CoveredBonds Investor Presentation...The value ofany investment may fluctuate as a result ofchanges...
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Covered Bonds Investor Presentation
December 2017
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Index
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Bankia Results……………………………………………………………………. 3
Covered Bonds Ratings…………………………………………………….. 5
02 MORTGAGE COVER POOL
Cover Pool Metrics…………………………………………………………….. 6
Residential Sub-Pool in figures………………………………………. 8
Commercial Sub-Pool in figures…………………………………….. 9
03 WHOLESALE MATURITIES
Wholesale Maturities profile………………………………………..… 10
04 ANNEXES
Macroeconomic Indicators……………………………………………. 11
Spanish Real Estate Markets…………………………………………. 12
D isclaimer
This do cument has beenpreparedbyBankia, S .A. (“Bankia”) and is presented e xclus ive ly fo r in formation purposes. It is no ta prospectus and does no t constitu te an offero r re commendation to invest.
This do cument does not cons titu te a commitment to subs cribe, o r an offer to finance , or an o ffer to se ll, o r a so licitation o f offers to bu yse cu rities of Bankia, allo f whichare s ubject to internal approval by Bankia.
Bankia does no t gu arantee the accu racy or comple teness of the info rmation contained in th is document. The in formation contained here in has been obtained fromsources that Bankia cons ide rs re liab le , bu tBankia does no t represent o r warrant that the information is comple te or accu rate, in particu lar with respect to data pro videdby th ird parties . Th is document may contain ab ridged o r unaudited info rmation and re cip ients are invited to consu lt the pub licdo cuments and information submittedbyBankia to the financial marke t superviso ry au thorities . All o p in ions and es timates are g iven as o f the d ate stated in the document and so maybe sub ject to change.The value o f any investment may flu ctuate as a result o f changes in the marke t. The information in th is do cument is no t intended to pred ict fu tu re resu lts and nogu arantee is given in that respect.
D is tribu tion o f th is do cument in o ther ju risd ictions may be prohib ited, and there fore re cip ients o f th is do cumento r any persons who maye ventually ob tain a copy of itare responsible for being aware of and complying with said restrictions. By accepting this document you accept the foregoing restrictions and warnings.
This document does not re veal all the ris ks o r o ther material facto rs relating to inves tments in the secu rities / transactions of Bankia. Befo re entering into anytrans action, po tential investo rs mus tensu re that they fu lly unders tand the terms o f the secu rities / transactions and the ris ks inhe rent in them. This do cument is no t aprospectus fo r the secu rities described in it. Po tential investo rs should only subscribe for se curities o f Bankia on the bas is of the info rmation pub lished in the appropriateBankia prospectus, noton the basis of the information contained in this document.
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2017 HIGHLIGHTS (1)
NON-PERFORMING LOANS 12.1€
11.5
NPL COVERAGE RATIO (2) 56.5% 55.1%
NPL RATIO 8.9% 9.8%
ATRIBUTABLE PROFIT (4) 816€
FULLY LOADED CET1 (6) 12.7% 13.5%
%
ASSET QUALITY DEC 2017 DEC 2106
PROFITABILITY & CAPITAL DEC 2017 DEC2016
COST OF RISK(3) 23 24 bps
%
%
€bn
ROE (5)
€mn
%
%
CURRENT ISSUER RATINGS
LONG TERM OUTLOOK SHORT TERM
S&P Global Ratings
FITCH RATINGS
BBB- Positive A-3
BBB- Positive F3
01. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Bankia Results
1 COMMERCIAL ACTIVITY (1)
€2,754mn
New mortgages
65%
Average LTV new mortgages (Bankia)
2 EFFICIENCY & PROFITABLITY (1)
51.6%
Cost toIncome ratio
+2.1%
Operating Expenses
3 LIQUIDITY (1)
93.9%
LTD ratio
€31.4bn
Liquid Assets
4 CAPITAL (1)
+559 bps
CET1 Phase in Buffer vs SREP
2018 requirements
DBRS BBB (high) Stable R-1 (low)
804
6.6% 6.7%
(1) Dec.17 data post merger between Bankia and BMN.(2) Coverage ratio including provisions for IFRS9. If provisions for IFRS9 were excluded
coverage would stand at 50.8%.(3) Recurrent cost of risk. Excludes BMN.(4) The “Profit/(loss) attributable to the group as reported” amounts to €505mn after
including integration cost with BMN for €312mn. The Bankia Group reported incomestatement, includes BMN’s contribution to the results for the month of December only.
