COSMIC All-Staff MeetingFriday, June 26, 2009

Agenda

• Introduction of New Staff and Visitors (Kuo, Schreiner)– Kim leaving COSMIC, currently 2 days/wk

– Ingrid coming back to COSMIC

– Xinan Yue (started June 1)

– SOARS Students (Ian Colón-Pagán, Michael (MK) Hernandez, Sharome Goode)

– Hiring PS-1 (Supervisor: Sergey)

– Hiring SE-1 (Supervisor: Doug)

• COSMIC Management Restructuring (Kuo, Schreiner)- Chief Scientist, Chris at 50% FTE- CDAAC Manager, Bill Schreiner- Ground-based Manager, John Braun

Agenda (continued)

• COSMIC Status Update- CDAAC (Schreiner)- Science (Rocken)- Science Applications (Ho)- Ground-based GPS (Braun)

• Administrative Items- Planning for FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC Workshop, Oct. 2009 (Schreiner)- Performance Appraisals; FL4; NSF Report; Various (Moore)- UCAR 50th Anniversary Celebration (Frank Bristow)- Planning for COSMIC/Retreat, Nov. 2009 (Prinzi Kimbro)

• Outlook for the Future (Schreiner)

CDAAC Overview

Bill Schreiner

• Overview– Current Payload Status– RTS Status– Summary

Successful COSMIC Profiles 4/21/06-6/23/08

Neutral Atm ~ 1.81M Iono EDPs ~ 1.96M

GPS Occultation Payload/Firmware Status

• Current Status– FM1 POD-00– FM2 and FM3 reduced duty cycles– FM4 POD-01, recent brief periods of low SNR after powered-off– FM5 lost POD-00– FM6 POD-00 powered off, low SNRs since 2008.274– FM6 OCC-03 has lower SNRs since 2008.290, poor recently

• Build 4.5.2 Uploaded to All FM’s– Still issues with poor L2 tracking (~ 15%)– Still issues with ‘closing loop’ with rising occultations– Splitting SNR’s for closed loop data

• JPL – Currently working on CHAMP, TerraSarX SNR/tracking issues– Working on L2C (off) and other tracking issues– Plan to test COSMIC EM antennas in thermal chamber

Ground Systems - RTS Status

Fairbanks, Alaska (FBKS01)

– Nominal

– 5m Malibu (FBKS02) backup ready for receive and transmit (manually – not operational)

Tromso, Norway (NORTG5)- Nominal- 16 hr Power Outage, 5/12/09 18UT – 5/13/09 10UT

- NASA/McMurdo supported extra (15-20) passes so no data loss Wallops, Va (WALL01)

– A few recent lost dumps

– 2 operational passes/day

– Uplink backup commanding for FBKS01 McMurdo, Antarctica (MGS001)

- NSF/NASA site, Now upto 10 (from 6) passes/day- ~ 24 min latency

CDAAC Summary• Current constellation status not good, but count improving• RTS status good, investigating latency• Sent out CDAAC web site Opinio survey• CDAAC Update of BUFR files for NWP still in progress• Adding high level web status page for NWPs– For each FM for last 24 hours: Stats, Occ count, latency, current status, future status

• Post-Processing– COSMIC, GRACE, GPS/MET, SAC-C, restarting TerraSarX, beta METOP/GRAS,

• Working toward CDAAC 3.0, Early 2010– Developing new web page– Developing new CDAAC rpm packaging system– Restructuring s/w and developing new CDAAC data products (BA, climate, NWP)– Meeting with Unidata about future RO netCDF/CF-conventions– Investigating new h/w and file system for future

• 1096 data users from 52 countries– Ready to send data to AFWA

Science Status

Chris Rocken

• Overview– Change in CDAAC management– COSMIC II planning Status– Possible detection of atmospheric ducts – Next NSF Proposal

NOSC Review of FY11-15 Program Plans

December 5, 2008December 5, 2008NOSC = NOAA Observing System Council

13 1313

Algorithm

Total UtilityMission-critical Observing Requirement Weight(s)

Incremental Requirement Gap Assessment (capability) Scores Summed for Programs A…N

= X

Cost Total acquisition and operating cost for a defined period of time (e.g. FY11-15 programming cycle=

Annualized cost

Cost divided by the planned number of years of service included in cost estimate

=

Annualized Priority Score

Annualized Cost

=Technical

Risk Utility X ÷ X 1000

Technical Risk

Approximate technical risk based on two factors: the maturity of the technology and its deployment risk (e.g. average deployment or on-duty failure rate) Technical risk is reflected in reduced utility

