Cramer Incident WFS Solution 1

Another Way to Prevent a Another Way to Prevent a ReoccurrenceReoccurrence

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 2

Cramer Fire: A Tactical FailureCramer Fire: A Tactical Failure

What went wrong with What went wrong with the tactical plan that the tactical plan that resulted in 2 deaths?resulted in 2 deaths?

Each part of the Each part of the solution needs to solution needs to answer the question..answer the question..

Would this have Would this have resulted in the resulted in the preferred outcome? preferred outcome?

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 3

Fire Behavior TacticsFire Behavior Tactics

Tactics based on Tactics based on expectedexpected fire behavior is a fire behavior is a prime requirement before engaging a wildland prime requirement before engaging a wildland fire. I would guess that the fire did the fire. I would guess that the fire did the unexpected.unexpected.

The overhead and firefighters needed the tools to enable them to accurately assess the fire situation and make good tactical decisions.

They used opportunity tactics rather than fire behavior tactics.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 4

Developing Fire Behavior Developing Fire Behavior TacticsTactics

Do all crew leaders and firefighters know Do all crew leaders and firefighters know how to obey the fire order to how to obey the fire order to “base all “base all actions on expected fire behavior?”actions on expected fire behavior?”

Is anybody tested to assure they can Is anybody tested to assure they can before given a line assignment?before given a line assignment?

Since that is the primary cause of most Since that is the primary cause of most burnovers, the CPS training has focused burnovers, the CPS training has focused on how to accomplish on how to accomplish Fire Behavior Fire Behavior Prediction MethodsPrediction Methods for all firefighters. for all firefighters.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 5

Can You Describe the Can You Describe the Potential? Potential?

Conditions: Hot, Dry, Conditions: Hot, Dry, NW to W wind 5-NW to W wind 5-mph. Day shift starts mph. Day shift starts at 0600. You are flying at 0600. You are flying the fire developing a the fire developing a plan of attack.plan of attack.

How would you How would you describe the dangers describe the dangers of this assignment?of this assignment?

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 6

Defining TerminologyDefining Terminology

If you decide the helispot, escape route or If you decide the helispot, escape route or safety area will not be a safe place to be in safety area will not be a safe place to be in the afternoon, the afternoon, Time TagTime Tag them so your out them so your out of there in time.of there in time.

If you expect the fire to spread to a If you expect the fire to spread to a location where it can endanger you, location where it can endanger you, establish a establish a Trigger Point, Trigger Point, a place where a place where you need to change tactics.you need to change tactics.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 7

Defining TerminologyDefining Terminology

To understand when and where the fire To understand when and where the fire behavior will change use behavior will change use The Alignment The Alignment Of ForcesOf Forces concept. concept.

Know where the wind, slope and solar Know where the wind, slope and solar preheating forces align. That is where and preheating forces align. That is where and when the fire has greatest behavior when the fire has greatest behavior potential…potential…a time and place to disengage.a time and place to disengage.

Locations where the forces go out of Locations where the forces go out of alignment may allow control.alignment may allow control.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 8

Force Alignment - CramerForce Alignment - Cramer

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 9

Defining TerminologyDefining Terminology The The Fire’s SignaturesFire’s Signatures is a term that identifies the is a term that identifies the

variation of fire behavior in variation of fire behavior in different different AlignmentsAlignments with the forces, with the forces,

There is an There is an InIn Alignment Signature, the headAlignment Signature, the head of of the fire; and an the fire; and an Out of Alignment Signature, the Out of Alignment Signature, the heel of the fire.heel of the fire.

Determine the alignment of forces for a location Determine the alignment of forces for a location and use the fire signature of a like alignment to and use the fire signature of a like alignment to develop an understanding of what the fire develop an understanding of what the fire behavior will be like in that location.behavior will be like in that location.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 10

Prediction Of Fire Behavior Prediction Of Fire Behavior SignaturesSignatures

Determine the alignment of forces for a location Determine the alignment of forces for a location and use the fire signature of a similar alignment and use the fire signature of a similar alignment on a burning part of the fire to develop an on a burning part of the fire to develop an understanding of what the fire behavior will be understanding of what the fire behavior will be like in the new location.like in the new location.

If the fire has not made a run in full alignment in If the fire has not made a run in full alignment in your view, use your experience of what it could your view, use your experience of what it could become in full alignment.become in full alignment.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 11

Lessons LearnedLessons Learned

Develop a complete understanding of Develop a complete understanding of when and where when and where the fire will change alignmentsthe fire will change alignments as it continues to burn. as it continues to burn.

