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Transcript of Credit rating in India - A case for accountability.docx
Sikkim-Manipal University Of Health, Medical and Technological
SciencesManipal-576104.
PROJECT REPORTSubmitted in partial Fulfillment of Master of Business
Administration (MBA-Finance)Entitled
“CREDIT RATING IN INDIA-A CASE OF ACCOUNTABILITY’’
By
SACHIN GANGADHAR INGALERoll no: 511136453
Study Center: Eduway Academy Pvt. Ltd.CBD Belapur, Navi Mumbai (Center code-1736)
Sikkim-Manipal University of Health,Medical and technological Sciences
Distance Education WingSyndicate HouseManipal-576104.
Dec 2012
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Acknowledgements
I would like to take this opportunity to thank all those people without whom this project would have been impossible.
First and foremost, , for his expert guidance, and encouragement.
I would like to thank, for guiding me to prepare for this project.
I am extremely grateful to those who directly and indirectly helped me in completing my project work and making it successful.
Sachin Gangadhar IngaleRoll no:511136453MBA Student
Students Declaration
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I, Sachin Gangadhar Ingale student of MBA Programme, (Roll no. 511136453), Sikkim-Manipal University studying through Eduway Academy Pvt.Ltd (center code:01736) CBD Belapur hereby declare that this project entitled
“Credit Rating in India-A case of accountability’’
Submitted in partial fulfillment for the degree of Masters of Business Administration (MBA) to Sikkim-Manipal University, India is my original work and not submitted for the award of any Degree, Diploma, Fellowship or any other similar Title or Prizes.
All the above information provided from our institution is true to the best of my knowledge to fulfill and restrict this project work only and his information exceeds beyond. These facts and figures quoted here are true information but not to quote or publish else than outside of this project work.
Place: Eduway Academy Pvt Ltd, CBD Belapur SACHIN GANGADHAR INGALE
Roll no: 511136453 MBA Student
Date:
Sikkim-Manipal University
Bonafide Certificate:
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BONAFIDE CERTIFICATE
This is to Certified that this project report titled
“Credit rating in India- A case of Accountability”
is the bonafide work of SACHIN GANGADHAR INGALE
who carried out the project work under my supervision.
SIGNATURE SIGNATUREHEAD OF THE DEPARTMENT FACULTY INCHARGEDepartment: MANAGEMENT Department: MANAGEMENT Institution: EAPL Institution: EAPL
Study center: Eduway Academy Pvt. Ltd.
Project Assessment
4 | P a g e
Examiner’s Certification
This MBA Project ReportBy
SACHIN GANGADHAR INGALE Roll no: 511136453
Of Sikkim-Manipal UniversityUndertaken through Eduway Academy, CBD Belapur
EntitledIs approved and Accepted in Quality and Form
Internal Examiner: Signature:
Name: Mohammed Arshad Qualification: MBADesignation: DIRECTORDepartment: MANAGEMENTInstitution: EDUWAY ACADEMY PVT. LTD.
External Examiner: Signature:Name: Mohammed Hanif Lakdawala Qualification:MPHILDesignation: HOD Department: ManagementInstitution: AP COLLEGE
University Guide’ Certification
This is to certify that this MBA Project Entitled
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Credit rating in India- A case of accountability
Is submitted in partial Fulfillment of the requirement Degree of
MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (MBA)By
SACHIN GANGADHAR INGALERoll no: 511136453
UnderSikkim-Manipal University of Health, Medical and Technology
Sciences, Manipal.
Has worked under my supervision and guidance. I hereby state that no part of this report has been submitted for the
award of any Degree, Diploma, Fellowship or any other similar titles or prizes and that the work has not been
published in any journal or magazine.Certified By
Name:
Designation: DIRECTOR
Organization: EDUWAY ACADEMY PVT. LTD.
Signature:
Date :
The HR ManagerXYZ Pvt. Ltd. Date:
Dear Sir/Madam,
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___________ is a bona fide student of Sikkim Manipal University Department of Distance Education, currently enrolled in the third semester of the MBA program, with specialization in the area of _________________.
As part of the requirements of the MBA degree, he/she is required to complete a Project of approximately eight months’ duration in his/her area of specialization. This should ideally be a live Project on an ongoing problem faced by the organization, under the supervision of a company guide. The objective of the project is to enable the student to apply his/her theoretical knowledge, problem solving and analytical skills and to equip himself/herself to face the challenges of the real world. Evaluation of the project will be based on a written report, as well as an oral presentation, after which a certificate of completion should be given by the organization.
I would be grateful if an opportunity could be given to ________ to work on such a project in your esteemed organization. Please review his/her enclosed resume and let me know if a suitable project would be available in his/her area of specialization.
Looking forward to a positive response,
Sincerely,
Company HeadSignature with Seal
TABLE OF CONTENT Page NoPart I 1.1 Introduction
1.2 Origin
1.3 Meaning And Definition
9 -17
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1.4 Importance of Credit Rating
1.5 Factors Affecting Assigned Ratings
Part II
2.1 Nature Of Credit Rating
2.2 Instruments for Rating
2.3 Functions Of Credit Rating Agency
2.4 Advantages Of Credit Rating
A. Benefits to Investors
B. Benefits of Rating to the Company
C. Benefits to Intermediaries
2.5 Disadvantages of Credit Rating
18 - 35
Part III3.1 Indian Credit Rating in INDIA- A case
for accountability36 - 43
Part IV
Significance Of Credit Rating In India
4.1 Definition
4.2 Credit rating agencies
4.3 Rating Grades
44 - 52
Part V
5 Project Report On Significance Of Credit
Rating In India
5.1 CRA
5.2 AAA
5.3 CARE
5.4 Ratings use in structured finance
53 - 66
CTEDIT RATING
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1.1 Introduction –
A credit rating evaluates the credit worthiness of a debtor, especially a business
(company) or a government. It is an evaluation made by a credit rating agency of the
debtor's ability to pay back the debt and the likelihood of default.
Credit ratings are determined by credit ratings agencies. The credit rating represents
the credit rating agency's evaluation of qualitative and quantitative information for a
company or government; including non-public information obtained by the credit rating
agencies analysts. Credit ratings are not based on mathematical formulas. Instead, credit
rating agencies use their judgment and experience in determining what public and
private information should be considered in giving a rating to a particular company or
government. The credit rating is used by individuals and entities that purchase the
bonds issued by companies and governments to determine the likelihood that the
government will pay its bond obligations. A poor credit rating indicates a credit rating
agency's opinion that the company or government has a high risk of defaulting, based
on the agency's analysis of the entity's history and analysis of long term economic
prospects.
With the increasing market orientation of the Indian economy, investors value a
systematic assessment of two types of risks, namely “business risk” arising out of the
“open economy” and linkages between money, capital and foreign exchange markets
and “payments risk”. With a view to protect small investors, who are the main target for
unlisted corporate debt in the form of fixed deposits with companies, credit rating has
been made mandatory. India was perhaps the first amongst developing countries to set
up a credit rating agency in 1988. The function of credit rating was institutionalized
when RBI made it mandatory for the issue of Commercial Paper (CP) and subsequently
by SEBI. when it made credit rating compulsory for certain categories of debentures
and debt instruments. In June 1994, RBI made it mandatory for Non-Banking Financial
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Companies (NBFCs) to be rated. Credit rating is optional for Public Sector
Undertakings (PSUs) bonds and privately placed non-convertible debentures upto Rs.
50 million. Fixed deposits of manufacturing companies also come under the purview of
optional credit rating.
