Critical Infrastructure Emergency Risk Management
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Transcript of Critical Infrastructure Emergency Risk Management
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Critical Infrastructure Emergency Risk Management
Erik Maranik CPEng, FIEAust.
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Characteristics of a CI Emergency
• Major changes to operations
• A need to work with many jurisdictions, Government intervention
• Heightened community awareness / outrage, extensive media coverage
• Unusual deployment and tasking of resources
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Catastrophic Consequences• Long-term inability to deliver services• Large number of fatalities/loss-of-life or
injuries requiring extended hospitalisation• Widespread displacement of people• Extensive property damage• Severe environmental impact, long-term or
permanent damage• Extensive and widespread financial loss
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Understanding Context
• Ageing and complex services, facilities, and/or resources
• Complex intra / interdependencies• Reduction of corporate knowledge and
expertise (the ‘Beatles’ 1964)• Reliance on automation and remote
control
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Understanding Context
• Diverse stakeholders / communities / customers / users
• Complex decision making and contracts• Lack of modern experience with actual
events• “Just-in-Time” procurement – long lead times
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Risk Identification
• Requires a logical analytical construct, both spatial and temporal, to discover latent risk
• Understand the characteristics and interaction of the sources of risk - interdependencies
• A need to explore and involve a broad cross-section of experience and knowledge (“4G”)
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Critical Infrastructure Issues
• Loss of the services, facilities and or resources
• Extent of influence• Intra/interdependencies• Resources prioritisation and substitutability• Escalation (Incident to Catastrophe)• Magnification
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Treatments & Mitigation
• Operational – precautionary stance• Technical possibilities• Financial constraints• Legal ramifications• Social acceptability• Environmental influences
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Food• Chemical residues, nuts, processing
equipment fragments, sharps, medical waste, toxins and poisons
• Cold Storage – “the cold chain”• Storage, Distribution, Preparation• Emotive Reaction, Hoarding• Tomato Puree, Bakers Yeast, Medicines• Rations – rice and flour
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Power and Water• Generation Interdependencies• Transmission (Frequency Control)• Distribution (Load Shedding)• Supply Restoration • Real-time “State of the Network”
(defensive design and posturing)
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Some Tools• BECRIME - Biological, Explosive,
Chemical, Radiological, Incendiary, Manipulation and Electrical
• Scenario Analysis and Exercises• Security in Design and Operation• Stakeholder Resilience• Infrastructure Robustness
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Challenges• Overwhelming pressure for decisions
both number and complexity
• Values and beliefs become very important and are tested
• Resources sharing and mutual aid arrangements are critical
• Understand Escalation and Magnification