=

14

NOSC Final PositionsNOSC

Investment Vote Count

Program Plan

Within or

Above

Core

Program Plan Alternative

Title

Observing Systems

Identified in Program Plan

Alternative

Sum of

Incremental Utility

Across All

Requirements

Combined

Maturity &

Deployment

Risk Factor

Source of Cost InformationService

Years

Average

Annual

LCC ($M)

Annualized Priority

Score ((utility/avg

annual cost) * 10)

Fund(Y)

D Not Fund(N)

C & T Within Development of New National

Vertical Reference SystemGRAV-D (Gravity Mapping) 419 0.98

FY08 - 15 funding listed in

Program Plan8 3 1562

C & TWithin and

Above

Several Alternatives Include

NWLON

NWLON Expansion (Water

Level)175 0.98

Provided by System Point of

Contact5 2 978

W & W Within GPS-Meteorological Systems GPS Met Tech Refresh 85 0.98Provided by System Point of

Contact5 1 572

W & W Above ASOS Technical Refresh ASOS Enhanced 98 0.98FY11 - 15 incremental funding

provided in Program Plan5 2 480

Climate Within

Enhanced Atmospheric

Observing System: Surface

Energy Budget Network

SEBN (Surface Energy) 113 0.98FY11 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan5 3 444

Satellite WithinGPS Radio Occultation

COSMIC -2

COSMIC 2-12 Sats Hybrid

Approach (space based GPS

occultation)

405 0.80FY11 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan13 9 370

Satellite Above JAXA Partnership

JAXA-GCOM W1-

3(AMSR)+C1-3(SGLI)

(Ground System only cost)

297 0.80 Crison email December 2, 2008 14 7 346

W & W WithinSpace Weather Prediction

Modernization

Solar Wind & CME Data Buy

(no DSCVR)981 0.72 Program Plan 5 21 343

Satellite WithinGPS Radio Occultation

COSMIC -2

COSMIC 2-6 Sats Hybrid

Approach (space based GPS

occultation)

303 0.80FY11 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan6.5 8 322

EcosystemsWithin and

AboveIntegrated Ocean Acidification Ocean Acidification Initiative 261 0.81

FY11 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan8 7 286

C & T WithinEnsure accuracy of tidal

current predictionsNCOP (Ocean Currents) 35 0.98

FY11 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan5 1 269

FleetWithin and

Above

Strategic Fleet

Recapitalization Plan

NOAA Ships - Recap

Alternative2469 0.90 Fleet Recapitalization Plan 15 96 231

W & W WithinRadiosonde Product

ImprovementRadiosonde Replacement 108 0.98

Difference between new

radiosonde units and old units

over five years. Data provided

5 5 230

C & T WithinIntegrated Ocean and Coastal

MappingShoreline Mapping 38 0.98

FY11 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan5 2 188

MOBIWithin and

Above

NDBC Sustainment and Buoy

Recapitalization

Buoy Recap (Moored Buoys

+ C-MAN Stations)232 0.85

Provided by System Point of

Contact5 11 182

C & T Within

Implement Physical

Oceanographic Real Time

System (PORTS®

) via Trust

Fund

PORTS Enhancement 66 0.98Provided by System Point of

Contact5 5 131

Climate Within

Enhanced Atmospheric

Observing System:

Reference Radiosondes

Reference Radiosondes 24 0.98FY12 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan4 2 121

Satellite Within

Synthetic Aperture Radar

(SAR) Constellation

Partnerships

SAR Data Buy (Space based

Radar)79 0.80 SSV POC, December 2, 2008 13 5 118

Satellite Above GOES-R Program GOES T/U 2734 0.80GOES-R Program Office and

Satellite Sub-Goal8.4 345 63

Satellite Above JAXA Partnership

JAXA-GCOM C1/3

(SGLI)+W2/3 (AMSR) plus

Scatterometer with Ground

System

575 0.64FY11 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan14 59 62

Satellite Within Climate Sensors NPOESS Climate Sensors 398 0.76FY11 - 15 funding provided in

Program Plan5 86 35

Climate Within

Enhance Atmospheric

Observing System: Modernize

U.S. Historical Climatology

Network

HCN-M TBD 0.98FY08 - 19 funding provided in

KDP 2/3 Briefing12 12 TBD

Summary Information Utility/Total Cost Utility/Annualized Cost Scores

• COSMIC II Status– NOAA is moving towards an RO program (helps to have Ector at

NOAA) – Working on Level I Requirements document (which needs to be

short, simple and signed to get a budget)– Bill S providing constellation and latency simulations to NOAA – Bi-weekly phone conferences to develop requirement document