1.2 Origin –
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The first mercantile credit agency was set up in New York in 1841 to rate the
ability of merchants to pay their financial obligations. Later on, it was taken over
by Robert Dun. This agency published its first rating guide in 1859. The second
agency was established by John Bradstreet in 1849 which was later merged with
first agency to form Dun & Bradstreet in 1933, which became the owner of
Moody’s Investor’s Service in 1962. The history of Moody’s can be traced back
about a 100 years ago. In 1900, John Moody laid stone of Moody’s
Investors Service and published his ‘Manual of Railroad
Securities’.
Early 1920’s saw the expansion of credit rating industry when the Poor’s
Publishing Company published its first rating guide in 1916. Subsequently Fitch
Publishing Company and Standard Statistics Company were set up in 1924 and
1922 respectively. Poor and Standard merged together in 1941 to form Standard
and Poor’s which was subsequently taken over by McGraw Hill in 1966. Between
1924 and 1970, no major new rating agencies were set up. But since 1970’s, a
number of credit rating agencies have been set up all over the world including
countries like Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, Australia, Pakistan and Philippines etc.
In India, CRISIL (Credit Rating and Information Services of India Ltd.) was setup
in 1987 as the first rating agency followed by ICRA Ltd. (formerly known as
Investment Information & Credit Rating Agency of India Ltd.) in 1991, and Credit
Analysis and Research Ltd. (CARE) in 1994. All the three agencies have been
promoted by the All-India Financial Institutions. The rating agencies have
established their creditability through their independence, professionalism,
continuous research, consistent efforts, and confidentiality of information. Duff
and Phelps has tied up with two Indian NBFCs to set up Duff and Phelps Credit
Rating India (P) Ltd. in 1996.
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1.3 Meaning and Definition -
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Credit rating is the opinion of the rating agency on the relative ability and
willingness of tile issuer of a debt instrument to meet the debt service obligations
as and when they arise. Rating is usually expressed in alphabetical or
alphanumeric symbols.
Symbols are simple and easily understood tool which help the investor to
differentiate between debt instruments on the basis of their underlying credit
quality. Rating companies also publish explanations for their symbols used as well
as the rationale for the ratings assigned by them, to facilitate deeper
understanding.
In other words, the rating is an opinion on the future ability and legal obligation of
the issuer to make timely payments of principal and interest on a specific fixed
income security. The rating measures the probability that the issuer will default on
the security over its life, which depending on the instrument may be a matter of
days to thirty years or more.
In fact, the credit rating is a symbolic indicator of the current opinion of the
relative capability of the issuer to service its debt obligation in a timely fashion,
with specific reference to the instrument being rated. It can also be defined as an
expression, through use of symbols, of the opinion about credit quality of the
issuer of security/instrument.
1.4 Importance of Credit Rating-
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Credit ratings establish a link between risk and return. They thus provide a
yardstick against which to measure the risk inherent in any instrument. An
investor uses the ratings to assess the risk level and compares the offered
rate of return with his expected rate of return (for the particular level of risk)
to optimize his risk-return trade-off.
The risk perception of a common investor, in the absence of a credit rating
system, largely depends on his familiarity with the names of the promoters
or the collaborators. It is not feasible for the corporate issuer of a debt
instrument to offer every prospective investor the opportunity to undertake a
detailed risk evaluation. It is very uncommon for different classes of
investors to arrive at some uniform conclusion as to the relative quality of
the instrument. Moreover they do not possess the requisite skills of credit
evaluation.
Thus, the need for credit rating in today’s world cannot be over
emphasised. It is of great assistance to the investors in making investment
decisions. It also helps the issuers of the debt instruments to price their
issues correctly and to reach out to new investors. Regulators like Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) and Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) use
credit rating to determine eligibility criteria for some instruments. For
example, the RBI has stipulated a minimum credit rating by an approved
agency for issue of commercial paper. In general, credit rating is expected to
improve quality consciousness in the market and establish over a period of
time, a more meaningful relationship between the quality of debt and the
yield from it.
Credit Rating is also a valuable input in establishing business relationships
of various types. However, credit rating by a rating agency is not a
recommendation to purchase or sale of a security.
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Investors usually follow security ratings while making investments.
Ratings are considered to be an objective evaluation of the probability that a
borrower will default on a given security issue, by the investors. Whenever a
security issuer makes late payment, a default occurs. In case of bonds, non-
payment of either principal or interest or both may cause liquidation of a
company. In most of the cases, holders of bonds issued by a bankrupt
company receive only a portion of the amount invested by them.
Thus, credit rating is a professional opinion given after studying all
available information at a particular point of time. Such opinions may prove
wrong in the context of subsequent events. Further, there is no private
contract between an investor and a rating agency and the investor is free to
accept or reject the opinion of the agency. Thus, a rating agency cannot be
held responsible for any losses suffered by the investor taking investment
decision on the basis of its rating. Thus, credit rating is an investor service
and a rating agency is expected to maintain the highest possible level of
analytical competence and integrity. In the long run, the credibility of rating
agency has to be built, brick by brick, on the quality of its services provided,
continuous research undertaken and consistent efforts made.
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1.5 Factors Affecting Assigned Ratings-
The following factors generally influence the ratings to be assigned by a
credit rating agency:
1. The security issuer’s ability to service its debt. In order, they calculate the
past and likely future cash flows and compare with fixed interest obligations
of the issuer.
2. The volume and composition of outstanding debt.
3. The stability of the future cash flows and earning capacity of company.
4. The interest coverage ratio i.e. how many number of times the issuer is
able to meet its fixed interest obligations.
5. Ratio of current assets to current liabilities (i.e. current ratio (CR)) is
calculated to assess the liquidity position of the
issuing firm.
6. The value of assets pledged as collateral security and the security’s
priority of claim against the issuing firm’s assets.
7. Market position of the company products is judged by the demand for the
products, competitors market share, distribution channels etc.
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8. Operational efficiency is judged by capacity utilisation, prospects of
expansion, modernization and diversification, availability of raw material
etc.
9. Track record of promoters, directors and expertise of staff also affect the
rating of a company.
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2.1 Nature of Credit Rating -
1. Rating is based on information: Any rating based entirely on published
information has serious limitations and the success of a rating agency will
depend, to a great extent, on its ability to access privileged information.
Cooperation from the issuers as well as their willingness to share even
confidential information are important pre-requisites. The rating agency
must keep information of confidential nature possessed during the rating
process, a secret.
2. Many factors affect rating: Rating does not come out of a predetermined
mathematical formula. Final rating is given taking into account the quality of
management, corporate strategy, economic outlook and international
environment. To ensure consistency and reliability a number of qualified
professionals are involved in the rating process. The Rating Committee,
which assigns the final rating, consists of specialized financial and credit
analysts. Rating agencies also ensure that the rating process is free from any
possible clash of interest.
3. Rating by more than one agency: In the well developed capital markets,
debt issues are, more often than not, rated by more than one agency. And it
is only natural that ratings given by two or more agencies differ from each
other e.g., a debt issue, may be rated ‘AA+’ by one agency and ‘AA’ or
‘AA-’ by another. It will indeed be unusual if one agency assigns a rating of
AA while another gives a ‘BBB’.
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4. Monitoring the already rated issues: A rating is an opinion given on the
basis of information available at particular point of time. Many factors may
affect the debt servicing capabilities of the issuer. It is, therefore, essential
that rating agencies monitor all outstanding debt issues rated by them as part
of their investor service. The rating agencies should put issues under close
credit watch and upgrade or downgrade the ratings as per the circumstances
after intensive interaction with the issuers.
5. Publication of ratings: In India, ratings are undertaken only at the
request of the issuers and only those ratings which are accepted by the
issuers are published. Thus, once a rating is accepted it is published and
subsequent changes emerging out of the monitoring by the agency will be
published even if such changes are not found acceptable by the issuers.
