44

    studies, which investigated a total of 5,760

    Figure

    1

    The conceptual research frame

    People:

    The factor top management includes direct support as

    well as the general interest of the top m anagement for an

    individual project.

    The factor project leader refers to the formal authority of

    the project leader.

    The factor project team describes know-how and the

    social skills of the project team.

    Activities

    The factor participation refers to the involvement of the

    project team in decision making.

    The factor information/communication describes the

    formal information system as well as the effectiveness of

    communication.

    The factor

    planning/controlling

    focuses on effectiveness

    of planning an d controlling.

    Information

    Communication

    Boynton und Zmud (1984), p 17 Additions by

    the authors.

    cf.

    Fritz

    (1992)

    375

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    Barriers:

    Success:

    The factor

    conflicts

    pertains to both the intensity and the

    kind

    of

    the conflict.

    Changes o project goals

    refers to the extent, importance

    and frequency of changes.

    The determination of project success is a very complex and

    multidimensional issue.The present study examines the total

    impact of each individual su ccess factor on overall projetct

    success. For a detailed analysis of the factors influences on

    the three sub-dimensions (effectiveness, efficiency, social

    success) of project su ccess cf. LECHLER2

    111. RESEA RCH DESIGN AND DATA ANALYSIS

    The data for this research was gathered through a

    questionnaire which was distributed to the members of the

    German Project Management Society (Gesellschaft fur

    Projektmanagement (GPM)). After the initial contact by

    telephone, two questionnaires3 were mailed out to each

    respondent, asking them to report on one project they regard as

    successful, and one project they regard as f a i l ~ r e . ~he data

    collection effort achieved an overall response rate of

    43 ,

    resulting in a sample of

    N=448

    projects. The literature on

    project management features only one study with a larger

    ample.^ The sample fo r the present investigation contains data

    on 248 successful and 190 unsuccessful projects. These two

    sub-groups are not entirely balanced because som e respondents

    were unwilling to report on an unsuccessful project or didnt

    have any experiences in that regard.

    The data analysis was conducted using the LISREL-

    Approach (Linear Structural Relationships). using LISREL

    version 7.13 6

    I v .

    EMPIRICAL

    ESULTS

    The present model displays considerable explanatory power.

    The eight success factors explain approximately 59 of the

    variance in project success (r2=.59).

    The individual success factors exert their influence on project

    success in different ways, as will be explained below:

    Top management directly promotes project success as

    customer and highest organizational authority yl .24).

    Through

    transferring formal authority

    to

    the project leader

    yzl

    .65) and by influencing the design of the project team ( ~ 3 1

    .3

    5), Top management provides the organizational environment

    for the successful completion of the project. Top management

    also impacts the process directly through the factor participation

    Gemuenden (1990); Hauschildt, (1991); Lechler (1997).

    A part of the questionnaire was taken from the surve y of Pinto

    (1

    Cf.: Rothwell et al. (1974).

    Baker, Murphy and Fisher (1974).

    Joreskog,

    K.;

    Siirbom

    D. (1989).

    986 .

    y4] .47). The considerably high impact of top m anagement on

    project success can also be interpreted from a more critical point

    of view, as it could indicate an overly strong involvement of top

    management in the process of the project itself.

    The project leader exerts influence over the factor

    informatiodcommunication

    ( P 6 2

    .lo). The impact of the

    project leader on planning/controlling, however, was not

    supported by this data,

    so

    that this hypothesis has to be rejected.

    Additionally, there was no significant direct influence of the

    factor project leader on project success, so that this hypothesis

    had to be rejected too.

    The

    project team

    is the main driving force for project

    operations and thus directly promotes project success

    P I 3

    .36). A good team actively utilizes its decision m aking authority

    Pd3 .33). Its know how leads to better planning and more

    adequate and flexible controlling of the project

    PS3

    .36) in

    addition to improved information flows/communication within

    and outside the team (P63 .65).

    This data does not display a significant relationship between

    participation

    and project success,

    so

    that the hypothesized direct

    impact is not supported. However, participations strong

    influence on communication

    ( P64

    .32) gives evidence to the

    assumption that participative leadership enhances the formal

    and informal exchange of information within the project.