(typically about 10 NOAA people from different programs and 2 UCAR)

– Had a 2-day meeting with NOAA & NSPO in DC• Positive feedback from NOAA management & NSPO• NOAA funding in FY 2011 looks likely

– Main issues• Things are moving but seem slow • No funding yet to start new “TriG” receiver - may cause delay• Space weather latency requirement may be difficult to meet• NOAA wants to minimize risk / NSPO wants to maximize “learning

experience” in s/c design etc. • Galileo delay possible / GLONASS CDMA uncertain / Compass??

“The team’s results show that human-induced (anthropogenic) changes in well-mixed greenhouse gases, which are fairly evenly distributed in the atmosphere, and ozone, a greenhouse gas that is found in higher concentrations in the stratosphere, are the primary causes of the approximately 200-meter rise in the tropopause that has occurred since 1979.”

Santer et al., Science 2003

https://www.llnl.gov/str/March04/Santer.html

NOAA asks: Can RO detect the tropopause climate signal?

UCAR - processed Metop data

… and COSMIC data for the same period

RO signals observed very deep below horizon may be caused byhorizontally-inhomogeneous surface ducts

Some of the received RO signals are not transmitted by occulted GPS.They may be transmitted by other GPS or other space-born or ground-based

transmitters of the GPS frequencies.

Science Applications Status

Ben Ho

COSMIC simulated AIRS Tbs vs. AIRS observed Tbs1. Estimates of the reproducibility for using

GPS RO Data for climate monitoring (CDAAC team, RO-trend team): inter-comparisons of refractivity derivedfrom different data centers (Ho et al., 2009, JGR), - profile-to-profile comparisons, - wrap up conclusions of NOAA-COSIMC climate meeting in 2008

2. Validation and calibration of MSU/AMSU measurements and radiosonde observations using RO data (Xinjia, NOAA scientists) (He et al., 2009, GRL, Ho et al., 2009, GRL)

3. Validation and Calibration of satellite infraredMeasurements (Tom, Pat, and JPL scientists)- NASA-CVO project- Involving NOAA people (GSCIS)- NIST proposal

Dif COSMIC-AIRS Time < 2hoursDif COSMIC-AIRS Location < 200 kmAIRS viewing angel < 15 degree

Ground-Based Update

John Braun

Ground Based Update

•New MRI-R2 Proposal•Overview•Collaborators

•Soil Moisture

•Other Projects•NOAA SDS Proposal•Mexico Workshop•Caribbean E+O Proposal

Broad Goals of MRI Proposal

COSMIC is developing a plan to create a national network of streaming GNSS stations for meteorology applications. The plan will include the following new capabilities: » PW updates with frequency and latency similar to WSR-88D

network (<10 minutes)» GNSS instruments (GPS and GLONASS) for increased

observational capability.» Dense network in Southern Great Plains for severe storm

applications. » Ocean platform deployment into Gulf of Mexico

Will be large request, approximately $4 million, at least 3 years, more than 100 stations.

Developmental proposal. 30% cost share commitment is mandatory.

Collaborative Partners

UNAVCO - hardware acquisition, installation, and operation.

University of Oklahoma – Southern Great Plains network for convection initiation and radar studies.

Texas A&M Corpus Christi – Gulf of Mexico installation, storm surge modeling.

Louisiana State University – Gulf of Mexico installation, coastal subsidence, sea level monitoring.

Shell – Gulf of Mexico installation, storm forecasting and sea surface modeling.

NOAA – National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) – Gulf of Mexico installation and buoy access.

Real-Time Network

CASA Radar Map

Preliminary GoM Deployment

GoM Platform Schematic

Gulf of Mexico Objectives and Platforms

•Applications of Gulf of Mexico array include:•Ocean-atmosphere interactions•Storm intensity forecasting•Storm surge modeling (Texas A&M Corpus Christi)•Coastal subsidence (LSU lead) •Others applications include altimetry calibration, sea-level monitoring

Soil Moisture Project

March 09 submittal of new proposal for soil moisture research in collaboration with CU (Kristine Larson and Eric Small). Also have NOAA participation (Zavorotny and Bilich). » Assess impact of moisture profile, vegetation, terrain roughness,

antenna gain patterns. » Establish sites in varied soil/climate conditions.» Combine amplitude and reflector height information. » Compile database of “suitable” stations in US.