6. Right of appeal against assigned rating: Where an issuer is not satisfied
with the rating assigned, he may request for a review, furnishing additional
information, if any, considered relevant. The rating agency will undertake a
review and thereafter give its final decision. Unless the rating agency had
over looked critical information at the first stage chances of the rating being
changed on appeal are rare.
7. Rating of rating agencies: Informed public opinion will be the
touchstone on which the rating companies have to be assessed and the
success of a rating agency is measured by the quality of the services offered,
consistency and integrity.
8. Rating is for instrument and not for the issuer company: The
important thing to note is that rating is done always for a particular issue and
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not for a company or the Issuer. It is quite possible that two instruments
issued by the same company carry different ratings, particularly if maturities
are substantially different or one of the instruments is backed by additional
credit reinforcements like guarantees. In many cases, short-term obligations,
like commercial paper (CP) carry the highest rating even as the risk profile
changes for longer maturities.
9. Rating not applicable to equity shares: By definition, credit rating is an
opinion on the issuers capacity to service debt. In the case of equity there is
no pre-determined servicing obligation, as equity is in the nature of venture
capital. So, credit rating does not apply to equity shares.
10. Credit vs. financial analysis: Credit rating is much broader concept
than financial analysis. One important factor which needs consideration is
that the rating is normally done at the request of and with the active co-
operation Of the issuer. The rating agency has access to unpublished
information and the discussions with the senior management of issuers give
meaningful insights into corporate plans and strategies. Necessary
adjustments are made to the published accounts for the purpose of analysis.
Rating is carried out by specialised professionals who are highly qualified
and experienced. The final rating is assigned keeping in view the number of
factors.
11. Time taken in rating process: The rating process is a fairly detailed
exercise. It involves, among other things analysis of published financial
information, visits to the issuers offices and works, ‘intensive discussion
with the senior executives of issuers, discussions with auditors, bankers,
creditors etc.
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It also involves an in-depth study of the industry itself and a degree of
environment scanning. All this takes time, a rating agency may take 6 to 8
weeks or more to arrive at a decision. For rating short-term instruments like
commercial paper (CP), the time taken may vary from 3 to 4 weeks, as the
focus will be more on short-term liquidity rather than on long-term
fundamentals. Rating agencies do not compromise on the quality of their
analysis or work under pressure from issuers for quick results. Issuers are
always advised to. approach the rating agencies sufficiently in advance so
that issue schedules can be adhered to.
2.2 Instruments for Rating –
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Rating may be carried out by the rating agencies in respect of the following:
i. Equity shares issued by a company.
ii. Preference shares issued by a company.
iii. Bonds/debentures issued by corporate, government etc.
iv. Commercial papers issued by manufacturing companies, finance
companies, banks and financial institutions for raising sh0l1-term
loans.
v. Fixed deposits raised for medium-term ranking as unsecured
borrowings.
vi. Borrowers who have borrowed money.
vii. Individuals.
viii. Asset backed securities are assessed to determine the risk
associated with them. The objective is to determine quantum of cash
flows emerging from the asset that would be sufficient to meet
committed payments.
Rating Other than Debt Instruments-
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Credit Rating has been extended to all those activities where uncertainty and
risk is involved. Now-a-days credit rating is not just limited to debts
instruments but also covers the following:
I. Country Rating
A country may be rated whenever a loan is to be extended or some major
investment is to be made in it by international investors to determine the
safety and security of their investments.
A number of factors such as growth rate, industrial and agricultural
production, government policies, inflation, fiscal deficit etc. are taken into
consideration to arrive at such rating.
Any upgrade movement in such—ratings has a positive impact on the stock
markets. Morgan Stanlay, Moodys etc. give country ratings.
II. Rating of Real Estate Builders and Developers
CRISIL has started assigning rating to the builders and developers with the
objective of helping and guiding prospective real estate buyers. CRISIL
thoroughly scrutinizes the sale deed papers, sanctioned plan, lawyers’ report
government clearance certificates before assigning rating to the builder or
developer. Past experience of the builder, number of properties built by the
builder, financial strength, time taken for completion are some of the factors
taken into consideration.
MANAGEMENT OF FINANCIAL SERVICES
CRISIL before giving a final rating to the real estate builder/ developer.
III. Chit Funds
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Chit funds registered as a company are sometimes rated on their ability to
make timely payment of prize money to subscribers. The rating helps the
chit funds in better marketing of their fund and in widening of the
subscribers base. This service is provided by CRISIL.
IV. Rating of States
States of India have also approached rating agencies for rating. Rating helps
the State to attract investors both from India and abroad to make
investments. Investors find safety of their funds while investing in a state
with good rating. Foreign companies also come forward and set up projects
in such states with positive rating. Rating agencies take into account various
economic parameters such as industrial and agricultural growth of the State,
availability of raw material, labor etc. and political parties agenda with
respect to industry, labor etc., relation between Centre and State and
freedom enjoyed by the states in taking decisions while assigning final
rating to the states. States like Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Tamil Nadu,
Andhra
Pradesh and Kerala have already been rated by CRISIL.
V. Rating of Banks
CRISIL and ICRA both are engaged in rating of banks based on the
following six parameters also called CAMELS.
C - C stands for capital adequacy of banks. A bank need to maintain at least
10 % capital against risky assets of the bank.
A - A stands for asset quality. The loan is examined to determine non-
performing assets. An asset/loan is considered non-performing asset where
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either interest or principal is unpaid for two quarters or more. Ratios like
NPA to Net Advances, Adequacy of Provision & Debt Service Coverage
Ratio are also calculated to know exact picture of quality of asset of a bank.
M - M stands for management evaluation. Here, the efficiency and
effectiveness of management in framing plans and policies is examined.
Ratios like RO!, Return on Capital Employed (ROC E), Return on Assets
(ROA) are calculated to comment upon bank’s efficiency to utilize the
assets.
L - L indicates liquidity position. Liquid and current ratios are determined to
find out banks ability to meet its short-term claims.
S - S stands for Systems and Control. Existing systems are studied in detail
to determine their adequacy and efficacy. Thus, the above six parameters are
analysed in detail by the rating agency and then final rating is given to a
particular bank.
Ratings vary from A to D. Where A denotes financial, managerial and
operational soundness of a bank, and D denotes that bank is in financial
crisis and lacks managerial expertise and is facing operational problems.
VI. Rating (Recommendation) for Equities
These days analysts specialised in equity ratings make a forecast of the stock
prices of a company. They study thoroughly the trend of sales, operating
profits and other variables and make a forecast of the earning capacity and
profitability position of a company. They use financial statement analysis
tools like ratio analysis, trend analysis, fund flow analysis and cash flow
analysis to comment upon company’s liquidity, solvency, profitability and
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overall efficiency position. Analysts suggest a target price of the stock
giving signal to the investor to swing into action whenever the stock hits that
particular price. The following are some of the recommendations made by
the equity analysts for its investors:
i. Buy: It shows the stock is worth buying at its current price.
ii. Buy on Declines: This recommendation indicates stock is basically good
but overpriced now. The investor should go for buying whenever the price
declines.
iii. Long-term Buy: This recommendation suggests that a stock should be
bought and held for a longer period at least a year in order to realise gains.
v. Out-performer: This recommendation shows that whatever may be the
mood of the stock market the stock will perform better than the market.
vi. Overweight: This refers to that investor can increase the quantum or
weight of that stock in his portfolio. This recommendation is applicable to
those investors who keep number of stocks in their portfolio.
vii. Hold: This recommendation is a suggestion to the investor to exit
because stock prices are not likely to be appreciated significantly from the
current price level.
viii. Sell/Dispose/Sub-Standard/Under-weight: It indicates to the investor
to sell/dispose off or decrease the weight of stock from its portfolio because
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stock is fundamentally overvalued at its current level and the investor’
should exit from it immediately.
