COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWAmerican Indian Wars • Philippine Insurrection • Anglo-Boer War •...

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United States Army Combined Arms Center This information is furnished with the understanding that it is to be used for defense purposes only; that it is to be afforded essentially the same degree of security protection as such information is afforded by the United States; that it is not to be revealed to another country or international organization without the written consent of the United States Government department or agency furnishing the information. It is also understood and acknowledged that there is no commitment to furnish additional information (intended or implied). COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEW Presented to: Human Terrain Systems (HTS) (17 February 2010) US Army/USMC COIN Center LCol John Malevich (COIN Branch Chief)

Transcript of COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWAmerican Indian Wars • Philippine Insurrection • Anglo-Boer War •...

Page 1: COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWAmerican Indian Wars • Philippine Insurrection • Anglo-Boer War • WWI • Arab Insurrection • Banana Wars • WWII • Greek Civil War • Malayan

United States Army Combined Arms Center

This information is furnished with the understanding that it

is to be used for defense purposes only; that it is to be

afforded essentially the same degree of security protection

as such information is afforded by the United States; that it

is not to be revealed to another country or international

organization without the written consent of the United

States Government department or agency furnishing the

information. It is also understood and acknowledged that

there is no commitment to furnish additional information

(intended or implied).

COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWPresented to:

Human Terrain Systems (HTS) (17 February 2010)

US Army/USMC COIN Center

LCol John Malevich (COIN Branch Chief)

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Agenda

• The importance of COIN Doctrine

• COIN Mindset

• Approach to COIN Overview

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

The Canadian ForcesStrategic Advisory Team - Afghanistan (SAT-A)

“Better Governance Through

Progressive Capacity Building”

Assist the Government of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan (GIRA) in the development of the human capacity and processes needed to design the strategic plans necessary to attain the objectives of the Afghanistan National Development Strategy (ANDS)

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Not Your Ordinary Posting

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Thinking About War

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Non-Linear

Simultaneous, non-linear

operations throughout

the battlespace

Non-Contiguous

Information Superiority

Ubiquitous Connectivity

Integrated Battlespace

Sea floor to Space

Link

Merged Battlespace

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only) 7

They did not get the memo.

Not on the Net?

1830’s

Post Napoleonic

2004

Post Cold War

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

A World History of Insurgency

• 1820 - 1960• French in Mexico

• American Indian Wars

• Philippine Insurrection

• Anglo-Boer War

• WWI

• Arab Insurrection

• Banana Wars

• WWII

• Greek Civil War

• Malayan Emergency

• 1960 - Present• Vietnam

• N. Ireland

• Ethiopia

• Nicaragua

• El Salvador

• Colombia

• Somalia

• Afghanistan

• Iraq

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

History• In almost every year since WWII, at least one insurgency has

been underway in less developed areas.

– Greece

– Burma

– Malaya

– The Philippines

– Vietnam

– Kenya

– Laos

– Congo

– Algeria

– Cuba

– Dominican Rep.

– Yemen

– Thailand

– El Salvador

– Ethiopia

– Nicaragua

– Afghanistan

– Iraq

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Global Trends in Violent Conflict 1946–2005

Peace and Conflict 2008 Executive summary, J. Joseph Hewitt, Jonathan Wilkenfeld, Ted Robert

Gurr, Center for International Development and Conflict Management, University of Maryland

Page 11: COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWAmerican Indian Wars • Philippine Insurrection • Anglo-Boer War • WWI • Arab Insurrection • Banana Wars • WWII • Greek Civil War • Malayan

United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Globalization

Pandemics

Climate Change

Page 12: COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWAmerican Indian Wars • Philippine Insurrection • Anglo-Boer War • WWI • Arab Insurrection • Banana Wars • WWII • Greek Civil War • Malayan

United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Insurgency (JP 3-24): The organized use of subversion

and violence by a group or movement that seeks to

overthrow or force change of a governing authority.

Insurgency can also refer to the group itself.

Counterinsurgency (JP 3-24): comprehensive civilian

and military efforts taken to defeat insurgency and address

its core grievances.

What is COIN?

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Conventional war waged on physical terrain…

Counterinsurgency waged on cognitive terrain…

Reading a cognitive map:

Identify root causes

View situations thru multiple cultural lenses

Locals & Insurgents

Use operations to shape environment &

use environment to shape operations.

Counterinsurgency: A Mindset

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Cultural understanding is key to success

• Establishing Relationships

• Using Interpreter

• Negotiating

• Mediating

• Arbitrating

“I underestimated one

factor… culture. I was

looking at the wrong

map – I needed to look

at the tribal map not

the geographic map.”