    Additionally, the project team participating in project relevant

    decisions does improve on the quality of planning and

    controlling PS4 .29).

    Out of the group of activities the factor

    inform tiodcommunic tion

    shows the strongest direct impact

    on project success ( D l 6 .13). Its influence on planning and

    controlling ( p 56 .20) documents the importance of free

    information flows on that success factor.

    Surprisingly low is the direct impact of planningkontrolling

    on project success PI2

    . lo).

    This result contradicts the

    widespread opinion that plannin ghon trolling is one of the most

    important success factors. The relatively weak influence could

    be attributed to high levels of uncertainty, that force the project

    team to take ad hoc actions as reactions to ever changing

    situations. In such cases, the need to react may outweigh the

    benefits of the preset project plans. Another explanation for this

    weak influence could be that the project team does not take the

    plan seriously, in which cas e the plan would serve as an alibi.

    The strong negative impact of

    conflicts

    on project success

    demonsaates the significance of effective conflic

    management to projects. Oftentimes the causes for conflicts

    come from outside the project. For instance, differences

    between project and line management over authority as well

    as political activities are frequently being carried into the

    project from outside. Conflicts are particularly likely to occur

    in so-called week project organizations, where projec

    decisions have to be approved by numerous departments and

    hierarchical levels. Additionally, projects

    in

    these

    organizations are more apt to experience high personne

    376

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    Figure

    2:

    Path diagram of the empirical model Level of significance

    )

    y1 =.19

    turnover, which, in turn, may increase the chances for

    changes in goals (another obstacle to project success).

    The second barrier,

    changes

    n

    goals, also displays a

    strong negative impact on project success. Because of

    complexity and uncertainty, project goals are often difficult

    to determine. However, our data documents that a lack of

    continuity in goals is significantly related to unsuccessful

    projects.

    Ow research also suggest, that the potentials for

    conflicts and changes in goals are built up before project

    start, and thus are hardly controllable during the cou rse

    of

    the

    project.

    CONCLUSIONS AND OUTLOOK

    Making use of LISREL, a structural model was developed

    which explains 59 of the variance in project success while

    taking into account causal effects among the eight success

    factors. The demonstrated indirect effects underline the

    importance of accounting for interrelationships in

    determining the relative impact of the eight factors on project

    success. Recognizing these structural issues, the analysis

    shows all eight factors to be significantly related to project

    success.

    1.

    2.

    3.

    8

    9.

    REFERENCES

    Boynton, A.; Zmud, R. (1984)An Assessment of Critical Success

    Factors. In: Sloan Management Review ,

    Nr.

    2, S.17-27.

    Fritz, W (1992)Marktorientierte Untemeh mensfuhru ng und

    Untemehmenserfolg, Grundlagen und Ergebnisse einer empirischen

    Untersuchung.

    Gemuenden, H.G. (1990)Erfolgsfaktoren des Projektmanagements-

    eine kritische Bestandsaufnahm e der empirischen U ntersuchungen. In:

    Projekt Managemen t, Nr. 1,2, S.4-15.

    Hauschildt, J. (19 91)Zur Messun g des Innovationserfolgs. In: ZfB,

    Nr.

    Lechler, T. (1 997)Zu r Messung des Innovationserfolgs. Lang Verlag,

    Frankfurt.

    Joreskog, K.; Stirbom, D. (1989)LISREL 7 User's Reference Guide,

    Scientific Software, Inc.

    Murphy, D.; Baker, N.; Fisher, D. (1974)Determinants of Project

    Success, Boston College, National Aeronautics and Space

    Administration, Boston

    .

    Pinto, J.K. (1986)Project Implementation: A Determination Of

    Its

    Critical Success Factors, Moderators And Their Relative Importance

    Across The Project Life Cycle, Dissertation at the University of

    Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh.

    Rothwell, R.; Freeman, C.; Horsley, A.; Jervis, V.; Robertson, A.B.;

    Townsend, J. (1974)SAPPHO updated - project SAPPHO phase

    11

    In:

    Research Policy, Nr

    ,

    S.258-291.

    4, S.451-476.

    377

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