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2.3 Functions of a Credit Rating Agency-
A credit rating agency serves following functions:
1. Provides unbiased opinion: An independent credit rating agency is
likely to provide an unbiased opinion as to relative capability of the
company to service debt obligations because of the following reasons:
i. It has no vested interest in an issue unlike brokers, financial
intermediaries.
ii. Its own reputation is at stake.
2. Provides quality and dependable information:. A credit rating agency
is in a position to provide quality information on credit risk which is more
authenticated and reliable because:
i. It has highly trained and professional staff who has better ability
to assess risk.
ii. It has access to a lot of information which may not be publicly
available.
3. Provides information at low cost: Most of the investors rely on the
ratings assigned by the ratings agencies while taking investment decisions.
These ratings are published in the form of reports and are available easily on
the payment of negligible price. It is not possible for the investors to assess
the creditworthiness of the companies on their own.
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4. Provide easy to understand information: Rating agencies first of all
gather information, then analyse the same. At last these interpret and
summarise complex information in a simple and readily understood formal
manner. Thus in other words, information supplied by rating agencies can be
easily understood by the investors. They need not go into details of the
financial statements.
5. Provide basis for investment: An investment rated by a credit rating
enjoys higher confidence from investors. Investors can make an estimate of
the risk and return associated with a particular rated issue while investing
money in them.
6. Healthy discipline on corporate borrowers: Higher credit rating to any
credit investment enhances corporate image and builds up goodwill and
hence it induces a healthy/ discipline on corporate.
7. Formation of public policy: Once the debt securities are rated
professionally, it would be easier to formulate public policy guidelines as to
the eligibility of securities to be included in different kinds of institutional
port-folio.
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2.4 Advantages of Credit Rating-
Different benefits accrue from use of rated instruments to different class of
investors or the company. These are explained as under:
A. Benefits to Investors
1. Safety of investments. Credit rating gives an idea in advance to the
investors about the degree of financial strength of the issuer company. Based
on rating he decides about the investment. Highly rated issues gives an
assurance to the investors of safety of Investments and minimizes his risk.
2. Recognition of risk and returns. Credit rating symbols indicate both the
returns expected and the risk attached to a particular issue. It becomes easier
for the investor to understand the worth of the issuer company just by
looking at the symbol because the issue is backed by the financial strength
of the company.
3. Freedom of investment decisions. Investors need not seek advise from the
stock brokers, merchant bankers or the portfolio managers before making
investments. Investors today are free and independent to take investment
decisions themselves. They base their decisions on rating symbols attached
to a particular security. Each rating symbol assigned to a particular
investment suggests the creditworthiness of the investment and indicates the
degree of risk involved in it.
4. Wider choice of investments. As it is mandatory to rate debt obligations
for every issuer company, at any particular time, wide range of credit rated
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instruments are available for making investment. Depending upon his own
ability to bear risk, the investor can make choice of the securities in which
investment is to be made.
5. Dependable credibility of issuer. Absence of any link between the rater
and rated firm ensures dependable credibility of issuer and attracts investors.
As rating agency has no vested interest in issue to be rated, and has no
business connections or links with the Board of Directors. In other words, it
operates independent of the issuer company, the rating given by it is always
accepted by the investors.
6. Easy understanding of investment proposals. Investors require no
analytical knowledge on their part about the issuer company. Depending
upon rating symbols assigned by the rating agencies they can proceed with
decisions to make investment in any particular rated security of a company.
7. Relief from botheration to know company. Credit agencies relieve
investors from botheration of knowing the details of the company, its
history, nature of business, financial position, liquidity and profitability
position, composition of management staff and Board of Directors etc.
Credit rating by professional and specialised analysts reposes confidence in
investors to rely upon the credit symbols for taking investment decisions.
8. Advantages of continuous monitoring. Credit rating agencies not only
assign rating symbols but also continuously monitor them. The Rating
agency downgrades or upgrades the rating symbols following the decline or
improvement in the financial position respectively.
31 | P a g e
B. Benefits of Rating to the Company
A company who has got its credit instrument or security rated is benefited in
the following ways.
1. Easy to raise resources. A company with highly rated instrument finds it
easy to raise resources from the public. Even though investors in different
sections of the society understand the degree of risk and uncertainty attached
to a particular security but they still get attracted towards the highly rated
instruments.
2. Reduced cost of borrowing. Investors always like to make investments in
such instrument, which ensure safety and easy liquidity rather than high rate
of return. A company can reduce the cost of borrowings by quoting lesser
interest on those fixed deposits or debentures or bonds, which are highly
rated.
3. Reduced cost of public issues. A company with highly rated instruments
has to make least efforts in raising funds through public. It can reduce its
expenditure on press and publicity. Rating facilitates best pricing and timing
of issues.
4. Rating builds up image. Companies with highly rated instrument enjoy
better goodwill and corporate image in the eyes of customers, shareholders,
investors and creditors. Customers feel confident of the quality of goods
manufactured, shareholders are sure of high returns, investors feel secured of
their investments and creditors are assured of timely payments of interest
and principal.
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5. Rating facilitates growth. Rating motivates the promoters to undertake
expansion of their operations or diversify their production activities thus
leading to the growth of the company in future. Moreover highly rated
companies find it easy to raise funds from public through new issues or
through credit from banks and FIs to finance their expansion activities.
6. Recognition to unknown companies. Credit rating provides recognition to
relatively unknown companies going for public issues through wide investor
base. While entering into market, investors rely more on the rating grades
than on ‘name recognition’.
C. Benefits to Intermediaries
Stock brokers have to make less efforts in persuading their clients to select
an investment proposal of making investment in highly rated instruments.
Thus rating enables brokers and other financial intermediaries to save time,
energy costs and manpower in convincing their clients.
2.5 Disadvantages of Credit Rating -
Credit rating suffers from the following limitations
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1. Non-disclosure of significant information. Firm being rated may not
provide significant or material information, which is likely to affect the
investor’s decision as to investment, to the investigation team of the credit
rating company. Thus any decisions taken in the absence of such significant
information may put investors at a loss.
2. Static study. Rating is a static study of present and past historic data of
the company at one particular point of time. Number of factors including
economic, political, environment, and government policies have direct
bearing on the working of a company. Any changes after the assignment of
rating symbols may defeat the very purpose of risk inactiveness of rating.
3. Rating is no certificate of soundness. Rating grades by the rating
agencies are only an opinion about the capability of the company to meets
its interest obligations. Rating symbols do not pinpoint towards quality of
products or management or staff etc. In other words rating does not give a
certificate of the complete soundness of the company. Users should form an
independent view of the rating symbol.
4. Rating may be biased. Personal bias of the investigating team might
affect the quality of the rating. The companies having lower grade rating do
not advertise or use the rating while raising funds from the public. In such a
case the investors cannot get the true information about the risk involved in
the instrument.
5. Rating under unfavorable conditions. Rating grades are not always
representative of the true image of a company. A company might be given
low grade because it was passing through unfavorable conditions when
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rated. Thus, misleading conclusions may be drawn by the investors which
hampers the company’s interest.
6. Difference in rating grades. Same instrument may be rated differently by
the two rating agencies because of the personal judgment of the investigating
staff on qualitative aspects. This may further confuse the investors.