BGen David Fraser.

ISAF Multinational Brigade

Commander, Kandahar

COIN Terrain

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

How we tend to view things How the insurgent views things

© A Coord PowerPoint Ninja Graphic 2008

Manage information

Use appropriate force

Empower lower levels

Legitimacy is main objective

Political factors are primary

Long-term commitment

COIN Principles

* FM 3-24

COIN Imperatives

Compression of Strategic, Operational, & Tactical levels

The Challenge to the Way We Think

Asymmetric Warfare

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

The People

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Neutral/

Passive

Active Active

“The game of history is usually played by the best and the

worst over the heads of the majority in the middle”

•Cover

•Weapons

•Supplies

•New Recruits

•Couriers

•Intelligence

•Early warning

•Funding

•Documentation

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only) 17

InsurgentsThe

People

Organization

Psychological

Physical

Psychological

Physical

Framework for Counterinsurgency:

“Failed State Model”

GovLdrs

Civil Svc

HN

Security

Forces

IO/

NGOs

Rousseau

“Legitimate state authority

must be derived from the

consent of the governed”

Hobbes

The Nature of man is brutish and

chaotic. Life without security is

"solitary, poor, nasty, brutish,

and short."

Basics

• Security

• Sewage

• Water

• Electricity

• Trash

•Medicare

Max Weber

“State monopoly

on violence

Ensures Taxes ”

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only) 18

InsurgentsThe

People

Organization

Psychological

Physical

Psychological

Physical

The Invasion Model:

Post L’armée Révolutionaire

HN Gov.

HN

Security

Forces

IO/

NGOsBasics (now ,your job)

• Security

• Sewage

• Water

• Electricity

• Trash

• Medicare

Examples

• Spain 1807

• German Invasion of France 1940 (42 Days)

• German Invasion of Yugoslavia 1941 (11 Days)

• Afghanistan 1979, 2001

• Iraq 2003 (21 Days)

The People Have the Final Say

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only) 19

Insurgents

Prerequisites

Lack of Government Control

Vulnerable Population

Leadership for Direction

Insurgency

Dynamics

External Support

Phases

Environment

Objective

Leadership

Ideology

Organization

External

(Non)State

Actor

Resources

Sanctuary

Political

Moral

Military

Political

COIN Principles

Intelligence

Isolate Insurgents

Understand the Environment

Political is Primary

Legitimacy

Unity of Effort

Security under Rule of Law

Long term Commitment

Alternate

StatePsychological

Physical

Psychological

Physical

Framework for Counterinsurgency:

“War Amongst the People”

Approach to Counterinsurgency

3. Transform Environment to be

inhospitable to Insurgents

1. Separate insurgents from Population

2. Connect Population to Government

Partner Unit

TT/OMLT

PRTs

PeoplePsychological

Physical

Psychological

Physical

External

(Non)State

Actor

External

(Non)State

ActorMilitary

Civ

Coalition

Insurgents

Diplom/Int

Pressure

HN Gov.

HN

Security

Forces

IO/

NGOs

Diplom/Int

Pressure

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only) 20

Warlordism and Poor Governance

Page 21: COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWAmerican Indian Wars • Philippine Insurrection • Anglo-Boer War • WWI • Arab Insurrection • Banana Wars • WWII • Greek Civil War • Malayan

United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

What is Victory ?

“A victory is not [just] the destruction

in a given area of the insurgent’s

forces and his political organization.

It is that, plus the permanent isolation

of the insurgent from the population,

isolation not enforced upon the

population but maintained by and

with the population.”

David Galula, Counterinsurgency Warfare, 1964

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“Three Arrested Over N. Irish soldier Killings”CNN 14 Mar 09

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United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)

Questions?

Page 23: COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWAmerican Indian Wars • Philippine Insurrection • Anglo-Boer War • WWI • Arab Insurrection • Banana Wars • WWII • Greek Civil War • Malayan

United States Army Combined Arms Center (U.S. Unclassified, REL to ISAF, For Official Use Only)United States Army Combined Arms Center

This information is furnished with the understanding that it

is to be used for defense purposes only; that it is to be

afforded essentially the same degree of security protection

as such information is afforded by the United States; that it

is not to be revealed to another country or international

organization without the written consent of the United

States Government department or agency furnishing the

information. It is also understood and acknowledged that

there is no commitment to furnish additional information

(intended or implied).

COUNTERINSURGENCY OVERVIEWPresented to:

Human Terrain Systems (HTS) (17 February 2010)

US Army/USMC COIN Center

LCol John Malevich (COIN Branch Chief)