(5) Attributable profit divided by the previous 12 months equity average excluding theexpected dividend payment.
(6) Regulatory ratios reported to ECB.
€1,250mn
Issuance of €750mn AT1
and €500mn T2in 2017
SCOPE RATINGS BBB+ Stable S-2
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ATTRIBUTABLE PROFIT (2)
€816mnNET INTEREST INCOME
€1,968mn
PHASE IN CET1
14.15%FULLY LOADED CET1
12.66%
01. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Bankia Results
€
CUSTOMER FUNDS (3)
+22.8%€
BRANCHES
> 2,400CUSTOMER FUNDS
€175,960mnGROSS CUSTOMER LOANS
€128,782mn€
2017 HIGHLIGHTS (1)
UNIVERSAL BANKING MODEL, based on multi-channelmanagement, with a presence throughout Spain and highmarket shares in historical core regions.
BEST IN CLASS CORPORATE GOVERNANCE, optimalorganizational structure and highly respected managementteam.
SOLVENT, EFFICIENT AND PROFITABLE INSTITUTION, theGroup ended 2017 with an ROE of 6.6%.
CLEAN BALANCE SHEET, Non-performing loans, excludingBMN, are down 15.1% year-on-year and the stock offoreclosed assets decreases by 14.5% since December2016, without considering the properties contributed byBMN.
SUSTAINABLE CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY GENERATION.Comfortable solvency levels with a Phase In CET1 ratio of14.15% and Fully Loaded CET1 ratio of 12.66, as ofDecember 2017.
POSITIVE COMMERCIAL DYNAMICS, reflected in thegrowth of fee and commission income (+3.2% year-on-yearand +1.9% quarter-on-quarter, without considering theBMN merger), offsetting part of the pressure that theeuribor continues to exert on net interest income.
(1) Dec.17 data post merger between Bankia and BMN.
(2) The “Profit/(loss) attributable to the group asreported” amounts to €505mn after includingintegration cost with BMN for €312mn. The BankiaGroup reported income statement, includes BMN’scontribution to the results for the month of Decemberonly.
(3) Includes the off-balance sheet products marketedby BMN, which as from 2018 will be managed byBankia.
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01. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Covered Bonds Ratings
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BBB
A-
A
S&P Global Ratings DBRS
2014 2015 2016 2017
A-
A+
A+
AA
A+ AA +
A+Positive
AAA
DBRS
AStable
AAAStable
Fitch Ratings
A-
BBB+
A
RECENT RATING ACTIONS
FITCH. O n 18 October 2017, following a review o f Bankia’s co vered bonds programme,Fitch affirmed Bankia’s covered bonds rating at “A”, outlook Stable. Subsequently,on 23 January 2018, fo llo wing the merger through abso rption o f BMN, Fitch affirmedBankia’s covered bonds at “A”, outlook Stable.
S&P. On 7 April 2017, S&P revised the outlook on Bankia’s covered bonds rating toPositive and affirmed the “A+” rating. The Positive outloo k on our co vered bondsrating, reflects the Positive outloo k from S &P’s long-term so vereign rating on Spain(BBB+/Positive/A-2).
DBRS. On 22 September 2017 DBRS completed its annual review of Bankia’scovered bonds raising the rating to “AAA”.
Scope Ratings.On 8 July 2016, S cope Ratings assigned a rating o f “AAA” with a S tableo utlook to Bankia’s covered bonds.
BANKIA’S COVERED BONDS RATINGS HAVE IMPROVED ON THE
BACK OF A STRENGTHENED INTRINSIC ASSESMENT OF BANKIA.
AT THE SAME TIME THE MATURITY PROFILE OF THE COVERED BONDS
OUTSTANDING AND THE OC LEVEL ALSO IMPROVES. RECENT RATING
ACTIONS HAVE IMPROVED THE LCR ELIGIBILITY OF OUR COVERED
BONDS TO HQLA LEVEL 1.
A+ AAA
2014 2015 2016 2017
A
6
86,830
74,884
57,545
46,036
30,497
15,540
Total Collateral Elegible Legal Issuance Issued
02. MORTGAGE COVER POOL
Cover Pool Metrics (1)
AMPLE ISSUANCE CAPACITY
HIGHOC
LEVEL
STRONG ELEGIBLE COVER POOL
COLLATERAL AND CB’s OUTSTANDING
89%Res idential
11%Commercial
77% o f the co verpo ol elig ible € 15,540
millio n IssuanceCapacity
X 80%
2014 2015 2016 2017
X 2,46 o ver-co llateralized
Co llateral CB’s Outstanding
ACTIVE OC MANAGEMENT
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
90.000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
(1) Dec.17 data post merger between Bankia and BMN.