Indian Credit Rating in INDIA- A case for accountability
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If there is one business in this world that is minting money without
being accountable, responsible or answerable to any one, it is the
business of credit rating. Whether the economy is in good shape or
bad, whether companies are making profits or not, whether investors
are earning or losing money, the rating companies are there to make
money for themselves, thanks to the wise men in power all over the
world, who have given them unfettered freedom to say what they
want, without any accountability for their actions.
Otherwise how do you reconcile to the fact that different rating
agencies give diametrically opposite rating to the same country, same
product, or same sector with same facts and figures. In the first week
of August 2011, Standard & Poor’s (S&P), a global rating agency
downgraded United States’ sovereign rating by one notch from
‘AAA’ to ‘AA+’ and millions of investors all over the world lost
billions of dollars for no fault of theirs. Around the same time, two
other international rating agencies, namely Moody’s Investors Service
and Fitch Ratings affirmed triple A (AAA) rating of the US
government based on the same data, same facts and same figures.
Nearer home, on 9 November 2011, Moody’s Investors Service
downgraded India’s banking sector to ‘negative’ from ‘stable’,
creating ripples not only in the capital market but also in the corridors
of power in our country. But strangely, on the very next day, S&P
upgraded the country’s banking sector from group ‘6’ to group ‘5’,
citing “high level of stability, core customers’ deposits, which limit
dependence on external borrowings, and that Indian government is
highly supportive of the banking system.” Curiously, within a week
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thereafter, another rating agency, namely Brickwork Ratings has
maintained a “stable” outlook for the Indian banking sector based on
“rational view of past performance of the banking industry, the
positives and the challenges faced by banks, the regulatory
environment and the implications of the Euro zone crisis”
The three rating agencies have given three different ratings for our
banking sector all at the same time, based on the same facts and
figures, which proves how subjective is the rating system and how
much reliable is the rating mechanism, causing a sense of concern
among the people of this country.
There is more to rating than meets the eye. On 11th November this
year, S&P committed a blunder by accidentally sending messages to
some of its subscribers that it had lowered France’s Triple A
sovereign rating. Fortunately this mistake happened just after the Paris
bourse had closed and that saved the day for the French investors from
a catastrophe. Within two hours, the agency sent out another message
saying that it was a technical error and that the rating of the French
Republic was unchanged and continued to be Triple A. In the wake of
this goof-up, the European Union Internal Market Commissioner had
called for a rigorous, strict and solid regulation for credit rating
agencies.
During the global financial crisis of 2008, the agencies admitted that
they did make mistakes in their ratings, which partly led to the crisis
and caused the collapse of the world markets then. The rating agencies
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gave their best ratings to borrowers before the housing crisis in
America. It turned out that many were not able to pay their debts
back, resulting in failure of renowned housing finance companies
there.
Are the rating agencies indispensable?
Over a period of time, rating agencies have become a part and parcel
of the economy of the developed and developing countries—either by
design or by default. They are expected to perform certain useful but
onerous functions like educating investors in the art of investment,
protecting the interests of gullible consumers, guiding industries to
raise capital and most importantly serve as a guardian of the country’s
economy by periodically emitting appropriate signals as to where the
economy is headed during both good and bad times for the benefit of
the people of the country and of the world, as well. But recent
developments all over the world show that these rating agencies are
not infallible. Being manned by human beings they make not only
mistakes but blunders, too. Hence there is a need to make them
accountable, responsible and answerable for their actions and their
activities need to be monitored, guided and supervised so that they do
the job expected of them objectively with a sense of purpose and great
responsibility towards the people whom they are supposed to serve.
Following the financial crisis of 2008, the Obama administration
quickly enacted a law called Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform &
Consumer Protection Act on 21 July 2010. It is an omnibus law with
an aim to create a sound economic foundation to grow jobs, protect
consumers and investors, rein in Wall Street and big bonuses, end
bailouts of too-big-to-fail, and prevent another financial crisis.
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While the Act was touted as the most sweeping change to financial
regulation in the US since the great depression, it contains several
provisions to protect investors by codifying new rules for
transparency and accountability of credit rating agencies, as well. The
Act provides for creation of Office of Credit Ratings (OCR) within
the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to ensure oversight
over Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and
enhanced regulation of such entities.
There are 76 rating agencies globally in different countries with 10
rating agencies (eight of US, one each of Canada and Japan) approved
by the SEC. The big three rating agencies are S&P with ratings
revenue of $1.70 billion, Moody’s Investor Services with revenue of
$1.47 billion and Fitch Ratings with a revenue of $554 million for the
year 2010. Seven other agencies have combined revenue of $196
million, as reported in the media.
In India there are seven rating agencies at present, which are approved
by different authorities and different wings of the central government,
depending upon the rating work they undertake. At present, those
agencies active in the capital market are approved by the Securities
and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), those which are active in rating
of bank loans, etc are approved by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI),
and others by NABARD, National Housing Bank and by different
ministries of the government. However, there are no uniform rules for
such approval, nor is there any co-ordination between different
authorities to ensure that the rating agency approved by them has the
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requisite competence to do the job expected of them. To streamline
the entire operations of rating agencies and to keep track of the new
rating companies coming into India, it is necessary to put in place a
regulatory mechanism through a suitable enactment as early as
possible. Here are a few important steps required to be initiated by the
government in the interest of safeguarding the integrity of the
securities market in our country.
1 There must be an independent regulator for the rating agencies,
who should formulate rules and regulations for centralized
registration, reporting, monitoring and ethical functioning of all the
rating agencies in the country. And all other regulators should go by
such registration, instead of doing registration independently.
2 The rating agencies should have complete transparency in their
operations, and periodical reporting of all aspects of rating to the
regulator should be made mandatory.
3 The rating agencies’ promoters, directors and the top management
should be screened by the regulator for their credentials, competence
and their antecedents to ensure that only the deserving and competent
people run this business.
4 Only by putting your money where your mouth is you can be
made accountable for your actions. For this reason, the government
should set up a Bondholders’ Protection Fund (BPF) to compensate
certain type of investors (like senior citizens, etc) in rated bonds,
debentures, etc. when there is a default by the issuers. The rating
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agencies should contribute funds to this BPF on a pre-determined
ratio, and such a fund should be managed independently by trustees
appointed by the regulator. The detailed mechanism of managing the
fund can be decided by the regulator.
5. The rating agencies should mandatorily communicate to the
investors holding the rated bonds, whenever they downgrade an issuer
or the bonds concerned, thereby helping the investor to take a decision
to hold or sell the bonds and thus protect their interest.
6. The regulator should put a cap on the fees charged by the rating
agencies, and the fees charged for each rating should form part and
parcel of the rating report to ensure transparency in their dealings.
7. Every rating agency should set up a separate independent rating
committee, whose members should not only be experts in the
respective fields, but should not have any pecuniary relationship either
with the rating agency or the issuer concerned whose instruments are
rated in order to ensure that there is no conflict of interest.
8. There should be complete ‘Chinese walls’ between the rating
activity and non-rating activity handled by the agency and any non-
rating business handled by the agency for a client should be clearly
mentioned in the rating report on the said client.
9. Whenever the rating agency downgrades an issuer or a bond, it
should be given enough publicity in the national dailies with the
largest circulation to serve as a communication to the general
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investors about the revised rating allotted to the issuer or the
instrument.
10. All rating agencies should publish their profit & loss account
and balance sheet annually with all the data that goes along with the
annual report. They should comply with all the requirements complied
with by a listing company, like quarterly results, shareholding pattern,
changes in directors, etc even though they are not listed, with a view
to ensure transparency and better corporate governance.
11. Every year a list of all companies and or instruments rated by
them along with the periodical upgrade or downgrade affected by
them should be published not only on their website, but also in
leading national dailies in the month of April every year.