Use this understanding to develop the Use this understanding to develop the L.C.E.S.L.C.E.S. Identify the Identify the trackstracks a fire will take and avoid them. a fire will take and avoid them. Do not plan an escape route that is in alignment.Do not plan an escape route that is in alignment. Leave before the fire makes its dangerous move and do Leave before the fire makes its dangerous move and do

not get run out by the fire.not get run out by the fire. Learn to relate your situation to past fires.Learn to relate your situation to past fires. Position yourself so that fire has to come at you Position yourself so that fire has to come at you out of out of

alignment.alignment.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 12

Using Terms To Evaluate Using Terms To Evaluate AssignmentsAssignments

The use of a The use of a Time TagTime Tag of 1200 hours to get the of 1200 hours to get the firefighters off the hill would have avoided the accident.firefighters off the hill would have avoided the accident.

Trigger PointsTrigger Points to change tactics due to fire position on to change tactics due to fire position on the terrain would have alerted them to disengage.the terrain would have alerted them to disengage.

Recognizing the Recognizing the Alignment Of ForcesAlignment Of Forces that result in that result in various various Fire SignaturesFire Signatures on the fire-ground would have on the fire-ground would have enabled a prediction of the fatal fire behavior.enabled a prediction of the fatal fire behavior.

This terminology enables the firefighters to discuss the This terminology enables the firefighters to discuss the fire behavior tactics with the overhead personnel.fire behavior tactics with the overhead personnel.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 13

Discuss this scene

Develop the proper fire behavior tactical plan using the terminology.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 14

Aspects S,N,W @ 1500 S & W aspects are Hot Slopes

The Cash Bar drainage is in full alignment with wind, slope and solar preheating.

A Time Tag is needed for H-2

Out by 1200

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 15

If the fire is moving out of alignment with slope, wind and on a N aspect, when it reaches the bottom it will run the Cache Bar drainage hard, in full alignment.

All line firefighters can be taught this method of appraisal.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 16

This is a full alignment run

Learn to recognize the potential long before you go above a fire. Leave before the fire makes its run.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 17

This run should not surprise any firefighter that knows the Alignment Of Forces concept.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 18

No safety area that would be viable at 1500 in sight.

Why are firefighters still there?

No one set a time tag or established trigger points.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 19

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 20

Learning from the PastLearning from the PastOr Repeating it?Or Repeating it?

The South Canyon fire fatalities and many others have The South Canyon fire fatalities and many others have the identical commonalities.the identical commonalities.

Condition:Condition: Wind, Slope and at the peak heating period Wind, Slope and at the peak heating period of the day.of the day.

Situation:Situation: The firefighters were in the The firefighters were in the fire’s track.fire’s track. The firefighters did not set a The firefighters did not set a time tagtime tag.. They did not know the They did not know the Alignment of ForcesAlignment of Forces method of method of

prediction.prediction. Did not reevaluate tactics before the fire reached Did not reevaluate tactics before the fire reached Trigger Trigger

PointsPoints of fire of fire behavior Signaturebehavior Signature changes. changes.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 21

The similarities are plain to see between the South Canyon fatal burnover and the Cramer burnover.

Can you do the following?

• Establish the Trigger Point where the fire will change Signatures to an aligned head fire.

• Draw the wind direction arrow.

• Identify the track that the fire will run.hot aspects.

• Identify a time tag to reevaluate tactics.

South Canyon Spread Map prior to the fatal run

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 22

Cramer and South Canyon similarities

Both burnovers happened within 1/2 hr of 1600 when full force alignment was between the position of the fire and the firefighters.

The Trigger Points for the fatal run of the two fires

The location should have a time tag before placement of the firefighters.

HH

H

H

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 23

Accident AvoidanceAccident Avoidance

Firefighters….Firefighters…. Must be able to recognize the fire’s Must be able to recognize the fire’s

potential.potential. Must be committed to make and to act on Must be committed to make and to act on

predictions.predictions. Must be able to recognize when and Must be able to recognize when and

where others are endangered.where others are endangered. Must not repeat historical errors.Must not repeat historical errors.

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 24

SummarySummary Use:Use:

Time TagsTime Tags Trigger PointsTrigger Points Force alignment graphics Force alignment graphics

on maps….wind and hot on maps….wind and hot slopes.slopes.

Identify fire Signatures that Identify fire Signatures that are hazardous.are hazardous.

Make fire behavior Make fire behavior predictions.predictions.

Move before the fire Move before the fire moves!!moves!!

LIVE!LIVE!

Cramer Incident WFS Solution 25

The Campbell Prediction The Campbell Prediction SystemSystem

E-mail: E-mail: dougsfire@gmail.comdougsfire@gmail.com Web site: Web site: cps.emxsys..comcps.emxsys..com Agency trainers list is available on Agency trainers list is available on

request.request.