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02. MORTGAGE COVER POOL
Cover Pool Metrics (1)
Q4 2017 Q4 2016
Collateral Eligible Collateral Eligible
Outstanding (million €) 74,884 57,545 61,073 46,648
Number of loans 883,725 756,245 678,318 577,796
Number of debtors 953,459 827,637 609,860 531,633
Average S easoning (months) 99 107 92 102
Life (months) 339 338 337 336
Time to maturity (months) 240 230 245 234
Average LTV 59% 48% 58% 48%
Q4 2017 Q4 2016
Collateral Eligible Collateral Eligible
Residential 63,982 52,504 52,778 43,019
Co mmercial 9,503 4,490 7,104 3,050
Developers 1,152 539 1,032 579
Land 247 13 159 0
COLLATERAL LTV DISTRIBUTION
NPL RATIO
84% OF THE COVER POOL
HAS A LTV RATIO BELOW
80%
POSITIVE NPL’S PERFORMANCE WITH NPL RATIO
STANDING AT 5.31%(2) AS OF 4Q17
5,61% 5,48%5,41% 5,35% 5,31%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2016 2017
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
0-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100% >100%
(1) Dec.17 data post merger between Bankia and BMN.(2) Excluding BMN. When including BMN NPL ratio stands at 6,73%
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2.836 2.764 418 1.485
12.920
262 983
35
186
1.000
1.425
2018 2019 2020 2021 >2021
03. WHOLESALE MATURITIES
Wholesale Maturities Amortizing Profile
3,097 4,747 418 1,520 14,531
Amount Outstanding (€mn) 24,313
Covered Bonds (1) 20,423
Senior Debt 1,465
Subordinated debt 2,425
(*) No t including re tained covered bonds
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04. ANNEXES
Macroeconomic Indicators
SPAIN SOVEREIGN DEBT RATING
LONG TERM OUTLOOK SHORT TERM
STANDARD & POOR’S
FITCH RATINGS
BBB+ Positive A-2
A- Stable F1
MOODY’S
DBRS
Baa2 Stable P-2
A (low) Stable R-1 (low)
“GROWTH
CONSOLIDATION
”
“FAVOURABLE
EMPLOYMENT
TREND”
“HOUSEHOLD
SPENDING, MAIN
DRIVER OF THE
ECONOMY”
€
Sales (deflated and seasonally adjusted)
RETAIL TRADE INDEX (Annual Rate %)
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN SPAIN
QUARTERLY SERIES GDP. PREVIOUS QUARTER RATE (%)
2,3
0,2
0,6
1,4
2,1
2,7
2,2
1,3 1,4
1,7
0,2
1,9
1,2
DEC16 JAN17 FEB17 MAR17 APR17 MAY17 JUN17 JUL17 AUG17 SEP17 OCT17 NOV17 DIC17
0,8
0,9
0,8
0,70,7
0,8
0,7
0,90,9
3T 20172T 20171T 20174T 20163T 20162T 20161T 20164T 20153T 2015
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
4T 20173T 20172T 20171T 20174T 20163T 20162T 20161T 20164T 20153T 20152T 20151T 20154T 2014
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04. ANNEX
Spanish Real Estate Market
MORTGAGES CONSTITUTED OVER DWELLINGS
EVOLUTION OF THE QUARTERLY RATE OF THE GENERAL HPI
“Mortgages
over dwellings
increase 22% vs
Q3-2016”
“New housing
prices increased
by 1,6%”
EVOLUTION OF THE QUARTERLY RATE OF THE HPI BY TYPE OF HOUSING
1,91,92,1
0,71
1,51,3
-0,3
1,6
2,6
3,7
-1,4
-0,5
3,7
2,6
1,3
Q3-2017Q2-2017Q1-2017Q4-2016Q3-2016Q2-2016Q1-2016Q4-2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2Q 2017. ANNUAL VARIATION RATE (%) OF THE HPI BY AUTON. COMMUNITY
New housing Second-hand housing
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
90.000
Q1-2015 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017
1,82
2,3
0,4
0,8
1,8
1,5
-0,1
0,7
Q3-2017Q2-2017Q1-2017Q4-2016Q3-2016Q2-2016Q1-2016Q4-2015Q3-2015
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