12. The rating agencies that rate housing projects should certify the
correctness of all claims and statements made by the builders after
thorough verification and any variance observed by them should be
communicated to the respective home buyers periodically.
13. The rating agencies that rate educational institutions should be
answerable to the students of the rated institutions for any variation in
the claims and statements made by the managements of the
institutions concerned.
14. The regulator should have the authority to levy penalty for any
wrong doing by the rating agency, including deregistration and
winding up of the company, if so warranted.
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15. The regulator should periodically inspect the operations of the
rating agencies to ensure that their operations are run on sound lines
and that they are fit to continue to run the business of ratings.
16. The rating agencies should lead by example whenever they rate
a company for corporate governance, so that the standards followed
by the rating company should form as a model for others to follow.
17. The most important of all is that the aforesaid stipulations and
any other conditionality felt necessary to regulate this business should
be codified through a central enactment so that the business of rating
grows on healthy lines and the public at large, investors and the
consumers really benefit from their expertise and they in turn become
more responsible and accountable to the society in which they
operate.
These are some of the broad contours of the proposed legislation to
bring the rating agencies within the ambit of law, and the earlier it is
done, the better it is for the economy. We have had several scams in
our country recently. Two of them are cash-for-votes scam and cash-
for-loans scam. It is time for us to take preventive steps to the extent
possible to ensure that our country is free from any further scams, and
to pre-empt any possibility of cash-for-rating scam, the government
should initiate the steps suggested above early.
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4. SIGNIFICANCE OF CREDIT RATING IN INDIA
4.1 Definition
"Credit Rating Agency" means any commercial concern engaged in the
business of credit rating of any debt obligation or of any project or program
requiring finance, whether in the form of debt or otherwise, and includes
credit rating of any financial obligation, instrument or security, which has
the purpose of providing a potential investor or any other person any
information pertaining to the relative safety of timely payment of interest or
principal;
(Section 65(21) of Finance Act, 1994 as amended)
Big Three
The top three credit ratings agencies in the United States are:
Moody's
Standard & Poor's
Fitch Ratings
In the wake of recent credit-market turmoil, some niche agencies are picking
up market share or at least additional visibility. Among the niche agencies
are DBRS and Egan-Jones.
4.2 Credit rating agencies
Agencies that assign credit ratings for corporations include:
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M. Best (U.S.)
Bay corp. Advantage (Australia)
Dominion Bond Rating Service (Canada)
China Credit Information Service (China)
Fitch Ratings (U.S.)
Japan Credit Rating Agency (Japan)
Moody's Investors Service (U.S.)
Standard & Poor's (U.S.)
Rating Agency Malaysia (Malaysia)
Egan-Jones Rating Company (U.S.)
Reasons for the origin of credit rating agencies
The increasing role of capital and money markets consequent to
disintermediation.
Increased securitization of borrowing and lending consequent to
disintermediation.
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Globalization of the credit market.
The continuing growth of information technology.
The growth of confidence in the efficiency of the market mechanism.
The withdrawal of Govt. safety nets and the trend towards privatization
he increasing role of capital and money markets consequent to
disintermediation.
Increased securitization of borrowing and lending consequent to
disintermediation.
Globalization of the credit market.
The continuing growth of information technology.
The growth of confidence in the efficiency of the market mechanism.
The withdrawal of Govt safety nets and the trend towards privatization.
4.3 Rating Grades
Each rating agency has developed its own system of rating grades for
sovereign and corporate borrowers. Fitch Ratings developed a rating grade
system in 1924that was adopted by Standard & Poor's. Moody's grading is
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slightly different. Moody's sometimes argues that their ratings embed a
conceptually superior approach that directly considers not only the
likelihood of default but also these verities of loss in the event of default.
Long Term Credit Rankings
Fitch Ratings and Standard & Poor's use a system of letter sliding from the
best rating "AAA" to "D" for issuers already defaulting on payments.
Investment Grade
AAA
: best quality borrowers, reliable and stable without a foreseeable risk to
future payments of interest and principal
AA
: very strong borrowers; a bit higher risk than AAA
A
: upper medium grade; economic situation can affect finance
BBB
: medium grade borrowers, which are satisfactory at the moment
Non-Investment Grade
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BB
: lower medium grade borrowers, more prone to changes in the economy,
somewhat speculative
B
: low grade, financial situation varies noticeably, speculative
CCC
: poor quality, currently vulnerable and may default
CC
: highly vulnerable, most speculative bonds
C
: highly vulnerable, perhaps in bankruptcy or in arrears but still continuing to
pay out on obligations
CI
: past due on interest
R
: under regulatory supervision due to its financial situation
SD
: has selectively defaulted on some obligations
D
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: has defaulted on obligations and S&P believes that it will generally default
on most or all obligations
NR
: not rated Moody's grading follows a different system
Investment Grade
Aaa
: Obligations rated Aaa are judged to be of the highest quality,with the
"smallest degree of risk"
•
Aa1, Aa2, Aa3
: Obligations rated Aa are judged to be of high quality and are subject to
very low credit risk, but "their susceptibility to long-term risks appears
somewhat greater".
•
A1, A2, A3
: Obligations rated A are considered upper-medium grade and are subject to
low credit risk, but that have elements "present that suggest a susceptibility
to impairment over the long term".
•
Baa1, Baa2, Baa3
: Obligations rated Baa are subject to moderate credit risk. They are
considered medium-grade and as such "protective elements may be lacking
or may be characteristically unreliable".
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Non-Investment Grade
•
Ba1, Ba2, Ba3
: Obligations rated Ba are judged to have "questionable credit quality."
•
B1, B2, B3
: Obligations rated B are considered speculative and are subject to high
credit risk, and have "generally poor credit quality."
•
Caa1, Caa2, Caa3
: Obligations rated Caa are judged to be of poor standing and are subject to
very high credit risk, and have "extremely poor credit quality. Such banks
may be in default..."
•
Ca
: Obligations rated Ca are highly speculative and are "usually in default on
their deposit obligations".
•
C
: Obligations rated C are the lowest rated class of bonds and are typically in
default, and "potential recovery values are low".
Others
•
WR
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: Withdrawn Rating
•
NR
: Not Rated
•
P
: Provisional
Credit rating agencies do not downgrade companies promptly enough .For
example, Enron's rating remained at investment grade four days before the
company went bankrupt, despite the fact that credit rating agencies had been
aware of the company's problems for months.
Some empirical studies have documented that yield spreads of corporate
bonds start to expand as credit quality deteriorates but before a rating
downgrade, implying that the market often leads a downgrade and
questioning the informational value of credit ratings.
This has led to suggestions that, rather than rely on CRA ratings in financial
regulation, financial regulators should instead require banks, broker-dealers
and insurance firms (among others) to use credit spreads when calculating
the risk in their portfolio.
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Large corporate rating agencies have been criticized for having too familiar
a relationship with company management, possibly opening themselves to
undue influence or the vulnerability of being misled.
These agencies meet frequently in person with the management of many
companies, and advise on actions the company should take to maintain a
certain rating. Furthermore, because information about ratings changes from
the larger
5 PROJECT REPORT ON SIGNIFICANCE OF CREDIT RATING
IN INDIA
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5.1 CRAs can spread so quickly (by word of mouth, email, etc.), the larger
CRAs charge debt issuers, rather than investors, for their ratings. This has
led to accusations that these CRAs are plagued by conflicts of interest that
might inhibit them from providing accurate and honest ratings. At the same
time, more generally, the largest agencies (Moody's and Standard & Poor's)
are often seen as agents of globalization and/or "Anglo-American" market
forces, that drive companies to consider how a proposed activity might
affect their credit rating, possibly at the expense of employees, the
environment, or long-term research and development. These accusations are
not entirely consistent: on one hand, the larger CRAs are accused of being
too cozy with the companies they rate, and on the other hand they are
accused of being too focused on a company's “bottom line" and unwilling to
listen to a company's explanations for its actions.