Two new papers have been accepted pending revisions for special IEEE/JSTARS journal on soil moisture.

Munson Farm Stations

Status, Opportunities and Pending Proposals

CSU/NCAR Fundamental Climate Data Record Proposal» Would lead to Post-Doc position to help with re-analysis

Upcoming Mexican PBO Initiative (UNAVCO, U. Wisc. CU, U. Arizona, NCAR) » Workshop in 2010 has been proposed, waiting on funding decision.» Caribbean E+O Proposal

Earth Science Literacy Proposal (Goddard, Puerto Rico Mayaguez, others..)» Train K-12 educators in Caribbean how to use results from

Caribbean network to help teach earth science principles.

GoM Sea Level Trends

Administrative Items

Bill Schreiner; Ingrid Moore; Sara Frank Bristow; Kim Prinzi Kimbro

4th FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC Data Users Workshop27-29 October, 2009 - Boulder, CO – CG1

• Registration opened 15 May, 2009– 22 registrants so far, 14 presenters (4 posters)

• New Student Competition, with prizes– COSMIC will provide student support

• Similar to 2nd F3C WS– Invited talks– New Science Applications– Posters– Forecasting/Assimilation– Ionosphere and Space Weather– Climate/Trend Studies– COSMIC-II and other new missions - Open discussions– COSMIC-II Executive discussion, Friday morning

• Web site setup: – http://www.cosmic.ucar.edu/oct2009workshop/index.html

• Email Announcement sent out Monday 30 Mar, 2009• Use UOP/JOSS for registration, payment, attendee lists

Various Administrative Items

Ingrid Moore

FinTools

Wiki site

https://wiki.ucar.edu/display/fintools/Financial+Management+Tools+Project

Outyear Funding

• NOAA funding for 2009 Outyear support on the way, expected in September ($100K)

• NOAA funding for CII planning on the way in 3 increments, expected July-Sept ($367K)

• AF, NASA, NSF 2009 Outyear support on the way via new NSF Cooperative Agreement ($2.4M)

• NSPO Outyear support contract signed, check is in the mail. Can start spending ($1.5M)

2009 Performance Appraisal Schedule

All Staff

Performance Review Start

Review by Program

Administrator

Employee Meeting

Signed Appraisal

Due to HR

Dates April/May End of June End of June/early

July

July 15!!!

Reclass moratorium period – July 1 through second day of pay period 22 (Approx 10/4)

Take into account we need Bill’s signature - he’s gone week of July 6.

Gives 2 days to sign reviews.

NSF CDAAC Report

• Old original CDAAC NSF award – Rick Anthes is “PI”.

• Report will be due in early August.• If report is not on time, all funding to

UCAR is delayed (Rick is UCAR President).

• We need to have report ready to upload by end of July.

FL4 Remodel Postponed

• Remodel of FL4 schedule for 2009 on hold due to purchase of 3375 Mitchell Lane

• 3375 Remodel will take priority• Proposed schedule for 3375:

Scope development Jul-Aug 2009

Space Plan/ $ Approvals 21 Aug 2009

RFP for Design Aug-Oct 2009

Award Design Contract Nov/Dec 2009

RFP Construction June-July 2010

Construction Aug 2010 – June 2011

Move-In (Who?) July 2011

Use 3375 as swing-space for FL4?Will know more after August 21 Pres Council MeetingWe will be required to estimate space needs thru 2012

50th Anniversary Open House

Sara Frank Bristow

50th Anniversary Open House

• Joint UCAR/NCAR Event: Saturday June 5, 2010• “A very rare opportunity for the public to see, learn about, and gain appreciation of NCAR’s research and facilities”• Focus on Mesa Lab and Foothills Lab• FL4 closed: choose between ML Lobby and FL2 for our other exhibit(s)• http://www.50th.ucar.edu/• Need volunteers! And please keep sharing your ideas!

COSMIC Retreat 2009

Kim Prinzi Kimbro

Outlook for the future

• Meet with KASI (Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute) regarding KOMPSAT-5 RO Data Processing

– July ?

• Next NSF CDAAC proposal– This summer

• NOAA/NSPO OSSE Workshop in Taiwan– Sept 3-4, 2009

• NOAA/NSPO Joint Program Office Meeting in Taiwan– Sept 7-8, 2009

• 4th FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC Data Users Workshop– Oct 27-29, 2009

• NSPO/UCAR/JPL/BRE Lessons Learned Meeting– possibly after Oct WS, Oct 29-30, 2009 in Boulder

• NOAA decision on COSMIC-II by end of this year