The lowering of a credit score by a CRA can create a vicious cycle, as not
only interest rates for that company would go up, but other contracts with
financial institutions may be affected adversely, causing an increase in
expenses and ensuing decrease in credit worthiness. In some cases, large
loans to companies contain a clause that makes the loan due in full if the
Companies' credit rating is lowered beyond a certain point (usually a
“speculative" or " junk bond" rating). The purpose of these "ratings triggers"
is to ensure that the bank is able to lay claim to a weak company's assets
before the company declares bankruptcy and a receiver is appointed to
divide up the claims against the company. The effect of such ratings triggers,
however, can be devastating: under a worst-case scenario, once the
company’s debt is downgraded by a CRA, the company's loans become due
in full; since the troubled company likely is incapable of paying all of these
loans in full at once, it is forced into bankruptcy (a so-called "death
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spiral").These rating triggers were instrumental in the collapse of Enron.
Since that time, major agencies have put extra effort into detecting these
triggers and discouraging their use, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission requires that public companies in the United States disclose
their existence.
Agencies are sometimes accused of being oligopolists, because barriers to
market entry are high and rating agency business is itself reputation-
based(and the finance industry pays little attention to a rating that is not
widely recognized). Of the large agencies, only Moody's is a separate,
publicly held corporation that discloses its financial results without dilution
by non-ratings businesses, and its high profit margins (which at times have
been greater than 50 percent of gross margin) can be construed as consistent
with the type of returns one might expect in an industry which has high
barriers to entry.
Credit Rating Agencies have made errors of judgment in rating structured
products, particularly in assigning AAA ratings to structured debt, which in
a large number of cases has subsequently been downgraded or defaulted.
The actual method by which Moody's rates CDOs has also come under
scrutiny. If default models are biased to include arbitrary default data and
"Ratings Factors are biased low compared to the true level of expected
defaults, the Moody’s [method] will not generate an appropriate level of
average defaults in its default distribution process. As a result, the perceived
default probability of rated tranches from a high yield CDO will be
incorrectly biased downward, providing a false sense of confidence to rating
agencies and investors."
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. Little has been done by rating agencies to address these shortcomings
indicating a lack of incentive for quality ratings of credit in the modern CRA
industry. This has led to problems for several banks whose capital
requirements depend on the rating of the structured assets they hold, as well
as large losses in the banking industry.
AAA
AAA Rated mortgage securities trading at only 80 cents on the dollar,
implying a greater than 20% chance of default, and 8.9% of AAA rated
structured CDOs are being considered for downgrade by Fitch, which
expects most to downgrade to an average of BBB to BB-. These levels of
reassessment are surprising for AAA rated bonds, which have the same
rating class as US government bonds.
Most rating agencies do not draw a distinction between AAA on structured
finance and AAA on corporate or government bonds (though their ratings
releases typically describe the type of security being rated). Many banks,
such as AIG, made the mistake of not holding enough capital in reserve in
the event of downgrades to their CDO portfolio. The structure of the Basel II
agreements meant that CDOs capital requirement rose 'exponentially'. This
made CDO portfolios vulnerable to multiple downgrades, essentially
precipitating a large margin call. For example under Basel II, a AAA rated
securitization requires capital allocation of only 0.6%, a BBB requires 4.8%,
a BB requires 34%, whilst aBB (-) securitization requires a 52% allocation.
For a number of reasons (frequently having to do with inadequate staff
expertise and the costs that risk management programs entail), many
institutional investors relied solely on the ratings agencies rather than
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conducting their own analysis of the risks these instruments posed. (As an
example of the complexity involved in analyzing some CDOs, the Aquarius
CDO structure has 51 issues behind the cash CDO component of the
structure and another 129 issues that serve as reference entities for $1.4
billion in CDS contracts for a total of 180. In a sample of just 40 of these,
they had on average 6500 loans at origination. Projecting that number to all
180 issues implies that the Aquarius CDO has exposure to about 1.2 million
loans.)
Ratings agencies, in particular Fitch, Moody's and Standard and Poors have
been implicitly allowed by the government to fill a quasi-regulatory role, but
because they are for-profit entities their incentives may be misaligned.
Conflicts of interest often arise because the rating agencies are paid by the
companies issuing the securities — an arrangement that has come under fire
as a disincentive for the agencies to be vigilant on behalf of investors. Many
market participants no longer rely on the credit agencies ratings systems,
even before the economic crisis of 2007-8, preferring instead to use credit
spreads to benchmarks like Treasuries or an index. However, since the
Federal Reserve requires that structured financial entities be rated by at least
two of the three credit agencies, they have a continued obligation of Rs.
5343 crores. Cumulative number of instruments covering a debt volume of
Rs 17,638 crores. ICRA was set up by ICICI and other leading investment
institutions and commercial banks and financial services companies. Rating
Scales: Long Term (Debentures, Bonds, Pref. Shares):L AAA Highest safety
L AA+ }L AAA } High safety L AA- }LA+ }LA } Adequate safety LA- }L
BBB+ }L BBB } Moderate safety L BBB- }
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L BB+ }L BB } Inadequate safetyL BB- }L B+ }L B } Risk ProneL B- }L
C+ }L C } Substantial Risk L C- }L D Default- Extremely speculative.
Medium Term: (Cert. of Deposits & Fixed Deposits) M AAA to M D. Short
Term: (Including Commercial Papers)
A1+ / A1 / A2+ / A2 / A3+ / A3 / A4+ / A4 / A5
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5.3 Credit Analysis and Research Ltd. (CARE)
The CARE was promoted in1993 jointly with investment companies, banks
&finance companies. Services offered by CARE are – (1).credit rating (ii)
information service (iii)Equity research (iv)rating & parallel market of LPG
& kerosene. Since its inception till the end of march1995, CARE has rated
249 debt instruments covering a total debt volume of Rs 9729 crores. CARE
was promoted by leading financial institutions, banks and private sector
finance companies. Care prefixes CARE to the ratings given to the issue e.g.
CARE AAA or CARE AA to the Debenture or Bond issue to indicate High
safety. Similarly in case of Fixed / Short Deposit issue the rating issued is
CARE AAA (FD) or CARE AA (SD) and so on. CARE Rating Services
CARE provides rating services to the following debt instruments.
Debentures
Certificate of deposits
Commercial paper
Fixed deposit
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5.4 Ratings use in structured finance
Credit rating agencies may also play a key role in structured financial
transactions. Unlike a "typical" loan or bond issuance, where a borrower
offers to pay a certain return on a loan, structured financial transactions may
be viewed as either a series of loans with different characteristics, or else a
number of small loans of a similar type packaged together into a series of
"buckets" (with the "buckets" or different loans called "tranches"). Credit
ratings often determine the interest rate or price ascribed to a particular
tranche, based on the quality of loans or quality of assets contained within
that grouping. Companies involved in structured financing arrangements
often consult with credit rating agencies to help them determine how to
structure the individual tranches so that each receives a desired credit rating.
For example, a firm may wish to borrow a large sum of money by issuing
debt securities. However, the amount is so large that the return investors
may demand on a single issuance would be prohibitive. Instead, it decides to
issue three separate bonds, with three separate credit ratings —A (medium
low risk), BBB (medium risk), and BB (speculative) (using Standard&
Poor's rating system). The firm expects that the effective interest rate it pays
on the A-rated bonds will be much less than the rate it must pay on the BB-
rated bonds, but that, overall, the amount it must pay for the total capital it
raises will be less than it would pay if the entire amount were raised from a
single bond offering. As this transaction is devised, the firm may consult
with a credit rating agency to see how it must structure each tranche—in
other words, what types of assets must be used to secure the debt in each
tranche—in order for that tranche to receive the desired rating when it is
issued. There has been criticism in the wake of large losses in the
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collateralized debt obligation(CDO) market that occurred despite being
assigned top ratings by the CRAs. For instance, losses on $340.7 million
worth of collateralized debt obligations (CDO) issued by Credit Suisse
Group added up to about $125 million, despite being rated AAA or Aaa by
Standard & Poor's, Moody's Investors Service and Fitch Group.
The rating agencies respond that their advice constitutes only a "point in
time “analysis, that they make clear that they never promise or guarantee a
certain rating to a tranche, and that they also make clear that any change in
circumstance regarding the risk factors of a particular tranche will invalidate
their analysis and result in a different credit rating. In addition, some CRAs
do not rate bond issuances upon which they have offered such advice.
Complicating matters, particularly where structured finance transactions are
concerned, the rating agencies state that their ratings are opinions (and as
such, are protected free speech, granted to them by the "personhood" of
corporations)regarding the likelihood that a given debt security will fail to be
serviced over a given period of time, and not an opinion on the volatility of
that security and certainly not the wisdom of investing in that security. In the
past, most highly rated (AAA or Aaa) debt securities were characterized by
low volatility and high liquidity—in other words, the price of a highly rated
bond did not fluctuate greatly day-to-day, and sellers of such securities could
easily find buyers. However, structured transactions that involve the
bundling of hundreds or thousands of similar (and similarly rated) securities
tend to concentrate similar risk in such away that even a slight change on a
chance of default can have an enormous affection the price of the bundled
security. This means that even though a rating agency could be correct in its
opinion that the chance of default of a structured product is very low, even a
slight change in the market's perception of the risk of that product can have a
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disproportionate effect on the product's market price, with the result that an
ostensibly AAA or Aaa-rated security can collapse in price even without
there being any default (or significant chance of default). This possibility
raises significant regulatory issues because the use of ratings in securities
and banking regulation (as noted above) assumes that high ratings
correspond with low volatility and high liquidity.
Since the rating agencies receive a sizable fee from the companies for
awarding ratings, a tendency to inflate the ratings may develop.
Investment which have the same rating may not have identical investment
quality However, the problems with the credit rating system are several, and
it would be unfair to say that these problems are to be found only in the
Indian CRAs as they plague CRAs all over the world. Some of them are
listed below:
There is often a possibility of biased ratings and misrepresentation on
account of the lack of accountability in the process and the close nexus
between the agency and the issuer (at least in the Indian context).
Rating only represents the past and present performances of the company
and therefore future events may alter the nature of the rating.
Rating is based on the material provided by the company and therefore, there
is always a risk of concealment of information on the part of the latter.
Rating of a debt instrument is not a guarantee as to the soundness of the
company.
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Ratings often on the debt instruments of different agencies.
Small differences in degrees of risk are usually not indicated by CRAs. Thus
issues with the same rating may actually be of differing quality.
Similarly, default probability need not be specifically predicted. Calculations
are usually done in relative terms.
CRAs cannot be used as recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities as
they do not comment on the adequacy of market price, suitability of any
security for an investor or the taxability of the payments.
The information is obtained from issuers, underwriters, etc. and is usually
not checked for accuracy or truth. Thus ratings may change on account of
non-availability of information or unavailability of adequate information.
Ratings use in structured finance
Changes in market considerations may result in loss that will not be reflected
in CRAs. In India the chief problems in the context of CRAs arises on
account of the fact that they are not the independent and autonomous entities
that their international counterparts are. The three primary CRAs in India,
viz., ICRA promoted by IFCI and other financial institutions and banks,
CRISIL, promoted by ICICI, Asian Development bank and others, and
CARE promoted by IDBI are all promoted by lending institutions. Further
most corporate borrowers are clients of these institutions in terms of
borrowing. Further, institutions like ICICI, IDBI also have stakes in such
client companies. Thus it is very important for these agencies to distance
themselves from their promoters if they want to gain credibility. Thus,
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needless to say, the system of CRAs needs some amount of relooking and
overhauling in order to make it effective and viable in the future. A positive
step has been taken in this regard by the SEBI (Credit rating Agencies)
Regulations,1999, which has attempted to resolve some of the aforesaid
problems, but much still remains to be done make fair, objective and
unbiased ratings. Further it shall ensure that no conflict of interest exists
between any member of its rating committee participating in the rating
analysis, and that of its client.
A credit rating agency shall not make any exaggerated statement, whether
oral or written, to the client either about its qualification or its capability to
render certain services or its achievements with regard to the services
rendered to other clients.
A credit rating agency shall not make any untrue statement, suppress any
material fact or make any misrepresentation in any documents, reports,
papers or information furnished to the board, stock exchange or public at
large.
A credit rating agency shall ensure that the Board is promptly informed
about any action, legal proceedings etc., initiated against it alleging any
material breach or non-compliance by it, of any law, rules, regulations and
directions of the Board or of any other regulatory body.(b) In case an
employee of the credit rating agency is rendering such advice, he shall also
disclose the interest of is dependent family members and the employer
including their long or short position in the said security, while rendering
such advice.]
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A credit rating agency shall maintain an appropriate level of knowledge and
competence and abide by the provisions of the Act, regulations, and
circulars, which may be applicable and relevant to the activities carried on
by the credit rating agency. The credit rating agency shall also comply with
award of the Ombudsman passed under the Securities and Exchange Board
of India (Ombudsman) Regulations, 2003.
A credit rating agency shall ensure that there is no misuse of any privileged
information including prior knowledge of rating decisions or changes.
(a) A credit rating agency or any of his employees shall not render, directly
or indirectly any investment advice about any security in the publicly
accessible media.
(b) A credit rating agency shall not offer fee-based services to the rated
entities, beyond credit ratings and research.
A credit rating agency shall ensure that any change in registration status/any
penal action taken by board or any material change in financials which may
adversely affect the interests of clients/investors is promptly informed to the
clients and any business remaining outstanding is transferred to another
registered person in accordance with any instructions of the affected
clients/investors.
A credit rating agency shall maintain an arm’s length relationship between
its credit rating activity and any other activity.
A credit rating agency shall develop its own internal code of conduct for
governing its internal operations and laying down its standards of
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appropriate conduct for its employees and officers in the carrying out of
their duties within the credit rating agency and as a part of the industry. Such
a code may extend to the maintenance of professional excellence and
standards, integrity, confidentiality, objectivity, avoidance of conflict of
interests, disclosure of shareholdings and interests, etc. Such a code shall
also provide for procedures and guidelines in relation to the establishment
and conduct of rating committees and duties of the officers and employees
serving on such committees.
A credit rating agency shall provide adequate freedom and powers to its
compliance officer for the effective discharge of his duties.
A credit rating agency shall ensure that the senior management, particularly
decision makers have access to all relevant information about the business
on a timely basis.
A credit rating agency shall ensure that good corporate policies and
corporate governance are in place.
A credit rating agency shall not, generally and particularly in respect of issue
of securities rated by it, be party to or instrumental for—
(a) creation of false market ;
(b) price rigging or manipulation; or
(c) Dissemination of any unpublished price sensitive information in respect
of securities which are listed and proposed to be listed in any stock
exchange, unless required, as part of rationale for the rating accorded.
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